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BNB price rebounds on SFP, resistance level at $635 in focus

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BNB price rebounds on SFP confirmation, resistance level at $635 now in focus - 1

BNB price has staged a strong rebound after confirming a swing failure pattern at recent lows. The rally now approaches a critical resistance cluster near $635 that could determine the next directional move.

Summary

  • BNB confirms bullish SFP, triggering strong rebound from lows
  • $635 resistance aligns with 0.618 Fibonacci and value area high
  • Breakout targets $659; rejection keeps price range-bound between $659 and $532

BNB (BNB) pricehas regained bullish momentum following a successful swing failure pattern (SFP) that invalidated downside liquidity and triggered a sharp recovery from local lows. The move reflects renewed buyer participation after a period of weakness, shifting short-term sentiment toward the upside.

However, price is now approaching a technically significant resistance zone where market structure decisions typically occur. Whether bulls can reclaim this region will likely dictate if BNB transitions into trend continuation or returns to range-bound conditions.

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BNB price Key Technical Points

  • Key Resistance: $635 aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the value area high.
  • Bullish Catalyst: Confirmed SFP triggered liquidity reversal and short squeeze dynamics.
  • Upside Target: Break and hold above $635 opens the path toward high timeframe resistance near $659.
BNB price rebounds on SFP confirmation, resistance level at $635 now in focus - 1
BNBUSDT (4H) Chart, Source: TradingView

Recent price action on BNB highlights the importance of liquidity-driven moves within crypto markets. The formation of a swing failure pattern at the lows effectively trapped late sellers, allowing buyers to step in aggressively. This type of structure typically signals exhaustion in bearish momentum, and the resulting move has validated that thesis. The rally that followed was impulsive, suggesting short covering and fresh long positioning entering the market simultaneously.

As price accelerated higher, BNB quickly rotated back toward a major technical confluence zone around $635. This region represents the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the prior decline while also aligning with the value area high from the volume profile. Historically, such zones act as decision points where markets either reclaim bullish structure or face rejection due to overhead supply. A sustained close above this level would signal strength and confirm that buyers have regained control of the higher timeframe trend.

Despite the bullish recovery, traders should remain cautious as impulsive rallies often transition into consolidation before continuation. After strong expansions, markets frequently pause to establish equilibrium, allowing liquidity to rebuild. Lower timeframe consolidation near resistance would be considered healthy price behavior and could form a higher low structure that supports a continuation toward $659 and potentially beyond.

This comes as U.S. Senator Richard Blumenthal launched a formal Senate inquiry into Binance following reports alleging the exchange processed nearly $1.7 billion in transactions linked to sanctioned Iranian entities and Russia’s so-called shadow fleet, adding a layer of regulatory uncertainty to broader market sentiment.

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However, failure to reclaim the $635 resistance on a closing basis may shift the outlook quickly. A rejection at this zone would indicate that sellers remain active and defending supply, reinforcing the broader higher timeframe range between approximately $659 resistance and $532 support. In such a scenario, BNB could rotate back toward mid-range liquidity or revisit lower support levels before another attempt at breakout conditions develops.

Volume behavior also supports the current technical narrative. The rally originated from a liquidity sweep rather than sustained trend accumulation, meaning confirmation is still required. A decisive increase in buying volume during a breakout would strengthen bullish continuation odds. Without that confirmation, the market risks transitioning into redistribution at resistance, where both bulls and bears compete for control.

Overall, the recent SFP-driven recovery marks an important structural development for BNB. The market has shifted from downside expansion into a potential re-accumulation phase, but confirmation remains dependent on reclaiming resistance rather than merely testing it.

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This comes as Binance defended its compliance framework, stating that recent media coverage inaccurately portrayed its regulatory oversight and control measures, highlighting ongoing regulatory narratives that continue to influence broader crypto market sentiment.

What to expect in the coming price action

BNB’s next move hinges on the $635 resistance level. A confirmed reclaim could trigger continuation toward $659 high timeframe resistance, while rejection may keep price rotating within the broader range.

Consolidation near resistance remains the most probable short-term outcome as the market prepares for its next directional expansion.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin is facing a major hurdle around $70,000 that will decide if this rally is built to last

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Bitcoin is facing a major hurdle around $70,000 that will decide if this rally is built to last

Bitcoin snapped back near $69,000 on Wednesday, rallying more than 10% from Tuesday’s low as crypto markets staged a broad relief rally after a prolonged stretch of pessimism.

Ethereum’s ether (ETH), , native tokens of Solana (SOL) and all posted double-digit gains, extending a move that caught many traders leaning the wrong way.

Digital asset stocks, battered lower in the past months amid falling crypto prices, also enjoyed a relief rally. Stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL) surged 34% after its earnings report, while crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) jumped 14%. Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, climbed 9%, and the ether treasury firm BitMine advanced 12%.

The broad-based rally offered a welcome reprieve after weeks of persistent selling pressure and dread of a next leg lower.

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Still, analysts cautioned that despite the sharp bounce across tokens and equities, crypto markets are not out of the woods yet, with key resistance levels and macro risks still looming.

While there was no immediate catalyst behind the Wednesday move, extreme fear and bearish positioning across crypto markets were prime conditions for a violent countertrend advance, according to Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group.

“Crypto assets have been heavily pressured in recent months and overdue for a technical bounce,” he wrote. “The market had built up a meaningful tactical short bias, leaving it vulnerable to sharp squeezes on limited headlines.”

Still, Kruger cautioned against calling the rebound the start of a durable uptrend yet.

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“Given the abrupt nature of the rally and the absence of a clear trigger — particularly against the backdrop of thinner liquidity conditions — the advance should be treated with caution,” he said.

Chasing the rally

Joshua Lim, global co-head of markets at FalconX, said his desk is seeing heavy demand for bullish bets on ether in the options market. Specifically, traders are buying call options and call spreads in the $2,000–$2,200 range over the next two to three weeks, seeking to profit from further near-term upside.

Lim added that some funds are also “chasing this rally” by rotating into higher-volatility altcoins and using options to amplify potential gains — a sign that risk appetite has picked up quickly after the recent rebound.

Adding some complexity, roughly 115,000 BTC options worth $7.49 billion will expire Friday at month-end. The so-called “max pain” — the price level where the largest number of options expire worthless — currently is at around $75,000, Wintermute OTC trader Jasper De Maere noted. The “max pain” point can sometimes act as a magnetic level into expiry, though dealer positioning appears weak, he said.

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“Fundamental indicators still remain unconvincing that this strength will see much follow through,” De Maere added.

Levels to watch

Technically, bitcoin faces stiff resistance in the $70,000 and $72,000 zone, where recent rallies have stalled as sellers stepped in. Overcoming those levels would be the first challenge in turning the bounce into a durable move higher.

Bitfinex analysts also pointed to $78,000, where the “True Market Mean,” an onchain valuation metric to estimate bitcoin’s fair value based on actual capital flows into the network, currently sits.

That level must be reclaimed on a sustained weekly basis before the structural picture improves, Bitfinex analysts said.

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GDC Board Gives Company Greenlight to Sell BTC for Share Buyback

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Stocks, Companies

The board of directors for GD Culture Group (GDC), a publicly listed holding company focused on digital marketing and AI, on Wednesday authorized the company to sell Bitcoin (BTC) from its corporate treasury to pay for a share buyback program.

The move appears to be a reversal of a May 2025 decision to build a cryptocurrency reserve of Bitcoin and Official Trump Coin (TRUMP).

Wednesday’s authorization allows the company to sell the BTC from its treasury in “one or more transactions,” and the company is not under an obligation to sell any amount of BTC, according to GDC’s announcement

In February, the company announced a stock buyback program of up to $100 million of its shares for a period of six months.

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Shares of GDC traded up more than 24% by Wednesday’s close at $4.13 apiece, according to Yahoo Finance. 

Stocks, Companies
Shares of GDC rose on Wednesday, following the announcement from the board of directors. Source: Yahoo Finance

The announcement came amid a broad crypto market downturn, which dragged the price of BTC down as low as $60,000, more than 50% from its all-time high above $126,000; the market rout has negatively impacted Bitcoin treasury companies. 

Related: FG Nexus sells another $14M in Ether as losses mount on treasury bet

GDC climbs the treasury ranks in a matter of months, but entered near the market top

GDC purchased 7,500 BTC through an $875 million acquisition of Pallas Capital Holding in September 2025, when BTC was trading between $109,000 and $117,000. Shares of the company plunged about 28% in response to the deal.

GDC is the 15th largest BTC treasury company by Bitcoin holdings, according to data from BitcoinTreasuries, but is down about 41% on its BTC investment.

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Stocks, Companies
GDC ranks as the 15th-largest Bitcoin treasury company by BTC holdings. Source: BitcoinTreasuries

The company has a multiple on net asset value (mNAV) of 0.42; mNAV is a critical metric for Bitcoin treasury companies, calculated by dividing the market capitalization of the company by the dollar value of its BTC holdings. 

Despite the market drawdown, the company’s 7,500 BTC treasury is valued at about $517.5 million using the market price at the time of publication; this is more than double GDC’s market cap of about $236.7 million, following today’s stock surge.

Magazine: How Ethereum treasury companies could spark ‘DeFi Summer 2.0’