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Dow Jones And U.S. Index Outlook: Major Rotation Flows And Drops

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Dow Jones And U.S. Index Outlook: Major Rotation Flows And Drops

MarketPulse is an award-winning industry analysis and news site service created by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. Covering forex, commodities, global indices and more, our goal is to give timely, relevant and informative commentary on major macroeconomic trends, technical analysis and worldwide events impacting the industry.

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Stocks in news: Trent, BPCL, Bajaj Finance, Mankind Pharma, Apollo Tyres

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Stocks in news: Trent, BPCL, Bajaj Finance, Mankind Pharma, Apollo Tyres
Markets staged a strong rebound on Tuesday, driven by a landmark trade agreement between India and the United States.
Analysts say the sharp surge in the Nifty suggests a potential shift in the near-term trend after the Budget-related sell-off, as the index has reclaimed its key moving averages.

In today’s trade, shares of Trent, BPCL, Bajaj Finance, Mankind Pharma, Apollo Tyres among others will be in focus due to various news developments and third quarter results.

Trent, NHPC, Tube Investments, Hexaware Technologies, Apollo Tyres

Shares of Trent, NHPC, Tube Investments, Hexaware Technologies and Apollo Tyres will be in focus as the companies will announce their third quarter results today.

BPCL

State-run refiner Bharat Petroleum (BPCL) has raised its capital expenditure plan for the coming fiscal year by 35% to Rs 25,000 crore, driven by an aggressive push into petrochemicals, even as peers Indian Oil and ONGC have trimmed their investment budgets.
Bajaj Finance

Bajaj Finance on Tuesday reported a 6% year-on-year (YoY) decline in its consolidated net profit for the third quarter at Rs 4,066 crore. The drop in bottomline was mainly due to an accelerated ECL provision and one-time charge of new labour codes. Adjusted for the above and tax, the profit grew 23% to Rs 5,317 crore.Pidilite Industries

Pidilite Industries on Tuesday reported 12% rise in consolidated net profit at Rs 624 crore for the third quarter ended December 2025. The company had posted a profit of Rs 557 crore in the third quarter last fiscal, Pidilite Industries, manufacturer of adhesives, sealants and construction chemicals.

AB Capital

Aditya Birla Capital reported a 33% jump in its December quarter consolidated net profit at Rs 945 crore compared to Rs 708 crore reported in the year ago period. The profit after tax (PAT) is attributable to the owners of the company.

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Mankind Pharma

Indian drugmaker Mankind Pharma reported a higher ‍third-quarter profit on Tuesday, driven by strong domestic demand for its ⁠drugs used for treating long-term illnesses. The company, which makes Gas-O-Fast antacid tablet and Manforce condoms, said its consolidated net profit climbed ‌to Rs 409 crore ($45.3 million) for the quarter ended December 31, from Rs 380 crore.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times)

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Dealmakers navigate tighter terrain

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Dealmakers navigate tighter terrain

Selective M&A and a reopening equity window reshaped the corporate finance market in late 2025.

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Celebration street! Rupee takes biggest leap in 7 years; stock markets jump 2.5%

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Celebration street! Rupee takes biggest leap in 7 years; stock markets jump 2.5%
The rupee surged the most in seven years and India’s equity gauges logged their largest gains in nine months after Washington agreed, as part of a long-awaited trade deal, to reduce tariffs hurting shipments and foreign inflows.

News of the successful US-India agreement caused both the Nifty and the Sensex to surge as much as 5% intraday. The central bank, meanwhile, reportedly bought dollars, preventing the rupee from appreciating too much, too soon. The Nifty 50 advanced 639.15 points, or 2.5%, to 25,727.5 at close of trading, while the Sensex climbed 2,072.67 points, or 2.5%, to end at 83,739.1.

Screenshot 2026-02-04 063530ET Bureau

“The tariff-related uncertainty was one of the many reasons for India’s rising trade gap, equity market underperformance, $19 billion of selling by foreign investors in 2025, and a weakening currency,” said Ashish Gupta, chief investment officer, Axis Mutual Fund. “The new framework removes a key source of uncertainty around the growth outlook, supporting external demand, improving business sentiment, and potentially catalysing a pickup in private capex.”

The rupee, which had the dubious distinction of being the worst performer in Asia in 2025, rallied 125 paise on Tuesday to 90.26 a dollar from 91.51. Its logical advance beyond 90, dealers said, was halted only by the central bank’s decision to buy the US currency, which it had relentlessly sold from its stockpile earlier to prevent the local unit’s rout.

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Trade Anxiety Abates
“Capital flows could see an improvement as the deal lifts overall sentiment,” said Shailendra Jhingan, head of treasury, ICICI Bank. “Foreign capital, which had stayed on the sidelines over the past few months, may begin to return, leading to inflows into both equity and debt markets.”
He expects the rupee, the value of which vis-à-vis the dollar has a disproportionate say on overseas capital flows into Mumbai-listed growth assets, to trade between 90 and 89.50 per dollar by end of March.
India’s volatility index VIX—the stock market’s fear gauge— fell 7% to 12.90, reflecting a thaw in trader anxiety. Analysts said the index could challenge its all-time high of 26,373.2 in the near term.

Altius, Fortius
“The Nifty has traded in a broad range of nearly 1,500 points for most part of May to now, and after the announcement of the trade deal, we may see this range shifting upward, with a potential for Nifty to move toward 26,650 levels on the back of improved sentiment in the coming weeks,” said Rohit Srivastava, founder, indiacharts.com.

Foreign portfolio investors were net buyers of ₹5,236 crore on Tuesday, while domestic institutions bought shares worth ₹1,014 crore. So far this year, overseas investors have net sold to the tune of nearly ₹28,180 crore.

BNP Paribas Securities said the trade deal supports its positive outlook on Indian equities this year. It expects a return of foreign fund flows to benefit IT and financial stocks.

Across Asia, markets surged Tuesday, reversing some of the recent losses. Japan gained 3.9%, China 1.3%, Hong Kong 0.2%, South Korea 6.8% and Taiwan 1.8%. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 was up 0.1% at the time of going to press.

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At home, the broader market too ended strong, with the Nifty Mid-cap 150 and Nifty Smallcap 250 surging more than 2.9% each. Of the total 4,422 stocks traded on the BSE, 3,279 advanced and 1,015 declined.

Harendra Kumar, managing director of Elara Securities, said the deal strengthens India’s long-term macro setup. “With the tariff overhang now behind us, India’s longterm growth outlook has strengthened, with the GDP potentially expanding at 8-8.5% from FY28-FY29 onwards,” Kumar said. “This should support higher valuation multiples for Indian markets and, alongside a weaker rupee, improve India’s appeal to FIIs.”

Kumar expects the Nifty to hit 30,000 by March 2027.

Gupta said the tone for equities has turned more favourable after a weak start to 2026. The backdrop, he said, is improving thanks to better valuations, stronger earnings expectations, firmer economic momentum following the budget and steady domestic flows. “With tariff uncertainties now resolved, the near-term risk-reward has shifted in favour of equities, and these factors together are expected to meaningfully strengthen India’s FY27 growth outlook,” he said.

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French police raid Elon Musk’s X Paris offices amid algorithm investigation

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French police raid Elon Musk's X Paris offices amid algorithm investigation

French police raided X offices in Paris on Tuesday as part of an investigation into the company’s use of algorithms and its artificial intelligence chatbot, Grok.

The search was carried out by the Paris public prosecutor’s cybercrime unit, which then summoned Elon Musk and former X CEO Linda Yaccarino to give evidence on April 20, according to to Reuters.

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French prosecutors had opened the probe in 2025 following a complaint by a lawmaker alleging that biased algorithms on the platform were likely to have distorted the operation of an automated data processing system.

Authorities are now examining suspected algorithm abuse and fraudulent data extraction by X or the platform’s executives, prosecutors said.

EX-FBI AGENT URGED CRIMINAL PROBE OF ELON MUSK’S X USE, LIKENED IT TO CLINTON EMAIL SCANDAL

Linda Yaccarino wearing gray.

Elon Musk and former X CEO Linda Yaccarino were summoned. (Jerod Harris/Getty Images for Vox Media / Getty Images)

The investigation has also broadened to include Grok, the AI chatbot developed by Musk’s company xAI and integrated into the platform, Reuters said.

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Britain’s privacy watchdog, the Information Commissioner’s Office, also said on Tuesday in a statement it had launched a formal investigation into Grok over the processing of personal data and reports that the chatbot had been used to generate nonconsensual sexual imagery, including of children.

X went on to criticize the French authorities’ actions, accusing prosecutors of bypassing international legal mechanisms.

GROK AI SCANDAL SPARKS GLOBAL ALARM OVER CHILD SAFETY

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Grok logo on a phone screen

The investigation has also broadened to include Grok, X’s AI chatbot. (Jonathan Raa/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

The company said in a statement on X that the Paris Public Prosecutor’s office was “plainly attempting to exert pressure on X’s senior management in the United States by targeting our French entity and employees, who are not the focus of this investigation.”

X added that prosecutors had ignored established procedures to obtain evidence “in compliance with international treaties” and the company’s right to defend itself.

Referring to the raid, Musk said in a post on X: “This is a political attack.”

EX-FBI AGENT URGED CRIMINAL PROBE OF ELON MUSK’S X USE, LIKENED IT TO CLINTON EMAIL SCANDAL

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Elon Musk speaking.

Musk called the raid a “political attack.” (Gonzalo Fuentes/File Photo/Reuters / Reuters Photos)

In a separate statement, Europol said it was supporting the French investigation with the assistance of the French Gendarmerie’s cybercrime unit.

“The investigation concerns a range of suspected criminal offences linked to the functioning and use of the platform, including the dissemination of illegal content and other forms of online criminal activity. Europol stands ready to continue supporting the French authorities as the investigation progresses,” it said.

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The Paris prosecutor’s office also said it would stop communicating on X, Reuters reported.

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FOX Business has reached out to X for comment.

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Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) Q3 2026 Earnings Call February 3, 2026 4:30 PM EST

Company Participants

Nicole Shevins – Senior Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications
Strauss Zelnick – Executive Chairman & CEO
Karl Slatoff – President
Lainie Goldstein – Chief Financial Officer

Conference Call Participants

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Douglas Creutz – TD Cowen, Research Division
Eric Handler – ROTH Capital Partners, LLC, Research Division
Colin Sebastian – Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division
Christopher Schoell – UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Andrew Marok – Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division
Edward Alter – Jefferies LLC, Research Division
Jason Bazinet – Citigroup Inc., Research Division
Alec Brondolo – Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division
Michael Hickey – The Benchmark Company, LLC, Research Division
Andrew Crum – B. Riley Securities, Inc., Research Division
Brian Pitz – BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Martin Yang – Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division
Omar Dessouky – BofA Securities, Research Division

Presentation

Operator

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Hello, and thank you for standing by. My name is Tiffany, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Q3 Fiscal Year 2026 Quarterly Earnings Results Call. [Operator Instructions]

I would now like to turn the call over to Nicole Shevins, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Nicole, please go ahead.

Nicole Shevins
Senior Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications

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Good afternoon. Thank you for joining our conference call to discuss our results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 ended December 31, 2025.

Today’s call will be led by Strauss Zelnick, Take-Two’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Karl Slatoff, our President; and Lainie Goldstein, our Chief Financial Officer. We will be available to answer your questions during the Q&A session following our prepared remarks.

Before we begin, I’d like to remind everyone that statements made during

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Adrian Portelli’s LMCT+ Takes Shape as Signage Appears at Former Shell Site in Melbourne

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LMCT+
LMCT+
LMCT+ / Instagram

Billionaire Adrian Portelli’s push into the fuel market seems to be taking shape after months of speculations and social media posts.

Signage for Portelli’s LMCT+ has appeared at a former Shell site in Melbourne, leading many to assume that the opening of the brand’s first physical location is not far off.

LMCT+ Signage Appears at Former Shell Site in Melbourne

The former Shell site is located at the corner of Gower St and Plenty Rd in Preston, according to Real Commercial.

The membership-based brand is a result of Portelli’s frustrations with the fuel market in Australia, notes WhichCar, particularly the refusal of major companies to offer discounts.

LMCT+ is, therefore, positioning itself as “rewards hubs” that offer fuel discounts in addition to other promotions and giveaways from the brands.

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It has also been speculated that the Preston location will not be the only LMCT+ sites as it is only a sign of things to come.

Social Media Comments Are Positive

Social media comments regarding LMCT+ and Portelli have largely been positive.

Comments left on LMCT+’s Instagram posts range from calls for cheaper fuel to support for Portelli should he decide to run for office.

“You are a hero to the working class,” one comment reads.

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“Run for parliament & you got my vote,” another comment says.

There is even one comment that reads “Can you just buy Australia and fix it … thanks.”

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Another Australian Has Died While Skiing in Japan

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Niseko
Niseko
Oliver Dickerson / Unsplash

The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) has confirmed that another Australian, a male in his 20s, died while skiing in Japan.

The tragic news comes after 22-year-old Brooke Day passed away following a ski lift accident.

Second Australian Dies in While Skiing in Japan

According to a report by news.com.au, the Australia man died while skiing off-piste in an unpatrolled terrain between Niseko Moiwa Ski Resort and Niseko Annupuri International Ski Resort.

The young man had been skiing with a group, who eventually noticed that he disappeared along the way.

His friends went back to search firm and found another group of skiers performing CPR on him.

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He was brought to the hospital, where he was pronounced dead, according to ABC News.

“We send our deepest condolences to the family at this difficult time,” DFAT said in a statement, per 7NEWS. “Owing to our privacy obligations we are unable to provide further comment.”

One Tragedy After the Other

The death of the young Australian man comes after Brooke Day passed away following a ski lift accident.

According to The Gurdian, the 22-year-old sustained critical injuries after her backpack was caught in the ski lift as she was trying to disembark.

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This caused her to be dragged along the snow before being suspended in mid-air. She reportedly suffered a cardiac arrest.

The accident took place at the Tsugaike Mountain resort in Otari, near Nagano.

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A Michigan Pension Fund’s Failed Coffee Farm Bet Highlights Private-Market Risks

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A Michigan Pension Fund’s Failed Coffee Farm Bet Highlights Private-Market Risks

A Michigan pension fund wanted to grow the second-largest coffee farm in Hawaii. What happened there demonstrates the perils of investing public workers’ savings in private markets.

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The $16 billion Lansing-based retirement fund ended up abandoning the coffee farm last spring after nine years and $86 million in losses. A few months later, the pension said it had lost $53 million on another ambitious private market bet: an investment with a one-year-old Swiss firm in renewable energy technology.

Copyright ©2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Vanadium developers get royalty relief

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Vanadium developers get royalty relief

The state government will offer royalty relief to WA’s fledgling vanadium sector, as part of its push to build a $150 million battery using the material in Kalgoorlie by 2029.

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Trade pact, rupee rally light up offshore debt window

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Trade pact, rupee rally light up offshore debt window
Mumbai : Debt capital market (DCM) heads expect a sharp pickup in overseas borrowing by domestic corporates, including some top government banks, over the next two quarters as the USIndia trade deal improves investor sentiment toward these companies in an expectedly softer global rate regime.

Bankers said several issuers that stayed away from offshore markets amid a sharp decline in the rupee are likely to now tap overseas debt.

As part of the bilateral trade agreement, the US would slash tariffs on Indian goods to 18% from 50%. This has already triggered buying in Indian bonds and a 5–10 basis point spread compression is seen across in names such as Vedanta, PFC and REC.

Trade pact, rupee rally light up offshore debt window
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Indian corporates anticipate a surge in overseas borrowing over the next two quarters, fueled by improved investor sentiment following a US-India trade deal. This agreement, which includes tariff reductions, has already led to buying in Indian bonds and a spread compression.


“There has been visible buying in Indian bonds including Vedanta, PFC and REC,” said a bond investor. “We are seeing spread compression in the range of 5 to 10 basis points. Vedanta, for instance, has tightened by close to 10 basis points. The tone is positive, though exact numbers will become clearer as volumes pick up.”
The announcement of the trade deal late Monday caused the Indian rupee also to surge the most in seven years. A depreciating currency inflates the rupee cost of repayment for companies borrowing overseas.


The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) last year said it plans to ease external commercial borrowing (ECB) rules by rationalising limits, relaxing maturity norms and removing cost caps. This is expected to lower overseas borrowing costs and give Indian corporates greater flexibility to tap foreign capital as spreads compress further.
India’s ECB volumes has been climbing over the past few years. Indian companies had raised a record $61 billion through ECB route in FY25 up from $48 billion raised in FY24.Market buoyancy is likely to benefit issuers with medium-term maturities, including large public sector banks such as State Bank of India (SBI), which have offshore bonds maturing in FY27. Some issuers, including Greenko that had earlier replaced dollar redemptions with rupee borrowings, could find foreign currency debt attractive again.

“If this environment sustains with lower global rates, stronger inflows and regulatory easing, issuers that stayed away from overseas markets may return,” a banker said.

Following the trade deal announcement, government bond yields eased, too, by four basis points. The 10year benchmark yielded 6.72%

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