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Burrito chain listing gives rare dose of spice to Australia’s IPO market

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The number of companies going public in Australia is at its lowest since the global financial crisis 15 years ago, leaving a Mexican fast-food chain as the biggest listing in a market once buzzing with new mining and energy stocks.

The 12 initial public offerings so far in 2024 on the Australian stock exchange have raised just $371mn, according to data provided by LSEG, the lowest year-to-date levels since 2009 and little more than a quarter of the historic average since the turn of the century.

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The dearth is being partly blamed on Australia’s uncertain economic outlook. Growth has faltered and interest rates have been kept high to tackle stubborn inflation.

Also to blame is voracious competition from private capital for assets, exemplified by the A$24bn (US$16bn) takeover of former IPO candidate AirTrunk by Blackstone this month.

Larger companies have paused potential floats hoping for more stable conditions, said Marcus Ohm, a partner at HLB Mann Judd, which compiles an annual report on Australia’s new listings market. “There’s no certainty” on valuation, he said, adding: “It’s a cyclical market and it’s been a bit of a ‘wait and see’ mentality.”

Steven Marks wearing a black and yellow GYG hoodie
Steven Marks, who previously worked at hedge fund SAC Capital, co-founded Guzman y Gomez with a childhood friend in 2006 © Brent Lewin/Bloomberg

The only listing of significant size this year has been of burrito chain Guzman y Gomez, which raised A$335mn at a valuation of A$2.2bn in June. The chain was founded by New Yorkers Steven Marks, who previously worked at Steve Cohen’s hedge fund SAC Capital, and his childhood friend Robert Hazan, who spied an opportunity to build a Mexican-themed fast-food chain in Australia in 2006.

The market capitalisation of the company, which also operates in Japan and the US, has rapidly risen to A$4bn as investors have bought into its growth plans. That has encouraged some other companies to dust off their listings plans.

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A more esoteric IPO is expected from Western Australia’s Good Earth Dairy, which wants to turn wild camels’ milk into ice cream and baby formula. Having called off listings in 2020 and 2022, it has started talks with potential cornerstone investors, hoping to raise A$20mn.

Milk from Australia’s 1mn feral camels has fewer allergens than other dairy products and could be used in exports to China and the Middle East, according to chief executive Marcel Steingiesser.

Yet ASX, the stock exchange operator, needs a bigger pipeline of larger companies to follow in Guzman y Gomez’s wake.

The lack of IPOs comes despite a surge in Australian equity markets, with the ASX benchmark index hitting record highs this week.

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It is also at odds with the huge demand for investable assets from institutions including Australia’s A$4tn pension fund sector. Aware Super, the country’s third-largest pension fund, acted as a cornerstone investor for Guzman y Gomez.

James Posnett, general manager of listings at ASX, said demand from institutional investors was “the loudest it has been” in his 12 years with the exchange.

The ASX also pointed to a string of capital raising by listed companies as a testament to the strength of investor appetite. NextDC, a data centre rival to AirTrunk, has raised A$2.7bn in the past 18 months by issuing new shares. “There’s a lot of money looking for a home,” Posnett said.

A slump in prices of commodities including lithium has stemmed the usual steady flow of small-cap mining listings, although CleanTech Lithium — which operates in Chile and is already listed on London’s junior AIM market — is to raise up to A$20mn with a secondary listing in the coming weeks.

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Rob Jahrling, head of equity capital markets at Citigroup in Sydney, said institutional and retail investors were keen for the IPO market to reopen after a number of large listed Australian companies — such as technology company Altium — were taken over and delisted in recent years. “There’s not enough listings to redeploy that capital,” he said. “The universe has shrunk.”

Significant activity is not tipped to pick up until later in the year or early 2025, when the bigger listings are most likely to be by companies that have halted floats in recent years due to market conditions.

They include payments company Cuscal, which is partly owned by Mastercard, and airline Virgin Australia, owned by Bain Capital, have both been tipped to revive stalled IPO plans before the end of the year by investment bankers. 

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Karen Chan, a fund manager at Perennial Private Investors, said Guzman y Gomez’s strong performance had “piqued the interest” of shareholders looking for brands with global potential. “The IPO option is now on the table,” she said. “There is demand for high-quality companies.”

Jahrling also said the success of Guzman y Gomez provided “a blueprint and confidence” for other companies. But he added that competition from venture capital, infrastructure funds and pension funds to invest in high-growth companies could yet intensify, as was the case with AirTrunk. “I don’t think that [competition] is going away,” he said.

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A taxonomy of sovereign wealth funds

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Brad Setser is a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations

Everyone seems to want a sovereign wealth fund these days. Even countries that have more sovereign debt than sovereign wealth are hot on the idea.

It’s a hot topic. Over time, less and less of the growth of the foreign assets of the world’s governments has taken the form of traditional FX reserves, and more and more has taken the form of swelling sovereign wealth funds (see the chart below).

However, the SWF term has gotten stretched to the point where it has almost lost meaning. So here’s a short(ish) taxonomy of the different funds, what they do and where their money comes from, before turning to the suggestion that the UK and US should get their own SWFs.

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The OG SWFs

The original sovereign wealth funds were basically mechanisms for investing excess foreign exchange reserves abroad in equities and other assets that were too volatile or illiquid for traditional foreign exchange reserve managers.

The bulk were set up by countries with huge oil revenues. The proceeds were initially simply parked at the central bank and basically managed as foreign exchange reserves — ie in safe fixed income like Treasuries and other high-grade debt.

That’s how Saudi Arabia long managed the more transparent portion of its oil wealth — the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority reported large deposits from the rest of the government that offset its large reserves — and how Russia generally managed its oil surplus.

But Abu Dhabi — the most oil-rich of the United Arab Emirates — Kuwait, and Qatar all set up “investment authorities” (ADIA, KIA, and QIA) to invest in equities, not just traditional reserve assets. Over time they started to invest in hedge funds and private equity, and became very big.

Norges Bank Investment Management, also fits this model. Norway found oil and gas after it was already fairly rich, and decided to channel almost all its energy income into an endowment managed by Norges Bank (this sovereign wealth fund is in effect a subdivision of the central bank). However, NBIM diverges from other similar hydrocarbon SWFs in its transparency, strict rules and avoidance of high-fee fund managers. It is in practice a giant index fund.

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Singapore doesn’t have a lot of oil but it does intervene heavily in the foreign exchange market. That has allowed it to set up the Government Investment Corporation (GIC) with its excess foreign exchange reserves. Think of the Yale endowment model of investment, but for a country. The GIC now has so much money that it won’t disclose the amount.

Singapore continues to intervene so heavily in the foreign exchange market that it has transferred another $200bn to the GIC over the past few years, albeit with a bit more transparency than in the past.

There’s also a smattering of other smaller, resource-funded sovereign wealth funds, such as the State Oil Fund of Azerbaijan/SOFAZ (which isn’t really a pure sovereign wealth fund, given its domestic activity) and Botswana’s Pula Fund, where the assets come from diamond rather than energy sales.

All told, “traditional” sovereign wealth funds likely have over $3tn in external assets, which is pretty significant relative to the world’s $12tn in traditional reserve assets.

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SWFs with Chinese characteristics

China’s formal sovereign wealth fund, the China Investment Corporation (CIC), broadly follows the classic model. But the CIC is a SWF with many Chinese characteristics.

It was financed out of funds that were bought from the central bank using yuan, raised through a special bond issue that was bought by the state banks. Most of its external assets (reported to be around $318bn; see the “Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss” line on page 91 of its 2022 annual report) are invested in foreign equities and alternatives (it has a ton of private equity, see the reporting of MainFT itself).

But at times, it has dabbled in investments that support Xi Jinping’s policy objectives — for example, the Hong Kong-based Guoxin International Investment Co, which supports resource investment abroad. It’ also rumoured to have dabbled in supporting the domestic equity market at times as a part of the “national team” (it certainly can buy bank stocks).

Most importantly, the CIC bought (from China’s reserve manager) the stakes in the state banks that the People’s Bank of China received when its reserves were used as the “currency” of the initial recapitalisation of four of the big five state commercial banks. This, in fact, accounts for the majority of the CIC’s initial $200bn in seed capital. Those stakes are held by an entity that is fully controlled by the CIC — Central Huijin Investment — and now account for the bulk of its reported assets.

CIC is therefore probably best thought of as a bank holding company with a small traditional sovereign wealth attached to it. In fact, the CIC now also owns the “bad banks” that were set up to move the bad assets off state banks’ balance sheets prior to their recapitalisation with foreign exchange reserves. Red capitalism is full of ironies.

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Amateurs often make the mistake of subtracting the CIC’s total reported assets — which include the $860bn (as of end 2022) stake in the state banks — from China’s reported reserves. That’s the wrong way to do the balance of payments maths. The right way is to add the CIC’s external assets to the State Administrator of Foreign Exchange’s reported reserves.

To make things more confusing, SAFE, China’s traditional reserve manager also invests a portion of its $3.2tn of foreign exchange in both equities and “alternatives”. As a result, some refer to its Hong Kong subsidiary, SAFE Investment Company Limited, as a sovereign wealth fund.

However, SAFE has used its reserves to recapitalise the policy banks (the Export-Import Bank of China and the China Development Bank) and thus created an entity — Buttonwood Investment — to manage that stake. It has also used reserves to capitalise some smaller Chinese SWFs that support the Belt and Road (The Silk Road Fund, the China-Africa Development Fund, the China-LAC Cooperation Fund, etc.).

Basically, China is so big, and the state so sprawling, that it ended up with multiple sovereign funds, almost all with Chinese characteristics.

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Pensioner SWFs

There’s another type of sovereign wealth fund that has some of the attributes of a traditional one but typically isn’t funded out of reserve assets: sovereign pension funds.

Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF), which reports to the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, is the best example, followed closely by the Korean National Pension Service (NPS) which reports to the Ministry of Health and Welfare.

Some include the North American subnational state pensions funds and Australia’s superannuation funds in this category, but they are typically one step removed from state government, and they have clear offsetting liabilities and thus don’t have a large net worth.

These sovereign pension funds typically start by taking pension contributions and investing them in domestic assets. Think of the US payroll taxes that were invested in the Social Security Trust Fund (which itself only bought government bonds).

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But at some point, the big government pension funds have started to invest in external assets — typically bread and butter foreign equity indices and foreign bond funds rather than the real estate and trophy assets bought by the Gulf.

The numbers are big, given their size and the large international allocations. About 50 per cent of GPIF’s assets are invested abroad, and Korea aims to bring the foreign allocation of the rapidly growing NPS to 60 per cent. That means the foreign portfolio of the GPIF is about $750bn, and the foreign portfolio of the NPS now tops $400bn.

These funds are interesting because they can have a large impact on the foreign exchange market. For example, a few years ago the Bank of Korea’s governor Rhee Chang-yong (correctly) worried that the steady outflow from the NPS was undermining the Bank of Korea’s effort to prop up the won back in the summer of 2022, and responded with an innovative swap facility. The Koreans now are taking additional steps to minimise the market impact of the $2-3bn a month in foreign exchange the NPS typically buys.

Strategic wealth funds

There’s a final type of fund, one that is becoming increasingly common — you might call them strategic wealth funds, domestic development funds, public investment funds or perhaps even national development banks.

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These “sovereign wealth funds” primarily manage the state’s domestic investments and typically invest in projects judged to be strategic for a country’s development plans (eg the “Saudi Vision 2030”).

One example is Singapore’s Temasek, which was set up to manage Singapore’s state-owned enterprises (for example, Singapore Airlines). However, lines get blurred: Singapore didn’t need to use the proceeds of the privatisation of many state firms to support its budget, so Temasek started investing abroad, just like a traditional sovereign wealth fund.

The Saudi Public Investment Fund is another good example. The PIF got its initial funding from Saudi Arabia’s foreign exchange reserves (it has received at least $40bn), but later on it received the proceeds from listing Saudi Aramco and money from PIF’s own external borrowing. The PIF’s 12 per cent stake in Saudi Aramco also gives it a new means of raising more funds for investment, but selling its stake would mean trading future income for cash now.

The PIF famously has taken some big risks abroad — sometimes in companies that agree to invest in Saudi Arabia in return for a PIF investment, and sometimes in companies that the Saudis want to court for other reasons (Jared Kushner’s fund for example).

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But PIF also invests heavily in purely domestic projects, particularly those that have the personal backing of Mohammed bin Salman and play a part in the Saudi 2030 Vision. MainFT has done some very good reporting here as well — notably highlighting how the PIF is pushing into sectors traditionally controlled by Saudi business families, as MBS considers state capitalism a means of modernising Saudi business culture.

The United Arab Emirates has its share of sovereign wealth funds in this tradition as well — Mubadala, the Royal Group (which controls IHC), ADQ (which is building a new city in Egypt), the Investment Corporation of Dubai and the like. Many of these funds blur the line between domestic and foreign investment.

The Turkey Wealth Fund (TVF) received the government’s stake in number of domestic companies (the state banks, Turkcell etc) and calls itself an “asset-backed” development fund. It raised some more funds when it sold 10 per cent of the Istanbul Stock Exchange to the QIA in 2020, and a dollar bond earlier this year, leading to quips that it is Turkey’s sovereign debt fund.

Ethiopia’s sovereign wealth fund is similar. As its name implies, the Ethiopia Investment Holdings serves as the holding vehicle for a lot of state assets — Ethiopian Airlines, a big local bank, local sugar refiners and an apparently profitable spirits distillery. It also aspires to be a conduit for Gulf funds looking to invest across the Red Sea.

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Anglo “wealth” funds?

These models don’t really work for the US or the UK, however. The US doesn’t have a tradition of public ownership, and the UK sold its national champions a long time ago. Both have twin budget and current account deficits, so there are no surplus to stash away either.

The US could potentially sell off the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to fund a sovereign fund, but that goes against the Biden Administration’s (correct, IMO) recognition that the salt caverns are in fact a critical strategic asset. There are substantial economic (and financial) returns from the ability of the US to use its immense storage capacity to buy low and sell high and stabilise such a crucial market.

Of course, both the US and UK could sell a bit of debt to fund strategic investment funds. After all, not all public investment funds originate out of foreign exchange reserves. If the returns are greater than the cost of borrowing it can make sense, at least in theory.

Indeed, the most relevant model may come from a country that prides itself on its distinction from “les Anglo-Saxons.”

France runs persistent budget and current account deficits but still has a long-established de facto sovereign wealth fund, the Caisse des dépôts et consignations. And the French government has a tradition of investing in strategic sectors. Indeed, the history of France’s climate-critical nuclear sector shows that state-backed engineering projects can succeed even in a democracy (though there are obviously also plenty of cautionary tales).

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At least in the US, the creation of a strategic public investment fund shouldn’t be ruled out. In many respects, having some kind of vehicle like this makes sense. In fact, it might even have been helpful in the past.

For example, it wouldn’t have been crazy for the US to have gotten some warrants in return for the $465mn 2010 loan that helped Tesla finance its initial transition from making a few sports cars into manufacturing sedans (the model S). The loan was repaid early in 2013, but the US government didn’t get to benefit from Tesla’s IPO, or its ca 380x growth in market value since then (which could in theory alone have capitalised a US SWF).

These days the US government provides lots of direct grants and loan guarantees (for example, to support domestic semiconductor investments), but it doesn’t have a tradition of getting potentially valuable upside exposure in exchange. The US did get warrants for its investments in the big US banks through the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP), which generally proved valuable. It should probably do so more often, especially if it more openly embraces a more active industrial policy.

However, a clean and robust governance structure will obviously be essential for any state fund designed to invest in strategic domestic sectors. The temptations for misuse are enormous. The classic SWFs generally originated in autocracies, and any British or American ones shouldn’t be reliant on a benign king or queen.

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In Conversation With Rory Albon: Financial Planning for a Secure Future

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In Conversation With Rory Albon: Financial Planning for a Secure Future

In this In Conversation With… episode, Kimberley Dondo chats with Rory Albon, founder of Albon Financial Planning. Rory shares his journey to launch his firm and his approach to investment optimisation, retirement planning, and financial well-being. He offers insights into balancing saving and investing, managing tax efficiency, and safeguarding assets through tailored insurance solutions. Rory also discusses his vision for his firm’s future and offers invaluable advice for fellow financial advisers looking to start their businesses. Tune in now:

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The stock market can’t save social security

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This article is an on-site version of our Unhedged newsletter. Premium subscribers can sign up here to get the newsletter delivered every weekday. Standard subscribers can upgrade to Premium here, or explore all FT newsletters

Good morning. Caroline Ellison, one of the leaders of defunct crypto exchange FTX, just got sentenced to two years in prison. Her former paramour and boss Sam Bankman-Fried is now reportedly bunking with P-Diddy. What celebrity should Ellison share a cell with? Email us with your choice: robert.armstrong@ft.com and aiden.reiter@ft.com.

A sovereign wealth fund for social security?

Both the Trump campaign and the Biden-Harris administration floated the notion of a US sovereign wealth fund a few weeks ago. This is generally a bad idea, for reasons that various people have pointed out. There is, however, one version of the idea that is at least intriguing.

For a sovereign wealth fund, one needs sovereign wealth — specifically surplus sovereign wealth. The US doesn’t have any. No large pools of excess foreign exchange reserves, like Singapore and China; no massive cash stream from natural gas and oil, like Norway and Saudi Arabia. The US government runs a massive deficit, and what oil money there is already goes to reduce it.

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Lacking a surplus, other ways to raise a fund — issue debt, new taxes or tariffs — mostly just shift money around. The money that the government raises with taxes or borrowing would otherwise have been invested or spent somewhere else, and there would only be a net benefit if the government invested it in a more growth-friendly or strategic way than it would have been otherwise. Add to that political hurdles (Congress’s attitude towards a pile of money that sits outside its authority is easy to imagine), redundancy (federal programmes already target the sectors that a fund might support) and market impacts (crowding out, asset inflation). 

But there is one pool of American money that could benefit from higher returns. Social security, the US government pension plan for citizens, has a poor financial outlook. The payroll tax revenue that funds the plan once exceeded the plan’s outlays, and the excess cash was invested in Treasuries. But starting in 2021, outlays began to exceed inflows, and the Social Security Administration started to draw down the saved funds to make up the difference. The Congressional Budget Office projects that the reserves, currently around $2.7 trillion, will run out in 10 years.

Benefits will still be paid after the funds run out. But without a new source of funds, the total benefits paid to retirees would be 23 per cent lower at first, and would continue to decline as the US population ages. Republican Senator Bill Cassidy and independent Senator Angus King (and a motley crew of pundits and economists) have floated the idea of reinvesting the trust funds in the market to get a higher return. Now take the idea further: the US government could borrow at the long-term Treasury rate (4 per cent or so), and invest in US equities (6-7 per cent long-term average returns), with the proceeds of the arbitrage going to social security’s reserve funds. 

This would allow the US government to, in effect, create a sovereign wealth fund for a single, well-defined purpose: better returns for a better-funded pension plan. No strategic investments in emerging sectors of the sort Harris and Trump envisage. Just an arbitrage. 

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Would it work? We made very simple models of three scenarios: (1) investing the current reserves in the market (not an arbitrage, per se); (2) investing the reserves and an additional $1.5tn dollars, raised through a bond issue; and (3) investing the current funds and borrowing whatever was needed to fund social security though 2055. We made some assumptions:

  • We assumed funds invested in US markets return the historically normal 6.9 per cent a year, ignoring the (very real) possibility of wide variation around that mean over multiyear periods. We ignored, in other words, the political and financial repercussions of a possible market crash. 

  • We assumed that government equity purchases would be tax-free when sold.

  • We ignored the possibility that a massive new Treasury issue might drive yields down from current levels, and the possibility that a multitrillion government investment in US stock markets might inflate asset values and dilute returns.  

  • We made the simplifying assumption that new money enters the fund at the beginning of the year and benefits are all paid out at the end.

On these assumptions, investing the current $2.7tn in reserves in stocks rather than Treasuries would extend the life of the reserves to 2040 — six additional years. On to scenario 2: the current reserves are topped up with $1.5tn in funds raised today at the current 30-year Treasury yield of just over 4 per cent, and new funds are left to compound until 2040, when they begin to be disbursed. This massive cash infusion stretches the fund only until 2046. That’s helpful, and makes use of the arbitrage between US government borrowing rates and average market returns. But that still only gives social security an extra 12 years from the most recent CBO projection, while growing the US debt by about 4 per cent and (for one year) doubling the annual budget deficit. 

For scenario 3, we calculated the amount of money that would fund social security in full by 2055. To do that, the US government would need to borrow and invest a little less than $2.4tn today.

Line chart of Amount in funds across our scenarios ($bn) showing No simple answers

Even under our extremely charitable assumptions, the extra returns offered by stock markets only do so much to solve social security’s funding problems. A massive infusion of cash is still required. The extra return would help, but would bring with it all the very real risks we have ignored in our toy model, political controversy, market distortion and financial volatility first among them.  

(Reiter and Armstrong)

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Thousands of households urged to check if £50 cost of living payment has landed in bank accounts today

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Thousands of households urged to check if £50 cost of living payment has landed in bank accounts today

THOUSANDS of households have been urged to check if a cost of living payment worth £50 has landed in their bank accounts today.

The money comes via the Household Support Fund (HSF) which is worth £421million in total.

You may be eligible for a payout from the Household Support Fund (HSF)

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You may be eligible for a payout from the Household Support Fund (HSF)Credit: Getty

The fund has been split up between councils in England who are in charge of distributing their allocation before the end of September.

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What you can get depends on where you live, as each local authority has been given its own unique amount.

Spelthorne Council, on the outskirts of West London, has been dishing out payments worth £50 to eligible households from July this year.

Anyone who qualifies for help will have received an email telling them.

You will only receive the payment if you were found to have been eligible after applying.

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A maximum of one payment will be made per household and any payments are being made direct into bank accounts.

You will qualify for the £50 cash if you live in the Spelthorne area and receive one of the following benefits:

Spelthorne Council said further £50 payments are being made up until today, September 23.

The fund is often aimed at those who are already on low incomes and claiming help.

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What is the Warm Home Discount?

But you don’t always need to be on benefits or Universal Credit to be eligible for the cash.

If you’re eligible, you should be able to get free cash and vouchers to help pay for things like heating your home or your weekly grocery shop.

Check with your local council to find out what support is available by visiting https://www.gov.uk/find-local-council.

Can I get help if I don’t live in Spelthorne?

You might be able to. The £421million HSF pot has been shared between councils in England, but not equally.

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Each local authority gets to decide its own eligibility criteria.

That means what you can get, and whether you qualify, depend on where you live.

Some councils started distributing help in April and have already depleted their share, so you might have missed out for now.

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The Household Support Fund has been extended multiple times since its inception in October 2021, so it may be extended again though.

There are currently a number of councils offering help via the HSF.

Leicestershire Council is handing out payments worth £300 to thousands of households.

Households in Stockport can claim up to £315 worth of free supermarket vouchers to help with the cost of living.

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Meanwhile, Wokingham Council is handing out grants worth up to £140.

If you want to check if you are eligible for help, contact your local council.

You can find what council area you fall under by using the Government’s council locator tool.

How else to get help with the cost of living

If you’re not eligible for the Household Support Fund in your local area, it’s worth checking if you qualify for benefits.

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Recent figures from Policy in Practice reveal millions of people aren’t claiming the extra help when they could be.

In total, £23billion went unclaimed over the last financial year, with £8.3billion worth of Universal Credit not claimed for.

You can apply for benefits on the Government’s website.

It’s not just extra money you get from benefits either, with a number opening up additional perks.

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How has the Household Support Fund evolved?

The Household Support Fund was first launched in October 2021 to help Brits pay their way through winter amid the cost of living crisis.

Councils up and down the country got a slice of the £421million funding available to dish out to Brits in need.

It was then extended for a second time in the 2022 Spring Budget and for a third time in October 2022 to help those on the lowest incomes with the rising cost of living.

The DWP then confirmed a fourth extension of the scheme through to March 31, 2024.

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Former chancellor Jeremy Hunt extended the HSF for the fifth time while delivering his Spring Budget on March 6, 2024.

Those on Universal Credit can get help covering the cost of childcare, for example, while those on Pension Credit can get a free TV licence.

Those on the Guarantee Credit element of Pension Credit also qualify for the Warm Home Discount – a £150 discount off energy bills once a year.

You may also be able to get grants to cover your energy bills if you’ve fallen into arrears.

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A number of energy firms offer grants to struggling customers, including Scottish Power, Octopus Energy and British Gas.

If you’re struggling to pay your bills, speak to your supplier to see if they can give you any help.

Do you have a money problem that needs sorting? Get in touch by emailing money-sm@news.co.uk.

Plus, you can join our Sun Money Chats and Tips Facebook group to share your tips and stories

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Check with your local council to see if you're eligible for a payment and how to apply

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Check with your local council to see if you’re eligible for a payment and how to applyCredit: Getty

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Will China’s $100bn war chest for shares lift the real economy?

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Chinese markets have given a short-term welcome to an “unprecedented” toolbox promised by Beijing to stabilise capital markets and revive animal spirits, but the bigger concern is whether the measures will be enough to stimulate the faltering real economy.

The People’s Bank of China on Tuesday unveiled an Rmb800bn ($114bn) war chest to boost the stock market by lending to asset managers, insurers and brokers to buy equities, and to listed companies to buy back their stock.

This was the first time the PBoC had “innovated” and used these types of monetary policy tools to support capital markets, central bank governor Pan Gongsheng said at a briefing flanked by financial regulators.

The funds allocated could be doubled or tripled if the schemes work. Policymakers also floated an idea for a “stock stabilisation fund”, though few details were given.

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The measures amount to one of the biggest bazookas the PBoC has aimed at China’s equity markets, which have slumped in the past four years, reflecting a lack of confidence in the country’s ailing economy.

Following the announcement, China’s CSI 300 index of Shanghai- and Shenzhen-listed shares — which is down more than 40 per cent since 2021 — rose 4.3 per cent for its best day since July 2020.

On Wednesday it added 2.1 per cent in a broad-based rally, while the renminbi strengthened by 0.5 per cent against the dollar to just over 7.01, its highest level in more than a year.

Line chart of  showing China's CSI 300 index is close to paring all its losses for the year

The loan programmes to support shares were among a swath of PBoC stimulus measures, including cuts to the benchmark interest rate, mortgage rates and downpayment requirements. They follow the US Federal Reserve’s bumper 50 basis point cut last week that gave the central bank room for manoeuvre.

“These measures have beaten market expectations,” said Ding Shuang, chief economist for greater China and north Asia at Standard Chartered. “It perhaps marks the beginning of more aggressive policy measures compared to in the past when people complained of incremental policy responses.”

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Still, “we still need to look at the size and the take-up of [the programmes] to assess its impact on the market”, Ding said.

Jason Lui, head of Asia-Pacific equities and derivatives strategy at BNP Paribas, said: “There have been a few novel ideas, especially when it comes to the lending and swap facility.”

The new swap tool allows non-bank financial companies to borrow from the PBoC to buy equities, offering bonds, stocks or exchange traded funds as collateral. The relending programme offers cheap loans to commercial banks, which can then lend them to companies wanting to fund share buybacks as a way of boosting equity values.

Economists suggested the incentives to buy equities were targeted at broadening stock ownership from the so-called national team of state-backed financial institutions that earlier this year purchased billions of dollars’ worth of mainland-listed shares in an attempt to boost the market.

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Wu Qing, chair of the markets supervisor, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, told the briefing on Tuesday that institutional investors by the end of August had increased their share of the free float in mainland-listed A-shares from 17 per cent to 22.2 per cent, compared with 2019.

But he said there were still “insufficient” mid- to long-term funds in the market, where rapid movements of retail money have often affected stock sentiment.

“The spirit of this programme is aimed at other financial institutions currently hesitant to increase their equity allocations”, said BNP’s Lui.

“It depends whether funds will be willing to borrow from the PBoC to buy stocks but be responsible for losses if they go down,” added Ding.

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Beijing sees the stock market as a clear signal of a healthy economy and an important tool to manage social stability.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley said the stimulus was equivalent to 3 per cent of the entire free float of the China A-shares market, calling the measures “an absolute positive move”. They nevertheless warned that the new tools would not be a sufficient condition in China’s overall recovery.

“The long-term sustainability of market sentiment improvement and rebound rally are more dependent on macro recovery as well as corporate earnings growth bottoming out,” they said.

Economists noted that the stimulus measures on Tuesday were significant, especially the simultaneous cuts to the benchmark interest rate and the reserve requirement ratio, the amount of reserves lenders must hold. Pan said the 0.5 percentage point cut to the ratio alone would add Rmb1tn in liquidity.

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But most analysts said only a large fiscal stimulus that stabilised a prolonged property slump in China and directly benefited households would help reignite confidence and stymie deflation.

The PBoC announced measures that would in effect reduce interest rates on a Rmb300bn scheme to buy up unsold housing, but the programme has struggled to get off the ground.

Robert Gilhooly, senior emerging markets economist at Abrdn, said the interest rate cut for existing mortgage holders on Tuesday was the “closest thing we’ve had to a fiscal transfer for households”.

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But ultimately, the government would have to step in with more state funds to bail out the property sector, or household spending would probably “remain constrained by the negative wealth effect from falling house prices and a weak labour market”, he said.

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Fast food chain is giving away FREE quesadilla this week – full list of locations and how to get one

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Fast food chain is giving away FREE quesadilla this week - full list of locations and how to get one

A FAST food chain is giving away free quesadillas this week – here’s how you can get your teeth into one.

Chipotle Mexican Grill will be handing out the freebies to anyone who purchases a main meal through the restaurant chain’s app from today (September 23) through to September 25.

Fans of Mexican food can get a free quesadilla from Chipotle

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Fans of Mexican food can get a free quesadilla from ChipotleCredit: Chipotle

The promotion is in celebration of National Quesadilla Day on September 25.

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How the offer works

Starting on September 23, guests who download the Chipotle UK app will receive an offer redeemable for one Buy-One-Get-One-Quesadilla-Free offer for orders placed via the app.

The offer is valid through National Quesadilla Day on September 25.

Existing Chipotle UK app account holders will automatically receive the deal in their accounts.

Anyone who doesn’t already have the app can download it either via the Apple Store or by visiting Google Play for Android users.

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Chipotle introduced their customisable quesadillas to their menu in May 2023.

They feature melted Monterey Jack cheese, a choice of protein, optional fajita veggies, and three sides for dipping.

Chipotle’s Vice President of Culinary Nevielle Panthaky recommends a Chicken al Pastor Quesadilla with Fajita Veggies and sides of white rice, black beans and sour cream.

Chipotle’s quesadillas are a digitally-exclusive menu item.

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Anyone tempted by the offer should note the deal is valid for one free quesadilla with the purchase of a main of equal or greater value.

Chipotle is bold for this,’ fans say as brand reacts to claims workers were told to fill bowls higher if being filmed

Add-ons are not permitted on a free quesadilla.

Kids Meals do not count as a main purchase.

You must provide the promo code required which will be deposited into the user’s account.

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The code is valid for one-time use only.

The offer is only available through the Chipotle mobile app and not on any third party ordering platforms.

It may not be combined with other coupons, promotions, or special offers.

Where are the Chipotle restaurants in the UK?

Chipotle, which is immensely popular in the US, opened its first restaurant in the UK in 2019.

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There are 19 in central London.

Baker Street
White City, Westfield
Charing Cross
West End Lane
Chiswick
Islington
Northcote Road
Canary Wharf
Uxbridge
London Wall
Lordship Lane
Tottenham Court Road
King William Street
Putney
St Martin’s Lane
Gloucester Road
Chipotle at The O2/Unit 12.00.06
Unit 1109 Ariel Way
White Lion Walk

There is also one branch in Twickenham and one in Watford.

The chain offers a wide choice on its menu.

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Build your own burritos start at £8.95.

Burrito bowls also start at £.8.95.

There is also a wide selection of lifestyle bowls with the cheapest ones starting at £8.95 but going up to £12.45 for a high protein bowl or the protein pump bowl.

Quesadillas are also build your own so do vary in price depending on what you order but the cheapest ones start at £8.95.

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Similarly, their salads start at £8.95 but vary depending on what you order.

There’s also a whole range of tacos on offer as well with prices once again starting at £8.95.

Chipotle also has a range of sides and dips to choose from, along with different size options.

Tortilla chips and guacamole costs £4.40 while an order of chips and fresh tomato salsa costs £2.20.

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How to save money eating out

THERE are a number of ways that you can save money when eating out.

Discount codes – Check sites like Sun Vouchers or VoucherCodes for any discount codes you can use to get money off your order.

Tastecard – This is a members’ club where you pay to have access to discounts worth up to 50 per cent off at thousands of restaurants. It costs £4.99 a month or £34.99 for the year.

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Loyalty schemes – Some restaurants will reward you with discounts or a free meal if you register with their loyalty scheme, such as Nando’s where you can collect a stamp with every visit. Some chains like Pizza Express will send you discounts for special occasions, such as your birthday, if you sign up to their newsletter.

Voucher schemes – Look out for voucher schemes offered by third-party firms, such as Meerkat Meals. If you compare and buy a product through CompareTheMarket.com then you’ll be rewarded with access to the discount scheme. You’ll get 2-for-1 meals at certain restaurants from Sunday to Thursday.

Student discounts – If you’re in full-time education or a member of the National Students Union then you may be able to get a discount of up to 15 per cent off the bill. It’s always worth asking before you place your order. 

If Mexican food isn’t to your taste, there are plenty of other ways to get free food.

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Greggs

Greggs regularly dishes out free sausage rolls, doughnuts and more to people downloading its app for the first time.

The app can be downloaded for free via Google Play and the Apple App Store.

Plus, once you’ve downloaded the app, you can build up “stamps” every time you buy a qualifying item and for every 10th stamp, you get a free item.

Loyalty card customers also qualify for a free birthday treat once a year which has to be redeemed via the app within one month.

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Krispy Kreme

Anyone signing up to the Krispy Kreme Rewards app, the chain’s loyalty scheme, can pick up a free doughnut just for signing up.

Again, you can sign up via Google Play or the Apple App Store, depending on what smartphone you have.

Not only do you get a free doughnut for signing up, you can also get a free one on your birthday.

Both freebies can be redeemed via the app.

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Taco Bell

The Taco Bell app is free to download via Google Play and the Apple App Store.

Like with Krispy Kreme and Greggs, you can build up points and use them to get freebies or money off certain items.

With 200 points you can redeem a free dessert, and with 500 points a £6 voucher, for example.

You also get a free taco just for signing up, and a free treat on your birthday.

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McDonald’s

The McDonald’s My Rewards app lets you build up points when purchasing items which you can redeem for free food (once you get to a minimum of 1,500).

One point is equal to 1p, so you need to spend £15 to get to 1,500 points.

You can redeem any points via the app and by selecting the “add to code” button. You then show this code when ordering via drive-thru, at the counter or via a kiosk.

You can also get a bonus 1,000 points and free medium fries on your first order.

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Burger King

Burger King fans can earn free Whoppers through the chain’s YourBurgerKing app.

It can be downloaded for free via Google Play or the Apple App Store.

It works like McDonald’s loyalty scheme in that you buy qualifying products and then build up points which can be redeemed for freebies later on.

You earn 10 points for every £1 spent.

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You can redeem any loyalty points for freebies via the app, by selecting the Rewards menu, or in-restaurant via by redeeming a six-digit code through the app and then scanning it at the till.

Nando’s

Nando’s offers customers free food when they accrue “Chillies”, or loyalty points.

These chillies can then be redeemed for different types of free food, including free chicken and sides.

You have to spend a minimum of £7 to get one chilli.

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You can download the Nando’s app via the App Store or Google Play, or pick up a physical card in-store.

KFC

The KFC Rewards Arcade app can be downloaded on to any smart phone and offers freebies such as chicken and sides.

You have to spend a minimum of £3 and then check the app to see if you’ve won anything, so it can be pot luck what you get.

But if you are planning on eating KFC anyway, it’s worth downloading the app to be in with the chance of winning something.

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Anything won can be redeemed by scanning your app at the front counter, at a kiosk or via a drive thru.

Or, you can add the reward to your basket directly if you are ordering online or via the KFC delivery app.

Do you have a money problem that needs sorting? Get in touch by emailing money-sm@news.co.uk.

Plus, you can join our Sun Money Chats and Tips Facebook group to share your tips and stories

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