• Stellar price rose to near $0.17 on Thursday, February 26.
• XLM bounced higher as cryptocurrencies recorded gains across the board.
• Bulls could target $0.40 if sentiment holds, but bears remain largely in control.

Stellar (XLM) price rose to near $0.17 early Thursday as a broad market bounce lifted cryptocurrencies.

The altcoin’s price mirrored the movement of major alts and Bitcoin, jumping from lows of $0.15 as sentiment drove buy-side pressure.

Bitcoin’s surge to near $70k came ahead of Nvidia earnings.

BTC is holding above $68k, and this could mean a short-term retest of highs above the psychological level.

However, bulls are at risk of giving up all the intraday gains if bearish sentiment continues to dictate momentum, with analysts pointing to the latest uptick as a potential relief bounce that may yet fade quickly.

XLM price today

XLM price hovers at $0.1647 as of writing, up nearly 8% in the past 24 hours.

The gains put Stellar up about 3% in the past week, and extended the altcoin’s recovery from oversold levels near $0.15.

According to data from CoinMarketCap, the price jump has come amid a spike in daily trading volume.

The spot volume stood at $155 million, up 50% as XLM tested intraday highs around $0.169.

Stellar price technical analysis

Despite notable gains, XLM remains pinned below the 50-day and 100-day SMAs.

The moving averages are clustered near $0.18-$0.21, signalling continued downside pressure.

A descending resistance trendline also caps upside, and bulls need a clean break to sustain the advantage.

In terms of technical indicators, the daily RSI has inched up from oversold territory but stays neutral.

Meanwhile, the MACD shows bullish divergence, but a shrinking histogram suggests limited breakout potential without a notable volume surge.

For bulls, near-term recovery hinges on holding $0.16 support.

A push above $0.17 and a retest of highs above the key moving averages will buoy buyers.

Key targets lie in the $0.25-$0.41 area.

Helping Stellar’s bullish outlook is its traction in the payments and tokenization markets.

The blockchain network ranks among the top chains for distributed and represented real-world assets, alongside XRP Ledger and others.

Gains for XRP have often coincided with an uptick for XLM.

On the downside, bears may rely on a bearish tilt supported by negative trends in the derivatives market.

XLM’s futures open interest remains low compared to metrics seen during last year’s peak. Funding rates also reinforce this outlook.

As such, downside risks loom large, and a breakdown below $0.15 could be bad news for XLM bulls.

Gate, one of the world-leading players in crypto space, announced that Gate Technology Ltd, its Malta-based entity, has officially obtained a Payment Institution license under the EU’s Second Payment Services Directive (PSD2) from the Malta Financial Services Authority (MFSA).

This milestone places Gate among one of the crypto-native companies in Europe to secure this level of regulatory approval, reinforcing its long-term strategy to bridge legacy finance and Web3 infrastructure across the continent.

Gate Technology Ltd. CEO, Mr. Giovanni Cunti, commented on the achievement: “We are proud to have secured this Payment Institution license. It positions Gate to build a secure, scalable bridge between traditional finance and Web3, delivering compliant payment solutions to clients across Europe.

This accomplishment is the result of our team’s dedication and marks a critical step in aligning with MiCA’s regulatory framework.” He further emphasized the broader significance of the license, noting that it establishes a strong foundation for future financial services and ensures regulatory certainty for both institutional and retail clients in the dynamic European market.

This announcement builds on Gate’s earlier regulatory achievements in Malta, where Gate previously obtained a full MiCA license to provide exchange and custody services. These milestones are part of Gate’s comprehensive global compliance strategy, which spans multiple jurisdictions, including but not limited to Malta, Cyprus, the Bahamas, Japan, Australia, and Dubai.

Malta, in particular, has emerged as a strategic hub for European operations, offering a transparent and forward-looking regulatory environment that aligns with Gate’s vision for secure, scalable, and innovative digital asset services.

By securing the PSD2 license, Gate is now expanding its payment services across the European Union through passporting rights. The license not only affirms Gate’s commitment to compliance and regulatory excellence, but also enhances its ability to integrate traditional finance mechanisms with Web3 applications, creating a seamless, secure, and efficient ecosystem for users. As Europe’s crypto landscape continues to evolve, Gate is well-positioned to play a leading role in driving innovation, transparency, and trust in digital financial infrastructure.

About Gate

Founded in 2013, Gate is a pioneer in the cryptocurrency industry, with its flagship platform, Gate.com, serving over 49 million users globally and ranking among the top 3 crypto exchanges worldwide by market share.

For more information, please visit: Website | X | Telegram | LinkedIn| Instagram | YouTube

Disclaimer: This content does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation. You should always seek independent professional advice before making investment decisions. Gate may restrict or prohibit all or part of its services for users from restricted regions. For more information, please read the applicable User Agreement.

Solana price rallied for the second consecutive day, clocking over 17% as the broader crypto maker recovered. It has now confirmed a bullish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, which could lead to more upside over the coming sessions.

According to data from crypto.news, Solana (SOL) price rebounded 17.5% from its weekly low of $76.56 to an intraday high of nearly $90 on Thursday.

On the 4-hour chart, Solana price has broken out from the upper side of a symmetrical triangle pattern that had been forming since early February. A symmetrical triangle pattern is a structure formed when an asset price forms successive lower highs and higher lows as the asset undergoes a period of consolidation.

When an asset price breaks out from the upper side of such a pattern, it typically tends to continue its upward momentum over the sessions that follow.

In Solana’s case, while the token previously broke the lower trendline of the pattern due to a broader market drop, it was quickly reclaimed as bulls managed to push the token back above the upper trendline of the pattern that had been acting as dynamic resistance.

Based on the bullish breakout, Solana price eyes a rally past the $100 psychological resistance level toward $108, a target calculated by adding the height of the greatest swings within the symmetrical triangle to the point at which SOL price broke out of the pattern.

The bullish forecast is supported by other technical indicators, including the MACD and Supertrend. The MACD lines have pointed upwards with growing green histograms, while the Supertrend has flipped green.

Catalysts supporting Solana recovery

Solana price jumped amid a broader market rebound triggered by Bitcoin’s bounce back to near $70K levels and bullish market sentiment that followed after a stellar Q4 earnings report by AI chip-making titan Nvidia.

As Solana price surged, it led to liquidations of bearish bets on the leveraged markets. Data from CoinGlass shows nearly $27.5 million worth of short positions were liquidated from the SOL futures market in the past 24 hours, significantly outweighing long liquidations. 

SOL futures open interest has also surged nearly 5% to $5.3 billion over the past day while the weighted funding rate has turned positive.

Meanwhile, a sudden spike in institutional demand for spot Solana ETFs has also played a part in supporting the Solana surge today. Data from SoSoValue shows the spot Solana ETFs recorded a combined inflow of $30.86 million on Wednesday, nearly an eight-fold jump from the prior day and also marking the highest single-day inflows recorded since mid-December last year.

This renewed demand for SOL amid both derivatives and institutional traders could help it on its way towards the $108 target.

Bitcoin BTC$68,054.53 has dropped like clockwork every morning after the New York market open since late 2025, and crypto fans on X are accusing Jane Street for causing it.

A theory on X has gotten retail participants pointing to the firm for single-handedly driving the asset from $125,000 to $62,000 in recent months.

However, market data and inner workings of an exchange-traded fund (ETF) authorized participant like Jane Street suggest otherwise, observers have noted.

CoinDesk reached out to Jane Street for comment on BTC allegations and did not receive a reply as of European morning hours.

The allegations

The claim, spread across dozens of viral posts, goes something like this: Jane Street, one of the world’s largest trading firms, was systematically selling bitcoin at 10 a.m. ET every day to push prices lower and then snap up ETFs cheaply.

“BTC has been consistently dumping ~2-3% within minutes of the U.S. cash open (10 a.m. ET) almost every trading day since early November. Many traders point to Jane Street’s massive $2.5B+ position in BlackRock’s IBIT as the likely driver: engineered liquidity sweeps to accumulate spot ETFs at a discount,” Whale Factor, a widely-followed X account said in December.

The recent 13/F filings revealed that Jane Street held roughly $790 million in IBIT shares as of the fourth quarter of 2025.

Jan Happel and Yann Allemann, the co-founders of blockchain analytics firm Glassnode, have also documented these patterns through their shared X account Negentropic and said Wednesday: “Jane street Lawsuit gets made public, and miraculously the 10am $btc slam disappears.”

The allegations have exploded this week, after the firm was sued by TerraForm Labs’ bankruptcy operator for insider trading that hastened Terra’s demise in 2022. If that’s not enough, the 10 a.m. volatility has vanished in the wake of the lawsuit. Bitcoin surged by over 6% to nearly $70,000 on Wednesday.

In June last year, India’s SEBI banned Jane Street from local markets and froze $566 million in alleged illegal gains, citing a “morning pump, afternoon dump” scheme manipulating the Bank Nifty index on 18 derivatives expiry days from January 2023 to March 2025. The accusations, therefore, suggest Jane Street’s reputation precedes it.

Market data and logic suggest otherwise

The conspiracy that Jane Street has been secretly driving prices lower to snap up IBIT cheap could be challenged, however, using data tracked by crypto economist Alex Kruger, which doesn’t confirm the 10 a.m. dump.

The IBIT ETF has posted cumulative gains of around 0.9% in the 10:00-10:30 ET window; meanwhile, returns in the first 15 minutes have been -1%, according to Kruger. That’s noisy data, not evidence of systematic dumping, Kruger said on X.

More importantly, both windows closely mirror Nasdaq performance, Kruger added, which means the so-called “10 a.m. dump” was a part of broad risk-asset repricing, not Jane Street foul play.

Jane Street, it should be pointed out, isn’t a rogue operator with unfettered power over bitcoin, but a single player — an authorized participant (AP) — in a regulated ecosystem designed to ensure smooth trading of the ETFs.

“No single firm sits at a terminal pressing “dump Bitcoin.” But the structure itself—the ETF architecture, the AP exemptions, the shift to in-kind creation—creates a grey window where price discovery can be muted without anyone breaking rules,” Yale ReiSoleil, chief technology officer of Untrading, an Ethereum-based financial infrastructure firm, said on X.

Spot ETFs are funds that track bitcoin’s spot price while holding actual coins in custody. Their shares trade on the stock exchange and their prices tend to drift away from the underlying asset’s net asset value (NAV) depending on the demand and supply.

APs like Jane Street, JPMorgan and Citadel Securities are tasked with creating new ETF shares with demand spikes and redeem when demand falls to ensure the ETF price remains tethered to the NAV.

In the case of bitcoin ETFs, APs are allowed “in-kind” creation and redemption, where they can swap a basket of actual BTC directly with the issuing company, rather than just cash. These dynamics, which are legal and not manipulation, could have led to 10 a.m. volatility.

Short first, buy later

On a typical day, when BTC rises during the Asian and European hours, demand for ETFs spikes in early U.S. hours. This temporarily pushes the ETF price above its NAV. The APs then respond by increasing the supply of shares — sometimes by shorting shares they don’t have — to meet buyer demand and keep trading smooth.

Normally, shorting requires borrowing shares first, which costs money (like loan interest), but regulators have exempted APs from that rule.

Later, when they create new shares, they don’t rush to buy spot BTC right away and often source it privately through an over-the-counter shop. They then short futures or buy put options to hedge the long exposure from creating new shares.

These things combined can inject temporary downside pressure in the market.

“APs can short IBIT without borrowing costs, thanks to a Reg SHO carve-out. They can hedge that short with futures instead of spot. That means the natural arb that should close the gap between ETF price and NAV never happens, because the AP never buys spot,” ReiSoleil explained.

“Meanwhile, in-kind creation lets them source bitcoin privately, OTC, at their own pace. The spot market never sees the buy pressure. The beginning looks like market-making. The end looks like market-making. The middle is where the integrity of price discovery goes to die,” he added.

Kruger agreed that Jane Street conspiracy theories are typical of the doom-laden sentiment that often emerges after prolonged bitcoin downtrends.

He firmly disagreed with the allegation that the “short first and buy later” mechanics employed by APs temporarily suppress the price.

“Whether the spot is bought by the AP or the basis trader, the net demand on BTC spot is identical,” he said, arguing that the notion that hedging with futures first (and delaying immediate spot buys) somehow compromises the integrity of price discovery is simply incorrect.

Jane Street has not commented publicly, and no onchain data or exchange records have surfaced tying the firm to a coordinated campaign to push bitcoin lower.

Bitcoin (BTC) tapped $70,000 during Wednesday’s New York session as bulls targeted sell liquidity.

Key takeaways:

• BTC price support must hold above a key trendline at $68,000 for the rebound to continue.

• $80,000 is a key level to watch as the next big liquidation cluster above.

• Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows attracted half a billion dollars in inflows on Wednesday.

Bitcoin must close week above $68,000

Data from TradingView showed the BTC/USD pair at $68,480 on Bitstamp. This is just above the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), which is currently at $68,338.

Related: Bitcoin tops $69.5K after stocks rebound, strong earnings data boost risk appetite

Analyst Rekt Capital spotted Bitcoin facing resistance from this trendline, saying that the latest recovery could turn into a “post-breakdown retest of the EMA into new resistance” based on historical price action.

“The moment of truth is coming for Bitcoin,” Rekt Capital said, adding:

“Bitcoin will need a Weekly Close back above the EMA and flip it into new support to go against the grain of history.”

Zooming in, fellow analyst Jelle said that the price needs to turn the 50 EMA (at $68,000) on the four-hour chart into support to confirm the recovery.

As Cointelegraph reported, the BTC/USD pair may rally to $74,508, where sellers are likely to step in, if the 20-day EMA, currently at $69,220, is broken by the bulls.

Will liquidations drive BTC price to $80,000?

Several traders are anticipating a possible liquidity grab where a cluster of ask-orders are placed above $72,000.

The latest data from monitoring resource CoinGlass showed BTC price tapping the liquidity around $70,000, with the bulk of interest still clustered above the spot price.

About $2 billion in ask orders are sitting between $72,450 and $75,000.

If the $75,000 level is broken, it could spark a liquidation squeeze, forcing short sellers to close positions and driving prices toward $80,000, the next major liquidity cluster.

“Bitcoin’s liquidity hunt has only just started,” analyst AlphaBTC said in his latest post on X, adding:

“Unless there is a catalyst to drop, I am expecting these higher levels to get run in the next few weeks.”

Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows support BTC’s upside

Institutional demand is showing signs of a comeback, with US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs recording inflows for two consecutive days, according to data from Farside Investors.

Investors poured a total of $765 million into these investment products on Tuesday and Wednesday, with $507 million flowing into the funds Wednesday, the largest since Feb. 2.

“ETF inflows and short liquidations doing the heavy lifting,” X user Raster said in a recent post, adding:

 “This isn’t retail FOMO, it’s institutional accumulation with a technical breakout.”

This growing demand-side pressure could push BTC prices higher, particularly if combined with growing adoption and whale accumulation.