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U.S. Scam Center Seizes $580 Million in Southeast Asia Crypto Fraud

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • U.S. authorities seized over $580M in crypto linked to Southeast Asia fraud networks.
  • “Pig butchering” scams used social engineering to target Americans via U.S. platforms.
  • Scam compounds often involve human trafficking and generate massive regional revenue.
  • Multi-agency Strike Force aims to recover stolen crypto and pursue criminal leaders.

The U.S. Attorney’s Office in Washington, D.C. has frozen and seized more than $580 million in cryptocurrency. The funds are tied to “pig butchering” scams run by Southeast Asia–based criminal groups. 

These schemes used social engineering to lure Americans into fake crypto investments. The seizures mark a significant step in U.S. efforts to combat cross-border crypto fraud.

Scam Center Strike Force Targets Southeast Asian Crypto Networks

The Scam Center Strike Force focuses on Chinese transnational criminal organizations operating in Myanmar, Cambodia, and Laos. These groups run cryptocurrency investment frauds designed to steal Americans’ life savings. 

Victims are approached through U.S. social media platforms and text messages to gain trust. They are then tricked into transferring funds to fake crypto platforms.

Many operations take place in compounds where workers are often human trafficking victims. Armed guards and abusive conditions control these employees as they target Americans. 

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The scams generate revenue so large that it can equal nearly half of the local GDP. Authorities emphasize that freezing crypto is a key method to disrupt these organized networks.

The Strike Force is a collaboration between the U.S. Attorney’s Office, the Department of Justice, the FBI, and the U.S. Secret Service. 

Other contributors include the IRS Criminal Investigation Unit and district offices across Washington, Rhode Island, and beyond. These agencies coordinate to identify leaders and recover stolen funds. The goal is to pursue forfeiture and return assets to victims where possible.

Law enforcement emphasizes the speed and scale of these operations. Within three months, the Strike Force froze over $580 million, showing rapid progress against fraud. Officials describe the fraud as highly organized, targeting Americans regardless of location or status.

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The effort also highlights the growing role of cryptocurrency in transnational criminal activity.

Crypto Seizures as a Strategic Deterrent

Cryptocurrency seizure teams focus on identifying wallets and accounts used by scam networks. 

Agencies employ cross-jurisdictional collaboration to track funds from Southeast Asia to the U.S. The U.S. Secret Service and FBI handle investigations through field offices in multiple states, ensuring coordination. This approach allows authorities to respond quickly to new scam operations.

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Targeting high-value leaders remains a top priority for investigators. Seized funds provide data to trace wider criminal networks and identify co-conspirators. 

The initiative also informs the public about safe crypto practices and emerging scam tactics. Legal procedures aim to return as much of the stolen crypto as possible to affected Americans.

The Strike Force’s efforts reinforce that U.S. law enforcement is actively monitoring cross-border crypto fraud. Seizures demonstrate both technical expertise and legal authority to disrupt complex schemes. 

Authorities continue to monitor Southeast Asian networks for future criminal activity. The initiative provides a model for addressing international cryptocurrency fraud systematically.

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Crypto World

Buying Bitcoin? Hold BTC for at Least Three Years to Avoid Losses

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Buying Bitcoin? Hold BTC for at Least Three Years to Avoid Losses

Bitcoin (BTC) rewards investors the most who hold it for at least three years, according to data shared by André Dragosch, head of research at Bitwise Europe.

Key takeaways:

  • Holding BTC for at least three years has historically slashed losses to just 0.70%.

  • Bitcoin price predictions for 2026–2027 cluster around $100,000–$150,000 in bullish scenarios.

Long-term Bitcoin holders rarely lose

A Bitwise analysis reviewed Bitcoin’s price history between July 17, 2010, and Feb. 11, 2026, concluding that the probability of being in the red drops to just 0.70% when BTC is held for at least three years.

Bitcoin investors’ probability of loss per holding period. Source: Bitwise

In other words, nearly all rolling three-year entry points in Bitcoin’s history ended up profitable. Beyond three years, the risk of loss fell even further: 0.2% over five years and 0% over ten years.

Traders holding Bitcoin for less than three years faced a much higher risk of loss.

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Intraday buyers, for instance, had a 47.1% chance of being underwater. That probability stayed elevated at 44.7% over one week, 43.2% over one month, and 24.3% over a one-year holding period.

Stronger hands are 90% in profit already

The realized price metric also shows declines in holders’ losses over multi-year windows.

As of Saturday, Bitcoin was down by roughly 50% from its October 2025 high, trading for around $65,000.

That was way above its three-to-five-year realized price of $34,780, meaning investors who bought and held through that window were still sitting on an approximately 90% profit.

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BTC realized price by age. Source: Glassnode

Meanwhile, some traders argue the ongoing Bitcoin price correction could extend toward $30,000.

A move to that level would wipe out much of the cohort’s cushion, pushing the three–five year band closer to breakeven. That would further test whether these holders start adding to sell pressure or sit tight.

Conversely, most traders who bought Bitcoin in the past two years were underwater.

BTC realized price by age. Source: Glassnode

The cost basis of the 6m–12m cohort, entities that have been holding BTC for up to a year, was around $101,250, leaving them with roughly a 35% in unrealized loss as of Saturday.

However, the 1y–2y cohort’s cost basis was lower, around $78,150, translating into about a 15% unrealized loss.

The gap reinforced the same pattern seen in the holding-period data: the longer the holding window, the smaller the drawdown tends to be during corrections.

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How high can BTC price go?

Longer-term forecasts still cluster around a handful of upside targets for 2026–2027.

For instance, global brokerage firm Bernstein maintained its $150,000 BTC price call for 2026, pointing to relatively modest net outflows of about 7% from spot Bitcoin ETFs, even as BTC’s price fell by 50%.

“The current Bitcoin price action is a mere crisis of confidence,” Bernstein analysts led by Gautam Chhugani said.

Standard Chartered, meanwhile, warned of a potential “final capitulation” phase that could drag BTC toward $50,000 amid weak ETF flows and a tougher macro backdrop, before recovering toward $100,000 by the end of 2026.

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Looking into 2027, Timothy Peterson’s historical “average return” framework points to $122,000 by early 2027, with high odds that BTC trades above that figure.

Trailing positive BTC price months with put option payoff data. Source: Timothy Peterson/X