Crypto World
Stablecoins Clear Major Regulatory Barrier as SEC Revises Capital Rules
TLDR:
- The SEC reduced the stablecoin capital haircut from 100% to 2%, in line with money market fund treatment.
- Broker-dealers previously needed $2 million in capital reserves just to hold $1 million in stablecoins.
- The rule change allows regulated firms to use stablecoins for settlement, collateral, and tokenized assets.
- Lower capital requirements are expected to drive broader institutional demand and stablecoin adoption in 2026.
Stablecoins have cleared a major regulatory hurdle in 2026. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission revised capital treatment rules for broker-dealers holding stablecoins.
Previously, firms faced a 100% haircut on stablecoin holdings, making institutional use prohibitively costly. The SEC now aligns stablecoin treatment with money market funds at a 2% haircut.
This change removes a long-standing barrier for regulated institutions looking to adopt stablecoins in daily operations.
SEC Cuts Capital Burden on Broker-Dealers
Under the old framework, broker-dealers faced a steep capital penalty for holding stablecoins. A 100% haircut meant every dollar in stablecoins required an equal dollar set aside.
A firm holding $1 million in stablecoins effectively locked up $2 million in balance sheet capacity. That structure made stablecoins costly and unattractive for regulated financial institutions.
This arrangement gave Wall Street little reason to integrate stablecoins into daily operations. The capital cost far outweighed any operational benefit stablecoins could realistically offer.
Consequently, traditional finance largely stayed away from stablecoin use under these rules. Regulated broker-dealers could not incorporate them without visibly straining their capital ratios.
Crypto market commentary account Bull Theory addressed the change directly in a post. “The SEC has changed the rules, which forced Wall Street to need $2 million in capital to hold $1 million in stablecoins,” the account stated.
The revised haircut now stands at 2%, consistent with money market fund treatment. Firms now set aside only a small buffer rather than freezing the full amount.
This correction makes stablecoins balance sheet friendly for the first time under U.S. regulatory rules. Broker-dealers can now hold stablecoins without straining their capital positions or compliance standings.
The change applies broadly across regulated institutions operating in traditional finance. It stands as one of the most practical regulatory adjustments for crypto in 2026.
Stablecoin Integration Into Traditional Finance Now More Viable
With the capital burden reduced, broker-dealers can bring stablecoins into everyday institutional workflows. Settlement, collateral transfers, and tokenized treasury transactions all become accessible for regulated firms.
These are standard financial functions that previously excluded stablecoin participation entirely. The revised rule opens those operational pathways directly to Wall Street.
Stablecoins have long served as the bridge between traditional finance and crypto markets. That bridge becomes far more functional when institutions can cross it without a capital penalty.
Greater institutional participation strengthens stablecoins as core financial infrastructure over time. Demand grows as more firms incorporate stablecoins into routine operations.
More demand for stablecoins also supports broader crypto market activity going forward. Settlement becomes more efficient when institutions move stablecoins freely across platforms.
On-chain transactions grow more practical for regulated entities operating at meaningful scale. The crypto market gains a more reliable and institutional-grade liquidity layer as adoption expands.
This regulatory shift did not expand the risk profile of crypto for institutions. Rather, it corrected a disproportionate treatment inconsistent with comparable low-risk financial instruments.
Stablecoins backed by short-term assets were previously treated far more harshly than similar products. The 2% haircut now aligns regulatory treatment with the actual financial risk stablecoins carry.
Crypto World
Crypto Whales Are Buying These 3 Altcoins After Trump’s Tariff Ban
The Supreme Court’s decision to ban Donald Trump’s tariffs has quietly shifted global market sentiment. Stocks reacted first, but crypto whales appear to be moving as well. BeInCrypto analysts tracking blockchain flows have identified early accumulation across three altcoins, signaling positioning ahead of a potential liquidity shift.
Tariff removal can ease inflation pressure and improve risk appetite, conditions that often favor speculative assets. This suggests crypto whales may already be preparing for the next phase of macro-driven crypto momentum, provided the positive sentiment holds.
Pump.fun (PUMP)
Crypto whales are buying Pump.fun (PUMP), one of the earliest infrastructure plays tied to speculative activity. Platforms like Pump.fun tend to benefit first when risk appetite improves, because they sit at the center of high-risk token launches.
On-chain data shows whale holdings rose 1.16% in the past 24 hours, bringing their total stash to 12.23 billion PUMP. This means whales added roughly 140 million PUMP tokens in a single day.
At the current price, this equals about $280,000 worth of accumulation. While not an aggressive spike, it signals early positioning rather than late chasing, reflecting cautious optimism.
The answer behind this behavior may lie in the price chart. PUMP is currently forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the 12-hour chart. This is a bullish reversal structure that appears when selling pressure fades and buyers begin regaining control.
The neckline resistance sits near $0.0022, and a confirmed breakout above this level could open the path toward $0.0035, representing a potential upside of over 55%
Momentum is already building. PUMP is now testing its 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which tracks the average price while giving more weight to recent moves.
Traders use this level to judge short-term strength. The last time PUMP reclaimed this EMA on February 13, it rallied nearly 15% shortly after. A similar rally can push the PUMP price past the neckline.
However, risks remain. A drop below $0.0019 would weaken momentum, while a fall under $0.0016 would invalidate the bullish setup entirely.
This explains why crypto whales are accumulating gradually. They appear to be positioning early for a PUMP price breakout, but are still respecting the current market structure.
Synthetix (SNX)
Crypto whales are buying Synthetix (SNX), but a deeper look shows it is mainly mega whales leading the move. This shift comes after the Supreme Court’s Trump tariff ban improved risk appetite. When macro uncertainty drops, large investors often rotate into higher-beta DeFi tokens that can rise faster.
Synthetix fits this profile because it powers synthetic assets, which tend to attract activity when traders expect stronger market momentum.
The data confirms this selective accumulation. The top 100 addresses increased their holdings by 1.47%, bringing their total stash to 312.22 million SNX.
Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.
That means they added roughly 4.52 million SNX in the past 24 hours. At the current price, this equals about $1.83 million worth of SNX accumulated. This is important because mega whales are buying during strength, not weakness. This usually signals positioning for continuation, not just dip buying.
The chart explains why.
SNX appears to be forming a cup and handle pattern, which is a bullish continuation structure. This pattern starts with a rounded recovery, followed by a smaller pullback called the handle. The handle might soon be forming, which means consolidation may happen before the next move.
The key breakout level sits at $0.42. If SNX breaks and shows acceptance above this level, the pattern projection suggests a possible 72% rally toward $0.73.
This potential explains why mega whales are positioning early. They are likely willing to sit through consolidation, while smaller whales hesitate.
On the downside, $0.36 and $0.32 are important support levels during consolidation. These levels allow the handle to form normally. However, a drop below $0.24 would invalidate the bullish pattern completely.
Onyxcoin (XCN)
Onyxcoin (XCN) is the third token where crypto whales have quietly increased exposure after the Supreme Court’s Trump tariff ban. Whale holdings rose from 48.84 billion to 48.96 billion XCN, adding 120 million tokens in one day. At the current price, this amounts to roughly $612,000 in XCN accumulated.
This buying comes despite weak recent performance, suggesting whales may be positioning early for a reversal rather than reacting to strength.
One possible reason lies in Onyxcoin’s core role. The project focuses on blockchain-based financial infrastructure, including payments and settlement systems. If tariff restrictions ease and global trade improves, demand for blockchain settlement networks could rise. Whales may see XCN as a leveraged bet on that long-term macro shift.
The XCN price chart also supports this early positioning. Between November 4 and February 19, XCN formed a lower low in price, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) formed a higher low.
RSI measures momentum. When RSI rises while price falls, it signals that selling pressure is weakening. This pattern often appears before a trend reversal. Importantly, the earlier RSI low was deep in the oversold zone, which strengthens the reversal signal.
Some recovery has already started. The next key breakout level sits at $0.0065. If XCN moves above this level, it could target $0.0098, which aligns with a key Fibonacci retracement level. This would represent a potential 92% rally from current levels.
However, risks remain. If XCN falls below $0.0045, the reversal structure weakens. A deeper drop toward $0.0041 could follow.
Crypto World
Dragonfly Capital Launches $650M Crypto Fund Amid Market Turmoil
“In a space that is just completely flooded with bulls**t and with fakers and self-promoters, I think that has actually been a superpower.”
Crypto venture capital firm Dragonfly Capital has closed its fourth fund at $650 million.
The fund comes as the broader cryptocurrency market faces a severe downturn, with token prices declining and investor enthusiasm weakened.
$650 Million Fund
Dragonfly’s previous fund, its third, deployed $500 million into startups such as Polymarket, Rain, and Ethena. The new $650 million vehicle aims to continue that trajectory and will provide capital for the firm to pursue early-stage investments at a time when the crypto venture sector is experiencing a slowdown as deal activity declines and firms face challenges in raising additional capital from investors, according to Fortune.
Speaking about the latest development, co-founder Haseeb Qureshi commented,
“We talk out loud and we say what we think. In a space that is just completely flooded with bulls**t and with fakers and self-promoters, I think that has actually been a superpower.”
The firm’s investments have included Layer 1 blockchain projects such as Avalanche, financial services firms like Amber Group, and other crypto projects. Besides, Dragonfly’s operations have continued through multiple market disruptions, such as the collapse of the Terra Luna ecosystem, the FTX bankruptcy, and a move away from China amid a local crypto crackdown.
Scrutiny Linked to Tornado Cash Investment
It has also faced regulatory scrutiny from the Department of Justice (DOJ). In July 2025, prosecutors informed a federal judge that they were considering criminal charges against employees of the crypto venture firm, including general partner Tom Schmidt, in relation to the 2020 investment in Tornado Cash.
The statement was made by prosecutor Nathan Rehn to District Judge Katherine Polk Failla of the Southern District of New York during a break in the trial of Tornado Cash developer Roman Storm, who was later convicted of operating an unlicensed money transmission. Dragonfly co-founder Haseeb Qureshi clarified that the firm has fully cooperated with the government investigation, which began in 2023. He had then stated that if charges are filed, they intend to defend themselves.
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The Justice Department later backtracked, and no charges were filed against Schmidt.
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Crypto World
Why DAO Governance Always Turns Political
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“In a decentralized governance system, it’s unavoidable to develop politics.”
Rune Christensen explains why DAO governance becomes a struggle for resources, how the “iron law of bureaucracy” emerges, and why Sky redesigned its architecture to survive it.
Crypto World
Trump hikes global tariffs to 15%, crypto markets unfazed
Global tariff policy dominated the weekend news cycle as the United States further expanded a tariff strategy that has rattled risk assets, including crypto markets. In a late-Friday move, a 10% global tariff was announced, layered atop existing duties. On Saturday, President Donald Trump signaled an immediate increase to 15% and intensified his critique of the Supreme Court’s ruling that he believed restricted his power under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). The constitutional and statutory questions remain contested, with critics arguing the scope and duration of such tariffs can be constrained by courts and Congress. Against this backdrop, traders watched how policy risk would filter through liquidity, leverage, and investor sentiment across traditional and digital markets, even as some crypto assets showed notable resilience amid the headlines.
Key takeaways
- The president raised the global tariff from 10% to 15% with immediate effect, expanding a policy stance that officials described as a corrective measure against perceived imbalances.
- The legal basis for broad tariffs remains under dispute, with proponents pointing to the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and the Trade Act of 1974, while critics highlight limits identified by the Supreme Court and calls for congressional oversight.
- Crypto markets showed relative composure despite the tariff news: Bitcoin traded near $68,000 and Ethereum remained broadly unchanged, even as the broader market indicator Total3 slid less than 1% to around $713 billion.
- Analysts highlighted that the legal mechanism cited by the administration could constrain the duration and scope of tariffs, particularly for deficits with specific countries, a point underscored by a prominent crypto attorney.
- Historically, tariff announcements have stirred volatility in crypto and equities, but this episode illustrated a degree of resilience in the sector as policy uncertainty persisted.
Sentiment: Neutral
Price impact: Neutral. Crypto assets showed limited immediate reaction, with BTC hovering around the prior level and ETH largely stable.
Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold. In the absence of a clear macro-trigger for a sustained move, maintaining existing exposure and watching policy developments is prudent.
Market context: The tariff news appeared to translate into modest shifts within the crypto complex, with BTC and ETH holding their ground while the broader market cap (as measured by TOTAL3) softened only slightly, suggesting a measured risk stance among traders amid regulatory maneuvering.
Why it matters
The episode underscores the sensitivity of crypto assets to macro and regulatory developments, even when specific policy actions are framed as targeted or temporary. While the immediate tariff step and the surrounding legal debates may appear distant from on-chain activity, macro risk sentiment often travels through asset classes in tandem. The resilience observed in major digital assets during the latest headlines points to a broader trend: liquidity and risk appetite in crypto can persist even amid policy shocks, at least in the near term.
From a policy perspective, the episode highlights the complex interplay between executive authority, judicial interpretation, and congressional checks. The administration’s reliance on IEEPA and related statutes has long been a point of contention among legal scholars and market participants alike. Crypto advocates and lawyers have argued that the scope of such powers is inherently limited and time-bound, which can mitigate longer-term distortions in markets. The discussion around duration—cited as potentially 150 days or a finite window—appears to be a critical variable for traders monitoring macro risk in the coming months.
For investors, the news reinforces the importance of differentiating policy risk from sector fundamentals. While tariffs can trigger short-lived liquidity hits, many crypto participants emphasize that network fundamentals, adoption pace, and institutional interest remain drivers of longer-term price trajectories. The incident also brings attention to the role of public commentary and official communications in shaping risk premiums, as market participants parse statements from presidents, lawmakers, and legal commentators for clues about future policy steps.
What to watch next
- Monitoring any additional tariff announcements or amendments to the policy framework, including statements from the White House and Congress.
- Watch for updates on the legal interpretation of IEEPA authority and potential judicial checks that could constrain the administration’s tariff powers.
- Track market liquidity and risk sentiment across crypto and traditional markets as traders digest policy signals and macro data releases.
- Follow commentary from legal scholars and industry attorneys about the duration and geographic scope of tariffs, and whether carve-outs or exemptions emerge.
- Observe on-chain indicators and exchange flows that may reveal subtle shifts in demand for flagship assets like Bitcoin and Ether as policy risk evolves.
Sources & verification
- Official statements and post-announcements from the Trump administration regarding the 15% tariff level and the rationale behind the move.
- Legal analysis and public commentary on IEEPA authority, including references to the Supreme Court decision that framed the scope of presidential tariff power.
- Crypto market data and price movements for Bitcoin and Ethereum around the tariff headlines, including price levels cited (BTC near $68,000; ETH broadly unchanged) and the TOTAL3 market-cap indicator around $713 billion.
- Public remarks from Adam Cochran on the limits of the tariff powers and the 150-day window for any measures under the cited statutes.
- Trade and market coverage documenting the relationship between tariff announcements and moves in crypto and traditional asset classes.
Tariff escalation tests crypto risk appetite
In a move that intensified an ongoing policy debate, President Donald Trump announced on Saturday that the 10% global tariff would be raised to 15% with immediate effect. The action extended a tariff framework that had already unsettled markets when new levies were proposed and when the courts weighed in on the administration’s authority. The president framed the increase as a legally tested step, asserting that it targets deficits with various countries and would be calibrated within the boundaries of the law. In a Saturday Truth Social post, he declared that he would be “effective immediately, raising the 10% worldwide tariff on countries, many of which have been ‘ripping’ the US off for decades, without retribution, until I came along, to the fully allowed, and legally tested, 15% level.”
“As President of the United States of America, I will be, effective immediately, raising the 10% worldwide tariff on countries, many of which have been ‘ripping’ the US off for decades, without retribution, until I came along, to the fully allowed, and legally tested, 15% level.”
Earlier on Friday, the administration had signaled a 10% global tariff as a base level, to be added to pre-existing duties, and had invoked legal measures under the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and the Trade Act of 1974. The move followed a ruling from the Supreme Court that some argued curtailed presidential authority under IEEPA, complicating the administration’s ability to enact sweeping levies without further legislative action. Crypto enthusiasts and industry observers noted that the legal framing matters because it could limit the duration and reach of the tariffs, particularly for deficits with specific partners. Pro-crypto attorney Adam Cochran highlighted the practical constraints, noting that the law in question applies to a defined set of countries for a finite period and at a capped rate, reducing the likelihood of unfettered, long-term application.
Markets often respond to tariff developments with a tilt toward risk-off behavior, and the immediate reaction can be pronounced in sectors sensitive to global liquidity, leverage, and cross-border trade dynamics. Yet in this cycle, the crypto space demonstrated relative steadiness in the face of the tariff news. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price movements remained largely tethered to prior levels, while Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) exhibited similar resilience. Data from market trackers showed BTC near the $68,000 mark and ETH holding broadly steady, with the Total3 indicator—representing the combined market capitalization of crypto assets excluding BTC and ETH—falling less than 1% to roughly $713 billion, suggesting that investors differentiated policy risk from fundamental demand for large-cap digital assets.
The narrative around policy power and market impact is ongoing. The tariff announcements have sparked discussions among lawmakers about potential economic consequences, and observers will be watching for signals about the trajectory of regulatory policy, potential exemptions, and the duration of any temporary measures. In the meantime, traders are parsing the implications for risk sentiment, liquidity, and cross-asset correlations as the policy landscape continues to evolve. The interplay between legal interpretation and executive action will likely shape the near-term volatility spectrum for crypto and traditional markets alike.
Crypto World
Japanese Giant Extends XRP Strategy With New Bond Plans
Japanese financial conglomerate SBI Holdings is aggressively deepening its integration with the XRP ecosystem through calculated new moves.
These strategic initiatives aim to drive both retail crypto onboarding and corporate developer adoption.
SBI Offers $64 Million Bond With XRP Rewards
On February 20, SBI revealed a 10 billion yen ($64.5 million) blockchain-based security token bond offering that rewards retail investors with XRP.
The three-year debt instrument, branded as SBI START Bonds, officially prices on March 10 and issues on March 24. It promises conventional fixed-income investors an indicative annual interest rate between 1.85% and 2.45%.
“The SBI Group believes that the continued development of the ST bond market in Japan will contribute to the revitalization of the capital markets and, ultimately, to the sustainable growth of the real economy,” it stated.
However, the XRP rewards serve a much deeper purpose than simple yield enhancement.
To qualify for the cryptocurrency payouts, which are distributed annually through 2029, domestic investors must open and verify an account with SBI VC Trade, the firm’s cryptocurrency brokerage subsidiary, by May 11.
By mandating this crucial step, SBI implements a highly efficient customer-acquisition strategy.
The firm uses a safe, regulated, yen-denominated corporate bond to funnel conservative retail money into its digital asset platform. Once these users enter the ecosystem, SBI can aggressively cross-sell them spot trading, staking, and margin services.
SBI to Support XRPL-Focused Startups Through New Partnership
Simultaneously, SBI Ripple Asia signed a memorandum of understanding with the Asia Web3 Alliance Japan (AWAJ).
The partners aim to establish a specialized venture studio model that provides hands-on technical and regulatory support to regional startups.
“In this initiative, the two companies will work together to provide technical support as ‘technical support partners’ to businesses aiming to implement financial services using blockchain,” the firms stated.
Crucially, the initiative expressly requires these startups to build their financial services natively on the XRP Ledger (XRPL).
Unlike rival networks such as Ethereum or Solana, which boast organic developer momentum and robust smart contract activity, XRPL lacks a thriving decentralized finance ecosystem.
However, the blockchain network has recently introduced several new features designed to attract institutional interest.
By funding a venture studio explicitly tied to the ledger, SBI essentially attempts to further fuel developer momentum on the blockchain network.
The firm recognizes that without startups actively building on the chain, the network will remain underutilized for complex financial applications.
“Through our collaboration, we will support the creation of practical use cases utilizing XRPL that contribute to the financial and industrial sectors, aiming to realize globally applicable financial use cases originating in Japan,” they explained.
Crypto World
Algorand Warns Developers Against “Vibe Coding” Smart Contracts to MainNet
TLDR:
- Algorand warns that smart contract vulnerabilities cause immediate, irreversible fund loss with no legal recovery path available.
- AI tools may store user data in LocalState, a flawed pattern where ClearState drains critical accounting data permanently.
- Algorand recommends using Plan Mode and agent skills to design secure contract architecture before writing a single line of code.
- Private keys must stay out of AI reach entirely, with OS-level keyrings handling all transaction signing away from the agent.
Algorand is urging blockchain developers to adopt disciplined, AI-assisted practices before deploying smart contracts to MainNet.
The blockchain platform has drawn a clear line between reckless AI-generated code and responsible agentic engineering.
With AI agents now capable of building and deploying contracts in a single conversation, the stakes have never been higher. Deploying vulnerable smart contracts means immediate, irreversible loss of funds with no path to recovery.
The Risk of Unreviewed AI-Generated Code
Algorand developers have identified a growing problem in the broader web3 space. AI coding tools allow developers to ship products faster, but unchecked code carries serious risk.
Unlike web2 breaches, smart contract vulnerabilities cannot be patched after the fact. Funds drained from a poorly written contract are gone permanently, with no legal recourse available.
The Algorand team shared a concrete example of how AI can mislead developers. An AI might store user balances in LocalState, which appears to be the correct pattern.
However, users can clear local state at any time, and ClearState succeeds even when a program rejects it. This means critical accounting data can disappear without warning. Developers who do not understand the code they ship are exposed to exactly this kind of subtle failure.
Algorand’s developers formalized this concern through a public post from the @algodevs account. The post draws from Addy Osmani’s distinction between “vibe coding” and “agentic engineering.”
Vibe coding means accepting all AI output without review. Agentic engineering means the developer remains the architect and final decision-maker throughout the process.
The platform advises developers to use BoxMap instead of LocalState for data that cannot be lost. This kind of nuance is what separates a working contract from a broken one.
AI tools trained on outdated patterns will not flag these issues automatically. Developers must bring their own understanding to every deployment.
How Algorand Recommends Building Safely With AI
Algorand outlines several practices to keep AI-assisted development secure and maintainable. Developers should use Plan Mode before writing any code, allowing the agent to design architecture first.
This produces a spec covering state schema, method signatures, and access control. Reviewing this plan catches design flaws before any implementation begins.
Agent skills play a major role in guiding AI toward correct Algorand patterns. These are curated instructions that encode current best practices directly into the development workflow.
Without them, AI is likely to use deprecated APIs or outdated patterns. Structured prompts reduce hallucinations and produce more reliable contract code.
Private keys must remain completely out of reach of AI agents at all times. Tools like VibeKit use OS-level keyrings so that AI requests transactions without ever accessing signing credentials.
Additionally, developers should use algokit task analyze and simulate calls to catch edge cases. Testing should mirror how an attacker would approach the contract, not just how a user would.
Crypto World
US President Trump Raises Global Tariff Rate to 15%, Crypto Doesn’t Budge
US President Donald Trump is now using alternative legal routes to levy tariffs, but critics say his authority to impose them is still limited.
United States President Donald Trump announced on Saturday that he is raising the 10% global tariff rate announced on Friday to 15%, which will take effect immediately.
Trump reiterated his criticism of the Supreme Court’s decision to strike down his authority to levy tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). In a Saturday Truth Social post, he said:
“As President of the United States of America, I will be, effective immediately, raising the 10% worldwide tariff on countries, many of which have been ‘ripping’ the US off for decades, without retribution, until I came along, to the fully allowed, and legally tested, 15% level.”
On Friday, Trump announced a 10% global tariff rate to be added on top of already existing tariffs that remained valid after the court ruling, under alternative legal statutes outlined in the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 and the Trade Act of 1974.

However, pro-crypto attorney Adam Cochran said the scope of these laws also limits Trump’s authority to levy broad tariffs indefinitely.
“The law he is using only allows this to be on countries we have a deficit with, for a set period of 150 days, and at a capped percentage,” he said.
Each new tariff announcement from Trump caused turmoil in the crypto and stock markets, with severe downturns that negatively impacted asset prices and fueled macroeconomic uncertainty among investors.
Related: US lawmakers critical of Trump tariffs, say it will derail the economy
Crypto markets held firm in the wake of the latest tariff announcements
The crypto market, which usually experiences heavy sell-offs in response to tariff announcements, held firm in the wake of the latest tariff headlines.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) held steady at the $68,000 level, and Ether (ETH) also remained firm, showing little to no change since Friday when the new tariffs were announced.
The Total3 indicator, which tracks the entire market capitalization of the crypto sector, excluding BTC and ETH, fell by less than 1% on Saturday and remains at about $713 billion at the time of this writing.
Magazine: ‘Everything feels like it’s going to shit’: Peter McCormack reveals new podcast
Crypto World
Who Is Behind Bitcoin’s Selling Pressure? On-Chain Data Exposes the Groups Leading Capitulation
TLDR:
- Bitcoin’s capitulation hits critical levels with $643M in realized losses and 46.08% of supply underwater.
- Short-term holders with SOPR at 0.98 and MVRV at 0.73 are systematically selling BTC below entry price.
- Medium whales offloaded 91,580 BTC in 30 days while the Whale Ratio climbed to a telling 74% reading.
- Bitcoin ETFs recorded $404M in outflows Feb 17–19 as miners and retail quietly accumulated the sold supply.
Who is behind the selling pressure currently gripping the Bitcoin market? On-chain data now points to three specific groups driving the capitulation.
A total of $643 million in realized losses has been recorded, with 46.08% of the Bitcoin supply sitting underwater. The evidence is clear, this is not a broad market selloff.
Identifiable cohorts are responsible, and their behavior is trackable through on-chain metrics.
Short-Term Holders Are the Primary Source of Panic Selling
Short-term holders (STHs) sit at the center of the current capitulation. These are buyers who entered the market within the last six months, largely near cycle highs.
The STH-SOPR reading of 0.98 confirms they are selling consistently below their purchase price. Every transaction below 1.0 on this metric represents a realized loss being locked in by this group.
The STH-MVRV ratio adds further weight to this picture, currently reading at 0.73. That number reflects a cohort that is deeply underwater and actively exiting positions.
Rather than holding through the drawdown, these participants are choosing to sell at a loss. Their collective behavior is one of the clearest signs of active capitulation in the current cycle.
GugaOnChain’s on-chain analysis confirms that STH behavior is systematic, not isolated. The losses are being realized repeatedly across multiple sessions, not in a single spike.
This pattern suggests that fear, not strategy, is driving their exit decisions. It is the textbook behavior of speculative participants caught on the wrong side of the market.
Beyond the metrics, the timing of their entries matters here. Buyers from the last six months purchased Bitcoin when sentiment was elevated and prices were near local highs.
They are now facing significant paper losses that many are unwilling to hold through. That psychological pressure is directly translating into consistent sell-side volume on exchanges.
Medium Whales and ETF Institutions Are Amplifying the Pressure
Medium whales holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC have offloaded 91,580 BTC over the past 30 days. This is the most aggressive distribution coming from any single cohort in the current period.
Whales holding above 10,000 BTC have also reduced exposure by 22,280 BTC during the same window. Together, these two groups represent a coordinated and large-scale exit from the market.
The Whale Ratio currently sits at 74%, reinforcing that large players are routing significant volume toward exchanges.
This metric measures large transactions as a share of total exchange inflows. A reading this elevated has historically preceded continued downward price movement. It confirms that whale distribution is active and ongoing, not yet exhausted.
Institutional Bitcoin ETFs recorded $404 million in net outflows between February 17 and 19, 2026. These outflows directly translate into spot market selling pressure from regulated vehicles.
Institutions reducing exposure during periods of stress add a layer of selling that retail markets struggle to absorb. Their exit compounds the pressure already created by STHs and medium whales.
While these three groups lead the capitulation, a separate set of participants is moving in the opposite direction. Miners, small whales, and retail buyers are steadily accumulating the supply being offloaded.
This dynamic; where distressed sellers transfer coins to patient accumulators: is a recurring feature of Bitcoin’s correction phases. The identity of the sellers is now clear, and so is the identity of those stepping in to buy.
Crypto World
IoTeX Hit by Private Key Exploit, Attacker Drains Over $2 Million
A private key exploit gave an attacker control of IoTeX’s TokenSafe and MinterPool contracts on February 21. Eventually, the hackers drained an estimated $2 million in crypto assets, sending IOTX down by over 9%.
Why it matters:
- IOTX holders face direct losses as the token fell roughly 9.2% to $0.0049, according to CoinGecko data.
- The attacker used THORChain to bridge stolen ETH to Bitcoin, complicating efforts by exchanges and security partners to freeze the funds.
- IoTeX confirmed the situation is “under control,” and the exploit impact is around $2 million USD. But some on-chain analysts suggest total losses could reach $8 million.
The details:
- The attack unfolded between 7 and 9 AM UTC on February 21, giving the hacker full access to IoTeX’s TokenSafe and MinterPool contracts via a compromised private key.
- On-chain analyst Specter flagged the breach first, reporting $4.3 million drained in USDC, USDT, IoTeX (IOTX), WBTC, PAYG, and BUSD.
- The hackers swapped the Stolen funds to ETH and bridged approximately 45 ETH to Bitcoin via THORChain.
- The hacker also drained 9.3 million CCS tokens worth roughly $4.5 million, pushing total estimated losses toward $8.8 million, as per Specter.
- IoTeX co-founder Raullen Chai stated on X that exchanges are cooperating to freeze related addresses. The IoTeX chain is expected to resume in 24–48 hours.
The post IoTeX Hit by Private Key Exploit, Attacker Drains Over $2 Million appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
IoTeX confirms $2M hack, rejects $4.3M theft claims
IoTeX reported containing a hack with losses around $2 million, disputing on-chain analyst estimates placing the theft at $4.3 million.
Summary
- IoTeX confirms $2M exploit and pauses chain for security upgrades.
- Analysts estimate $4.3M after token minting and cross-chain laundering.
- Exchanges and law enforcement work to freeze stolen funds.
The blockchain platform stated it coordinated with exchanges and law enforcement to freeze stolen funds following what it called a “long-planned attack by professional actors targeting multiple chains.”
On-chain analyst Specter posted that IoTeX’s private key may have been compromised, resulting in multiple contract assets being drained including USDC, USDT, IOTX, PAYG, WBTC, and BUSD.
The attacker swapped stolen assets for ETH and bridged 45 ETH to Bitcoin, while also minting 111 million CIOTEX tokens.
IoTeX said chain operations and deposits will resume in 24-48 hours after security upgrades are finalized.
IoTeX disputes $4.3M loss estimate with $2M confirmation
IoTeX’s initial statement acknowledged “suspicious activity involving an IoTeX token safe” and noted that “potential loss is lower than circulating rumors suggest.”
The team said it coordinated with major exchanges and security partners actively assisting in tracing and freezing the attacker’s assets.
The updated statement confirmed “the exploit impact is around $2M USD (including USDC, USDT, IOTX, and WBTC).”
Specter’s analysis showed the attacker drained multiple contract assets and executed a multi-step laundering process.
Stolen funds were swapped for ETH, with at least 45 ETH bridged to Bitcoin where tracing becomes more difficult. The minting of 111 million CIOTEX tokens shows the attacker gained control over token issuance functions.
Chain secured with 24-48 hour downtime for upgrades
IoTeX suspended chain operations following the discovery. “Our team has contained the situation and the IoTeX chain is being secured,” the platform announced.
Deposits and normal operations will resume within 24-48 hours pending completion of security upgrades.
The team works with law enforcement to investigate and recover funds. IoTeX also committed to transparent updates as the situation develops.
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