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Q4 loss as revenue contribution climbs

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Crypto Breaking News

Hut 8 (EXCHANGE: HUT) posted a stark transformation in its fourth-quarter results, reflecting the struggle of a hash-rate focused miner navigating volatile digital-asset markets and a pivot toward AI-driven infrastructure. The company reported a quarterly net loss of $279.7 million, a sharp reversal from an income of $152.2 million in the prior-year period, underscoring the hit from asset valuations and impairment charges. Revenue for the quarter ended December 31 stood at $88.5 million, evidence of growth from the year-ago $31.7 million, while compute revenue climbed to $81.9 million from $19.2 million. Yet the quarter’s bottom line was weighed down by a $401.9 million impairment on digital assets, a larger drag than the $308.2 million impairment increase logged a year earlier. In the context of a crypto market that has cooled from earlier-year highs, Hut 8’s numbers crystallize a transition away from pure mining toward a broader data-center and AI infrastructure strategy.

The quarter’s figures come as Hut 8 also highlighted a robust liquidity position. The company ended the year with about $1.4 billion in cash and Bitcoin reserves, along with up to $400 million in revolving credit capacity. That liquidity cushion is notable given the negative earnings impact from asset impairment, and it provides the runway for the company’s expansion plans in high-performance computing and AI hosting. Against a backdrop where Bitcoin’s price has softened from its 2021-2022 peak, Hut 8 appears intent on diversifying revenue streams beyond block rewards into service-based income tied to AI workloads and data-center capacity.

Among the strategic moves shaping Hut 8’s trajectory, a 15-year lease for 245 megawatts of AI data-center capacity at its River Bend campus stands out. Valued at about $7 billion, the deal is financed in part by a substantial Google-backed funding package that covers around $1.8 billion of the lease obligations and includes warrants for roughly 41 million WULF shares, representing about 8% of the company’s equity under the arrangement. This arrangement underscores a broader industry push to pair crypto mining infrastructure with AI and HPC capabilities, leveraging established cloud and AI ecosystems to extract incremental value from spare data-center capacity. The lease is positioned as a cornerstone of Hut 8’s pivot toward AI-hosting services that can ride secular demand for AI training and inference workloads. The full details of the arrangement are covered in prior disclosures and linked references.

In parallel with the River Bend project, Hut 8 completed the sale of a 310 MW natural gas portfolio in February, freeing additional capital for expansion bets. The company also announced the launch of American Bitcoin Corp., a separately listed vehicle focused on Bitcoin accumulation, a move designed to create a dedicated vehicle for holding and potentially monetizing crypto assets as part of its capital-allocation strategy. These steps reflect a broader trend among miners to monetize non-core assets and redeploy capital into platforms that can scale with AI-driven demand.

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Hut 8’s Bitcoin holdings remain a point of attention for investors. Data from BitcoinTreasuries.NET shows Hut 8 holds 13,696 BTC, positioning the company among the larger publicly traded Bitcoin holders by ordinary metrics. The market response to the earnings release was tepid, with shares down about 4.5% in early trading on Wednesday, a reflection of the mixed signal from the quarterly results—heightened impairment on assets even as liquidity and strategic leverage appear to expand. Market participants watched how the company’s stock would translate liquidity into tangible AI/data-center revenue over the coming quarters, particularly as the AI lease with Google-backed financing adds a long-horizon revenue stream.

Beyond Hut 8’s numbers, the sector’s narrative has shifted toward AI and HPC infrastructure. Even as Bitcoin traded around $68,150—a retreat from its early-year highs near $87,500 (CoinGecko data)—several of the largest publicly traded Bitcoin miners have posted year-to-date gains. TeraWulf (EXCHANGE: WULF) has rallied more than 50% year-to-date, while Riot Platforms (EXCHANGE: RIOT) and Hut 8 have advanced roughly 30% and 29%, respectively, according to industry data. The performance differential suggests investors are valuing miners not only for their Bitcoin exposure but also for the quality of their energy infrastructure, data center real estate, and strategic diversification into AI and HPC capabilities. The ETF landscape also moves in step with this narrative; the Bitcoin Mining ETF WGMI has posted gains as investors rotate toward AI- and data-center-enabled plays.

The divergence in outcomes across miners highlights a broader market reality: investors are increasingly discounting crypto price alone and pricing in operational leverage tied to energy and compute capacity. In August, for example, TeraWulf signed a 10-year colocation lease with Fluidstack valued at $3.7 billion, with Google backing about $1.8 billion of the lease obligations and warrants issued for a substantial stake in WULF. Industry observers point to these kinds of long-duration commitments as proof that AI-focused infrastructure will serve as a more durable revenue anchor than mining alone, a trend echoed in Starboard Value’s push for Riot Platforms to accelerate its AI/HPC data-center ambitions.

In short, Hut 8’s quarterly report reads as a case study in a sector at a crossroads. The company’s balance sheet remains robust enough to sustain a multi-year capex plan, but the immediate earnings picture is clouded by asset impairments that reflect the price volatility of digital assets and the challenge of timing asset valuations. As Hut 8 leans into AI and HPC, investors and analysts are watching for how much of the River Bend project’s incremental revenue will filter into the bottom line, and how the company manages the horizon of interest payments, revolver usage, and equity-linked incentives tied to the Google-backed warrants. The press materials and related coverage in the period provide a roadmap for investors to evaluate Hut 8’s capacity to monetize AI-ready capacity while managing the traditional crypto mining business.

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Why it matters

The Hut 8 story matters because it encapsulates a broader industry transition from pure cryptocurrency mining to diversified data-center and AI infrastructure. The ability to monetize large-scale compute capacity through AI workloads could redefine the economics of publicly traded miners, offering a more predictable revenue stream than mining rewards alone. The River Bend lease, backed by Google’s financing and a long-term obligation framework, demonstrates how strategic partnerships can de-risk capital-intensive expansions while aligning mining operators with the growing demand for AI training and inference power. This shift matters for investors who are weighing balance-sheet strength, capital allocation, and the quality of a miner’s ancillary assets beyond crypto price exposure.

Another implication is the emphasis on liquidity and asset management as a core strategic tool. Hut 8’s move to divest non-core assets, such as the 310 MW natural gas portfolio, and its spin into a dedicated Bitcoin accumulation vehicle signal a willingness to separate asset classes to fund AI infrastructure without diluting core mining operations. For users and builders in the crypto ecosystem, this signals a maturation of the sector where capital is allocated toward resilient, scalable infrastructure that can weather crypto cycle volatility while supporting the broader AI ecosystem.

Finally, the findings reinforce how public markets value the intersection of crypto assets, energy infrastructure, and data center capacity. The market’s appetite for AI-oriented data centers—evidenced by equities’ relative outperformance versus Bitcoin’s price trajectory—suggests investors are factoring both energy efficiency and compute density into growth assumptions. If Hut 8 can translate its River Bend investment into meaningful, recurring revenue, it could set a benchmark for other miners seeking to monetize AI and HPC opportunities without sacrificing their core mining businesses.

What to watch next

  • Updates on River Bend AI data-center capacity utilization and revenue contribution (dates pending) and any further updates on Google-backed financing terms.
  • Progress of American Bitcoin Corp. as a separate vehicle and its impact on Hut 8’s overall capital structure.
  • Bitcoin price trends and miner-specific hedges or debt facilities that influence liquidity and burn rates.
  • Additional asset divestitures or acquisitions by Hut 8 or peers that signal a broader industry shift toward AI-ready infrastructure.

Sources & verification

  • Hut 8 reports fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results and related press materials (PR Newswire).
  • Details of the River Bend data-center lease, Google backstopping, and warrants linked to WULF.
  • BitcoinTreasuries.NET data on Hut 8’s BTC holdings.
  • Yahoo Finance price data for Hut 8 and peer miners to contextualize stock performance.

Hut 8’s Q4 results, AI expansion, and investor outlook

Hut 8’s latest earnings picture reflects a deliberate pivot toward AI-enabled infrastructure while balancing the realities of asset impairment that accompany a cyclic industry. The quarter’s numbers show revenue expansion driven by compute services even as the company records a large impairment charge on its digital assets. The liquidity position remains a critical asset for pursuing long-horizon data-center deployments, including the River Bend project, which positions Hut 8 among the few publicly traded miners with substantial exposure to AI and HPC workloads. As the sector navigates macro headwinds and fluctuating crypto prices, Hut 8’s strategy will be tested by the speed at which AI-driven demand scales and the company’s ability to monetize its existing capacity efficiently.

From a market perspective, the sector’s navigation of risk is increasingly about infrastructure resilience and partnerships rather than price exposure alone. The broader mining cohort has seen notable stock performance in 2024–2025, with WULF, RIOT, and WGMI among the names cited by analysts and traders as beneficiaries of a shift toward compute-centric revenue streams. Hut 8’s ongoing initiatives—asset sales, a major long-term data-center lease, and a dedicated Bitcoin accumulation vehicle—signal a structural change in how crypto miners approach growth, funding, and risk management. As always, investors will be watching for further disclosures on cash burn, debt maturities, and the pace at which AI and HPC services translate into earnings in future quarters.

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Overall, Hut 8’s quarterly report is less a single-figure story about a loss and more a narrative about retooling a mining company for longer-term value creation in a data-driven AI economy. The path ahead will depend on the company’s ability to extract stable streams of revenue from its AI data-center contracts, to manage impairment risks effectively, and to sustain liquidity that underwrites future expansions. While the near-term bottom line remains under pressure, the strategic bets—particularly the River Bend lease and the American Bitcoin Corp. launch—could redefine Hut 8’s competitive edge if executed with disciplined cost control and a clear path to profitability in AI-enabled services.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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rises 3% after earnings beat, lifting AI miners CIFR, IREN, WULF,

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rises 3% after earnings beat, lifting AI miners CIFR, IREN, WULF,

Nvidia(NVDA), the world’s largest public company by market value and bellwether for the AI sector, once again topped Wall Street expectations for the fourth quarter, reporting results after the close of U.S. markets on Wednesday.

The chipmaker beat estimates, reporting revenue of $68.1 billion, a 73% increase from a year earlier, as continued AI-related capital spending fueled strong demand for its chips. It also reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.62, beating estimates. Wall Street analysts expected Nvidia to report approximately $66.1 billion in revenue and $1.54 in adjusted EPS, according to FactSet data.

Shares rose nearly 3% in post-market trading on Wednesday following the earnings release.

Investors are now focused on guidance. Nvidia expects first-quarter revenue of around $78 billion, up from analyst expectations of $72.9 billion, setting the tone for the next phase of AI-driven growth.

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The chip-making giant also said that its Data Center revenue for the fourth quarter was a record $62.3 billion, up 75% from a year ago and up 22% from the prior quarter, driven by the “major platform shifts – accelerated computing and AI.”

“Today’s report is a strong pushback against the narrative that hyperscaler AI growth could start fading into 2027,” said Thomas Monteiro, senior analyst at Investing.com. “The roughly 75% surge in data center revenue further reinforces that hyperscaler AI infrastructure deployment remains firmly in expansion mode.”

Following the results and outlook, bitcoin remained at session highs around $69,500 after a 10% rally from Tuesday’s lows. AI-focused crypto tokens such as Bittensor (TAO) and Internet Computer (ICP) added to their gains.

Crypto miners, increasingly linked to AI and high-performance computing infrastructure, also saw modest gains following Nvidia’s report. IREN (IREN), Cipher Digital (CIFR), and TeraWulf (WULF were 1%-2% higher in after-hours trading.

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The company will host a conference call at 5 p.m. ET, where investors will be listening closely for further signals on the next phase of the AI infrastructure buildout.

UPDATE (Feb. 25, 22:10 UTC): Adds analyst comment.

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Chicago Crypto Lender Loses $75 Million, CEO Steps Down

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Wall Street’s CME Coin May Be Bigger Than Most Stablecoins

Crypto liquidity firm BlockFills suspended withdrawals after $75 million losses and CEO Nicholas Hammer stepped down. 

Blockfills is a Chicago-based crypto liquidity provider and lender that primarily serves institutional clients such as hedge funds, asset managers, and high-net-worth trading firms.

Why It Matters

  • Institutional crypto lender losses can restrict liquidity for hedge funds, traders, and asset managers.
  • Withdrawal freezes raise solvency concerns and counterparty risk across crypto markets.
  • Leadership exits and sale efforts signal financial distress at a major institutional trading firm.

The Details

  • BlockFills co-founder and CEO Nicholas Hammer stepped down in February 2026.
  • The company appointed Joseph Perry as interim CEO.
  • BlockFills suspended client deposits and withdrawals on Feb. 11, 2026.
  • The firm reported approximately $75 million in losses tied to its crypto lending operations.
  • Losses occurred after crypto collateral backing loans fell in value during market declines.
  • Some clients received warnings to withdraw assets before the freeze.
  • Customer deposits and withdrawals remain halted as of late February 2026.
  • BlockFills is actively seeking a buyer or strategic investor.
  • The firm operates from Chicago and serves institutional crypto trading clients globally.

The Big Picture

  • BlockFills provides liquidity, lending, and trading infrastructure to institutional crypto clients.
  • Crypto lenders face losses when falling asset prices reduce collateral coverage on loans.
  • Similar lending failures previously triggered collapses at Celsius, Voyager, and Genesis.
  • Institutional crypto markets remain exposed to liquidity stress during volatile price cycles.
  • Firms increasingly pursue acquisitions or restructuring after lending losses reduce available capital.

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XRP Price Prediction: Whales Are Dumping Millions, Is XRP About to Crash Below $1?

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XRP Price Prediction: Whales Are Dumping Millions, Is XRP About to Crash Below $1?

Whales just moved size onto Binance, maybe to sell? Under these conditions, even small moves affect XRP price prediction.

More than 31M XRP, worth about $45M, were transferred to the exchange in a single day, with large holder wallets driving most of the flow. That is not retail noise. It is a meaningful supply potentially preparing to sell.

Source: CryptoQuant

Big exchange inflows often signal distribution. When coins leave cold storage and hit order books, sell-side pressure increases immediately.

This comes while XRP is hovering in the mid $1.30 range, trying to stabilize after recent volatility. At the same time, longer-term headlines remain constructive, creating a clear divergence between narrative and on-chain behavior.

If buyers absorb this supply, the structure holds. If similar inflows continue, downside risk grows fast.

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XRP Price Prediction: Is XRP About to Crash Below $1?

XRP just bounced again from the $1.30 support, and it is still trading above the old descending channel. That matters.

The channel capped price for weeks, so staying above it keeps the breakout valid instead of turning it into a fake move.

Source: XRPUSD / TradingView

As long as XRP prints higher lows above $1.30 and holds outside the channel, the short-term bias stays constructive.

The first upside test sits near $1.61. Clear that with strength and $1.90 comes back into play, with $2.10 and $2.50 as broader swing targets if momentum expands.

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But $1.30 is carrying the structure right now. Another weak bounce would show fatigue, and a clean breakdown could open the path toward $1.10.

For now, holding $1.30 and the reclaimed channel keep the bullish setup alive. Lose both, and the breakout story starts to fade.

SUBBD (SUBBD) Gives Creators the Chance to Monetize AI-Generated Content

SUBBD ($SUBBD) is reshaping how creators make, share, and monetize their work by merging AI tools with blockchain technology in one seamless platform.

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Instead of jumping between a bunch of apps to create, edit, and post content, SUBBD keeps everything in one place. One ecosystem, fewer headaches.

At the center of it all is the $SUBBD token. It powers the whole experience for both creators and users. It makes paying for subscriptions and exclusive content simple, and it gives holders perks like governance rights, staking rewards, and access to premium tools.

With over 2,000 influencers already on board and a combined audience of 250 million, the upside potential for $SUBBD is starting to look hard to ignore.

You can buy $SUBBD at its discounted presale price of $0.057520 by visiting the official SUBBD website.

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Link up your wallet (e.g., Best Wallet) and either swap USDT or ETH for this token or use a bank card to invest.

Visit the Official SUBBD Website Here

The post XRP Price Prediction: Whales Are Dumping Millions, Is XRP About to Crash Below $1? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Shiba Inu price outlook: analysts project a potential 400% surge

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Shiba Inu price outlook: analysts project a potential 400% surge
Shiba Inu price outlook: analysts project a potential 400% surge
  • Shiba Inu (SHIB) faces short-term pressure from large exchange inflows.
  • The key support lies at $0.0000060, while the immediate resistance lies near $0.0000066.
  • Long-term forecasts project potential gains up to 400%.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) price has seen an uptick, trading at around $0.0000064 after gaining over 7% in 24 hours.

Despite this movement, short-term dynamics suggest caution.

A significant portion of SHIB tokens, totalling hundreds of billions, has recently flowed into centralised exchanges.

Such large inflows often indicate potential selling pressure.

This means the market could see a downward push if buyers do not absorb the increased supply.

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Adding to the caution, technical indicators point to weakening momentum.

SHIB recently formed a death cross on shorter timeframes, where a faster-moving average crossed below a slower one.

This pattern historically signals bearish pressure in the short term.

Shiba Inu price analysis
Shiba Inu chart showing the death cross | Source: TradingView

The support near $0.0000060 has become a key pivot point.

If this level holds, SHIB may stabilise, but a breach could trigger further declines toward $0.0000057 or lower.

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Resistance remains at around $0.0000066, a level that must be cleared for buyers to regain control.

On-chain trends and market sentiment

Beyond price action, on-chain data shows a growing number of tokens being held on exchanges.

This indicates that many holders are prepared to sell, adding to market uncertainty.

At the same time, the market has shown resilience.

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Small rallies have occurred even as selling pressure builds, suggesting that some investors remain confident.

Liquidity is limited, however, which can exaggerate price swings in either direction.

The short-term picture remains fragile, and momentum is likely to be influenced by market sentiment and broader cryptocurrency trends.

Long-term Shiba Inu price projections

Looking beyond the immediate fluctuations, analysts remain optimistic about SHIB’s potential.

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JAVO MARKS projects that the meme coin could rise as high as $0.00005 by late 2026, which represents an increase of more than 400% from current levels.

Several factors could contribute to this bullish outlook.

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One of those factors could be a broader crypto market upswing, which could lift altcoins and memecoins like SHIB.

Regulatory clarity and adoption of cryptocurrencies by institutions may also provide a boost.

These catalysts, combined with continued community support, create a framework for long-term growth.

Despite this, experts caution that short-term technical weaknesses could limit immediate gains.

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Price stability and strong support at key levels will be crucial for sustaining any rally.

The token’s speculative nature and its dependence on market cycles mean that volatility is likely to continue.

If the bullish catalysts materialise, SHIB could deliver substantial gains, but the path may be uneven.

For now, the market will likely navigate a mix of uncertainty and opportunity, reflecting the unique position Shiba Inu holds in the crypto space.

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Billionaire Alan Howard’s crypto incubator WebN closes down

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Billionaire Alan Howard’s crypto incubator WebN closes down

WebN Group, the blockchain and Web3 incubator backed by billionaire Alan Howard, is closing its doors after seeding a clutch of digital infrastructure startups over the past several years, according to a person familiar with the matter.

Most recently, the venture studio backed tokenization specialist Libre (now called KAIO), crypto staking shop Twinstake, blockchain infrastructure firm TruFin and zero-knowledge proofs startup Geometry.

In addition to Howard, WebN also received an undisclosed investment from Japanese bank Nomura’s crypto partnership, Laser Digital, back in 2023.

The incubator was described as having “successfully completed its mission” the person said. Some of the staff who worked at WebN moved across to work at Brevan Howard, the hedge fund founded by Howard, they said.

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The decision to close down the WebN incubator has no bearing on Howard’s digital asset aspirations, said the person, who is close to the situation at WebN.

“Those who know Alan, know that he has long been convinced that blockchain technology would be used in traditional markets,” the person said.

The last 12 months have been a challenging time for crypto-exposed firms. Brevan Howard’s digital asset fund lost almost 30% last year, according to a report in the Financial Times. This follows gains of 52% in 2024 and 43% the year before.

Like many other hedge funds, Brevan Howard has trimmed its bitcoin ETF positions, cutting holdings of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust by some 85%, according to data from Bloomberg and CF Benchmarks.

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2025 also saw the departure of BH Digital CEO Gautam Sharma, who had been overseeing crypto investing at the firm for a few years. Brevan Howard also decided to spin out Nova, a hedge fund run by former Dragonfly investor Kevin Hu, who joined the firm with his own money pool in 2023 as part of an acquisition.

“Brevan Howard isn’t scared off by temporary volatility, remains bullish on digital assets and has a huge VC business focused on the broad opportunity set,” said the source.

WebN Group did not respond to requests for comment. Brevan Howard declined to comment.

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Ethereum Foundation’s Justin Drake Unveils “Strawmap” Roadmap With Seven Forks Planned Through 2029

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake proposed roughly seven protocol forks through 2029 on a six-month cadence.
  • The EF protocol team targets 1 gigagas/sec L1 throughput via zkEVMs, equating to approximately 10,000 transactions per second.
  • High-throughput L2 via data availability sampling aims to support up to 10 million transactions per second across Layer 2 networks.
  • The strawmap introduces post-quantum cryptography and native privacy-preserving ETH transfers as long-term first-class protocol goals.

Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake has released a protocol document called the “strawmap,” proposed by the EF protocol team.

The plan outlines roughly seven forks through 2029, operating on a cadence of one upgrade every six months. Five long-term goals anchor the roadmap: faster L1 finality, 1 gigagas/sec throughput, high-throughput L2, post-quantum cryptography, and native privacy-preserving ETH transfers.

Drake Proposes a Six-Month Fork Cadence Through the End of the Decade

Justin Drake, a researcher at the Ethereum Foundation, put forward the strawmap as a technical coordination tool for the EF protocol team.

The document covers seven planned forks stretching from the present through 2029. It was originally drafted during an internal EF workshop held in January 2026 before being shared publicly.

Drake introduced the document on social media, writing that the strawmap is “an invitation to view L1 protocol upgrades through a holistic lens.”

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By placing all proposals on a single visual, the EF protocol team aimed to present a unified perspective on Ethereum’s long-term ambitions. The time horizon extends well beyond what All Core Devs typically covers in its near-term planning cycles.

The six-month fork cadence is central to how the EF protocol team structured the strawmap. Each fork is limited to one consensus headliner and one execution headliner to keep the pace manageable.

For example, the upcoming Glamsterdam fork features ePBS and BALs as its two headliners across the respective layers.

Fork names follow a star-based naming convention on the consensus layer, with letters incrementing from Altair onward.

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Upcoming forks like Glamsterdam and Hegotá carry confirmed names, while others such as I* and J* remain placeholders.

The roadmap is publicly accessible at strawmap.org and will receive at least quarterly updates as the protocol evolves.

Five Long-Term Goals Shape the EF Protocol Team’s Technical Vision

The five north stars proposed by the EF protocol team define the technical direction through the end of the decade.

Drake described them clearly: faster L1 targeting finality in seconds, 1 gigagas/sec throughput via zkEVMs, high-throughput L2 via data availability sampling, post-quantum cryptography through hash-based schemes, and native privacy-preserving ETH transfers via shielded transactions.

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Each goal connects directly to specific upgrade tracks mapped across the consensus, data, and execution layers. The gigagas target of 1 gigagas/sec translates to roughly 10,000 transactions per second on L1.

The teragas L2 goal targets 1 gigabyte per second, supporting approximately 10 million transactions per second across Layer 2 networks.

Post-quantum cryptography addresses the long-term durability of Ethereum’s security model. Hash-based cryptographic schemes are the proposed mechanism for protecting the network against future quantum computing threats. This upgrade track reflects the EF protocol team’s focus on securing Ethereum well beyond the current decade.

Native privacy through shielded ETH transfers rounds out the five goals. The strawmap treats privacy as a first-class protocol feature rather than an application-layer concern.

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Drake described the document as a work-in-progress living document, not a formal prediction, but a structured path proposed by the EF protocol team for advancing Ethereum’s core infrastructure.

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Polkadot Jumps Ahead of Halving Event

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DOT Chart

DOT rises as investors look toward a coming supply cut, though analysts say the move may be driven by market sentiment.

Polkadot’s native token DOT soared on Wednesday, Feb. 25, making it the top performer among large-cap cryptocurrencies just weeks before the network’s planned supply halving.

DOT is currently trading at $1.54, up about 23% over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko. The token’s market cap is near $2.6 billion, while daily trading volume has climbed above $420 million.

DOT Chart
DOT Chart

The rally comes as Polkadot approaches a major tokenomics change scheduled for March 14. The network plans to cut annual token issuance in half and cap the total supply at about 2.1 billion DOT. The move aims to lower inflation and make the token more scarce over time.

This upcoming change, called a “halving,” may be one reason the market is paying more attention to DOT. However, other analysts say the timing of the rally suggests it may be driven more by market sentiment than by Polkadot itself.

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“We’re seeing double-digit green candles across the altcoin space. DOT just happens to be one of today’s leaders,” said Danny Nelson, a research analyst at Bitwise. “Nothing’s changed about Polkadot, its users, or its usefulness. There’s no new ‘news’ to catalyze a DOT repricing. I chalk DOT’s 20%+ surge up to market-wide speculation.”

Nelson added that investors are speculating that Bitcoin has reached its bottom. “If that’s so, then you’d certainly expect altcoins to rally, too,” he said. “You can see some positive indicators in Bitcoin’s 24-hour chart.”

Meanwhile, Brian Huang, co-founder of Glider, pointed out that trading activity has also spiked, but the reason for the move remains unclear. “The odd part is there is no clear catalyst for DOT surging today,” He said. “Because of this surge, both spot and perp volume are at their highest levels in the last three months.”

Huang added that while the supply change is important, it doesn’t take effect until mid-March, “so today’s timing feels unrelated.”

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The Bank of England’s plan to cap stablecoin holdings is sparking an industry revolt

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The Bank of England’s plan to cap stablecoin holdings is sparking an industry revolt

The U.K.’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) picked Revolut, Monee Financial Technologies, ReStabilise, and VVTX to test stablecoin issuance in its Regulatory Sandbox as regulators move toward a full rulebook.

The FCA said the cohort will trial stablecoin products in real-world conditions, with safeguards in place. The regulator plans to focus on issuance and review use cases that include payments, wholesale settlement and crypto trading. Testing begins in the first quarter of 2026, and the FCA said the results will feed into final stablecoin rules later in 2026.

“We are supporting U.K. stablecoin issuers to ensure they can be trusted for payments, settlement and trading,” said Matthew Long, director of payments and digital assets at the FCA. “It will benefit consumers and financial transactions and help to deliver the FCA’s strategy and the Government’s National Payments Vision.”

Industry pushes back

However, industry leaders have pushed back against the Bank of England’s (BoE) stablecoin caps, saying they limit innovation and prevent the U.K. from becoming the global hub it aims to be.

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The BoE published a paper on Nov. 10, 2025, announcing stablecoin caps of between £5,000 and £20,000 for individuals and £1 million to £10 million for businesses. Armstrong asked U.K. users to sign a petition to Parliament for these caps to be reconsidered. The petition has 81,909 of the 100,000 required signatures.

“Stablecoin rules in the U.K. are being finalized, and are at risk of preventing the U.K. from being globally competitive in the digital economy,” Brian Armstrong, CEO and co-founder at Coinbase, wrote on X on Tuesday. He cited a Bank of England proposal to cap stablecoin holdings.

The government has repeatedly pledged to position London as a center for global digital asset activity. However, comprehensive legislation governing stablecoins and wider crypto activity is expected to be approved by parliament only later this year and won’t come into force until 2027.

The regulatory timeline contradicts U.K.’s goal of remaining globally competitive within the industry, Andrew MacKenzie, CEO of sterling stablecoin developer Agant, told CoinDesk in a recent interview at Consensus Hong Kong. He said the introduction of rules is not moving fast enough to support the aspirations of the global crypto hub.

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“The U.K. has a long history of being a financial hub,” said Armstrong. “Embracing and encouraging innovation, especially when other countries are moving fast here, is important for maintaining that.”

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Tokenized US Treasury Market Surges by $1B Since Beginning of Year

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US Government, United States, Bonds, RWA, RWA Tokenization

The tokenized US Treasury market has surged by over $1 billion since the beginning of 2026, despite macroeconomic uncertainty and concerns over the US government’s growing national debt.

Tokenized US Treasurys are government debt instruments that are a form of real-world assets (RWAs) represented onchain by a token.

The market capitalization of tokenized Treasurys climbed to more than $10.8 billion at the time of writing from $8.9 billion on Jan. 1, according to data from RWA.xyz.

US Government, United States, Bonds, RWA, RWA Tokenization
The tokenized US Treasury market has grown to over $10.8 billion. Source: RWA.xyz.

The tokenized US Treasury market has surged 50x since 2024, according to data from Token Terminal, aided by the March 2024 debut of asset manager BlackRock’s USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL), which now has a market cap of more than $1.2 billion.

Tokenized US Treasurys continued to surge despite a broad crypto market downturn that began in October 2025, rising US government debt levels and investor uncertainty about the macroeconomic outlook in 2026.

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US Government, United States, Bonds, RWA, RWA Tokenization
The World Uncertainty Index, an investor sentiment tracker, spiked to all-time highs in 2025. Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Related: Tokenized RWAs climb 13.5% despite $1T crypto market drawdown

The Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation to launch US Treasury tokenization service

The Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC), which provides clearing and settlement services for global financial markets, announced plans in December 2025 to launch an asset tokenization service, beginning with US Treasurys.

DTCC will eventually expand the service to include a “broad spectrum” of assets, according CEO Frank La Salla. 

“Following the tokenization of US Treasurys on the Canton network, DTCC anticipates that exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and equities will come shortly thereafter,” La Salla said.

The DTCC is the largest clearinghouse in the world and settled $3.7 quadrillion in transaction volume in 2024, according to the company. 

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