Crypto World
Senate Democrats Urge DOJ to Investigate Binance
TLDR
- Senate Democrats urged the Justice Department and Treasury to investigate Binance over alleged Iran sanctions violations.
- Lawmakers cited reports that $1.7 billion in digital assets moved to Iranian entities through Binance.
- The senators raised concerns that Binance may have breached its 2023 federal settlement obligations.
- The letter referenced Binance’s ties to a Trump family-backed stablecoin project.
- Binance denied the allegations and said it remains committed to its compliance agreements.
Senate Democrats have urged the Justice Department and Treasury to investigate Binance over Iran sanctions concerns and Trump-linked ties. Lawmakers sent a formal letter requesting a prompt federal review of the crypto exchange’s compliance controls. They cited reports that billions in digital assets flowed to sanctioned Iranian entities through the platform.
Binance Faces Scrutiny Over Iran Sanctions Compliance
Sen. Mark Warner led the letter and secured signatures from Sen. Elizabeth Warren and nine other Democrats. The senators asked Attorney General Pam Bondi and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to open a comprehensive review. They referenced media reports that linked Binance to illicit finance activity tied to Iran.
According to the letter, compliance staff identified $1.7 billion routed to Iranian entities last year. Those entities included the Iran-backed Houthis and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The senators also claimed that a Binance vendor moved $1.2 billion connected to Iran-linked actors.
The lawmakers stated that Iranian users accessed more than 1,500 Binance accounts. They also raised concerns about the possible use of the platform by Russian actors to evade sanctions. They warned that such activity could breach Binance’s 2023 federal settlement obligations.
The letter alleged that Binance dismissed employees who flagged the transactions. It also claimed the exchange became less responsive to law enforcement requests. The senators argued that those actions would conflict with the company’s plea agreement terms.
In 2023, Binance pleaded guilty to violating U.S. sanctions laws and anti-money laundering rules. The company agreed to pay more than $4 billion in penalties. It also committed to enhanced know-your-customer procedures and sanctions screening under U.S. supervision.
Trump Ties and Russia Concerns Add Pressure
The senators also pointed to business links involving President Donald Trump and his family’s crypto ventures. They referenced Binance’s promotion of USD1, a stablecoin issued by World Liberty Financial. Lawmakers stated that the project has ties to the Trump family.
According to the letter, Binance offered interest incentives to users holding USD1. The exchange also assisted with technology related to the token. Lawmakers further cited a $2 billion investment tied to the stablecoin.
The senators referenced Trump’s pardon of Binance founder Changpeng Zhao last fall. Zhao had pleaded guilty to failing to implement an effective anti-money laundering program. He served a four-month prison sentence before receiving the pardon.
Beyond Iran, the lawmakers cited Binance’s launch of crypto-linked payment cards in parts of the former Soviet Union. They warned that similar products have helped users bypass restrictions on Russia’s financial system. They also noted Binance’s partnership with Kyrgyzstan on a stablecoin and digital currency initiative.
“These allegations raise grave concerns that poor illicit finance controls at Binance remain a threat to national security,” the senators wrote. They urged federal agencies to conduct what they described as a “thorough, impartial” probe.
Crypto World
OCC unveils GENIUS Act rulebook for U.S. payment stablecoins
OCC’s GENIUS Act rule drafts 100%‑reserved payment stablecoin regime, tightening oversight.
Summary
- Draft rule covers full payment stablecoin lifecycle: issuance, reserves, supervision, and wind-down procedures.
- Only authorized GENIUS-compliant issuers may serve U.S. users, with 1:1 reserve, capital, liquidity, audit, and custody standards.
- OCC and NCUA gain direct authority over bank, credit union, and some foreign issuers, while BSA/OFAC rules follow in separate Treasury action.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency released draft regulations Wednesday outlining how payment stablecoins would be issued, backed, and supervised under federal oversight, according to the agency’s notice of proposed rulemaking.
The OCC opened a 60-day public comment period to operationalize the GENIUS Act for stablecoin issuance, seeking feedback on the full lifecycle of a payment stablecoin from launch and reserve management to supervision and potential wind-down procedures.
The proposal implements the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act, known as the GENIUS Act, which became effective in July and established the first federal stablecoin framework in the United States. The statute permits only authorized payment stablecoin issuers to issue payment stablecoins domestically and prohibits digital asset service providers from offering non-compliant stablecoins to U.S. users.
The draft regulations establish reserve asset standards requiring redemption at par, along with liquidity and risk controls, audits, supervisory examinations, and custody rules. The proposal outlines application pathways for new issuers, introduces capital and operational requirements, and updates portions of the OCC’s capital adequacy and enforcement framework.
The agency stated it would have regulatory or enforcement authority over certain permitted payment stablecoin issuers, including subsidiaries of national banks and federal savings associations, federally qualified issuers, and some state-qualified issuers. The draft extends oversight to foreign payment stablecoin issuers seeking access to American users.
Bank Secrecy Act and sanctions requirements will be addressed separately in coordination with the Treasury Department, according to the notice.
Banking groups have raised concerns about potential deposit outflows to third-party yield products tied to stablecoins. OCC Chief Jonathan Gould stated that any material outflow would be visible and would not occur overnight, according to the agency. Gould noted that the requirement for 100% reserves to support one-to-one redemptions exceeds typical bank capital ratios. In an extreme scenario, the Federal Reserve could serve as an indirect backstop by supporting reserve assets stablecoins hold, including U.S. Treasuries and cash equivalents, according to the proposal.
Crypto World
The moment AI agents stop assisting and start acting
Disclosure: The views and opinions expressed here belong solely to the author and do not represent the views and opinions of crypto.news’ editorial.
Is artificial intelligence going to steal my job? When skeptics first encountered early versions of ChatGPT along with generative photo and video tools, many dismissed the idea that AI could ever replace human workers. Today, the more relevant question is not whether AI will enter the workplace, but whether organizations are prepared for intelligent systems that increasingly operate alongside employees as active participants in daily operations. Today’s work environment emphasizes AI’s role across social platforms, productivity tools, and enterprise software, and the first wave of company-wide AI systems is already being deployed.
Summary
- AI is shifting from assistant to actor: The real change isn’t job replacement, but AI agents moving from suggesting tasks to executing them inside daily workflows.
- Collaboration beats substitution: Research shows AI-enabled teams outperform AI-equipped ones — productivity gains come from integration, not delegation.
- Entry roles evolve, not vanish: Routine tasks will be automated, but human value shifts toward oversight, judgment, and coordination alongside autonomous systems.
With that said, AI is not coming for your job, at least not permanently. Instead of replacing employees at entry-level positions, AI will become a colleague at work, acting as an assistant. In a worst-case scenario, entry-level to mid-level employees might experience temporary job displacement due to AI, with a 2025 Goldman Sachs report stating that unemployment would increase by half a percentage point. The bottom line, however, is that your job isn’t going anywhere yet.
An introduction to your newest coworker
To break this down, your new colleague is an AI agent, similar to any employee; they’re trained to master the job role, they make mistakes, ask for feedback, and require you to communicate to accelerate the potential of your team.
The autonomous digital worker can execute tasks based on the data and context it’s given, but this assistant isn’t made for every professional field. As the workplace enters its next technological transformational era, analysts continue to see a broad override in AI agents taking over human roles as a distant reality, yet professionals are not dismissing them completely.
Assimilating to the new era of AI collaboration
If AI were to be widely adopted across certain industries, AI could displace 6-7 percent of the United States workforce. For the time being, however, AI will be rolled out on an assistant level, without completely overriding the responsibilities of entry to mid-level positions.
In addition, economists predict that agents will increase productivity across the professional landscape through a transitional movement in AI company culture that’s going from AI-equipped employees to AI-enabled ones. Research conducted by the Digital Data Design at Harvard found that the most innovative solutions came from AI-enabled teams as opposed to AI-equipped teams. Meaning that your AI agent isn’t just there to give you your next chunk of information, but instead, it’s actively aiding collaborative efforts with team members across the organization.
Collaboration is reaching new heights, and myth is starting to become reality. According to The Guardian, specific AI systems are breaking the corporate ladder, hiring fewer people in creative fields, specifically at companies that have highly integrated AI into their day-to-day work. The hardest roles hit were junior roles. In other cases, data scientists are distressed by the sophistication of AI programmes, as some continue to find ways to disable oversight systems. The “AI takeover” can be a threat, but for now, it’s dependent on region and industry.
Jobs are not simply going to disappear. It means employees will be evaluated on how effective they will be alongside these new systems and how well they integrate them into their daily workflows. As for the next decade, it’s unclear whether the corporate world will introduce a new type of AI agent, one that may need a whole new introduction in itself to an organization. As these technologies continue to develop and become more advanced, employees will need to find new ways to train themselves to fit the AI agent’s standards.
Understanding where everyone’s roles land
The transition from human entry-level workers to AI agents does not mean removing the first rungs of the corporate ladder. Instead, low-level, routine tasks that junior and associate employees have traditionally handled will increasingly be managed in partnership with automated systems. Hiring for these roles will not disappear, but the nature of the work will change. Studies by McKinsey indicate that AI has already automated 44 percent of working hours in the United States and that by 2030, AI-driven automation could generate up to 2.8 trillion dollars in economic value.
These early systems represent the first generation of AI agents. They are fast, highly efficient, and increasingly capable of matching the requirements of many professional roles. For years, big technology companies have steadily integrated AI into every part of their platforms, and that trend has now reached a point where assistance is beginning to turn into action. When AI moves from suggesting what should be done to actually helping carry it out, the real challenge for organizations is not displacement, but how effectively people and intelligent systems learn to work together.
Crypto World
US Job Cuts Surge to Highest Level Since Pandemic as AI Reshapes the Workforce
TLDR:
- Over 1.17 million US job cuts were announced in the past year, the highest total recorded since the COVID-19 pandemic era.
- The US government led all sectors with 317,000 cuts, followed by UPS at 78,000 and Amazon with 30,000 job reductions.
- Companies openly state that AI tools allow smaller teams to handle the same workload, replacing $150K–$200K salary roles.
- Analysts warn of a ghost economy where corporate output grows but household income and consumer participation steadily decline.
US job cuts have reached alarming levels not seen since the COVID-19 pandemic. Over 1.17 million job cuts were announced across the country in the past year.
Around 600,000 of those cuts came in the first two months of 2026 alone. Companies across multiple sectors openly cite artificial intelligence as a driving force.
This trend is unfolding against the weakest white-collar hiring market since 2008, raising concerns about broader economic stability.
Major Companies Lead a Wave of Workforce Reductions
The scale of recent layoffs spans both public and private sectors. The US government alone accounted for 317,000 cuts, the largest single contributor to the total. UPS followed with 78,000 job reductions, while Amazon announced cuts of 30,000 workers.
Other major corporations have also trimmed their workforces considerably. Intel cut 25,000 jobs, and Citigroup reduced staff by 20,000. Nissan matched that figure, while Microsoft announced 15,000 cuts.
Market analyst account Bull Theory posted about the situation on social media platform X. The post noted that Verizon cut 13,000 jobs, Accenture removed 11,000, and Salesforce and Block each reduced headcount by 4,000. The figures paint a broad picture of workforce contraction across industries.
Companies are now openly stating that smaller teams can perform the same volume of work. This shift reflects how AI tools are replacing roles previously held by high-earning professionals. The pattern suggests a structural change rather than a temporary economic adjustment.
The Ghost Economy Risk and Long-Term Consumer Demand
The concern goes beyond job numbers alone. Higher-income workers earning between $150,000 and $200,000 annually drive a large portion of US consumer spending. When software replaces those roles, corporate margins rise but household income falls.
There is also a secondary effect worth noting. The same companies cutting staff sell products and services to that same income group.
If AI-driven layoffs reduce household income at scale, demand across retail, fintech, travel, and enterprise services weakens over time.
Bull Theory’s post warned of what it called a “ghost economy,” where output grows but broad participation in that growth declines.
Short-term profitability may improve, yet the customer base supporting those profits gradually shrinks. This creates a tension between rising productivity and weakening consumer demand.
Housing, autos, travel, subscriptions, and credit quality all become sensitive under these conditions. The labor market must absorb this transition before demand weakens at the economic core.
Without that absorption, the gap between corporate earnings and household financial health will continue to widen.
Crypto World
US DOJ Seized $580M in Crypto from ‘Chinese Transnational Criminals‘
The seizures and freezing over three months were conducted by the District of Columbia’s Scam Center Strike Force, established by US Attorney Jeanine Pirro in November.
Officials with the US Department of Justice reported “freezing, seizing, and forfeiting” more than $578 million worth of digital assets tied to criminal groups as part of a task force’s efforts targeting “Southeast Asian cryptocurrency-related fraud and scams.”
In a Thursday notice, the Justice Department said the frozen and seized crypto had been “stolen by Chinese transnational criminal organizations” using websites and social media platforms to target US residents. The actions were taken by the District of Columbia’s Scam Center Strike Force, established by former Fox News host, now US Attorney Jeanine Pirro in November.
“Seizures of cryptocurrency is one important part of the Scam Center Strike Force’s work,” said Pirro. “Through the legal process, my Office will seek to forfeit these funds and return them to victims to the maximum extent possible.”

Pirro’s comments signaled that many of the funds would not be used to bolster the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and digital asset stockpile established via executive order by US President Donald Trump in March 2025. According to data from BitcoinTreasuries.NET, US authorities may hold as much as 328,372 Bitcoin (BTC) through various criminal seizures, but the White House had not publicly commented on the stockpile’s size as of Friday.
Related: South Korea’s tax office leaks wallet seed and loses $4.8M in seized tokens
Crypto scams surged in 2025
According to blockchain analytics platform Chainalysis, the number of incidents involving impersonation scams tied to crypto rose by about 1,400% year over year in 2025. Many of the scams included pig butchering and investment schemes, with the average amount stolen through impersonation scams increasing by 600% over the same period.
Some of the parties involved have gone to prison in the US. Earlier this month, a judge sentenced an individual to 20 years in prison for orchestrating a scam to steal more than $73 million from victims, many of whom were based in the US.
Magazine: Clarity Act risks repeat of Europe’s mistakes, crypto lawyer warns
Crypto World
Alchemy Launches USDC Payment System for Autonomous AI Agents
Blockchain infrastructure company Alchemy has launched a system that allows autonomous AI agents to buy compute credits and access its blockchain data services using onchain wallets and USDC on Base.
According to the company’s announcement, the initial release allows AI agents to directly query blockchain networks, check nonfungible token (NFT) ownership, view wallet balances across multiple chains and access live token price data, with additional networks and services planned.
If an agent exhausts its prepaid compute credits, Alchemy issues a payment request that can be automatically settled in USDC (USDC) on Base, allowing the agent to continue operating without human intervention.
The company said agents can fund accounts with as little as $1 in USDC, and once credited, continue making API calls until the balance is depleted and another automated payment is required.
The system uses Coinbase’s x402 payment standard to convert an HTTP “402 Payment Required” response into an automatic billing trigger. The x402 is an open standard that allows web services to request onchain payments directly through HTTP responses, enabling machine-to-machine transactions without manual invoicing.
Nikil Viswanathan, CEO of Alchemy, told Cointelegraph that the system is aimed at developers building autonomous decentralized finance (DeFi) agents, portfolio management bots and other multi-step onchain workflows.
He said that several major crypto applications, including Robinhood Crypto, Uniswap, OpenSea, Aave and 0x, already rely on Alchemy to power transactions, adding:
Now AI agents can access that same infrastructure autonomously, without a human ever touching it. This is the moment the agentic economy gets its own set of keys.
Related: The sports IP industry can’t defend itself against AI without blockchain
Crypto companies and developers accelerate agent adoption
AI agents, software systems that can make decisions and execute tasks autonomously based on predefined goals and real-time data, have drawn growing attention over the past year. Nearly a quarter (23%) of organizations surveyed by McKinsey in November said they were expanding their use of agent-based systems.
On Feb. 6, AI platform AI.com, founded by Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek, said it plans to launch an autonomous AI agent for retail users capable of executing stock trades, automating workflows and handling routine digital tasks.
A few days later, Coinbase introduced “Agentic Wallets,” crypto wallet infrastructure designed to let AI agents autonomously spend, earn and trade digital assets, including executing onchain transactions such as managing DeFi positions, rebalancing portfolios and paying for services.
Meanwhile, Monad’s developer community announced the results of its Moltiverse Hackathon this week, naming 16 winners across a range of “agent + token” projects.
The winners included a programmable venture capital agent that evaluates and invests automatically, AI-driven multiplayer battle arenas, an AI dating network where agents “represent their humans,” and trading card games governed by software rather than human players.

Magazine: Crypto loves Clawdbot/Moltbot, Uber ratings for AI agents: AI Eye
Crypto World
Bitcoin Treasury Pressure Mounts as Stablecoins Gain Strength
After months of sliding digital asset prices, public companies that embraced Bitcoin (BTC) as a treasury strategy are facing renewed scrutiny. Activist investors are now challenging those balance-sheet bets, echoing broader concerns about the volatility and long-term viability of the corporate Bitcoin model.
Stablecoins, meanwhile, continue to anchor the market. Circle posted a stronger-than-expected fourth quarter, even as early signs of a so-called “crypto winter” began to surface.
However, not every payments player is sharing in that momentum. PayPal’s push into digital assets, including the launch of its PayPal USD stablecoin, has yet to reverse its stock decline, with reports suggesting the company is drawing takeover interest.
This week’s Crypto Biz examines the pressure building around Bitcoin treasuries, the staying power of the stablecoin business and the challenges facing legacy payment giants navigating crypto’s next phase.
Empery Digital faces shareholder revolt over Bitcoin treasury
A nearly 10% shareholder of Empery Digital is calling for sweeping changes, including the sale of the company’s roughly 4,000 Bitcoin holdings and the resignation of its CEO and board.
In a letter to management, investor Tice P. Brown argued that the Bitcoin-heavy treasury strategy has failed to maximize shareholder value and demanded capital be returned to investors instead.
Empery pushed back against the claims, defending its strategy. The dispute highlights the growing tension between activist investors and public companies that have adopted Bitcoin as a core balance-sheet asset.
Empery, which transitioned its legacy business into a Bitcoin treasury last year, has amassed 4,081 BTC, making it one of the top 25 largest public holders of the digital asset.

Circle’s earnings, USDC growth fuels stock rally
Stablecoin issuer Circle delivered a stronger-than-expected fourth quarter, even as broader crypto market conditions weakened, underscoring continued momentum in the dollar-backed stablecoin market.
Fourth-quarter revenue reached $770 million, up 77% from a year earlier. Net income totaled $133.4 million, or 43 cents per share. Both were ahead of analyst expectations. The more telling figure, however, was USDC’s (USDC) expansion. Supply rose 72% to $75.3 billion by year-end, reflecting sustained demand for onchain dollar liquidity.
For the entire year, Circle reported $2.7 billion in revenue and a net loss of $70 million that was largely due to stock-based compensation tied to its initial public offering.
Shares jumped more than 20% following the earnings release, as investors responded to the revenue growth and expanding stablecoin base.

PayPal draws takeover interest after steep stock decline
PayPal is reportedly attracting early-stage takeover interest after a prolonged slide in its share price, as competitors weigh opportunities to consolidate parts of the digital payments market.
According to Bloomberg, some potential buyers are evaluating a full acquisition, while others may pursue specific business segments. Discussions remain preliminary, and no formal offer has been announced. Bitcoin-friendly payments company Stripe later emerged as one of the interested parties.
The development comes as PayPal continues restructuring efforts and expands further into digital assets, including its proprietary stablecoin.

$500M stablecoin mortgage deal bridges DeFi and housing
Mortgage lender Better and Framework Ventures are launching a $500 million initiative that channels stablecoin liquidity into US mortgage lending, potentially bringing real-world housing finance deeper into decentralized markets.
Under the structure, Better will continue underwriting and issuing home loans, while funding is sourced through a stablecoin ecosystem. The arrangement connects blockchain-based liquidity with traditional real estate finance, an area long discussed but rarely deployed at a meaningful scale.
The deal signals continued momentum behind tokenized real-world assets, even as broader crypto markets remain volatile.
Crypto Biz is your weekly pulse on the business behind blockchain and crypto, delivered directly to your inbox every Thursday.
Crypto World
China’s DeepSeek AI Predicts the Price of XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum
DeepSeek AI predicts great things this year for HODLers of XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Despite months of persistent downside pressure across the crypto market, DeepSeek has a notably optimistic stance on the market leaders, projecting that all three could reach fresh all-time highs within the next ten months.
So, just how credible are DeepSeek’s predictions?
XRP ($XRP): DeepSeek AI Sees a Tidy 6x Move by Christmas
In a recent update, Ripple reaffirmed that XRP ($XRP) plays a central role in its long-term strategy to position the XRP Ledger (XRPL) as a globally adopted, enterprise ready payments network.

Thanks to elite infrastructure, rapid settlement speeds and low transaction fees, XRPL is likely to benefit from two fast-growing sectors: stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets.
With XRP currently trading near $1.37, DeepSeek predicts a 2026 rally to $8, representing a sixfold increase from current levels.
XRP’s relative strength index (RSI) sits at a neutral 40, while price action has aligned with the 30-day moving average, suggesting the lengthy consolidation phase may almost over.

Further upside catalysts could include rising institutional interest following the launch of U.S.-listed XRP ETFs, Ripple’s expanding portfolio of international partnerships, and clearer regulatory conditions should the CLARITY bill pass in the U.S. this year.
Bitcoin (BTC): DeepSeek Targets $266,000 for Bitcoin
Bitcoin ($BTC), the first and largest crypto by market capitalization, hit a record high of $126,080 on October 6 before entering an extended correction.
Even with recent turbulence, DeepSeek’s suggests Bitcoin can maintain its long-term growth trajectory and hit a new high watermark around $266,000.
Often described as digital gold, Bitcoin cappeals to both institutional and retail investors seeking diverse protection against inflation and broader macroeconomic risk.
Bitcoin currently accounts for around $1.3 trillion of the $2.4 trillion crypto market. Since its ATH, BTC has declined by approximately 48% and now trades near $66,000, following two sharp selloffs triggered by geopolitical concerns involving potential U.S. military action linked to Iran and Greenland.
DeepSeek thinks accelerating institutional adoption and reduced post-halving supply as major forces that could push Bitcoin toward multiple new highs this year.
Furthermore, if U.S. policymakers deliver on promises for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Bitcoin’s upside potential would be unpredictable .
Ethereum (ETH): DeepSeek AI Eyes a Potential Run to $10,000
Ethereum ($ETH) remains the leading smart contract blockchain and the foundational layer for much of DeFi.
With a market capitalization of r$235 billion and over $53 billion locked across DeFi protocols, Ethereum serves as the primary settlement layer for on-chain commerce.
Its strong security track record, dominance in stablecoins, and early traction in real-world asset tokenization position Ethereum as a prime candidate for increased institutional deployment.
That largely depends on U.S. lawmakers approving the CLARITY bill, which would provide the certainty institutions need to deploy capital on Ethereum.
ETH is currently trading around $2,000, with major resistance expected near $5,000 after reaching an all-time high of $4,946.05 last August.
If DeepSeek’s bullish thesis unfolds, a decisive break above $5,000 could see ETH hitting $7,500 by Christmas.
Maxi Doge: Early-Stage Meme Coin Aims for Exponential Upside
DeepSeek’s outlook suggests XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum could be relatively “safe” plays in the coming months, however, their already large market capitalizations limit just how much growth HODLers can enjoy.
That’s not the case with the new meme coin Maxi Doge ($MAXI). The project has raised $4.6 million in its ongoing presale as investors rush to gain exposure to what some are calling the next Dogecoin/
Maxi Doge is Dogecoin’s loud, degenerate gym-bro alpha cousin. But he’s jealous, and he’s coming after Dogecoin through a viral marketing campaign that channels the irreverent spirit of the 2021 meme coin boom.
MAXI is an ERC-20 token on Ethereum’s proof-of-stake network, giving it a smaller environmental footprint than Dogecoin’s proof-of-work model.
Early presale participants can currently stake MAXI for yields of up to 67% APY, with returns gradually declining as the staking pool grows.
The token is $0.0002806 in the current presale phase, with automatic price increases scheduled at each funding milestone. Investors can purchase through wallets including MetaMask and Best Wallet.
Stay updated through Maxi Doge’s official X and Telegram pages.
Visit the Official Website Here.
The post China’s DeepSeek AI Predicts the Price of XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Bank of America, Morgan Stanley Support Bitcoin Stakes
TLDR
- Bank of America, Fidelity, and Morgan Stanley recommend allocating 1% to 5% of portfolios to Bitcoin.
- River reported that major institutions now treat Bitcoin as a portfolio diversifier.
- BlackRock advises limiting Bitcoin exposure to between 1% and 2% of total assets.
- JPMorgan analysts project Bitcoin could reach $266,000 if it rivals private gold investment.
- Bitcoin traded at $67,441 after falling 47% from its October peak of $126,080.
Major Wall Street firms now advise clients to hold small Bitcoin stakes within diversified portfolios. Fidelity Investments, Bank of America, and Morgan Stanley recommend allocations between 1% and 5%. These recommendations formalize Bitcoin’s role as a portfolio diversifier rather than a speculative trade.
River reported that several large institutions issued formal guidance on crypto exposure. The firms outlined allocation ranges that limit risk while allowing participation in price gains. Their guidance reflects structured portfolio models used in wealth management divisions.
Fidelity Investments advises clients to allocate between 2% and 5% to crypto assets, including Bitcoin. Bank of America recommends a 1% to 4% allocation range for diversified portfolios. Morgan Stanley suggests clients hold up to 4% in Bitcoin exposure.
Bank of America and Peers Outline Bitcoin Stakes Strategy
Bank of America placed Bitcoin within its alternative asset framework for private clients. The bank set allocation guidance between 1% and 4% of total portfolio value. The firm structured the guidance around volatility controls and diversification targets.
Fidelity Investments provided a higher allocation band of 2% to 5% for wealth clients. Morgan Stanley capped its recommended exposure level at 4%. BlackRock advised a narrower 1% to 2% range for Bitcoin holdings.
WisdomTree and JPMorgan Chase limited their recommendations to allocations of up to 1%. River compiled these figures in its institutional allocation report. The report described Bitcoin as a diversifier within multi-asset portfolios.
The firms structured their models to balance upside exposure with portfolio stability. They kept allocations limited to preserve overall asset mix targets. The guidance reflects internal research and asset allocation committees.
Price Levels and Long-Term Projections
Bitcoin reached a record high of $126,080 in October last year. The price later declined by 47% from that peak. CoinGecko data showed Bitcoin trading at $67,441 at the time of reporting.
Despite the price decline, several institutions published long-term projections. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said Bitcoin could reach $700,000 per coin. He cited concerns about currency debasement and global financial instability.
Fidelity issued an earlier projection in September 2021. The firm estimated Bitcoin could reach $1 billion per coin by 2038. Jurrien Timmer supported that estimate using stock-to-flow and demand models.
JPMorgan analysts projected Bitcoin could reach $266,000 over time. They based the estimate on Bitcoin competing with gold as a store of value. Analysts compared private-sector gold investment totals with Bitcoin’s market capitalization.
JPMorgan stated that gold outperformed Bitcoin since last October. Analysts reported that the Bitcoin-to-gold volatility ratio fell to about 1.5. They described that level as a record low in their research note.
The bank said Bitcoin would need an $8 trillion market capitalization to reach $266,000. Analysts excluded central bank gold holdings from that comparison.
Crypto World
Will It Shock Gold & Silver?
Few major commodities have displayed the kind of price volatility Palladium has since 2020. After a wild ride, boom and bust included, the price of the metal approaches a key area that will help determine its medium- and long-term outlook.
In the space of just a few years, the metal surged above $3,400 during a supply-driven panic, only to collapse back toward $1,000 as industrial fears, substitution dynamics and the electric vehicle transition narrative took hold.
The amplitude of that move rivals some of the most dramatic commodity cycles of the past two decades.
From Scarcity Panic to Structural Unwind
The 2020-2022 rally was fuelled by a perfect storm: tight supply, heavy reliance on Russian production, strong autocatalyst demand, and limited above-ground inventories.
When geopolitical tensions intensified, the scarcity premium exploded.
But blow-offs rarely stabilise gently.
Once peak fear subsided and EV adoption accelerated, the narrative flipped. Investors began pricing a future where internal combustion
engine demand gradually erodes and platinum substitution gains traction.
As that theme gathered momentum, palladium retraced violently.
By late 2023 and into 2024, the market looked washed out.
Volatility and Reset
The decline toward the $1,000-$1,100 zone coincided with extreme pessimism.
Sentiment shifted from “structural shortage” to “structural obsolescence” in less than 24 months. That kind of narrative swing is typically accompanied by positioning liquidation, and price action reflected it.
Technically, the metal moved back toward long-term support levels that had anchored prior cycles. Momentum indicators reset and volatility compressed. The excess was purged.
2025-2026: Reclaim Phase Underway?
Over the past year, price behaviour has changed meaningfully.
Palladium has reclaimed medium- and long-term moving averages on the weekly and monthly timeframes. Higher lows have begun to form. Momentum has improved without yet reaching euphoric territory.
This rally is not a parabolic breakout, but base construction.
The key zone to watch sits around $1,900-$2,000. A sustained move above that area would mark a structural shift in the longer-term chart and challenge the prevailing “terminal decline” narrative.
Until then, the metal remains in recovery mode, not full revival.
What Drives Palladium?
Unlike Gold, Palladium is not a monetary hedge. It is tied primarily to industrial demand, particularly autocatalysts used in internal combustion and hybrid vehicles.
That means the macro drivers are different:
● Global auto production trends
● China’s manufacturing cycle
● US consumer resilience
● Platinum substitution dynamics
● Russian supply concentration
● The US Dollar trend
If global manufacturing stabilises and hybrid vehicle demand remains robust, Palladium retains its demand base. If the US Dollar softens and industrial sentiment improves, the cyclical tailwind strengthens.
But the structural headwind from electrification remains. This dynamic is precisely what sustains volatility.
Technical Outlook: Compression Before Expansion?
From a chart perspective, Palladium no longer looks like a market in freefall. Instead, it appears to be shifting from liquidation mode into something more constructive.
On the monthly chart, price has managed to climb back above its 55-month moving average and is now pressing up against the 100-month average in the $1,600-$1,700 area.
That may sound technical, but in simple terms it means the metal is rebuilding above levels that had previously defined the long slide.
Momentum has also turned. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which collapsed during the 2023 washout, has recovered steadily and is now moving back toward bullish territory.
Taken together, the longer-term picture looks less like structural decay and more like a market trying to form a durable base.
On the weekly chart, higher lows have begun to form since the $1,000 floor held. The trend strength indicators are expanding again, signalling that directional conviction is returning after a prolonged period of compression.
Price is now approaching a key resistance band between $1,900 and $2,000, a zone that previously acted as a distribution during the early stages of the collapse.
A sustained weekly break above that area would materially alter the medium-term outlook and likely trigger a reassessment of the “terminal decline” narrative.
After a big jump, Palladium has settled into a holding pattern around the $1,750-$1,800 area on the daily chart.
The move up has stopped in a fairly orderly way instead of getting too hot. Momentum indicators remain in the middle range, indicating that the market is retaining its gains rather than losing momentum.
For now, the $1,700 to $1,720 range serves as a near-term cushion. On the upside, a convincing break above $1,850 would signal that buyers are ready to press the recovery further.
Until one of those levels gives way, the metal looks more like it is coiling than collapsing.
In short, the technical picture aligns with the broader macro narrative: the worst of the decline appears to be behind us, but confirmation of a new structural leg higher requires a decisive break above the $1,900-$2,000 region.
Until then, Palladium remains a rebuilding story: volatile, sensitive to macro inputs, and poised at an inflection point rather than in a confirmed breakout.
In a market defined by extremes, Palladium may once again be preparing for a decisive move; the only question is whether conviction ultimately resolves higher or whether volatility reasserts itself before a true structural recovery takes hold.
Crypto World
Paradigm Reportedly Expands into AI, Robotics with $1.5B fund
Crypto investment firm Paradigm is seeking to raise $1.5 billion for a new fund that will invest in companies in AI, robotics and other frontier technologies, according to the Wall Street Journal.
Paradigm will continue to invest in crypto companies, according to sources familiar with the situation, but it will use its existing technical investment team to look at deals in frontier tech companies, they said.
San Francisco–based Paradigm has $12.7 billion in assets under management, according to the latest regulatory filings.
It launched its flagship $2.5 billion fund in November 2021, which was the largest crypto fund in history at the time. It publicly announced its third fund in 2024 — an $850 million venture fund focused on early-stage crypto projects.
According to the WSJ’s sources, the firm’s managers decided they didn’t want to be restricted in ways that could cause them to miss out on attractive deals.
There is also overlap between crypto and AI, such as agentic payments, or transactions made by autonomous AI agents, the person said.
Paradigm exploring AI as early as 2023
Paradigm acknowledged it had been “tinkering” with AI and its convergence with crypto as early as three years ago.
In 2023, Paradigm was seen removing Web3 and crypto-specific language from its website, prompting some speculators to suggest it was already pivoting from crypto to AI.
Matt Huang, the co-founder and managing partner of Paradigm, denied at the time that the website changes reflected a shift away from crypto, but acknowledged that the team had been exploring AI.

In a lengthier tweet weeks later, Huang said that while “we’ve never been more excited about crypto and continue to invest across all stages,” the “developments in AI are too interesting to ignore.”
“It seems trendy to frame crypto vs AI as a zero-sum competition. But we don’t buy it. Both are interesting and will have plenty of overlap. We’re excited to continue exploring,” he said.
Earlier this month, Paradigm and OpenAI released EVMbench, a new benchmark evaluating how different AI models can detect and patch security vulnerabilities found in smart contracts.
AI made up more than half of all VC funding in 2025
In 2025, venture capital investments in AI firms amounted to $258.7 billion, accounting for 61% of all VC investment and doubling its share from 2022, according to OECD.
VC funding for generative AI firms made up 14% of all AI venture capital investments, with firms in the United States attracting the largest share of VC funding.
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