Money
Is Now the Right Time to Buy More BP Shares?
A yield of 6.1% but a drop of 31%! Should I buy more BP shares?
BP shares offer a high yield projected to grow through 2026, with a significant earnings increase anticipated, suggesting the stock may be undervalued. BP (LSE: BP) shares have fallen sharply from their 12-month high of £5.40 on April 12.
This decline reflects a similar fall in global oil prices, driven mainly by reduced demand from China amid an uncertain post-COVID economic recovery. Additional downward pressure on oil prices comes from increased global supply. While OPEC+ has been cutting production, other countries have stepped up, balancing the effect.
The Oil Market Outlook In the short term, the bearish sentiment on oil might continue due to these factors, although geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could shift this outlook if the Israel-Iran conflict escalates.
Over the long term, however, I expect a shift. The green energy transition could take longer than predicted; even the UN’s 2023 Climate Change Conference noted that reaching net-zero by 2050 should follow scientific guidance. Since 2014, investment in oil and gas has fallen due to this transition focus, potentially creating future production gaps, which could lift oil prices if demand outpaces supply.
BP’s Core Business Since Murray Auchincloss became CEO in January, BP has adjusted its transition strategy. It dropped its goal to reduce oil and gas production by 2030 and scaled back investments in low-carbon hydrogen. The company also plans to sell its US onshore wind operations.
In contrast, BP is advancing development of its Gulf of Mexico assets (10 billion barrels of oil) and four fields in Iraq (9 billion barrels). BP’s Q3 results showed an underlying replacement cost profit of $2.27 billion (£1.76 billion), surpassing the forecasted $2.05 billion.
One risk for BP is the potential government push to resume its previous energy transition plans, which could reduce its market share and profitability. But as it stands, analysts estimate BP’s earnings will grow by 26.6% annually through 2026.
Share Price and Yield Long-term earnings growth can drive both share prices and dividends. Based on discounted cash flow analysis incorporating this growth, BP shares are 49% undervalued, with a fair price of £7.29 versus the current £3.72. Market fluctuations, of course, could impact this valuation.
Analysts also project BP’s dividends to reach 25.4p in 2025 and 26.7p in 2026, translating to yields of 6.8% and 7.2%, respectively, based on the current share price. With a current yield of 6.1% (22.5p dividend in 2023), these projections make BP shares look appealing. Given this strong growth outlook, I’m planning to buy more BP stock soon.
5 Shares for the Future of Energy For investors without exposure to the energy sector, this could be the right time to consider it, given the potential for growth in the energy market.
Disclaimer
The information provided in Finance Monthly is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. All content, including articles, interviews, and analysis, reflects the opinions of the authors and does not necessarily represent the views of Finance Monthly.
Investing in financial markets involves risks, including the loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and there is no guarantee that any investment strategy will be successful. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Money
Over a quarter of a million households on benefits have payments STOPPED – how to avoid it happening to you
OVER a quarter of a million households have had their benefit payments stopped after failing to act on a key deadline.
New government figures show 318,834 (up from 284,660 reported in August) benefits claimants have lost out by not moving to Universal Credit within an important three-month window.
Two million people on legacy benefits are gradually moving to Universal Credit under a process known as managed migration.
Universal Credit was set up to replace legacy benefits and kicked off in November 2022 after a successful pilot in July 2019.
As part of the process, eligible households on legacy benefits, including tax credits, are sent “migration notices” in the post which tell them how to make the move to Universal Credit as it’s not automatic.
Households must apply for Universal Credit within three months of receiving their managed migration letter.
Failing to do this can result in benefits being stopped.
Between July 2022 and September 30, 2024, the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) sent almost 1.4 million migration notices.
However, according to the DWP’s latest figures, 318,834 individuals lost their benefits after failing to act on migration notices received between July 2022 and June 2024.
Some 883,944 individuals have since made successful claims for Universal Credit, and another 166,594 are still in the process of transitioning.
Ayla Ozmen, director of policy and campaigns at Z2K, said: “We’re concerned to see that more people have had vital benefit payments stopped as part of the government’s plan to move people on to Universal Credit.
“The government now looks to have moved all disabled people on to Universal Credit by March 2026, and we are worried that more people may miss the deadline and have their benefits stopped, with potentially disastrous results.
“The government needs to ensure that appropriate safeguards are put in place to stop disabled people being left with nothing to live on.”
Experts have previously warned that managed migration poses a risk to vulnerable people who face losing money.
Top bosses at charities, including Mind, The Trussell Trust, Turn2Us and the Money and Mental Health Policy Institute, said in 2022 that around 700,000 with mental health problems, learning disabilities, and dementia could struggle to engage with the process.
More than 20 organisations have called on the government to halt managed migration to fix flaws in the system that could cause those at risk to fall through.
Which benefits are stopping?
UNIVERSAL Credit is replacing six benefits under the old welfare system, commonly called legacy benefits. They are:
- Working tax credit
- Child tax credit
- Income-based jobseeker’s allowance
- Income support
- income-related employment and support allowance
- Housing benefit
If you’re on any of these benefits now, you can choose to move over – but you might not be better off.
You should consider carefully what moving over means for your money, as you can’t move back once you’re on Universal Credit.
Using an online benefits calculator, which is free and easy to use from charities such as Turn2Us and EntitledTo, can help you compare.
You may be moved to Universal Credit if your circumstances change, such as moving home, changing your working hours, or having a baby.
But eventually everyone will be moved over to Universal Credit under the managed migration process.
MANAGED MIGRATION PROGRESS
In January, the government announced the number of migration notices it plans to send out in the coming financial year.
Before this date, the focus was sending migration notices to households claiming tax credits only.
However, 110,000 income support claimants and a further 120,000 claiming tax credits with housing benefit started receiving their letters in April.
Over 100,000 housing benefit-only claimants were contacted in June.
More than 90,000 people claiming employment and support allowance (ESA) along with child tax credits started being asked to switch in July.
Meanwhile, 20,000 claimants on jobseekers allowance (JSA) were contacted in September.
The Sun previously reported that, in August, those claiming tax credits who are over state pension age will be asked to apply for either Universal Credit or pension credit.
It was initially planned that those claiming income-related ESA alone would not be moved until 2028.
However, the DWP brought forward plans to move these households to Universal Credit by the end of 2025.
Since September 2024, 800,000 households have begun receiving letters explaining how to move from ESA to Universal Credit.
HELP CLAIMING UNIVERSAL CREDIT
As well as benefit calculators, anyone moving from tax credits to Universal Credit can find help in a number of ways.
You can visit your local Jobcentre by searching at find-your-nearest-jobcentre.dwp.gov.uk/.
There’s also a free service called Help to Claim from Citizen’s Advice:
- England: 0800 144 8 444
- Scotland: 0800 023 2581
- Wales: 08000 241 220
You can also get help online from advisers at citizensadvice.org.uk/about-us/contact-us/contact-us/help-to-claim/.
Will I be better off on Universal Credit?
ANALYSIS by James Flanders, The Sun’s Chief Consumer Reporter:
Around 1.4million people on legacy benefits will be better off after switching to Universal Credit, according to the government.
A further 300,000 would see no change in payments, while around 900,000 would be worse off under Universal Credit.
Of these, around 600,000 can get top-up payments (transitional protection) if they move under the managed migration process, so they don’t lose out on cash immediately.
The majority of those – around 400,000 – are claiming employment support allowance (ESA).
Around 100,000 are on tax credits, while fewer than 50,000 each on other legacy benefits are expected to be affected.
Those who move voluntarily and are worse off won’t get these top-up payments and could lose cash.
Those who miss the managed migration deadline and later make a claim may not get transitional protection.
The clock starts ticking on the three-month countdown from the date of the first letter, and reminders are sent via post and text message.
There is a one-month grace period after this, during which any claim to Universal Credit is backdated, and transitional protection can still be awarded.
Examples of those who may be entitled to less on Universal Credit include:
- Households getting ESA and the severe disability premium and enhanced disability premium
- Households with the lower disabled child addition on legacy benefits
- Self-employed households who are subject to the Minimum Income Floor after the 12-month grace period has ended
- In-work households that worked a specific number of hours (e.g. lone parent working 16 hours claiming working tax credits
- Households receiving tax credits with savings of more than £6,000 (and up to £16,000)
Either way, if these households don’t switch in the future, they risk missing out on any future benefit increase and seeing payments frozen.
Money
Mortimer Street Capital completes £27.5m commercial refinance facility
MSC was instructed to structure a facility and explore options in the market that included commercial properties, residential assets, land and development sites totalling 11 securities.
The post Mortimer Street Capital completes £27.5m commercial refinance facility appeared first on Property Week.
Money
Jessica Simpson’s $22M Mortgage Moves Amid Split Rumors
Mortgage Mayhem: Jessica Simpson and Eric Johnson’s $22M Loans Amid Money Troubles and Rumored Split
Jessica Simpson and her husband, former NFL star Eric Johnson, have taken out over $22 million in loans on their opulent Hidden Hills mansion, raising questions about the couple’s finances and sparking rumors of a potential split after a decade of marriage. Despite the whispers of financial struggles and relationship troubles, the two have not publicly confirmed any separation or filed for divorce.
Property records reveal a complex series of financial maneuvers on the home, which Simpson purchased in 2013 from Ozzy and Sharon Osbourne for $11.5 million under her “Dixie Trail Trust.” Initially, in 2015, Simpson and Johnson took out a $7.3 million mortgage on the property with JPMorgan Chase, followed by an $8 million loan in 2017. Additional loans with other lenders — $3.65 million with Platinum Loan Servicing Inc. and $3.04 million with the Bank of Southern California — brought the total loan amount to over $22 million. Although they have continued to meet these loan obligations, the sheer scale of the debt has fueled speculation about the couple’s financial standing.
An Oasis of Luxury in Hidden Hills
Simpson and Johnson’s estate in the celebrity-favored, gated community of Hidden Hills is a stunning example of luxury California real estate. This 13,274-square-foot home, nestled on 2.25 acres of land, boasts an impressive eight bedrooms and 13 bathrooms. Blending Cape Cod-inspired design with contemporary elegance, the home is secluded at the end of a cul-de-sac, offering both privacy and sweeping views of the city and nearby mountains.
The house is built for both entertaining and family life, featuring a grand spiral staircase that makes a memorable first impression. A large family room is warmed by a reclaimed brick fireplace and framed by oversized sliding barn doors, giving the space a rustic, yet refined look. Floor-to-ceiling windows flood the space with natural light, creating a sense of openness and connection to the outdoors.
The kitchen is truly a chef’s dream, with high-end Wolf appliances, a spacious center island, a walk-in pantry, and a charming breakfast nook where Simpson has shared glimpses of cozy family mornings with her children, Maxwell, Ace, and Birdie. The master suite is a luxurious retreat within the home, complete with a fireplace, a wood-paneled walk-in closet, and an adjacent office for quiet moments or remote work. Outdoor spaces add to the estate’s allure, with expansive lawns, a spa, a shallow pool, and numerous seating areas designed for lounging, socializing, and relaxation. A separate guesthouse provides additional living space, suitable for an office or gym, and a four-car garage adds a practical touch.
Financial Struggles and the Fight to Save Her Brand
Simpson’s financial challenges have become public knowledge over the years, with the singer and entrepreneur candidly discussing her journey to reclaim control of the Jessica Simpson Collection, the billion-dollar brand she co-founded with her mother, Tina, in 2005. The business grew rapidly, becoming a household name and a major force in fashion retail. However, in 2015, Sequential Brands Group acquired a controlling stake in the business, leaving Simpson with a 37.5% ownership share.
In 2021, when Sequential Brands filed for bankruptcy, Simpson was forced to make a difficult decision. Determined to regain full control of her company, she and her mother placed a $65 million bid, a move funded by a mix of loans and family contributions. “I drained everything to buy it back,” Simpson revealed in an interview, explaining the extent of her financial commitment to the business. Her decision meant taking on significant personal financial risk, even to the point of not having a working credit card at one point. “I went to Taco Bell the other day and my card got denied,” she admitted on The Real, highlighting her willingness to prioritize her brand’s future over her own financial comfort.
For Simpson, the choice to regain control of her brand was deeply personal. “With money, there’s just so much fear attached to it,” she said, acknowledging the anxiety that can come with financial instability. Despite these struggles, Simpson has remained resolute, regularly showcasing pieces from her collection on social media and discussing her plans to expand the brand further.
Rumors of a Rocky Marriage and Separate Lives
Alongside these financial hurdles, Jessica and Eric’s relationship has faced scrutiny, with rumors circulating that the couple may be living separate lives. The two celebrated their 10-year wedding anniversary this year, but Simpson’s failure to acknowledge the milestone on social media fueled speculation about the state of their marriage. Observers noted that she has been spotted without her wedding ring in recent months, and Eric has been noticeably absent from her social media posts. Even during recent family gatherings, such as Easter, the couple appeared together with their children but did not pose side-by-side.
Jessica’s recent post from her Nashville music room, where she announced new music, further hinted at personal challenges. She wrote, “This comeback is personal, it’s an apology to myself for putting up with everything I did not deserve,” a statement that many fans interpreted as a veiled reference to her marriage. Her return to music seems to be both a professional and personal endeavor, a chance for Simpson to reconnect with her passions and redefine herself after years of business and family commitments.
Looking to the Future with Resilience and Renewal
Though Jessica and Eric put their Hidden Hills mansion on the market for $22 million in September 2023, they later removed the listing in August 2024. This move leaves questions about their future — will they remain in Los Angeles, or could they be considering a more permanent move to Nashville, where Simpson has been spending more time and working on new music?
Despite the rumors and financial strains, Simpson’s determination remains clear. She’s shown a fierce commitment to her brand, her family, and her own personal growth. Reflecting on her drive and resilience, she once shared, “I’ll put it all out there if it’s me that’s driving the show, because I believe in myself… And I know that nothing will stop me, and if you try to stop me, I’ll try harder.”
Her journey has been anything but conventional, marked by financial gambles, a high-profile marriage, and a struggle to maintain her footing in a demanding industry. Simpson’s story is one of both public and private battles, of a woman unafraid to push her limits in pursuit of a vision that’s entirely her own. As she embarks on her latest “personal comeback,” fans and critics alike are watching closely, anticipating what the next chapter holds for the multi-talented star.
Money
AJ Bell reduces charges on multi-asset income range
AJ Bell has reduced ongoing charges across its multi-asset income range, including flagship funds.
The charges for the VT AJ Bell Income Fund and VT AJ Bell Income & Growth Fund have been reduced by 15 basis points.
The reduction from 0.65% to 0.50% came into effect on 1 November.
AJ Bell said its multi-asset income range has delivered strong performance with a five-year total return of 22.51% and 27.58% respectively.
The funds, which were launched in 2019, will now offer a smoothed income profile, with 11 equal monthly income payments and a final balance distribution in month 12.
The wealth manager said the multi-asset income range, alongside its Managed Portfolio Service (MPS), Growth and Responsible investing funds, has formed an important part of its investments business.
The investments business has grown to assets under management of £6.8 bn as of 30 September 2024, up 45% in the year and with inflows of £1.5 bn.
AJ Bell said today’s announcement further evidences its commitment to delivering exceptional value for customers and follows charge reductions on its Investcentre adviser platform earlier this year, with fees cut to between 0.2% and 0.075% and capped on accounts over £2m.
Ryan Hughes, AJ Bell Investments managing director, said: “After another strong year for our investments business, we are very happy to announce a reduction in charges for our range of income funds. We remain committed to passing on economies of scale to our customers as we continue to grow, ensuring we are delivering excellent value investment solutions alongside strong investment returns.
“At the same time, the move to a ‘smoothed income’ approach helps customers using our income funds manage their investment income. As more investors look to rely on investment income in retirement, this approach will make life easier, with a consistent, reliable income enabling better budgeting and cashflow planning.”
Money
What the new ‘pension megafunds’ plan by Rachel Reeves means for YOUR retirement
THE government is set to announce huge plans to create “pension megafunds” in a bid to boost both savers’ retirement pots and investment in the UK.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves will outline the plans to move around £800billion of pension savings into larger so-called “megafunds” in her first annual “Mansion House” speech this evening.
Local government pension schemes, which manage around £400billion of that cash, will be forced to split into eight megafunds.
Eventually, the plan is to then group all other defined contribution (DC) schemes – what most workers save into – into a number of other big funds.
DC schemes are where you and your employer both put money into a scheme and the cash is invested to grow your pot over time.
The plan is to set a minimum amount these funds can have in them – currently touted as somewhere between £25billion and £50billion.
The government is also consulting on allowing fund managers – who manage where all this cash is invested – to move savers from schemes which are under-performing into schemes that will deliver them better value.
The megafund set-up is similar to the pension systems in other countries like Australia and Canada, where pension cash is pooled into huge so-called “superfunds” and invested on behalf of larger groups of savers.
Ms Reeves said the reforms are the biggest change to the pensions market “in decades” that will “boost people’s savings in retirement” and “drive economic growth”.
The government added: “Consolidating the assets into a handful of megafunds run by professional fund managers will allow them to invest more in assets like infrastructure, supporting economic growth and local investment.”
What do the changes mean for your money?
Currently, most workers in the UK are automatically enrolled into their workplace pension scheme.
These are usually DC schemes. The other type of pensions in the UK are “defined benefit” schemes, where workers receive a guaranteed income in retirement based on their years of service.
But “megafunds” will pool a number of workplace pension schemes together to create giant pots of money to invest.
The aim is that by having much larger amounts to invest, the cash returns on those investments will be far higher than having lots of smaller pots.
For example, if you returned 5% on £1,000 in a year, you would earn £50, but if you returned 5% on £100,000 over a year, you would earn £5,000, and so on.
This should mean savers should end up with much larger pots of money by the time they retire.
Having more cash also means investment managers can take more risk with their investments with the aim of achieving higher returns.
Looking at the bigger picture, the government is hoping that these larger pension funds can be used to invest in infrastructure projects, which will ultimately benefit everyone.
Currently, most DC pensions in the UK are too small to invest in any meaningful capacity in infrastructure projects, such as roads, railways or building developments.
But government analysis has found pension funds worth between £25billion and £50billion can achieve much greater “productive investment levels”.
For example, it found Canada’s pension schemes invest around four times more in infrastructure than the UK currently does, while Australia’s pension schemes invest around three times more.
By combining UK schemes, the government estimates it could unlock a whopping £80billion to invest in the country’s infrastructure.
Jon Greer, head of retirement policy at wealth manager Quilter, said that by pooling resources into larger funds, savers will access “high-yield investments that smaller schemes often miss”.
“Drawing inspiration from successful models in Australia and Canada, this approach has the potential to deliver stable returns while supporting meaningful long-term projects,” he added.
However, some pensions industry experts have expressed concern that the government’s main focus is on investing in the UK rather than achieving returns for savers.
Tom Selby, director of public policy at AJ Bell, warned: “Conflating a government goal of driving investment in the UK and people’s retirement outcomes brings a danger because the risks are all taken with members’ money.
“If it goes well, everyone can celebrate – but it’s clearly possible that it will go the other way, so there needs to be some caution in this push to use other people’s money to drive economic growth.”
How do pensions make money?
DEFINED contribution pension cash is pooled together to make money for savers.
Schemes are managed by investment firms, such as Hargreaves Lansdown or Fidelity, and fund managers at those firms decide where to invest savers’ cash to earn as much money as possible.
Over a long period, these returns from investments gradually increase the size of the pot – and as the pot size increases, the amount it can return also increases, as the return is calculated on a larger amount of money.
This is known as “compound interest”.
We have previously revealed how over 40 years, you could save a total of £109,671, while only paying in £40,000 of your own money because of compound interest.
The larger the amount of money is that’s invested, the higher the returns can be in cash-terms for savers.
CryptoCurrency
3 Ultra-Safe Dividend Stocks That Have Been Paying Dividends for More Than 100 Years
The past doesn’t predict the future. But if a company has been paying dividends for a long time, that can give investors confidence in its ability to continue doing so. It demonstrates that the company can weather a lot of adversity and innovate and launch new products to meet changing demand. Those are key characteristics investors will want to see when considering long-term investments.
Three stocks that have not only been around for a century but have also been paying dividends for that long are Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), and Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT). Here’s why these can be some of the safest stocks you can add to your portfolio today.
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Coca-Cola has an iconic brand that’s known all around the world. It’s a top Warren Buffett holding, and a big reason for that is its strong brand power. Its products are found in millions of households, across hundreds of countries. While the company is known for its Coke products, it has evolved over the years and now has more than 200 brands, branching out beyond just soft drinks and into coffee, tea, and water.
The company has created no-sugar products to meet changing customer demand, and it has also expanded via acquisitions. Coca-Cola may not be the growth machine it once was, but it’s still a reliable business to invest in. It has generated $10.4 billion in profit over the past four quarters on sales of $46.4 billion, for a profit margin of 22%.
Coca-Cola has paid a dividend going back to 1893. Today, it’s part of an exclusive club of Dividend Kings, which have increased their dividend payments for more than 50 straight years. Its dividend yields 3%, and if your priority is to generate a safe and recurring dividend, Coca-Cola may be an ideal stock to put into your portfolio right now.
Eli Lilly is a hot growth stock to buy, as investors are bullish on its prospects in the weight loss market. The company has an incredibly promising product in tirzepatide, which regulators have approved for diabetes treatment (Mounjaro) and weight loss (Zepbound). At its peak, tirzepatide may be the best-selling drug ever, with some analysts projecting that its annual revenue will eventually top more than $50 billion.
To put into perspective just how massive that is, consider that Eli Lilly generated $34 billion in sales last year — from all of its products. With so much excitement surrounding Eli Lilly’s potential, it’s little wonder that the healthcare stock has risen by more than 200% in just the past three years.
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