Politics
Be under no illusions, Keir Starmer: a Trump presidency will be a harrowing nightmare | Andrew Rawnsley
It is a shocker that about 100 current and former Labour party staffers are hopping over the pond to campaign for Kamala Harris in swing states as the race for the White House enters the final, feverish furlong. A measly 100? Is that the best they could do? Labour will often manage to get more of its people knocking on doors and handing out leaflets for a humdrum British byelection in which nothing more is in play than who gets to be MP for Slumberborough. Much more is at stake in a US presidential contest that, with fewer than 10 days to go, the polls have as a coin-toss.
Only Americans get to vote, but the world will have to cope with the consequences if Donald Trump again darkens the door of the White House. The fate of Ukraine, the future of Nato, the stability of the global economy, the response to the climate crisis, the cohesion of the democracies in the struggle with an axis of autocracies, and plausibly even the freedoms of America itself, all this is on the ballot in 2024. Given the vertiginous scale of the stakes, you might argue that it is remarkable how few Labour people are volunteering to help out their fellow progressives across the Atlantic.
The ostensible “controversy” about Labour being guilty of “foreign interference” in the American election is a campaign stunt, a synthetic confection whipped up by Team Trump, which has been given extra froth here by Nigel Farage and other Maga cheerleaders on our shores. It is as phoney as a three-dollar bill. There is a long and legitimate tradition of ideas-swapping and mutual assistance between British and American politicians and operatives. Labour and the US Democrats are sister parties. The Tories have historically had an affinity with the Republicans. While the more moderate British right contains many never-Trumpers, its more extreme iterations are among his greatest fans. Mr Farage, himself no stranger to campaigning in the US, didn’t see anything wrong with attending the Republican convention in Milwaukee in July. There was nothing odd, still less sinister, about Morgan McSweeney, Labour’s campaign chief at the time, and Matthew Doyle, its director of communications, being present at the Democrats’ convention in Chicago in the summer. It would have been more weirdly noteworthy had no Labour people been in the Windy City to witness the crowning of Ms Harris as her party’s nominee.
The Trump campaign has nevertheless seized on a couple of Labour officials being in Chicago and 100 volunteers going on the knocker as the basis for its ludicrous charge that this amounts to “anti-American” meddling in the election. The complaining letter from the Trump legal team to the Federal Election Commission cites the American war for independence while misspelling Great Britain as “Great Britian”. The attack is designed to dirty up Ms Harris by suggesting her campaign is so “flailing” that it is having to seek help from abroad – and, gosh, from the former colonial power.
Well, if the topic is the subversion of American democracy, the violent attempt to prevent certification of the last presidential election result when a Trumpite mob was incited to storm the Capitol was a rather graver threat than some Labour volunteers tramping around Pennsylvania trying to find undecided voters. On the recent testimony of John Kelly, a retired marine general who was chief of staff in the Trump White House for 18 months, the once and wannabe future president fits “the general definition of fascist” and told him that Hitler “did some good things”. The most damning observations about the character and conduct of Mr Trump have invariably come not from his opponents but from those who have worked with him most closely. Another clue not to take Trump propagandists seriously when they pose as guardians of US democracy is when they brand Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour as “far left”. That suggests a lack of familiarity with British politics. Or perhaps they assume that the intended audience among American voters are entirely clueless about the ideological complexion of the UK’s government.
Here I think we get to the real lesson of this story. It is not that Labour people want to see a Trump defeat and a Harris victory – both obvious and natural – however much Sir Keir feels he has to hedge his bets by wearing a mask of neutrality. No, the main moral for Britain’s government is that Mr Trump does not give a toss what it thinks. If a synthetic transatlantic spat might tilt the odds of him regaining the presidency even by a tiny bit, he will happily sanction an assault on the governing party of what is supposed to be one of America’s most important allies.
This contempt for Britain is not wholly a revelation. Conservative prime ministers who tried to worm their way into his affections got scant reward for their demeaning efforts. He congratulated Boris Johnson for being “Britain Trump” (sic), but denied him the US trade deal he was so desperate for. Theresa May was treated with undisguised disdain and her attempts to butter him up included massaging his ego with tea at Windsor Castle one year and a full-blown state visit the next. The late Queen was not amused by her “very rude” guest. Mrs May later wrote that “she never knew what to expect” from him and heard him “question core tenets of the transatlantic alliance”. So Sir Keir should avoid being seduced by any fantasy that he will be able to be a “Trump whisperer” who can “handle” the American. Contingency planning by the British government ought to work on the assumption that they are going to find it a howling nightmare if he gets back into the White House.
This is a sensitive spot for the prime minister. Speaking to reporters accompanying him to the Commonwealth summit in Samoa, Sir Keir repeated the standard line that he will work with whoever America puts in the White House and can sustain a “good relationship” with Trump. While we can understand why he feels compelled to say that, there is something a bit wince-inducing about Downing Street’s efforts to persuade everyone that they will have a fine bromance. Were you aware that the two men had a two-hour dinner at Trump Tower in New York last month? Some of the Labour leader’s people bang on about that dinner as if it were the most historically significant meeting over food since the Last Supper.
The truth universally acknowledged by officials in private, while strenuously avoided by the prime minister in public, is that a second Trump presidency will be a clear and present danger to the UK’s most vital national interests. The fight to preserve the freedom and territorial integrity of Ukraine is rightly regarded by Number 10 as critical to protecting Europe from further Russian aggression. Sir Keir’s recent pledge to support the Ukrainians “for as long as it takes” is cast into deep doubt by Mr Trump’s tirades against Volodymyr Zelenskyy, loathing of giving further assistance to the Ukrainians and frequent suggestions that he will sell them out to Vladimir Putin. The American commitment to Nato, the backbone of UK defence strategy since the 1940s, will be thrown into grave doubt. Britain has just signed a new defence collaboration treaty with Germany.
The proximity of this event to the US election is not a coincidence. Trumpian hostility towards free trade is another danger to the UK. He has vowed to impose not just swingeingly high tariffs on all imports from China but also a hefty increase on those into the US from the EU. Brexit Britain could find itself the piggy in the middle of a highly punishing trade war. That’s not going to be conducive to fulfilling Sir Keir’s ambitions to boost the performance of our economy.
A Trump victory will have a bigger impact on our prosperity than Rachel Reeves giving a tweak to her fiscal rules. Accelerating the green transition is a signature theme of the Labour government. As he did last time he was in the White House, Mr Trump would rip up American commitments to addressing the climate crisis. Whichever direction you look, what sources in Whitehall euphemistically refer to as “the Trump problem” will generate a scary array of threats to the UK’s interests and values that will make Sir Keir’s prime ministership a whole lot more difficult.
So the surprise is not that some Labour volunteers are trying to lend a hand to Kamala Harris. The surprise is that more haven’t joined the effort to stop Donald Trump before it is too late.
Politics
Working people know who they are
The prime minister says “working people know exactly who they are” in a speech ahead of the Budget.
Speaking in the West Midlands, Sir Keir Starmer stressed that working people are the “golden thread” that runs through his government’s agenda.
On Wednesday, Chancellor Rachel Reeves will deliver Labour’s first Budget for 14 years.
Politics
PM to warn of ‘harsh light’ of reality ahead in Budget
The Budget will embrace the “harsh light of fiscal reality” but “better days are ahead”, Sir Keir Starmer will say in a speech ahead of Wednesday’s announcement.
The prime minister is expected to warn of “unprecedented” economic challenges but will say the government will “run towards them” as Labour prepares for its first Budget in almost 15 years.
The government is expected to announce a series of expected tax hikes, including a rise in the National Insurance (NICs) rate paid by employers which some claim breaks Labour’s manifesto pledge not to increase taxes for “working people”.
The Conservatives have accused Sir Keir of running a government of “broken promises”.
At a speech in the West Midlands on Monday, Sir Keir will argue that the country faces an “unprecedented” challenge of weak public finances alongside “crumbling public services”.
He will promise to face what he calls “the tough decisions”.
Speculation has been growing about the tax rises the chancellor will announce on Wednesday, with Rachel Reeves claiming there is a £22bn “hole” in the public finances left by the previous government.
Last week, Reeves signalled that businesses would face an increase in National Insurance, when she said Labour’s election pledge not to increase contributions on “working people” related to the staff element, as opposed to the sum paid by employers.
Other than National Insurance for employers, the freezing of income tax thresholds could be extended.
This means more people are “dragged” into paying tax or paying a higher rate and wages rise and cross the thresholds.
The government is also looking at increasing tax on asset sales, such as shares and property, as well as changing its own self-imposed rules on how its debts are measured in order to free up money for spending on infrastructure projects.
Politics
Labour MP Mike Amesbury filmed punching man to the ground in Cheshire | Labour
Footage has emerged of a Labour MP punching a man to the ground and then hitting him several more times.
A video published by the Mail shows Mike Amesbury, the MP for Runcorn and Helsby, hitting the man in the face and knocking him to the floor, before standing over him and aiming six more blows at his head.
The security camera footage also shows Amesbury shouting: “You won’t threaten me again, will you?”
Amesbury said in a statement on Saturday night: “Last night I was involved in an incident that took place after I felt threatened on the street following an evening with friends. This morning I contacted Cheshire police myself to report what happened during this incident.
“I will not be making further comment but will, of course, cooperate with any inquiries if required by Cheshire police.”
After an initial video showing the aftermath of the altercation was published on Saturday night, a Labour spokesperson said: “We are aware of an incident that took place last night. We understand that Mike Amesbury MP approached Cheshire police to report what happened this morning himself and that he will cooperate with any inquiries they have.”
The education secretary, Bridget Phillipson, refused to say on Sunday whether Amesbury would have the whip suspended while police investigated.
“Mike Amesbury is cooperating fully with the police,” she said. “He’s gone forward himself to the police, and it is right that the police now look into this matter, investigate and decide what action, if any, is required.”
Officials did not respond on Sunday after footage emerged of the incident.
Cheshire constabulary said in a statement: “At 2.48am on Saturday 26 October, police were called to reports of an assault in Frodsham. A caller reported he had been assaulted by a man in Main Street. Enquiries are ongoing.”
The footage shows Amesbury talking to the man at 2.15am in the Cheshire town of Frodsham. Shortly after the man looks away, Amesbury punches him with enough force to knock him to the ground, before standing over him and hitting him repeatedly as a third man tries to prise him away.
Amesbury was a shadow minister in the housing department before the election but was not given a government job after the party came to power. He won his seat with a majority of nearly 15,000 ahead of the second-placed party, Reform UK.
Politics
Labour backbenchers accuse Keir Starmer of ‘colonial mindset’ | Labour
Three prominent Labour backbenchers have accused Keir Starmer of an “insulting” and “colonial mindset” over his reluctance to discuss reparations for the transatlantic slave trade.
Ahead of a summit of the Commonwealth heads of government in Samoa last week, the prime minister rejected calls to discuss reparations with Caribbean and African nations, with No 10 insisting it was “not on the agenda”.
Starmer said slavery was “abhorrent” but his stance was “looking forward rather than looking backwards”, adding that he wanted to focus on discussing “current future-facing challenges” at the summit instead of “very long, endless discussions about reparations on the past”.
On Sunday the Labour MP Bell Ribeiro-Addy addressed a cross-party reparations conference in London, saying it was “very insulting [to] tell people of African descent to forget and move forward”.
“Reparations are not about relitigating historic injustices, they are about remedying the deep-rooted inequalities that still shape our world today,” she said. “At a time when there is growing awareness of how racial hierarchies that endure to this day were constituted to justify the enslavement and colonisation of African peoples, state-led action on reparations is sadly lacking.”
Another Labour MP, Clive Lewis, said it was surprising Starmer had thought he could take a “colonial mindset” to the summit and “dictate what could and could not be discussed”.
Diane Abbott, the first Black woman to become an MP, co-chaired the conference in London. She said the Labour party previously had plans to establish a national reparations commission but Starmer “seems to have forgotten that”.
“Reparations isn’t about the past, it is about the here and now,” she said. “The descendants of African slaves and colonised peoples continue to suffer from the consequences generations later.
“Real reparations aren’t just about compensation, they’re a way of tackling colonialism’s damaging legacy of racism and inequality. They are about the total system change and repair needed to heal, empower and restore dignity.”
At the conclusion of the Commonwealth heads of government meeting (Chogm), the leaders resolved that “the time has come” for a conversation on reparatory justice.
A document signed by the 56 leaders, including Starmer, stated it was time for a “meaningful, truthful and respectful conversation” about justice for the transatlantic trade in enslaved Africans and chattel enslavement, with the aim of forging “a common future based on equity”.
Ribeiro-Addy, who chairs the all-party parliamentary group for Afrikan Representation, said: “I’m very proud those nations refused to be silenced.”
In a press conference after the summit, Starmer downplayed the significance of the paragraph in the document that called for a conversation about reparatory justice, telling reporters it was a small part of “quite a long communique”.
“None of the discussions have been about money. Our position is very, very clear in relation to that,” he said. He added that the issue would be revisited when a delegation of Caribbean nations visits the UK next year.
Last week, amid mounting pressure, a source in No 10 told the Guardian that the UK could support some forms of reparatory justice, such as restructuring financial institutions and providing debt relief.
“There is a general sense that these multilateral institutions give out loans to developing countries then charge large interest rates for repayments,” the source said.
Politics
CCTV appears to show Labour MP punching man to the ground
CCTV footage has emerged appearing to show Labour MP Mike Amesbury punching a man to the ground.
In footage obtained by the Daily Mail, the Runcorn and Helsby MP is apparently seen continuing to hit the man as he lies in the street.
It comes after a different video, posted on X, purported to show Amesbury shouting and swearing at the man lying in the street in Frodsham, Cheshire.
In that clip, Amesbury can be heard shouting: “You won’t threaten the MP ever again, will you?”
Both Amesbury and the Labour Party have been contacted for their response.
It is not clear what happened in the build-up to the moments caught on film.
In a statement issued before the Daily Mail footage emerged, Cheshire Police said: “At 02:48 BST on Saturday 26 October police were called to reports of an assault in Frodsham.
“A caller reported he had been assaulted by a man in Main Street. Enquiries are ongoing.”
Posting on his own Facebook page on Saturday, the 55-year-old backbencher said: “Last night I was involved in an incident that took place after I felt threatened following an evening out with friends.
“This morning I contacted Cheshire Police myself to report what happened.
“I will not be making any further public comment but will of course cooperate with any inquiries if required by Cheshire Police.”
Amesbury has been a Labour MP in Cheshire since 2017 and served as a shadow minister between 2018 and 2024.
In the July general election he won his constituency with a majority of 14,696.
Politics
Cutting off Unrwa would deeply harm Israel’s reputation, says UK minister | Foreign policy
Israel’s reputation as a democracy would be “deeply harmed” if the Knesset pressed ahead with bills this week that would end all Israeli government cooperation with the Palestinian relief agency Unrwa, the UK’s Middle East minister has said.
Hamish Falconer said such a move at a time when the humanitarian crisis in Gaza was catastrophic and worsening would “neither be in Israel’s interest or realistic”.
His remarks are the strongest criticism yet by a western government minister of the legislation, which could be voted on as early as this week unless the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, intervenes.
He was speaking as a joint statement was released from seven European foreign ministries, including the UK’s, urging Israel to drop the proposed bill, saying: “It is crucial that Unrwa and other UN organisations be fully able to deliver humanitarian aid and their assistance to those who need it most, fulfilling their mandates effectively.”
Falconer demanded that more aid be allowed to enter Gaza and said too many civilians were being killed in Israeli attacks on Hamas in Gaza. He was speaking at a conference in London convened by the Israeli newspaper Haaretz.
Falconer said the measures taken by the Labour government so far did not indicate any decline in Labour support for the state of Israel, but his remarks were as sharp as any delivered by a Labour minister.
He said: “We are deeply concerned by legislation currently under consideration by the Israeli Knesset which would critically undermine Unrwa. It is neither in Israel’s interest nor realistic.
“Given the agency’s vital role in delivering aid and essential services at a time when more aid should be getting into Gaza, it is deeply harmful to Israel’s international reputation as a democratic country that its lawmakers are taking steps that would make the delivering of food, water, medicines and healthcare more difficult.”
He added: “The international community are clear that Unrwa and other humanitarian organisations must be fully able to deliver aid.”
Many Israelis regard Unrwa as too closely linked with Hamas and also committed to the Palestinian refugees’ right of return.
Falconer, who has recently been to the Egypt-Gaza border, said humanitarian access to Gaza remained wholly inadequate. “I saw for myself thousands of trucks waiting to cross the border,” he said. “Some had been there for months. There were warehouses full of life-saving items – medical equipment, sleeping bags and tarpaulin for the winter. There have been repeated attacks on humanitarian convoys and the level of aid getting in is far too low.”
He challenged Israel’s military tactics inside Gaza, saying: “Hamas is a brutal terrorist organisation, it hides behind Gazan civilians, but all parties must do everything possible to protect civilians and fully respect international humanitarian law.”
He said Israel “must protect civilians even if it means making difficult choices. All too often in the pursuit of Hamas we have seen civilians pay the price. The Israeli government must take all necessary precautions to avoid civilian casualties, to ensure aid can flow into Gaza and freely through all humanitarian land routes.”
Falconer also said: “As long as there is little accountability for settler violence, the government will consider further actions.”
Warning that the risk of further escalation could not be exaggerated, he called for calmer heads to prevail and urged Iran not to retaliate for Saturday’s Israeli attack. The death of the Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar presented an opportunity for a new chapter, he said, and no military solution existed to the crisis.
Speaking at the same event via video link, the former UK prime minister Tony Blair said: “Hamas cannot be allowed to continue to govern Gaza, and Israel will need to pull back to allow the development of a different governance structure for Gaza that would then enable reconstruction to take place.”
Blair said he knew that many in Israel doubted Gaza could ever be run differently, and many assumed a “higher level of support for Hamas than exists in reality”.
He said polls commissioned in August by the Tony Blair Institute showed that the most popular choice was an administration of Gaza representatives with international oversight and linked to the Palestinian Authority. He said the poll showed that in the West Bank there was strong agreement behind moderate to deep reform of the Palestinian Authority.
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