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A New Bitcoin Demand is Emerging, Google Trends Data Reveals

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Trending Searches for Keywords “Bitcoin to zero” and “Bitcoin is dead”. Source: Google Trends/NoName

As the cryptocurrency market navigates a challenging period, Google Trends data shows a notable shift in crypto-related search behavior during the prolonged bear market.

While price charts reflect a gloomy atmosphere, a new wave of interest is quietly forming. This trend could create a pivotal shift for the market’s next cycle.

Diverging Retail Investor Sentiment Toward the Crypto Market

Google Trends data shows a sharp surge in negative and extreme search keywords. Phrases such as “Bitcoin to zero” and “Bitcoin is dead” are experiencing record growth.

People who question Bitcoin’s existence demonstrate they already have some awareness of the asset. However, they have not experienced the market long enough to understand how Bitcoin has navigated previous bear market cycles.

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Trending Searches for Keywords “Bitcoin to zero” and “Bitcoin is dead”. Source: Google Trends/NoName
Trending Searches for Keywords “Bitcoin to zero” and “Bitcoin is dead”. Source: Google Trends/NoName

More experienced investors often compare current conditions with historical data. They observe that periods when negative search trends peak at such high levels frequently signal a potential cycle bottom.

Investor NoName notes that these search queries are twice as high as in previous bear markets. They even exceed levels recorded during the COVID period.

“Buy Bitcoin every time ‘Bitcoin Is Dead’ Is Trending! You would have made unbelievably high returns,” investor Robin Seyr states.

The website Bitcoin Deaths tracks how often traditional media channels declare that “Bitcoin is dead.” The data shows at least 467 such occurrences.

The Number of Times Bitcoin Has Been Declared "Dead" in The Media. Source: BitcoinDeadths
The Number of Times Bitcoin Has Been Declared “Dead” in The Media. Source: BitcoinDeadths

If an investor had purchased $100 worth of Bitcoin each time such a declaration appeared, that investor could now hold assets valued at more than $68 million.

An Unprecedented Surge in “What Is Bitcoin” Searches

Another notable point emerges when comparing negative keywords with the search term “What is Bitcoin.” The data reveals an unprecedented phenomenon in Bitcoin’s history.

Actual data shows that searches for this question have reached an all-time high. The contrast between two search trends—one questioning Bitcoin’s survival and the other seeking basic knowledge—creates a striking picture of divided sentiment in February.

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Unlike those who fear that Bitcoin will “go to zero,” individuals seeking this fundamental definition are often complete newcomers. They typically have no prior knowledge or investment experience in the cryptocurrency market.

Trending Searches for the Keyword “What is Bitcoin”. Source: Google Trends
Trending Searches for the Keyword “What is Bitcoin”. Source: Google Trends

When compared directly with negative keywords, searches for “What is Bitcoin” significantly outperform them.

A large number of users are rushing to explore the most basic concepts during a market downturn. This development deserves careful consideration. It indicates that Bitcoin, despite trading at lower prices, continues to maintain a strong appeal. It is also reaching segments of the population that previously showed no interest in digital finance.

“Somewhere out there, millions are meeting Bitcoin for the first time,” Binance states.

However, search activity does not necessarily translate into capital inflows. The surge in the keyword “What is Bitcoin” may serve as an early indicator of the emergence of an entirely new generation of first-time retail investors.

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Crypto World

2.54 Billion XRP Moved to Binance: What Does This Mean

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What This Means for Traders


Historically, whale inflows coincide with sensitive price phases and potentially influence XRP’s short-term market direction.

Amid a broader market uptick, XRP posted a modest 3% increase over the past 24 hours. There has also been a notable surge in token whale inflows to Binance.

The 30-day average of large wallet transfers to the exchange has risen to roughly 2.54 billion XRP, which signals renewed activity from major holders after a previous period of relative decline.

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XRP Whale Inflows Spike

Daily whale inflows currently hover around 50 million XRP, which is indicative of ongoing engagement, though not as intense as the peaks observed in mid-2025. The whale flow metric, which tracks coins moving from large wallets to exchanges, is often used to gauge potential changes in the supply available for trading. Rising inflows can indicate that whales are repositioning, whether for selling, leveraging assets as collateral in derivatives, or preparing for increased trading activity.

CryptoQuant stated that the recent increase in the monthly average points to a gradual buildup rather than a single large transfer. In previous cases, higher whale inflows have coincided with sensitive phases in XRP’s price, sometimes preceding corrections due to added supply.

Other times it has signaled potential volatility, whether upward or downward.

As such, if spot demand remains weak, higher inflows could contribute to selling pressure, whereas if liquidity improves and market participation grows, the flows might reflect strategic repositioning by whales ahead of potential price movements.

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Bears Still In Control

Against the backdrop of increased whale inflows and a slight price appreciation, data still show signs of bearish pressure. Analyst CasiTrades recently observed that the recent trendline break is forming resistance, and with the price dropping below the previous B-wave low, attention has shifted toward support levels at $1.11 and $0.87.

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Local resistance around $1.40 remains significant, and as long as XRP trades below it, downward momentum may continue. She also added that the current phase is still a no-trade zone, and meaningful entries will only likely occur if lower supports are reached or if price flips above the $1.65 macro resistance.

On the institutional side of things, US spot XRP ETFs remained subdued. According to the data compiled by SoSoValue, no net inflows or outflows were recorded on February 20 and 23. On February 24, Bitwise’s XRP ETF bucked the trend with $3 million in inflows.

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$10.5B Bitcoin Options Expiry May Reset Market Expectations

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$10.5B Bitcoin Options Expiry May Reset Market Expectations

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin bulls need a 9% rally from current levels to take the advantage in Friday’s $10.5 billion options expiry.

  • The 90% correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 Index shows that tech investor sentiment drives market confidence.

Bitcoin (BTC) price surged to an eight-day high on Wednesday, successfully forming a double bottom near the $62,500 level. Despite these recent gains, Bitcoin price remains 21% lower than it was one month ago, suggesting bulls are unlikely to come out ahead during Friday’s $10.5 billion monthly BTC options expiry. Whether bulls can flip the tables at the last minute and shift momentum back in their favor remains up in the air.

Deribit remains the dominant leader with a 76% market share, totaling $4.5 billion in call (buy) options and $3.4 billion in put (sell) instruments. OKX follows in second place with $610 million in calls and $385 million in puts, representing 10% of the aggregate total. CME rounded out the top three with $255 million in calls and $287 million in puts, accounting for a 5% market share.

Put options are better positioned despite having less open interest

At first glance, the aggregate put options open interest appears 25% lower than equivalent call options. However, a more granular view reveals that neutral-to-bullish strategies were caught off guard by Bitcoin’s sharp decline below $75,000 in early February. 88% of call options on Deribit will expire worthless if the Bitcoin price remains below $70,000 on Friday.

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BTC Friday call (buy) options at Deribit. Source: Deribit

Even when discarding calls targeting $105,000 and higher, which are typically part of complex multi-leg strategies with lower acquisition costs, only 37% of the remaining bets sit below $75,000. Realistically, this puts the effective call options open interest on Deribit at about $780 million. Given these current conditions, it is worth analyzing whether bearish traders have now overplayed their hand.

BTC Friday put (sell) options at Deribit. Source: Deribit

$1.44 billion in put options open interest on Deribit targets Bitcoin prices below $60,000, although it is unlikely that bets at $40,000 and $45,000 effectively aimed for those specific levels. Calendar strategies and ratio spreads are typically associated with extreme price targets, as they do not require a price crash to achieve profitability.

Put options at $72,000 and above total $1.15 billion in open interest on Deribit, which is more than enough to offset existing call options. Although Bitcoin’s decline toward $60,000 was likely not tied to macroeconomic trends, the relevance of Nvidia’s (NVDA US) earnings outcome after the US market close on Wednesday should not be understated.

The success of the artificial intelligence sector, particularly the sustainable operational margins of the world’s largest companies, remains decisive for every risk market. History suggests that Bitcoin’s correlation with the stock market seldom lasts long, but the fate of Friday’s $10.5 billion options expiry could be decided by stock market performance.

Related: Bitcoin tops $69.5K after stock market rebound, strong earnings data boost risk appetite

Bitcoin 30-day correlation vs. Nasdaq 100 Index. Source: TradingView

The current 90% correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 Index is clear evidence that the tech play is the leading driver of trader confidence, but as long as Bitcoin price remains below $75,000, the advantage continues to favor put options.

Below are three probable outcomes for Friday’s BTC options expiry at Deribit based on current price trends:

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  • From $65,000 to $69,000: The net result favors the put (sell) instruments by $1.15 billion.

  • From $69,001 to $71,000: The net result favors the put (sell) instruments by $845 million.

  • From $71,001 to $74,000: The net result favors the put (sell) instruments by $470 million.

Ultimately, Bitcoin bulls need a 9% rally from the present $68,800 level to flip the tables on the February options expiry.