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Will Ethereum price hit $2.5K as funding rates flip green?

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Will Ethereum price reclaim $2.5K resistance as funding rates flip positive? - 1

Ethereum price is trying to steady itself after a rough February, but the bigger question is whether this bounce has enough strength to push through the $2,500 ceiling.

Summary

  • Ethereum has bounced above $2,000 after a sharp February drop but remains in a broader downtrend and well below the key $2,500 resistance.
  • Funding rates on Binance have turned positive, easing short-term downside pressure, though high volatility suggests a bigger move is coming.
  • To reclaim $2,500, ETH must hold $2,000 support and break above $2,200 with strong momentum 

At press time, ETH was trading near $2,050, up about 3% over the past 24 hours. The move extends a week-long rebound of roughly 9%. Even so, the token is still down 30% over the past month and sits nearly 58% below its August 2025 peak of $4,946.

February started with Ethereum (ETH) trading between $2,200 and $2,400 before sellers took control mid-month. The slide accelerated around Feb. 24–25, when the price dipped toward $1,800. Since then, buyers have stepped back in, lifting the price back above the $2,000 mark.

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Volatility spikes to highest level since March 2025

Derivative data shows a notable shift in positioning. According to a Feb. 26 analysis by CryptoQuant analyst PelinayPA, funding rates had remained positive for an extended period earlier this year, indicating that long traders were paying shorts.

Despite that optimism, the price failed to build a consistent rally. More recently, when short positions grew and the price faced pressure, funding went sharply negative.

Binance, which has the biggest share of global derivatives liquidity, often sets the tone during liquidation waves. The short- to mid-term trajectory of Ethereum is often affected by changes in Binance funding.

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Funding has now flipped back to positive. This indicates that there is less immediate downside pressure now that many short positions have been cleared. Positive funding, however, does not prove a long-term recovery. The market could experience a long squeeze if it rises too quickly.

In a separate report, analyst Arab Chain revealed that Ethereum’s 30-day realized volatility on Binance has climbed to roughly 0.97, its highest level since March 2025.

Such high volatility often precedes a significant directional move, but if buying and selling pressure is evenly distributed, it can also occur during a prolonged period of sideways trading.

Ethereum price technical analysis

From a chart perspective, ETH is still in a clear daily downtrend, marked by lower highs and lower lows. Price recently bounced after touching the lower Bollinger Band near the $1,850–$1,900 zone. It now trades around $2,050, below key resistance areas.

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Will Ethereum price reclaim $2.5K resistance as funding rates flip positive? - 1
Ethereum price daily chart. Credit: crypto.news

Immediate support sits near $2,000, followed by the recent low between $1,850 and $1,900. On the upside, supply is clustered around $2,130–$2,150, then $2,300–$2,350.

Because it corresponds with a previous breakdown area and has psychological weight, the $2,500 level continues to be the primary structural barrier. 

Momentum is improving but not yet decisive. Following a recovery from oversold conditions, the relative strength index is close to 44.

A sustained move above 50 would strengthen the case for a shift in momentum. Bollinger Bands are starting to narrow after widening during the selloff, suggesting a possible attempt at a breakout. 

For Ethereum to recover $2,500, it must clear the $2,200 area with substantial volume and maintain above $2,000 to form a higher low. The current move might turn out to be a relief bounce inside a bigger downward structure if there is no follow-through.

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WLFI price prediction as World Liberty Financial proposes governance overhaul

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World Liberty Financial proposes governance overhaul
World Liberty Financial proposes governance overhaul
  • The World Liberty Financial governance overhaul proposal proposes 180-day staking for voting rights.
  • The WLFI price closely mirrors Bitcoin’s price and overall crypto market sentiment.
  • The key WLFI price levels to watch are the support at $0.115 and the resistances at $0.120 and $0.1428.

World Liberty Financial (WLFI) is making headlines with a major governance overhaul proposal that could reshape how its token holders participate in the protocol.

The proposal requires all holders with unlocked WLFI tokens to stake them for at least 180 days to qualify for governance voting.

This is designed to encourage long-term commitment and reduce short-term speculation.

If the proposal passes, voting power will now take into account both the number of tokens staked and the remaining lock-up time.

Larger holders who commit for longer periods will have a stronger influence on protocol decisions.

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In addition to staking requirements, the overhaul introduces a tiered reward system.

Token holders who stake and participate in at least two governance votes during the lock-up period can earn a roughly 2% annual yield.

These incentives aim to reward active governance engagement rather than just holding tokens passively.

WLFI is also integrating USD1 stablecoin usage into its reward framework. Stakers may receive additional benefits for depositing USD1 on the WLFI trading and lending platform.

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Large stakers, designated as nodes or supernodes, will gain further privileges such as access to USD1 conversion services and priority partnership opportunities.

World Liberty Financial (WLFI) token price reaction

These reforms come as WLFI’s market performance reflects broader crypto trends.

The token currently trades at $0.1155, down about 2.9% over 24 hours, with a market cap of roughly $3.2 billion.

Notably, WLFI’s price action has closely mirrored Bitcoin’s recent 2.55% decline, as well as a 2.48% drop in total cryptocurrency market capitalisation.

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This high correlation indicates that WLFI is behaving as a high-beta asset, amplifying broader market movements.

Market sentiment is notably negative, with the Fear & Greed Index indicating “Extreme Fear.”

Traders are watching Bitcoin’s price closely, as any significant move below $66,734 could drag WLFI lower.

Conversely, Bitcoin’s stabilisation above $66,000 may allow WLFI to consolidate near its current range between $0.115 and $0.12.

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Technically, WLFI has found short-term support around $0.0994. Resistance levels have been observed at $0.1200, $0.1428, and $0.1632.

A sustained move above $0.1200 could pave the way for higher ranges, while failure to hold above support could trigger testing of lower levels near $0.11.

The token’s historical price volatility highlights both opportunities and risks.

It recently reached an all-time high of $0.3313 but has since declined more than 65%.

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Its all-time low in recent weeks was $0.09831, showing that buyers have stepped in at sub-$0.10 levels.

WLFI price forecast

The governance overhaul adds a long-term bullish element, as staking reduces circulating supply and encourages sustained engagement.

However, WLFI’s price remains tethered to broader market trends, making Bitcoin and general crypto sentiment key determinants for its short-term trajectory.

The immediate support lies at $0.115, and a breakdown below this level may see WLFI test $0.11, especially if Bitcoin weakens further.

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On the upside, breaking through $0.1200 could open the door to $0.1428, followed by $0.1632 if bullish momentum persists.

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Will MicroStrategy Share Prices Drops Below $100 Soon?

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Strategy Buys More

The MicroStrategy stock price couldn’t continue its upswing despite the company continuing to buy more Bitcoin. Its latest $40 million purchase, on February 23, came just as the stock began sliding again. But that wasn’t the entire story.

While MSTR stock dipped by over 9% on February 24, a 16% bounce followed on February 25, showing excitement. At press time, it’s down over 3% since yesterday’s close. The stock is now down about 4% from last Friday’s high and almost 63% over six months, raising fresh concerns about a deeper breakdown, all while the BTC stash was loaded again.

Latest $40 Million Bitcoin Buy Fails to Stop MSTR’s Slide

MicroStrategy added 592 Bitcoin on February 23, spending about $40 million at an average price near $67,286. This pushed its total holdings to 717,722 Bitcoin, with an overall average cost basis of $76,020.

Normally, such aggressive buying supports investor confidence because it signals long-term conviction in Bitcoin’s future.

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Strategy Buys More
Strategy Buys More: Strategy

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

But at this time, the MicroStrategy stock price continued to fall rather than stabilize, moving steadily on its bear-flag breakdown path that started on February 19, despite a few rebounds. This weakness closely reflects Bitcoin’s own behavior.

Bear-Flag Breakdown
Bear-Flag Breakdown: TradingView

The stock had briefly rallied to $137 on February 25, riding Bitcoin’s rebound from $64,500 to $69,400, a 2.5% move. However, as Bitcoin cooled again, MicroStrategy immediately reversed lower, showing how tightly its performance remains tied to Bitcoin’s direction.

MSTR-BTC Link
MSTR-BTC Link: TradingView

This shows MicroStrategy is still trading like a leveraged Bitcoin proxy. When Bitcoin pauses or weakens, MicroStrategy often falls faster because its valuation already assumes strong upside from its Bitcoin holdings.

The latest Bitcoin purchase did not change that dynamic, raising a more important question: whether institutional investors still support the stock.

Institutional Money Flow Signals Growing Exit Risk

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator is now flashing a warning sign. CMF measures whether large investors are buying or selling by combining price and volume.

When CMF rises above zero, it signals accumulation, meaning institutional investors are buying. When it drops below zero, it signals distribution, meaning capital is leaving the asset.

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Earlier, between January 12 and February 23, CMF rose while MicroStrategy’s stock price fell, with a few bounces above the zero line. This bullish divergence showed that institutional investors were quietly accumulating shares during weakness. That accumulation even translated into net positive flows at times, leading to sizeable rebounds.

It even helped fuel a 33% rebound between February 5 and February 25. However, the situation is different now. The CMF has flatlined, hugging the zero line. This shows institutional money is undecided at the moment.

CMF Weakens As Investors Remain Undecided About MSTR Shares
CMF Weakens As Investors Remain Undecided About MSTR Shares: TradingView

What’s troubling is that the shift happened immediately after MicroStrategy announced its latest Bitcoin purchase on February 23. CMF suggests institutional investors may not be accumulating MicroStrategy stock despite its Bitcoin buying.

This disconnect weakens the bullish case and suggests confidence in the stock itself may be fading. The next direction the CMF line takes might decide the fate of the MSTR stock price.

At the same time, momentum indicators show that the recent drop (between February 25 and February 26) was not unexpected, as underlying strength had already been weakening.

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Bearish Divergence Warned of MSTR Stock Price Drop

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures momentum strength on a scale from 0 to 100, showed a bearish divergence before the recent drop.

Between December 9 and February 25, the MicroStrategy stock price formed a lower high, while RSI formed a higher high. This pattern signals weakening momentum because the price is rising without strong buying support.

This type of divergence often appears before major pullbacks. Similar divergences have appeared multiple times in recent months, and each one led to sharp corrections.

For example, a previous divergence completed in mid-Jan triggered a 45% crash, forming the major downtrend that still defines the stock’s broader structure.

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Divergence Flashes for MicroStrategy
Divergence Flashes: TradingView

A recent one, concluding on February 20, led to a near 13% dip. The current one has already eaten into 6% of the gains, but because the broader bearish pattern remains active, this decline may be only the early stage of a larger move lower. That wouldn’t be great news for the MicroStrategy shareholders.

MicroStrategy Stock Price Breakdown Structure Points Toward $70

The MicroStrategy stock price has already broken below a bear flag pattern, which is a continuation pattern that forms during temporary rebounds inside larger downtrends. When this pattern breaks down, it usually leads to another strong leg lower.

Right now, the most important support level sits near $119. If this level fails, the next support appears near $106, followed by a stronger technical level near $85.

However, the full breakdown projection based on Fibonacci retracement levels points toward the $71 (the $70 zone) region, which aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci level and pole’s projected 45%+ dip.

MSTR Price Analysis
MSTR Price Analysis: TradingView

On the upside, the first sign of strength would only appear if MicroStrategy reclaims $139. However, the broader bearish structure would remain intact unless the stock breaks above $155, which would invalidate the breakdown pattern and signal a potential trend reversal.

Until those resistance levels are reclaimed, the current structure suggests MicroStrategy remains vulnerable to further downside, with the $70 zone now emerging as a realistic technical target if $85 gives way, given Bitcoin’s continued weakness.

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Court sets deadline for US to address Sam Bankman-Fried‘s potential trial

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Law, Trial, Court, Crimes, Donald Trump, Sam Bankman-Fried, FTX

Lawyers representing the US government in the case against Sam “SBF” Bankman-Fried have two weeks to respond to the former FTX CEO’s motion for a new criminal trial.

In a Wednesday filing in the US District Court for the Southern District of New York, Judge Lewis Kaplan said that the US government shall respond by March 11 to SBF’s motion for a new trial. The former FTX CEO, who was convicted of seven felony counts in 2023 and later sentenced to 25 years in prison, requested a new trial earlier this month, claiming that new witness testimony could help bolster his case.

Law, Trial, Court, Crimes, Donald Trump, Sam Bankman-Fried, FTX
Source: Courtlistener

Bankman-Fried, once revered by many as one of the most prominent faces representing the crypto and blockchain industry, was at the center of the controversy around the collapse of FTX. He stepped down as CEO in November 2022, later facing criminal charges in the US for the misuse of user funds.

After Kaplan ordered the former CEO to serve 25 years in prison in March 2024, SBF’s lawyers filed to appeal the conviction and sentence. As of Thursday, the US Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit had not reached a ruling on the filing.

Related: Kalshi bans US politician over alleged insider trading violation

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Former Alameda Research CEO Caroline Ellison, who testified against SBF at trial as part of a plea deal with US authorities, was released in January, having spent 440 days in US custody. Ryan Salame, the former co-CEO of FTX Digital Markets, was sentenced to more than seven years and remains incarcerated at the time of publication.

Is Bankman-Fried angling for a presidential pardon?

Although the former CEO was largely silent on social media for his first year in prison, Bankman-Fried later began posting messages supporting US President Donald Trump and challenging information about the collapse of FTX.

In March 2025, SBF gave an interview to political commentator Tucker Carlson — a move that reportedly led to his transfer to a federal correctional institution — claiming that he had better relationships with Republicans than Democrats.

This year, he has posted several times to X, claiming that there had been “political bias” in his case. Bankman-Fried praised Trump’s actions in “standing up” to such bias, while also criticizing Kaplan for overseeing the civil defamation case brought against the then-presidential candidate in 2023.

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Law, Trial, Court, Crimes, Donald Trump, Sam Bankman-Fried, FTX
Source: Sam Bankman-Fried

However, despite Bankman-Fried’s efforts and speculation by many in the crypto industry, the White House has repeatedly said that Trump is not considering a pardon for the former CEO, both in a January New York Times interview and according to a Tuesday report by Fortune. Trump has pardoned several figures in the crypto and blockchain industry since taking office, including former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao and Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht.

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