Crypto World
UK politician proposes ban on political crypto donations over foreign interference risks
Some Members of Parliament in the United Kingdom, led by the chairman of the Joint Committee on National Security Strategy, Matt Western, are pushing for a temporary ban on political crypto donations due to concerns over foreign interference.
Summary
- UK MPs have proposed a temporary moratorium on crypto donations to political parties until the Electoral Commission issues statutory guidance.
- The proposal calls for the use of FCA-registered platforms, mandatory source verification and a ban on mixer-linked funds among other provisions.
A letter directed to the Secretary of State for Housing, Communities and Local Government, Steve Reed, has proposed a temporary moratorium on cryptocurrency donations to political parties until the Electoral Commission produces statutory guidance.
In the letter, Western raised concerns around “foreign state intent to interfere in UK political finance” as there is “no clear national enforcement lead for political finance and foreign interference risk.”
“As the security environment worsens and the UK’s military role in Europe grows, the value of influencing the UK’s political positions (for example, on Ukraine, or US/EU relations) is likely to increase,” Western said.
He has urged the Electoral Commission to introduce interim safeguards, such as only allowing political parties to process crypto donations through Virtual Asset Service Providers registered with the Financial Conduct Authority, and accepting contributions where there is high confidence in identifying the ultimate source of the funds.
He also suggests prohibiting the use of crypto mixers or tumblers that can be used to obscure the provenance of assets, alongside a mandate that political parties should convert donations into pound sterling within 48 hours of receipt.
Further, Western recommended stricter source of wealth checks for donors and a review of sentencing for electoral finance offences, alongside higher penalties for breaches involving foreign money and expanded powers for regulators to pursue violations.
Last month, Western, along with a group of other committee chairs, lobbied for a full ban on cryptocurrency donations by including a provision in the Representation of the People Bill. That, however, was not included in the legislation when the bill was introduced to the House of Commons on Feb. 12.
According to a BBC report, Reform UK was the first party at Westminster to accept political cryptocurrency donations in the UK, led by pro-crypto figure Nigel Farage, who announced the move after appearing at the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas.
However, details on the party’s official website state that it does not accept anonymous donations and applies permissibility checks to ensure funds originate from UK-registered companies or individuals listed on the electoral register, with contributions above £500 subject to standard compliance procedures.
Across the globe, crypto donations became a defining feature of the U.S. election cycle last year, with several political figures, including current President Donald Trump, having embraced digital asset fundraising. Trump’s campaign began accepting cryptocurrency contributions during the 2024 race.
As previously reported by crypto.news, Representative Mike Collins from Georgia also announced plans to accept cryptocurrency donations last year.
The Federal Election Commission permits cryptocurrency contributions to political committees, provided they adhere to existing contribution limits, disclosure standards, and other reporting requirements.
Crypto World
Prevalon Energy and Anchorage Digital Back STRC as a Corporate Treasury Instrument
TLDR:
- Prevalon Energy added STRC to its treasury focusing on capital preservation, liquidity, and long-term financial discipline.
- Anchorage Digital holds STRC on its balance sheet, aligning its capital with Strategy’s institutional Bitcoin framework.
- Both companies conducted independent evaluations through their own management teams and boards before allocating STRC.
- Strategy’s STRC offers an 11.25% annual dividend paid monthly, designed for stable price dynamics in corporate treasuries.
Prevalon Energy and Anchorage Digital have publicly announced their allocations of STRC to their corporate treasuries. The disclosures were made during Strategy World 2026 in Las Vegas.
Both companies presented during the “Bitcoin for Corporations” track at the conference. Each firm conducted an independent evaluation before committing to the allocation.
The announcements were made on behalf of Strategy Inc., listed on Nasdaq under tickers including STRC, MSTR, STRF, STRK, and STRD.
Prevalon Energy and Anchorage Digital Step Forward With Independent Treasury Decisions
Prevalon Energy’s CFO, Benjamin Hunnewell, made the formal announcement on behalf of the company. He confirmed that Prevalon added STRC to its treasury as part of a broader capital management strategy.
Hunnewell stated, “As Prevalon continues to scale globally, we remain focused on maintaining a strong and flexible balance sheet.” He added that after evaluating a range of treasury alternatives, STRC aligned best with the company’s objectives.
Anchorage Digital’s Head of Prime Sales, Manuel Andreani, disclosed the firm’s STRC position during his presentation.
Nathan McCauley, Co-Founder and CEO of Anchorage Digital, further elaborated on the rationale behind the move.
McCauley said, “Institutions don’t adopt Bitcoin on conviction alone; they adopt it through structure and disciplined capital management.” He noted that holding STRC aligns Anchorage’s capital with Strategy’s institutional framework.
Both companies stressed that their evaluations were conducted independently by their own management teams and boards. Neither firm’s decision was influenced by the other’s allocation.
The separate reviews point to a shared conclusion reached through distinct internal processes. This adds credibility to STRC as a treasury instrument appealing across different corporate profiles.
Strategy CEO Phong Le responded to the announcements during the event. He described STRC as a flagship digital credit instrument built for stable price performance.
Le said, “We are encouraged to see innovative companies like Prevalon and Anchorage Digital integrate STRC into their corporate treasury strategies.” He added that the stock offers an 11.25% annual dividend distributed every month, with more institutions expected to follow.
STRC Draws Institutional Interest as a Structured Digital Credit Instrument
STRC stands for Strategy’s Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock. It is designed to deliver stable price dynamics alongside a consistent dividend yield.
The monthly distribution structure makes it attractive for treasury teams managing cash flow. Unlike direct Bitcoin exposure, STRC offers a structured entry point into the Bitcoin treasury ecosystem.
Anchorage Digital’s involvement carries additional weight given its position as a regulated crypto institution. McCauley noted that “the link between Bitcoin treasury strategy and regulated infrastructure becomes even more critical” as adoption accelerates.
The firm serves institutional clients and operates within a compliance-focused infrastructure. Its decision to hold STRC reinforces the connection between regulated custodians and Bitcoin-aligned treasury tools.
Prevalon Energy’s announcement broadens the conversation beyond financial and technology sectors. Hunnewell emphasized that the decision reflects Prevalon’s focus on “capital preservation, liquidity, and disciplined long-term financial management.”
Energy companies entering the digital credit space reflect a wider corporate shift in treasury thinking. Treasury diversification into instruments like STRC is gaining ground in unexpected corners of the corporate world.
Together, the two announcements at Strategy World mark a notable moment for STRC’s market visibility. The public disclosures during a major conference signal growing confidence in the instrument.
Both companies chose to go on record at a high-profile venue, lending further weight to their decisions. For Strategy, the announcements serve as real-world validation of its digital credit strategy.
Crypto World
Why ETH’s Return to $2K Might Be a ‘Turning Point’
After weeks of subdued activity, US spot ETH ETFs also witnessed a surge in inflows.
Ethereum reclaimed the coveted $2,000 level on Wednesday, amidst a broader improvement in market tone. The world’s largest altcoin by market cap extended its gains and rallied by 8% over the past day.
But new data suggest that ETH’s price action may be entering a more unstable phase.
Ethereum at a Crossroads
Ethereum’s 30-day realized volatility on Binance has climbed to nearly 0.97. According to CryptoQuant, this is its highest level since March 2025. Such a move indicates that ETH’s daily price swings have widened significantly, in what appears to be a pivot away from the relatively calm trading conditions seen in recent weeks.
At the same time, Ethereum is trading in an area that has acted as a mid-range support zone. The combination of rising volatility and price consolidation points to an active standoff between buyers and sellers. Market participants are repositioning as they anticipate a larger move.
The analytics platform explained that this type of volatility expansion often reflects a repricing phase, rather than random short-term fluctuations.
From a structural front, the current volatility levels imply that the market has exited a low-volatility environment and entered a more reactive and uncertain phase. If volatility continues to rise in addition to the price movement, it could pave the way for a decisive directional breakout.
However, if price fails to follow through despite high volatility, ETH may remain trapped in a range until stronger conviction emerges. In past cycles, sharp increases in volatility have frequently come just before strong price rallies, which means that the market may now be at a critical turning point.
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Analysts have recently stated that Ethereum is trading within a five-year demand zone, which they say has historically favored accumulation rather than selling.
Meanwhile, the latest data from Santiment revealed that Ethereum’s 30-day MVRV sits at -5.5%, which places it in mildly undervalued territory despite the recent market rally. The negative MVRV suggests recent buyers are, on average, at a loss, a condition that historically aligns with improved risk-reward zones rather than local market tops.
Improving Sentiment
On the institutional front, US-based spot Ethereum ETFs saw a sharp pickup in demand on February 25, logging more than $157 million in net inflows – its strongest daily total in over a month. The surge was led by Fidelity’s FETH, which attracted $62 million.
Grayscale’s ETHE followed with $33.8 million in inflows, while BlackRock’s ETHA added $31 million.
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Crypto World
Centrifuge token surges over 180% following Upbit exchange listing announcement
Centrifuge jumps ~180% in hours on Upbit listing, then eases as traders take profits and mixed technicals flash caution.
Summary
- CFG spiked about 180% intraday before retreating from highs as profit-taking hit the market.
- Price reclaimed levels last seen in Oct 2025 and now trades above its 50D and 100D SMAs, while RSI sits in overbought territory.
- On-chain data show whale accumulation and a sharp volume spike after Upbit listed CFG with KRW, BTC, and a major stablecoin pairs.
Centrifuge’s CFG token rose more than 180% following the announcement that trading would commence on South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Upbit, according to market data.
The rally occurred as broader cryptocurrency markets posted gains, with Bitcoin advancing alongside several major alternative cryptocurrencies. The token subsequently retreated from intraday highs as traders took profits, according to trading data.
Upbit announced trading support for Centrifuge would begin on February 26, 2026, at 2 PM Korea Standard Time, according to the exchange’s statement. The listing includes spot trading pairs against the Korean won, bitcoin, and a major stablecoin. Deposit and withdrawal services were scheduled to become available shortly after the announcement, the exchange stated.
On-chain data indicated increased accumulation by large holders, referred to as “whales” in cryptocurrency markets, according to blockchain analytics. Trading volume increased substantially as the token’s price surged, market data showed.
Upbit’s user base and liquidity have historically generated significant price movements for newly listed tokens, according to market observers.
Centrifuge operates as a platform for tokenizing real-world assets, with its native token enabling governance functions that allow holders to participate in protocol decisions, according to the project’s documentation. The token’s price had followed broader cryptocurrency market declines until the Upbit listing drove prices to levels last observed in October 2025, according to historical price data.
Technical analysis presented mixed signals, with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator suggesting bullish momentum while the Relative Strength Index reached levels typically associated with overbought conditions, according to chart data. The token traded above its 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages, technical indicators showed.
Market analysts noted that sustained trading volume from Korean market participants could drive prices toward higher resistance levels, though a decline below key moving averages could accelerate downside pressure.
Crypto World
Three companies add MSTR’s STRC to treasury as shares return to par
Three companies have added Strategy’s perpetual preferred equity, Stretch (STRC), to their balance sheets as the security returns to its $100 par value.
Strategy said Prevalon Energy and Anchorage Digital disclosed during presentations at Strategy World 2026 in Las Vegas that each company has allocated a portion of its corporate treasury to STRC, Strategy’s Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock, during the “Bitcoin for Corporations” track. In separate remarks at the conference, OranjeBTC, a Brazilian bitcoin treasury company also confirmed it has added STRC to its balance sheet.
According to STRC.live, STRC briefly touched par during Wednesday’s trading session. Based on trading volume, it is estimated that roughly 22 BTC were purchased through STRC activity. In pre market trading, STRC is again at $100.
STRC is a short duration, high yield credit instrument that ranks senior to MSTR common stock and offers an 11.25% annual dividend, distributed monthly.
The conference also featured additional announcements, including 21Shares bringing STRC exposure to Europe through the Strategy Yield ETP on Euronext Amsterdam.
Separately, Morgan Stanley plans to introduce bitcoin trading, lending, yield, and custody services, with Amy Oldenburg, Head of Digital Asset Strategy at Morgan Stanley, confirming the plans during a panel discussion with Strategy CEO Phong Le.
Bitcoin is trading above $68,000, while MSTR rose 9% on Wednesday and is slightly lower in Thursday pre market trading at around $135.
Crypto World
Wikipedia vs. On-Chain: Why Jimmy Wales’ Bitcoin Bubble Call Clashes With Polymarket Data
Wikipedia founder Jimmy Wales is calling Bitcoin a bubble again. In a recent tweet on X, Wales predicted the asset would collapse to $10,000 by 2050, dismissing the trillion-dollar network as a “complete failure” of a currency that serves no real human purpose.
The market is taking the other side of that trade. Polymarket bettors and traders are currently pricing in a roughly 66% probability of continued upside, with millions in volume backing a bullish trajectory rather than a collapse. Smart money is betting on expansion, not extinction.
This creates a sharp divergence between a famous tech skeptic and the actual localized market sentiment driving price action.
Key Takeaways
- The Skeptic: Jimmy Wales predicts a crash to $10,000, calling the asset a failure.
- The Data: Prediction markets signal a 66% confidence in bullish continuation.
- The Divergence: On-chain volume and ETF flows contradict the “bubble” narrative.
The Bear Case: Wales Predicts Bitcoin Bubble Bursts to $10K
Wales’ argument is not new, but his timeline is specific. He posits that Bitcoin will slowly bleed out to $10,000 by 2050 as the “bubble” deflates relative to inflation and utility.
Speaking recently, he characterized the banking system’s engagement with crypto as predatory rather than supportive, suggesting institutions are merely extracting fees before the inevitable collapse.
This narrative echoes his past predictions that have largely failed to materialize. Yet, it resonates with a segment of the market concerned about sustainability.
Wales argues that without being an effective medium of exchange, the store-of-value proposition is hollow.
Discover: The best new crypto today
What Polymarket Is Actually Saying
Prediction markets offer a quantified rebuttal to opinion. On Polymarket, the leading decentralized prediction platform, the odds tell a story of confidence.
Contracts tracking Bitcoin’s price trajectory show a dominant preference for higher targets in 2024 and 2025.

The majority of Polymarket bettors believe the bull case is remaining intact, although they have different ideas about where the ceiling might be.
A staggering 86% see bitcoin rising to $75,000 contrasting with 71% who see it falling down to $55,000, a level described as a plausible bear case by Standard Chartered and CryptoQuant analysts.
Additionally, institutions are still quietly doubling down on Bitcoin. Both Strategy and Metaplanet revealed they intend to keep adding to their BTC treasuries.
If Wales is right, the industry smart money is spectacularly wrong. But if the market is right, Wales is fighting a phenomenon fueled by many billions in institutional treasuries and ETF liquidity.
On-Chain Data: Accumulation or Distribution?
To settle the debate, Bitcoin analysis must turn to the blockchain itself. Current on-chain metrics show a stark difference from the 2017 or 2021 tops.
Exchange reserves are deepening their multi-year downtrend. Coins are moving off exchanges into cold storage, a signal that usually precedes supply shocks.

This accumulation is apparent globally. Whales are not distributing into this rally; they are buying the dips.
The recent defense of the $60,000 level proves this. When $370 million in long liquidations flushed the market, buyers stepped in immediately.
That is not the behavior of a popping bubble. It is the behavior of a market establishing a new fair value.
Will the Bitcoin Bubble Burst? The Million Dollar Question
The technical structure for Bitcoin remains constructively bullish as long as it doesn’t slip below the $60,000 support block. A move down to $55k opens the road to further new bottoms.
In the last 24 hours, Bitcoin rose 4% to trade near $68,200 at the time of writing. The next big milestone will be $75k, the preferred price target for most Polymarket bettors, and an indication of its psychological significance.
Clear that, and price discovery mode begins. However, if the broader crypto market weakens, a retest of $62,000 and the threat of a collapse down to $55k hang ominously over the industry.
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The post Wikipedia vs. On-Chain: Why Jimmy Wales’ Bitcoin Bubble Call Clashes With Polymarket Data appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
U.S. banking regulator OCC proposes stablecoin rules to implement GENIUS act
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has unveiled a comprehensive proposal to implement the GENIUS Act, marking a significant step toward federally regulated stablecoin activity in the United States.
Summary
- The OCC has proposed detailed stablecoin regulations to implement the GENIUS Act, covering issuance, supervision, reserves, liquidity, and redemption requirements.
- A 60-day public comment period has been opened to refine the draft rules before finalization, with AML and sanctions provisions to be added later.
- The move marks a major regulatory milestone in bringing payment stablecoins under federal banking oversight following the GENIUS Act’s enactment.
New OCC stablecoin rule proposal seeks federal oversight
The notice of proposed rulemaking, issued on February 25, outlines how payment stablecoins can be issued, backed, supervised, and potentially revoked under federal banking oversight.
Under the draft rules, the OCC would regulate “permitted payment stablecoin issuers” including subsidiaries of national banks, federal qualified issuers, certain state qualified issuers, and foreign stablecoin issuers meeting specified requirements.
The proposal sets standards for reserve assets, mandatory redemption at par, liquidity and risk management, audits, supervisory examinations, custody, and application pathways laying the groundwork for stablecoins to operate within the traditional banking system.
The OCC has opened a 60-day public comment period to gather industry, stakeholder, and public feedback before finalizing the rules. Key aspects such as anti-money-laundering provisions, Bank Secrecy Act requirements, and sanctions rules will be addressed separately in coordination with the U.S. Department of the Treasury.
Comptroller Jonathan V. Gould described the proposed framework as designed to help the stablecoin sector “flourish in a safe and sound manner,” while providing clarity and regulatory certainty for issuers operating under federal supervision.
The GENIUS Act, enacted in July 2025, created a federal regulatory structure for payment stablecoins after years of debate over how to integrate digital assets into U.S. financial law.
The OCC’s proposal represents a landmark effort to translate that statute into enforceable federal rules, potentially shaping how banks, nonbanks, and foreign firms issue and manage stablecoins in the years ahead.
Crypto World
Colgate Stock Shines, Up 23% So Far This Year
Colgate-Palmolive (CL) stock is rising fast and it got a gold star as its Relative Strength (RS) Rating climbed from 64 on Monday to 73 on Tuesday. The upgraded rating shows that Colgate stock topped 73% of all other stocks for price performance this past year. Colgate Stock Racing Higher This Year The upgrade comes as Colgate-Palmolive rises at a…
Crypto World
USD/JPY and USD/CAD at Key Levels Awaiting News Catalysts
The dollar is trading mixed against the major currencies as investors await important macroeconomic releases and foreign policy signals. Market participants remain cautious ahead of upcoming US data, as well as potential statements following contacts between Washington and Beijing. The trade negotiations factor and the prospect of a meeting between Donald Trump and the Chinese leader remain in focus, as any signs of progress or escalation could influence demand for safe-haven assets and the dollar’s trajectory.
Upcoming macroeconomic releases and developments in the US–China trade agenda will be decisive: either the dollar maintains its advantage and continues to strengthen, or the market shifts into a deeper correction from current levels.
USD/JPY
The USD/JPY pair showed a strong upward impulse at the start of the week and moved closer to recent highs. The rally reflects steady demand for the dollar and relative weakness of the yen amid stable expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy and the accommodative stance of the Bank of Japan. Additional support for the dollar comes from expectations surrounding US economic data, which may confirm the resilience of the American economy.
Should the data come in strong, the move towards fresh highs may continue, while weaker figures could trigger profit-taking and a short-term correction.
Key events for USD/JPY:
- Today at 15:30 (GMT+2): US initial jobless claims;
- Today at 17:00 (GMT+2): Speech by Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) member Michelle Bowman;
- Tomorrow at 01:30 (GMT+2): Tokyo core Consumer Price Index (CPI), Japan.

USD/CAD
The USD/CAD pair remains in a sideways phase. The pair tested the upper boundary of the range but encountered resistance and shifted into a moderate pullback. Technical analysis suggests a possible move towards the lower boundary of the medium-term range, as a “doji” reversal pattern has formed on the daily timeframe.
A confident break and consolidation above 1.3730 could allow the upward momentum to resume.
Key events for USD/CAD:
- Today at 15:30 (GMT+2): Canadian wholesale sales;
- Tomorrow at 15:30 (GMT+2): Canada GDP (q/q);
- Tomorrow at 15:30 (GMT+2): US Producer Price Index (PPI).

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Crypto World
Gate Secures Malta PSD2 License for EU Payment Services
Crypto exchange Gate has secured a Payment Institution license in Malta, a license under the European Union’s PSD2 framework, giving the crypto exchange a regulated foothold to offer payment services across the bloc alongside its existing crypto permissions.
The company said Thursday that its Malta-based entity, Gate Technology, received the license from the Malta Financial Services Authority (MFSA). Gate said the approval supports its strategy of linking traditional payment infrastructure with Web3 services in Europe.
The authorization adds payment capabilities to Gate’s existing EU crypto permissions. On Oct. 1, 2025, Gate announced that it had obtained a license under the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, allowing it to provide exchange and custody services across member states.
EU crypto companies offering payment services in stablecoins must hold either a Payment Institution or an Electronic Money Institution authorization. With PSD2 approval, Gate can passport regulated payment services across the bloc, expanding beyond trading into fiat and stablecoin payment infrastructure.
Gate says its flagship exchange serves more than 49 million users globally, though it does not publicly disclose a breakdown of users in the EU.
Payments authorization expands EU scope
Under PSD2 rules, licensed institutions may execute payment transactions, facilitate credit transfers and direct debits, and maintain payment accounts across the EU.
According to the MFSA’s public authorization catalogue, Gate Technology is permitted to provide payment services as defined under Malta’s Financial Institutions Act, including enabling cash to be placed on and withdrawn from payment accounts and carrying out all operations required to operate the accounts.
Gate CEO Giovanni Cunti said the license positions the company to deliver compliant payment solutions to institutional and retail clients.
The MFSA listing confirms that the approval extends beyond crypto custody and exchange services to regulated account and transaction functionality.
However, Gate did not specify which payment products will launch first or when expanded EU services will roll out.
Cointelegraph reached out to Gate for more information but had not received a response by publication.
Related: Deutsche Bank-backed AllUnity launches Swiss franc stablecoin CHFAU
Part of broader EU compliance trend
Gate’s approval follows a similar move by another major exchange. On Feb. 16, OKX obtained a Malta Payment Institution license to support products including OKX Pay and the OKX Card.
Under MiCA, crypto-asset service providers integrating stablecoin payments into regulated financial rails must align with EU payments law. As a result, Payment Institution approvals are increasingly becoming a prerequisite for exchanges seeking to offer euro-denominated payment flows alongside crypto trading.
Magazine: Hong Kong stablecoins in Q1, BitConnect kidnapping arrests: Asia Express
Crypto World
Is Jane Street Manipulating Bitcoin? What the Data Actually Shows
Bitcoin’s (BTC) latest recovery has lifted sentiment across crypto markets, with traders pointing to renewed momentum after weeks of choppy price action.
However, the rebound has also revived something else: fresh allegations against Jane Street, a global quantitative trading firm and major liquidity provider. But how much of the circulating narrative is supported by evidence, and how much remains speculative? As the theory resurfaces, separating verifiable facts from online conjecture has become essential.
Jane Street’s Alleged 10 AM Bitcoin Sell-Off: Manipulation Theory or Market Myth?
Jane Street is dominating Crypto Twitter discussions, and the surge in attention extends beyond social media. Google Trends data shows that search interest for “Jane Street Bitcoin” recently reached an all-time high. This indicates a sharp rise in public curiosity.
Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens
What is driving this renewed focus? A simple search on X reveals numerous posts linking Jane Street to Bitcoin’s price action. At the center of the discussion are allegations of a so-called 10 AM Eastern Time Bitcoin sell-off pattern.
Since 2024, Zero Hedge has repeatedly pointed to what it describes as a recurring pattern. According to him, Bitcoin often experiences a sharp decline around 10 AM ET. Jane Street is frequently named in connection with the theory.
Similar allegations surfaced in December 2025.
“Jane Street is one of the largest high-frequency trading firms in the world. They have the speed and liquidity to move markets for a few minutes. The behavior looks simple: 1. Dump BTC at the open. 2. Push the price into liquidity pockets. 3. Re-enter lower. 4. Repeat daily,” Bull Theory posted.
At the time, BeInCrypto reported that no regulator, exchange, or independent data source had confirmed any coordinated activity. Notably, new allegations against Jane Street surfaced recently after Terraform Labs’ administrator sued the trading firm.
“Who crashed Luna and UST to 0 and brought down the entire crypto market in 2022? Jane Street. The same Jane Street accused of ‘10AM manipulation’ also front-ran the 2022 Terra collapse,” Ash Crypto said.
Jane Street has denied any wrongdoing and stated that it intends to defend itself in court. Nonetheless, some analysts started making connections between the lawsuit’s timing and Bitcoin’s price.
Several commentators on X have alleged that the legal action against Jane Street may have paused the supposed 10 AM sell-offs. According to this narrative, the absence of the previously observed intraday declines allowed Bitcoin’s price to climb over the past two days.
In a detailed post, Justin Bechler suggested that the alleged “daily flash crashes” had previously stopped after the Terraform Labs lawsuit filings became public early last year.
However, he claims the 10 AM pattern later resumed in Q3 2025. By December, he said, the intraday declines had returned with full force.
“Basically, the 10 am dumps stopped the moment Jane Street had lawyers looking over its shoulder, and started again when the heat died down,” he wrote. “Bitcoin should be at least $150,000 right now, and everyone knows it. Yesterday, a federal lawsuit was filed in Manhattan that explains exactly why it isn’t.”
Bechler further noted that Jane Street disclosed a large IBIT position in its Q4 2025 13F filing. It also sharply increased its MicroStrategy holdings.
“This looks like bullish accumulation if you don’t understand what Jane Street actually is. Jane Street is one of only four firms authorized to conduct in-kind creations and redemptions for IBIT. The others are Virtu Americas, JP Morgan Securities, and Marex. Jane Street is also an authorized participant for Fidelity’s and WisdomTree’s Bitcoin ETFs,” he said.
According to him, this role gives the firm “direct access to the mechanism that connects ETF share prices to actual Bitcoin.” Bechler stated that Jane Street can transfer Bitcoin in and out of the ETF structure, arbitrage price differences between the fund and the spot market, and hold inventory positions on a scale far beyond that of a typical market participant.
He also added that a 13F only shows long stock positions but does not require disclosure of options, futures, or swaps.
“When Jane Street reports holding $790 million in IBIT shares, the filing tells you nothing about whether those shares are hedged by puts, offset by short futures, or wrapped in a collar that makes the firm’s net Bitcoin exposure zero or even negative,” he remarked.
He noted that the public only sees what appears to be an accumulation. In reality, the position could represent a significant short exposure that resembles a long, since the offsetting leg of the trade remains hidden under current disclosure rules.
A Form 13F, he added, is merely a snapshot of one side of the balance sheet. The other side is not visible to anyone outside the firm.
“If the firm holds $790 million in IBIT shares and offsets that position with $790 million in put options or short futures, the net exposure is zero. If the derivative book exceeds the equity position, the net exposure is negative, meaning Jane Street profits when Bitcoin’s price falls. In either scenario, the firm has every incentive to use its privileged position as authorized participant to suppress the spot price, trigger liquidations, and harvest the spread,” Bechler commented.
The Counterarguments: Volatility, Not Villainy
Not everyone is convinced. Several analysts pushed back, arguing the 10 AM pattern is overstated. Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, directly questioned the narrative.
He noted that the mechanics described, buying Bitcoin on the spot market and selling futures, are not unusual. According to Moreno, this is “what any other delta neutral fund does.”
Moreno also pointed to the lack of a broader market context in the discussion. He stressed that overall Bitcoin spot demand growth has been collapsing since early October 2025, a trend he described as an obvious driver of the price decline.
Benjamin Cowen, CEO of Into The Cryptoverse, also weighed in. He argued that Bitcoin has historically rallied into early March during every midterm year. He added that each market cycle tends to produce its own narrative to explain price movements.
“Bitcoin price action is not a manipulated conspiracy,” he wrote.
Furthermore, Jeff Park, chief investment officer at ProCap and an adviser to Bitwise, suggested that the debate reflects a misunderstanding of how ETF plumbing actually works.
He mentioned that the focus on individual firms, such as Jane Street, overlooks the structural mechanics governing all Authorized Participants (APs) within the Bitcoin ETF framework.
Users on X also began pointing out that Jane Street appeared to have deleted every post from its account following the lawsuit. This further fueled speculation online.
However, that claim was quickly debunked. Economist Alex Krüger clarified that Jane Street had no posts on its X account to begin with.
“The amount of fake news and false narratives spread around in crypto is truly remarkable. Jane Street had no posts to delete. Can corroborate that on the Wayback Machine,” he posted.
Why the 10 AM Jane Street sell-off Theory Resonates
Retail traders have watched Bitcoin shrug off bullish developments, including MicroStrategy purchases and a favorable regulatory environment, while price action remained weak and sentiment slid into extreme fear. In that context, a simple and identifiable explanation can be compelling.
The apparent pause in the alleged 10 AM pattern following a high-profile lawsuit fits neatly into a correlation-as-causation narrative that often gains traction on Crypto Twitter.
However, correlation does not constitute proof. For now, the 10 AM theory remains merely an allegation, not a fact.
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Sports3 days ago
2026 NFL mock draft: WRs fly off the board in first round entering combine week

