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UniCredit raises guidance as profits slip at Commerzbank

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UniCredit raises guidance as profits slip at Commerzbank

Earnings diverge for lenders at centre of Europe’s biggest potential tie-up since financial crisis

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Money

One Four Nine kickstarts next phase of growth with 10th acquisition

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Loyal North completes double acquisition

Financial advice and investment management firm One Four Nine Group has acquired Nottingham-based Castlegate Capital, marking a “crucial step” in its growth journey.

The deal is the 10th acquisition for One Four Nine Group and the first of 2024 following a significant period of focus to integrate all firms into the business fully.

The launch in late 2023 of One Four Nine Wealth was an important moment for the evolution of the business.

It provided a “robust platform” to begin uniting all regional locations under one brand identity and to ensure the delivery a consistent client service proposition across the UK.

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One Four Nine Wealth is the financial planning arm of the business, operating alongside One Four Nine Portfolio Management.

Castlegate is an independent chartered financial planning business established in 2016 catering to private and corporate clients across the UK.

It will rebrand to One Four Nine Wealth upon completion of the transaction taking the group’s client assets to over £1.6bn with over 30 financial planners and around 5,000 clients.

One Four Nine Group, chief executive Gabrielle Beaumont said: “This is an exciting time of growth for One Four Nine Group.

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“Investing heavily in the last 12 months in people, integration and client proposition across our regional locations has put us in a strong position to continue to attract some of the best firms in the market as part of our continued acquisition strategy.”

She said the Castlegate team was a “natural fit” for One Four Nine Group and shares its vision of building an “energetic, forward-thinking” financial planning business with a “clear focus on delivering excellent lifetime financial planning to clients”.

One Four Nine Group corporate development director Sanjay Lukka added: “The acquisition of Castlegate Capital is an important milestone for One Four Nine Group.

“Having joined the Group in August, I’m delighted that my first acquisition marks such a crucial step in our growth journey.

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“This acquisition reinforces our commitment to expanding One Four Nine Group’s footprint in the Midlands and beyond.

“Castlegate Capital’s expertise and strong client focus aligns fully with our own, and I look forward to working alongside their talented team to continue to deliver more value to our clients.”

One Four Nine launched in October 2021 with the acquisition of two advisory firms – Charter Financial Planning and Rice Whatmough Crozier.

The group primarily targets accountancy firms and other professional services firms which own or have a joint venture with financial advice firms.

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It also considers standalone advisory firms which reflect its “collaborative, innovative and professional values”.

This includes advice firms either already or wanting to become experienced in recommending tax efficient alternative investments.

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Marks and Spencer profits beat expectations on strong food sales

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Marks and Spencer beat first-half profit expectations on strong food and clothing sales as its turnaround plan gathers pace, but it warned of uncertainty because of the Budget and “elevated” cost inflation.

The retailer, which has been seeking to revive its fortunes in recent years after decades of failed reinventions, reported a 17.2 per cent increase in profit before tax and adjusted items to £407mn in the six months to September 30, ahead of analysts’ expectations.

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Food sales were up 8.1 per cent year on year to £4.2bn, while clothing and home goods sales rose 4.7 per cent to £2bn, also ahead of forecasts, although sales in its international division fell 11.6 per cent. Group revenue increased 5.7 per cent to £6.5bn.

The company attributed the performance to winning more customers from rivals and forecast “further progress” in the second half of the year.

M&S shares have soared 74 per over the past year, recently climbing to an eight-year high. It has been closing less profitable or productive stores that sell clothing, home and food products in recent years and opened more of its popular food shops, while modernising its technology, ecommerce operations and supply chain.

The recent UK Budget’s long-term impact on M&S, suppliers and customers was “for now uncertain”, the company said on Wednesday.

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Rachel Reeves last week announced an increase in employers’ national insurance contributions by 1.2p to 15p and a reduction in the earnings threshold at which the tax kicked in, hitting the retail, hospitality and leisure sectors.

The FTSE 100 company, which laid out a five-year growth plan to investors in 2022, also said it would pay an interim dividend of 1p a share, a third of last year’s total dividend. The final dividend would be determined at year-end, it added.

The retailer said in May it was in its best financial position in almost 30 years, having strengthened its balance sheet.

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Richard Chamberlain, a retail analyst at RBC Capital Markets, said M&S “has been making good progress with its food business, helped by an improved value for money perception, while its clothing offer has benefited from a stronger digital offer, third-party brands and a better bought range, with improvements in style, quality and value perception”.

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Europe takes a deep breath as Trump beats a path back to power

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Bar chart of estimated % CO₂ reduction required to reach 2025 targets showing VW is most exposed to CO₂ regulation

This article is an on-site version of our Europe Express newsletter. Premium subscribers can sign up here to get the newsletter delivered every weekday and Saturday morning. Standard subscribers can upgrade to Premium here, or explore all FT newsletters

Good morning. Donald Trump has a significant lead in the still-incomplete results of the US presidential election, and global financial markets are pricing in his return to the White House. Below, I bring you the latest from across the Atlantic and how Brussels and EU capitals are preparing for a result.

Plus, our Berlin correspondent reports on the elected official from the Alternative for Germany (AfD) who has been arrested in a German police swoop on a far-right terror cell.

Trump 2.0 looms

European capitals are waking up to the realisation that Donald Trump is more likely than not to return as US president, after the Republican candidate was predicted to have won the important states of North Carolina and Georgia overnight and built early leads in the counts of almost all other key swing states.

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Context: Trump is a Nato-sceptic who has vowed to force Ukraine to sue for peace and impose blanket tariffs of up to 20 per cent on European imports.

At 7.00am CET, North Carolina and Georgia had been called for Trump by media outlets. He held small leads in the crucial swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania as counting continued. Global currency markets suggested traders were anticipating his victory over vice-president Kamala Harris. His Republican party also won back control of the Senate.

You can find all our US election coverage here.

EU officials who traded hours of sleep for a first look at these preliminary first results stressed that a Brussels response would wait until the final outcome was clear. The result will dominate a two-day meeting of EU and European leaders in Budapest that begins tomorrow.

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“We are not in 2016 where [Trump] was a big surprise . . . We are more confident, we have a clear line on what is our agenda and what to expect [from either candidate],” said a senior EU official involved in discussions among capitals about the result. “We are not panicking.”

EU officials said that regardless of the eventual winner, Brussels would seek to stress both the importance of the transatlantic relationship and a desire to expand it, while making clear the European agenda to be less dependent on the US, defend multilateralism and defend open trade. Overarching all this would be a commitment to ongoing support to Kyiv.

“We should be careful, and keep calm,” the official said. “The lines we are working on will work for both candidates . . . it will be the same: support to Ukraine.”

“I expect leaders to continue on this path,” they added. “Whether there will be 27 [leaders] to continue expressing this position is another question.”

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Chart du jour: CO2 car crash

Bar chart of estimated % CO₂ reduction required to reach 2025 targets showing VW is most exposed to CO₂ regulation

The European car industry is in the middle of a mass pile-up including sluggish demand, faltering electric vehicle sales, fierce competition from China and enduring overcapacity. Having to pay billions of euros in fines for carbon dioxide emissions would only increase the pain, writes Lex.

Plotting in the dark

Another day, another scandal at Germany’s far-right Alternative for Germany.

Hours after prosecutors announced that they had arrested eight young men on suspicion of forming a Nazi-inspired group with plans for racist violence, German media revealed that one of them was an elected official with the AfD, writes Laura Pitel.

Among those detained during a vast police operation yesterday was Kurt Hättasch, an AfD member of the local council in Grimma, a town in the eastern state of Saxony.

Context: The case is not the first example of bizarre but alarming alleged plots by right-wing extremists in Germany. In late 2022, two dozen people — including former and active members of the police and armed forces — were arrested for allegedly planning a coup d’état.

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Federal prosecutors yesterday said the arrested men had “racist, antisemitic and partially apocalyptic ideas” that were driven by Nazi ideology and the belief that Germany was nearing collapse. They are accused of planning to seize parts of the country’s east and carry out ethnic cleansing against “unwanted” groups.

Thomas Haldenwang, head of Germany’s domestic intelligence agency, said the arrests demonstrated “the persistently high danger” posed by rightwing extremism to the country’s security.

Still, members of Olaf Scholz’s teetering coalition can hold little hope that the latest arrests will dent support for the AfD. The party, which performed strongly in this year’s European elections as well as in a trio of votes in east German states in September, has largely shrugged off other revelations including investigations into links to Russia and China.

A spokesman for the AfD’s division in Saxony, which itself has been classified by German intelligence as an extremist organisation, said it supported democracy and that Hättasch would be expelled if the allegations against him were confirmed.

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What to watch today

  1. Czech Prime Minister Petr Fiala meets Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić in Belgrade.

  2. European parliament hearing for EU defence commissioner-nominee Andrius Kubilius.

Now read these

  • Boomers vs Gen Z: A proposed cut to French pension benefits has sparked a fierce debate on intergenerational inequity.

  • Chocolate rebellion: Nestlé, Ferrero and more than 50 other companies have said the delay to the EU’s landmark deforestation law puts investments at risk.

  • Dangerously vulnerable: Europe’s critical infrastructure is at risk and governments must learn lessons from Ukraine, writes Anders Fogh Rasmussen.

Recommended newsletters for you

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Swamp Notes — Expert insight on the intersection of money and power in US politics. Sign up here

Are you enjoying Europe Express? Sign up here to have it delivered straight to your inbox every workday at 7am CET and on Saturdays at noon CET. Do tell us what you think, we love to hear from you: europe.express@ft.com. Keep up with the latest European stories @FT Europe

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How election day unfolded in the US

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This is an audio transcript of the FT News Briefing podcast episode: ‘How election day unfolded in the US’

Sonja Hutson
Good morning from the Financial Times. Today is Wednesday, November 6th, and this is your FT News Briefing.

Americans closed out a hard-fought election yesterday. And I’ll take you through the numbers of what has been the most expensive presidential contest in US history. Plus, Germany is racing against the clock to pass a new budget. 

Guy Chazan
The problem is that the government has submitted a draft budget to the German parliament, but there is an enormous hole in it. 

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Sonja Hutson
I’m Sonja Hutson, and here’s the news you need to start your day.

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Voters across the US yesterday raced to cast their ballots in what has been billed as the most consequential election in decades. 

Jen Eldridge
A lot of different emotions, a lot of different opinions to the point where I can’t talk about it with my friends or family or co-workers. 

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Sonja Hutson
And it has been a political rollercoaster, to say the least. 

Xander Dunn
It’s just such a divisive time. And to be honest, I’m looking forward to everything just being over. 

Sonja Hutson
People in battleground states have faced the most pressure from this election. My colleague Steff Chávez was out talking to voters in Wisconsin yesterday, and she joins me now to tell me what she saw and heard. Hi, Steff. 

Steff Chávez
Hi, Sonja. 

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Sonja Hutson
So how were people feeling about the election in Wisconsin? 

Steff Chávez
I think there were all sorts of emotions and it ranged from, you know, real hope and confidence in, you know, people’s specific candidates, but also genuine anxiety and fear. 

And so how has the vibe been this election? 

Jen Eldridge
Really intense. 

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Steff Chávez
So I went to one polling place in downtown Milwaukee, which is a Democratic stronghold. I met Jen Eldridge, a 44-year-old woman who was casting her ballot for Kamala Harris, and she identified herself as an independent voter. 

Jen Eldridge
So I’m one of those voters that you want on your side because I can go either way. I vote for the candidate that closely represents my values. 

Steff Chávez
She said the most important thing to her in making her choice was reproductive freedom. 

Jen Eldridge
Women’s issues and women’s rights. My reproductive rights are very important to me. 

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Steff Chávez
Which is really getting at a major theme of this election. It is one of the Democrats’ strongest issue, and Harris is counting on women in particular to turn out to vote and maybe even flip their votes to try and get some of their reproductive rights back. 

Sonja Hutson
So, you know, you mentioned that Milwaukee is a Democratic stronghold. Where else did you go in the area to talk to voters who maybe leaned a little bit more Republican? 

Steff Chávez
So I went out to Waukesha county, which is one of the Milwaukee suburbs. While I was there, I met Jeff Powell, a life-long Republican, who had such a hard time deciding who to vote for, that he made a game-time decision in the voting booth. 

Jeff Powell
I kept mulling it back and forth, but I finally voted. 

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Steff Chávez
He said that he really didn’t like either candidate. 

Jeff Powell
For a nation that’s as prosperous and educated as our nation is, we got two delinquents that are running for president. 

Steff Chávez
He wouldn’t tell me who he voted for, but he said that the most important factor in his decision was immigration, but also things like the growing budget deficit and education. 

Jeff Powell
This election is probably the most divisive election. I’ve been voting since I was 21. 

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Steff Chávez
I also met a couple, Drew and Mike, who had their eight-day-old baby with them at the polling place.

They both voted for Trump. They said the most important reasons were the economy and immigration. 

Drew and Mike
Just putting our country first. We got a lot of issues outside of our country that are important, and we need security here first. 

Steff Chávez
The economy and immigration are two of the Republicans’ strongest issues. Despite the fact that Trump has struggled on the abortion topic, Republicans are hoping that can propel him to victory. 

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Sonja Hutson
Now, Steff, one big concern leading up to this day has been acts of political violence. You know, I’m in downtown DC and there are tons of buildings that have been boarded up over the past couple of days. Have we seen reports of violence or intimidation at polling locations around the country? 

Steff Chávez
Yes, there have been. Multiple polling stations in the swing state of Georgia had to close temporarily yesterday while police investigated bomb threats. And the FBI warned of similar threats from Russian email domains to voting sites across the US. And as you said, Washington, DC has also been on high alert. Police arrested a man at the US Capitol who they said was in possession of a torch and a flare gun. 

Sonja Hutson
And, you know, this also makes me wonder how confident people feel in this election process in general. Did you get a sense of that in talking to people in Wisconsin? 

Steff Chávez
Nobody that I talked to really voiced concerns about the safety of their own ballot. However, the concept of election integrity has definitely been a really important issue throughout the country. Randy Marquardt, who is the Republican chair of the Washington County Republicans here in Wisconsin, told me recently that he has had to spend a lot of time reassuring Republican voters in his county that the election system is safe. And also both Democrats and Republicans pushed early-vote campaigns really hard, particularly in Wisconsin. And so a lot of people from both parties voted early here. 

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Sonja Hutson
Steff Chávez is the FT’s Washington reporter. Thanks Steff. 

Steff Chávez
Thanks, Sonja. 

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Sonja Hutson
A record amount of money was spent in this year’s presidential election. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have burnt through more than $3.5bn combined in the race. That’s according to the FT’s analysis of campaign filings. So, where did all this money go? Well, almost half was spent on ads in seven swing states. The campaigns have flooded Pennsylvania the most. They put over $400mn to work there. To put that into perspective, that is more than all of the non-swing states combined. Filings also show Trump’s campaign groups spent $100mn on the former president’s recent and ongoing court cases. That’s 14 per cent of his total spending. And Harris outspent Trump on media and ad buys by roughly 25 per cent.

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[MUSIC PLAYING]

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is in the middle of a rock and a hard place. He needs to pass a budget by next week. But an argument between his coalition partners over how to do that has threatened to bring down the entire government. My colleague, Guy Chazan, has been following all the drama and he joins me now. Hey, Guy. 

Guy Chazan
Hi. 

Sonja Hutson
All right. So tell me where the budget discussions stand at the moment and what the major sticking points are. 

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Guy Chazan
Well, the problem is that the government has submitted a draft budget to the Bundestag, to the German parliament, but there is an enormous hole in it, because what happened recently is that the government downgraded its economic forecasts for this year and also for next. And that meant that it now expects less tax revenue than it did before when it actually came up with this draft budget. So there’s a big financing gap which no one knows how to plug. Basically, we have three parties in this government — Social Democrats, Greens and liberals. All three have different remedies for how to close this gap, and they’re kind of mutually incompatible. But that’s not the only problem. 

Sonja Hutson
Yeah. Tell me a little bit more about the political landscape here. 

Guy Chazan
Well, what’s happened is that these three parties, they were always sort of uncomfortable, awkward bedfellows. And what we’ve seen in the last couple of days is the rather unedifying spectacle of all three parties presenting their own proposals for how to get Germany out of this current mess. And it’s creating a lot of chaos and a lot of angst in the German political system, but also in German business. And people are just like shaking their heads in disbelief that there can be so much disunity within this government. 

Sonja Hutson
Well, what’s at risk then, if the coalition parties can’t come together ahead of the budget deadline next week? 

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Guy Chazan
Well, I think what will happen is that the coalition will break down if there’s no breakthrough on the budget. Scholz, the chancellor, has been saying, look, we’ve all got to put our heads together and come up with a solution here. We owe it to the country. The economy minister said something very similar. He said, you know, this is really the worst possible time to break up the coalition, with all the insecurity, all the instability in the world right now. But the smaller partner in the coalition, the liberals — it’s a party called the Free Democrats, the FDP — they are really at the end of their tether. And there’s a very, very strong likelihood that the FDP could just abandon the coalition, and then that could trigger the dissolution of the Bundestag, the parliament, and new elections. 

Sonja Hutson
OK. Wow. So there’s definitely a lot of uncertainty right now in Germany, which makes me wonder, what is the wider impact of this instability on the European Union more broadly? 

Guy Chazan
Well, I mean, it has enormous impact because, you know, people have always looked to Germany for leadership in Europe. You know, it’s the biggest economy in the Eurozone. It’s the kind of industrial behemoth of Europe. And what’s happened now is that that anchor of stability has gone. Germany is just now wracked by political instability. And there’s real fear that the country that is so indispensable could be without a government within weeks. 

Sonja Hutson
Guy Chazan is the FT’s Berlin bureau chief. Thanks, Guy. 

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Guy Chazan
Thank you. 

[MUSIC PLAYING]

Sonja Hutson
You can read more on all these stories for free when you click the links in our show notes. This has been your daily FT News Briefing. Check back tomorrow for the latest business news. 

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Wetherspoons boss Tim Martin warns of price rises after Budget tax blow to businesses

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Wetherspoons boss Tim Martin warns of price rises after Budget tax blow to businesses

THE chairman of Wetherspoons has issued a warning regarding impending price increases following Rachel Reeves’ Autumn Budget.

Tim Martin revealed that the pub chain’s tax bill is projected to rise by two-thirds next year.

Wetherspoons anticipates that tax and business costs will increase by approximately £60 million over the next fiscal year

1

Wetherspoons anticipates that tax and business costs will increase by approximately £60 million over the next fiscal yearCredit: Getty

Martin said: “Cost inflation, which had surged to high levels in 2022, gradually diminished over the subsequent two years.

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“However, it has now significantly increased again following the budget.

“All hospitality businesses, we believe, plan to increase prices, as a result.

Wetherspoon will, as always, make every attempt to stay as competitive as possible.”

Wetherspoons anticipates that tax and business costs will increase by approximately £60 million over the next fiscal year, including an estimated 67% rise in national insurance contributions.

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Last week, Rachel Reeves said she was raising the headline employer rate of National Insurance (NI) from 13.8% to 15%.

She also announced a reduction to the threshold at which businesses start paying NI contributions from £9,100 to £5,000.

The group, which runs nearly 800 pubs across the UK, said its sales grew by about 6% in the 14 weeks to November 3, compared with the same period last year.

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