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Hyperliquid price forms lower high, $22 downside target

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Hyperliquid price forms macro lower high, $22 downside target emerges - 1

Hyperliquid price remains under corrective pressure after forming another macro lower high near key resistance. Failure to reclaim critical volume levels now raises the probability of a move toward $22 support.

Summary

  • Macro lower highs confirm ongoing bearish structure
  • Rejection at $35 VWAP and value area high resistance
  • $22–$21 support becomes key downside target

Hyperliquid (HYPE) price continues to trade within a broader bearish market structure, with recent price action reinforcing downside momentum rather than signaling recovery. Despite intermittent relief rallies, the asset has repeatedly failed to shift trend direction, leaving sellers firmly in control.

The latest rejection at high timeframe resistance confirms that the market remains in a corrective phase, with attention now turning toward lower support zones.

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Hyperliquid price key technical points

  • Macro Structure: Consecutive lower highs confirm ongoing bearish trend.
  • Key Resistance: $35 region aligns with VWAP and value area high confluence.
  • Downside Target: Loss of volume support exposes $22–$21 demand zone.
Hyperliquid price forms macro lower high, $22 downside target emerges - 1
HYPEUSDT (1D) Chart, Source: TradingView

Hyperliquid’s recent price action reflects a continuation of macro bearish conditions. The market has consistently formed lower highs across higher timeframes, preventing any meaningful shift in trend structure. Each recovery attempt has been met with selling pressure, reinforcing resistance zones and maintaining downside bias.

The most recent rejection occurred near the $35 resistance region, where multiple technical factors converged. This level aligned with both the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and the Value Area High, creating a strong confluence resistance zone. Price reaction at this level confirmed seller dominance, initiating a rejection that pushed Hyperliquid back toward equilibrium within the current trading range.

Following the rejection, price rotated toward the Point of Control (POC), the area representing the highest traded volume within the range. The POC often acts as a critical decision point between continuation and reversal. However, Hyperliquid failed to reclaim this level on a closing basis. Instead, the market lost acceptance above the POC, signaling weakening demand and confirming bearish continuation rather than stabilization.

The loss of the POC triggered the current corrective phase now unfolding across lower timeframes. When markets lose key volume support, liquidity often shifts toward deeper demand zones where stronger buyer interest may exist. In Hyperliquid’s case, the next major level sits near $22–$21 support, which represents a significant swing low and potential capitulation zone.

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As long as price remains below the POC and beneath high timeframe resistance, downside pressure is likely to persist. A move toward $22 would represent a logical rotational target within the prevailing structure. While such a decline may appear bearish, it would also serve as an important test of long-term demand. Strong reactions from this region could form the foundation for a broader recovery attempt.

However, failure to hold the $21 swing level would carry larger structural implications. A confirmed breakdown would establish a new macro lower low, reinforcing the ongoing bearish trend and extending downside projections. This scenario would confirm continuation of the dominant market structure that has defined Hyperliquid’s price behavior for several months.

Volume dynamics currently offer little support for a bullish reversal. Buying participation remains limited, and rallies continue to lack follow-through strength. Without expanding bullish volume or a reclaim of lost resistance levels, upside attempts are likely to remain corrective rather than impulsive.

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From a broader perspective, Hyperliquid remains caught in a corrective environment where sellers continue to dictate market direction. Until structural resistance is reclaimed, price action is expected to gradually rotate lower as the market searches for stronger liquidity support, even as Hyperliquid has surpassed Coinbase in total notional trading volume, signaling a broader shift toward decentralized perpetual futures trading.

What to expect in the coming price action

Hyperliquid is likely to continue trading lower while price remains below the Point of Control and $35 resistance. The $22–$21 region becomes the key area to monitor, where either a reversal reaction may emerge or a breakdown could confirm continuation of the macro bearish trend.

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Crypto World

Traders’ Move Off Bitcoin, Shift Capital Flows To Gold, AI And Tech Stocks

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Cryptocurrencies, Gold, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Fiat Money, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Stocks, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) and gold are showing very different profiles in 2026. Gold has climbed 153% since the start of 2024, while Bitcoin is down roughly 30% over the same stretch. 

One analyst said that the gap lines up with steady growth in global money supply, cooling appetite for risky tech stocks, and falling crypto exchange balances. Together, these changes are shaping how both assets are trading in the market. 

Rising liquidity and tech stock speculation fail to supercharge Bitcoin

In an X post, Fidelity director of global macro, Jurrien Timmer said that gold has behaved as expected in a bull market, with sharp pullbacks attracting short-term buyers. Timmer described gold as a pure “hard money” asset that has tracked global money supply growth closely.

Bitcoin follows the global money supply growth over time, shown by the steady rise in global M2 (orange line). When M2 expands, BTC has generally trended higher. However, the chart shows that Bitcoin’s strongest rallies occurred when liquidity growth aligned with rising software and Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) stocks, each being a proxy for speculative appetite.

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Cryptocurrencies, Gold, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Fiat Money, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Stocks, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin, Global Liquidity, and SaaS stocks. Source: Jurrien Timmer/X

In 2017–2018 and again in 2020–2021, the software stocks posted gains of roughly 58% and 93% year-over-year, and Bitcoin price rallied sharply during those periods. In 2022, software stocks fell by around 58%, and Bitcoin experienced a deep drawdown even as the money supply levels stayed elevated. 

The data shows that money supply growth supports the long-term trend, while shifts in tech-sector speculation tend to amplify or dampen Bitcoin’s price swings. This indicates that Bitcoin carries hard money exposure and high-beta characteristics, amplifying moves in both directions.

Timmer noted that liquidity is ample while speculative sentiment sits in a bear phase. In this scenario, gold and money supply have rallied together, while Bitcoin has struggled to keep pace.

Related: Bitcoin threatens new breakdown as US PPI sends gold to 1-month high

Gold draws demand on crypto exchanges

Demand on crypto-native platforms has also rotated toward gold-linked products. On Jan. 5, Binance launched 24-hour, 7-day gold futures trading. The cumulative volume of this product is approaching $35 billion, with more than $4 billion recorded on the most active day. The weekly volume averages about $4.7 billion, according to crypto analyst Darkfost. 

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Cryptocurrencies, Gold, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Fiat Money, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Stocks, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Perpetual trading volume on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant

Activity accelerated immediately after gold posted a two-day correction exceeding 20%. The spike highlights the demand for tokenized exposure to traditional hard assets within crypto venues.

At the same time, CryptoQuant data shows Binance’s total portfolio value across BTC, ETH, XRP, and major ERC20 and TRC20 stablecoins has fallen to roughly $102 billion. That marks the lowest reading since April 2025, down from about $140 billion in August 2025.

Cryptocurrencies, Gold, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Fiat Money, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Stocks, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Binance’s total reserves for BTC, ETH, and XRP. Source: CryptoQuant

The $38 billion decline reflects lower asset prices and user withdrawals into self-custody during bearish volatility.

For Bitcoin, this points to reduced capital on exchanges, which may signal cautious trader positioning and thin near-term liquidity. 

Related: Bitcoin to $30K? Analysts debate when and at what price BTC will bottom