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How decentralized AI is leveling the playing field

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How decentralized AI is leveling the playing field

As AI infrastructure investments surge toward $300B in 2025 alone, fueled by mega-projects like the $500B Stargate initiative and hundreds of billions in Nvidia chip purchases, the decentralized AI space offers a compelling alternative to Big Tech’s centralized dominance. Now’s the time to invest in it.

In the rapidly evolving landscape of artificial intelligence, a seismic shift is underway, one that promises to redefine how we build, deploy and interact with AI. While centralized AI, dominated by tech giants like Amazon, Microsoft and Google, has driven remarkable progress, the recent shift toward agentic AI creates a unique opportunity for decentralized AI. It’s why the sector is poised to become the most exciting and critical space over the next few years.

With a global AI market projected to grow at a 35.9% CAGR through 2030, the stark valuation gap—$12 trillion for centralized AI enterprises versus ~$12 billion for decentralized AI—signals an unprecedented investment opportunity. Bridging this gap will not only yield massive financial returns but also reshape the ethical, technical and societal foundations of AI. Here’s why decentralized AI, powered by open-source principles and blockchain technology, is the future.

The valuation gap: a $15 trillion opportunity


Centralized AI, controlled by a handful of tech behemoths, commands a staggering $12 trillion~ in enterprise value, fueled by their dominance of nearly 70% of global cloud infrastructure. Yet, this concentration of power comes at a cost: stifled competition, ethical lapses, a loss of agency and control for both individual and corporate users and a one-size-fits-all approach that often stifles innovation.

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Meanwhile, decentralized AI, valued at just $12 billion, is a nascent yet rapidly growing ecosystem. The blockchain AI market alone is projected to skyrocket from $6 billion in 2024 to $50 billion by 2030, reflecting a staggering 42.4% CAGR, and I don’t believe these figures will come close to the actual outcome, as the real numbers are likely to be much higher. This disparity isn’t a sign of weakness but a clarion call for investors. The next two to three years will see decentralized AI platforms—think Bittensor, Artificial Superintelligence Alliance,The Manifest Network, Venice.Ai or Morpheus—close this gap by democratizing access, fostering innovation and addressing the critical flaws of centralized systems.

And as the agentic AI age approaches, conjuring visions of hundreds of billions of independent AI agents executing instructions and transacting on behalf of individuals and companies, the case for decentralized AI becomes all the more urgent.

How can these agents be truly autonomous in a centralized model? How can we know –and prove– that they are living up to the legal definition of an “agent?” In other words, it’s a fiduciary with 100% responsibility to its owner, not to a third party (such as the platform on which it is hosted). The explosion of innovation this hyper-competitive, hyper-collaborative “Internet of AI agents” points to will only be possible if those agents are given the privacy and control they need to truly act independently. There is no “free market of ideas” without the actors in that market having their own free will. Over the past quarter, the explosion of localized AI agent frameworks built on open architectures, such as OpenClaw, has demonstrated how quickly sovereign AI can move when unshackled from centralized cloud control. By moving AI from corporate servers to local, peer-to-peer networks, users are shifting from “renting” intelligence to owning their own fully autonomous stacks. This structural re-architecture bypasses Big Tech gatekeepers, sparking a wave of innovation and privacy that centralized platforms can no longer control.

Privacy: empowering individuals over corporations

Centralized AI thrives on vast data lakes, often harvested with little regard for individual privacy. Big Tech’s history of squashing competition and skirting ethical boundaries, whether through monopolistic practices or opaque data usage, has eroded trust. Decentralized AI, by contrast, leverages blockchain’s cryptographic security to prioritize individual privacy. Users control their data, sharing it selectively via secure, transparent protocols. Platforms like Akash Network ensure that personal data remains encrypted and decentralized, preventing the kind of mass exploitation seen in centralized systems. This privacy-first approach isn’t just ethical; it’s a market differentiator in an era where 83% of enterprises are shifting workloads to private clouds to escape public cloud vulnerabilities.

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But it’s not only individuals who are disadvantaged by the current centralized model. Businesses, institutions and entire industries have been forced to keep their most valuable datasets locked away. Sometimes for competitive reasons, sometimes because of fiduciary, custodial, or regulatory obligations, making sharing with centralized LLMs flatly impossible. The risk of inadvertently uploading trade secrets, proprietary R&D, sensitive customer records or regulated data into the black box of a hyperscaler has been a hard stop for meaningful enterprise-scale AI adoption.

But the deeper significance of this shift goes beyond unlocking long-dormant corporate data vaults; it redefines what enterprise trust in AI actually looks like. This is core to the mission of organizations like the Advanced AI Society, which argues that we are entering an era where enterprise customers will not merely prefer privacy-preserving infrastructure; they will demand something far stronger: proof of control. Not marketing promises, not compliance checklists, but cryptographic, verifiable assurance that the business, and only the business, controls its data, compute pathways, storage substrates, proprietary model weights and fine-tuned derivatives. In a world where AI touches regulated workflows, intellectual property and customer-sensitive operations, enterprises will insist on provable guarantees that nothing escapes their perimeter, and nothing can be silently copied, scraped or siphoned by a third party. Decentralized AI is the first architecture capable of delivering this new trust standard. It shifts the question from “Do we trust our vendor?” to “Can we verify our sovereignty?” and that inversion is the fault line upon which the next decade of enterprise AI adoption will hinge.

This is where decentralized AI and confidential computation transform the playing field. For the first time, companies can safely apply their private datasets to local or domain-specific model training without surrendering custody or visibility. Whether through encrypted compute, zero-knowledge architectures, or decentralized execution layers, the data never leaves their control. What was once an unbridgeable chasm of AI potential on one side and locked corporate data on the other can now finally be crossed.

And that unlock is enormous. Non-internet-platform companies represent the vast majority of the world’s valuable information: pharmaceutical research vaults, medical imaging archives, energy exploration data, financial pattern histories, supply chain telemetry, manufacturing QA logs and more. These troves have been sealed off from AI’s learning loops due to the inherent danger of centralized training. Decentralized, privacy-preserving AI flips that equation, turning previously inaccessible datasets into catalytic assets.

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If AI is truly going to cure cancer, solve energy scarcity, overhaul logistics, accelerate drug discovery or reinvent scientific research, it cannot rely solely on whatever scraps of information Big Tech has scraped from the public internet. The great breakthroughs will come when the off-internet world—the real, industrial, scientific and institutional world—can safely contribute its data to AI models without risking exposure, theft or exploitation.

Decentralized AI is the architecture that makes that future possible. It doesn’t just empower individuals against corporations; it empowers every enterprise that has been forced to sit on the sidelines. And when those data vaults finally open on their own terms and under their own control, that will be the great unlock that propels AI from impressive novelty to civilization-scale engine.

Compute capacity: harnessing the world’s spare resources

Centralized AI’s Achilles’ heel is its insatiable demand for compute power, requiring dozens of gigawatts to train and run models like GPT-4 or Llama. Data centers strain global energy grids, raising environmental concerns and increasing consumer costs.

Decentralized AI flips this paradigm by tapping into spare compute capacity such as idle GPUs in homes, offices or even smartphones. Platforms like Targon (Bittensor Subnet 4), focused on making AI inference faster and cheaper, aggregate distributed resources to deliver scalable solutions. OAK Research highlights that Targon’s benchmarks reportedly outperform Web2 solutions in certain tasks, offering lower-cost inference with acceptable quality—a game-changer for commodification, scaling and downstream integrations. By efficiently using existing energy sources, decentralized AI aligns with a sustainable future while democratizing access to cutting-edge technology.

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Blockchain as the backbone of trust and innovation

AI is moving to blockchains, and for good reason. Blockchain solves critical pain points that centralized systems sidestep or exacerbate:

  • Training validation: Decentralized networks like Bittensor use consensus mechanisms (e.g., Yuma Consensus) to validate AI model outputs, ensuring quality without centralized gatekeepers.
  • Copyright compliance: Blockchain’s immutable ledger tracks data and model provenance, addressing intellectual property disputes—a growing concern in AI.
  • AI guardrails: Decentralized governance creates transparent, community-driven rules to prevent misuse.
  • Value transactions: Tokens like those on Akash enable fair reward distribution for contributors, from miners to validators.
  • Data security and privacy: Distributed storage and encryption protect sensitive data, unlike centralized clouds prone to breaches. These features empower a collaborative ecosystem where developers, users and enterprises co-create value, unhindered by Big Tech’s competitive stranglehold.

Open source: the catalyst for exponential growth

Decentralized AI thrives on open-source principles, fostering innovation at a pace centralized systems can’t match. Open-source models, like those on Bittensor for specialized tasks, invite global contributions and enable rapid iteration on use cases ranging from video analysis to predictive markets. Centralized AI, by contrast, locks models behind proprietary walls, limiting adaptability and accessibility. Open-source decentralized platforms not only accelerate innovation but also align with the growing demand for transparency in AI development—a demand Big Tech often ignores.

The investment case: why now?

The $12 trillion centralized AI market is a mature Goliath, but its growth is constrained by ethical scandals, energy demands and diminishing returns. Decentralized AI, though smaller, is a nimble $12B David, poised for exponential growth. Its ability to address privacy, leverage distributed computing and foster open innovation makes it a superior long-term bet. Investors who back platforms like Bittensor, Storj, or Akash now, while valuations are low, may stand to reap outsized returns as the blockchain AI market scales to $200 billion by 2030. The shift is already underway: enterprises are moving to private clouds, and communities are embracing decentralized governance.

The future is decentralized

Decentralized AI isn’t just a technological evolution; it’s a societal necessity. It counters Big Tech’s monopolistic grip, protects user privacy and harnesses global resources for sustainable growth. As platforms like Bittensor and Akash pioneer scalable compute markets, they pave the way for a world where AI serves the many, not the few. The delta in the valuation gap will close. Not because centralized AI will falter, but because decentralized AI’s potential is too vast to ignore. For investors, developers and visionaries, this is the most exciting space to watch, build and invest in over the next three years. The revolution is here, and it’s decentralized.

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Crypto World

USDT Rare -$3B Signal Returns: Is Bitcoin Approaching Another Cycle Bottom?

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • USDT 60-day market cap change has fallen below -$3B for only the second time in crypto market history.
  • The first instance occurred in late 2022, aligning precisely with Bitcoin’s cycle bottom near the $16,000 level.
  • Three single-day USDT outflows exceeding -$1B have each coincided with local bottoms or sharp Bitcoin volatility.
  • Historical data shows Bitcoin entered strong recovery phases once USDT outflows stabilized after peak liquidity stress.

USDT is flashing a rare on-chain signal that has only appeared twice in crypto market history. The stablecoin’s 60-day market cap change has dropped below -$3 billion.

This level was last reached in late 2022, when Bitcoin bottomed near $16,000. That period marked one of the most severe liquidity contractions in the digital asset market.

Now, this same metric is triggering again in early 2026, with Bitcoin trading between $65,000 and $70,000.

USDT Outflows Mirror Patterns From the 2022 Cycle Bottom

The 60-day USDT market cap contraction has only breached -$3 billion on two occasions. The first came during the late 2022 market collapse, a period of forced selling and maximum fear.

The second is occurring now, in early 2026, after Bitcoin’s recent all-time high run.

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On a daily basis, USDT has recorded three separate instances of single-day outflows exceeding -$1 billion. Each of those episodes lined up with either local market bottoms or sharp Bitcoin volatility clusters. That pattern is difficult to ignore given the current market conditions.

Analyst CrptosRus qouting MorenoDV_ flagged this development on X, noting the historical weight of the signal. “The 60-day Market Cap Change has dropped below -$3B, on only two occasions,” the post read. “The first occurred in late 2022, precisely as Bitcoin was carving its cycle bottom near $16K.”

Large-scale USDT redemptions at this rate typically reflect institutional or major holder exits from the broader crypto ecosystem.

Historically, these exits tend to cluster near exhaustion points rather than at the start of prolonged downtrends.

Liquidity Conditions Now Determine Bitcoin’s Next Move

Stablecoins function as the dry powder of the crypto market. When USDT supply grows, it points to fresh capital entering the ecosystem. When it contracts sharply, it reflects risk-off behavior, liquidity withdrawal, or forced redemptions.

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For Bitcoin, a liquidity-sensitive asset, USDT supply trends carry measurable weight. The current 60-day contraction points to sustained capital outflows and structural tightening in crypto-native liquidity. That creates a fragile environment for price stability.

However, past cycles offer some useful context here. Once forced deleveraging completed and USDT flows stabilized, Bitcoin moved into strong medium-term recovery phases. The normalization of liquidity conditions preceded meaningful upside in prior cycles.

The current setup presents a conditional risk-reward scenario. If USDT contraction continues, downside pressure may extend further.

If flows flatten or reverse, the asymmetry shifts rapidly toward upside potential. Extreme liquidity stress has historically marked opportunity, but only once selling exhaustion is confirmed by stabilizing on-chain flows.

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BitGo Selected To Issue FYUSD Dollar-Pegged Stablecoin

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BitGo, Stablecoin

Digital asset company New Frontier Labs has partnered with BitGo Bank & Trust National Association, the entity that crypto infrastructure company BitGo will use to issue and provide custodial services for the FYUSD stablecoin, a dollar-pegged token for Insitutional investors in the Asia region.

BitGo’s announcement said FYUSD is compliant with the GENIUS Act stablecoin regulatory framework. The regulations include 1:1 backing with cash deposits held by a custodian or short-term US government debt instruments, anti-money laundering (AML) requirements and know-your-customer (KYC) checks.

BitGo, Stablecoin
Some of the requirements for a regulated dollar-pegged stablecoin under the GENIUS framework. Source: Cointelegraph

The company also developed “Fypher,” a suite of stablecoin infrastructure tools that provides a “programmable settlement” layer for the FYUSD token that allows it to be used by autonomous AI agents for commercial transactions.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has touted stablecoins as a way to preserve US dollar dominance by reducing settlement times, transaction costs and democratizing access to US dollars for individuals without access to traditional banking infrastructure. 

Related: 21Shares taps BitGo for expanded regulated staking, custody support across US, Europe

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Stablecoins are down from the market cap peak of over $300 billion

The total market capitalization of stablecoins is over $295 billion at the time of this writing, according to RWA.XYZ, down from the peak of over $300 billion recorded in December.

BitGo, Stablecoin
The current stablecoin market cap is over $295 billion. Source: RWA.XYZ

Stablecoin issuer Tether, the issuer of the USDt (USDT) dollar-pegged token, is on-track for the steepest monthly drop in USDt circulating supply since the collapse of the FTX crypto exchange in 2022. At time of writing, circulating supply was 183.64 billion USDT, CoinMarketCap data showed.

While USDt remains the world’s largest stablecoin by market capitalization, its circulating supply is down $1.5 billion so far in February, data from Artemis shows. This is shaping up to be the second month of ramped up user redemptions, following a $1.2 billion drop in January.

Stablecoin redemptions could signal a broader contraction in the crypto market, as investors liquidate their positions and move their holdings off-chain, potentially into other investments.

However, spokespeople for Tether told Cointelegraph that the data represent short-term positioning, rather than a long-term trend of sustained outflows and market contraction.

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Magazine: Bitcoin payments are being undermined by centralized stablecoins