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F&O Talk | Nifty crosses 100-DMA, but consolidation looms; Sudeep Shah highlights 2 rally triggers
Nifty ended its two-week losing streak ending above the crucial 100-day moving average. Meanwhile, fear index India VIX has cooled-off sharply by 20% during the week to close near 12 and any further decline in volatility is expected to offer additional comfort to the bulls.
With this, analyst Sudeep Shah, Vice President and Head of Technical & Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, interacted with ETMarkets regarding the outlook for the Nifty and Bank Nifty, as well as an index strategy for the upcoming week. The following are the edited excerpts from his chat:
Q: Nifty ended with weekly gains of 1.4% led by the India-US trade deal managing to close just shy of 25,700. What do Nifty charts suggest for next week of action?
The past week proved to be a high-voltage one for the benchmark index, with Nifty navigating an environment of elevated volatility. The index swung within a massive 1,662-point range, marking its widest weekly movement since June 2024.
On Union Budget day, Nifty slipped sharply to an intraday low of 24,571, weighed down by concerns over the increase in STT on F&O transactions. However, the weakness was short-lived. A sharp 1,770-point rebound followed as global risk sentiment improved after U.S. President Donald Trump announced an immediate reduction in reciprocal tariffs on Indian goods from 25% to 18%. This positive trigger propelled the index to an intraday high of 26,341, reviving hopes of a fresh all-time high.
That optimism, however, faded quickly. Within the very first minute of trade, Nifty witnessed a sharp 600-point intraday cut, reflecting aggressive profit booking amid heightened volatility. Despite supportive global cues, the index failed to decisively scale new highs, underscoring the fragile sentiment prevailing in the market.
In the latter half of the week, Nifty moved into a phase of sideways consolidation. Intense selling pressure in IT stocks capped broader market gains, as rising concerns around recent developments in artificial intelligence triggered apprehensions over the sector’s long-term growth outlook. Consequently, the Nifty IT index emerged as the worst-performing sector, ending the week with a sharp decline of 6.91%.
From a technical perspective, momentum indicators point towards consolidation, suggesting that the index may continue to oscillate within a defined range before a decisive directional move emerges.
Looking ahead, the 100-day EMA zone of 25,500–25,550 is expected to act as immediate support, followed by 25,200. On the upside, the 25,850–25,880 region will remain a critical resistance band. A sustained move above 25,880 could open the door for further upside toward 26,000, followed by 26,200 in the near term, setting the stage for another attempt at higher levels.
Q: February has traditionally been a week month but the start has so far been quite encouraging. What will be your advice to investors who have a positional view on the markets and would like to make trades based on this. Based on the seasonality data and post-budget trends, are there specific sectors which stand a higher chance to deliver gains for the investors?
Despite February being seasonally weak, post-Budget trends support a cautiously positive positional approach. In the week following the Budget, Sensex has closed positive 11 out of 15 times with an average gain of 2.10%, while Nifty has ended positive 12 times with an average gain of 2.04%.
From a 3-month perspective, both Sensex and Nifty have delivered positive returns 9 out of 15 times, with average gains of 6.77% and 7.40% respectively.
Sectorally, Pharma has been the strongest performer. In the week post Budget, Pharma has closed positive 14 out of 15 times with an average gain of 3.20% and a negligible average loss of just 0.24% in the lone negative instance. Over three months, Pharma has delivered positive returns 10 times with an average gain of 7.45%, while losses averaged only 1.90%.
Financial Services has also shown consistency, closing positive 11 times in the week post Budget with an average gain of 2.93%, while the 4 negative instances saw an average loss of 3.21%. From a 3-month view, Financial Services ended positive 9 times with an average gain of 10.85%, while losses averaged 8.81%.
Q. What is your view on Bank Nifty?
The banking benchmark index Bank Nifty registered a fresh all time high of 61764 on Tuesday, reflecting continued strength in the financial space. However, the index failed to hold on to higher levels, as profit booking emerged sharply in the latter half of the week. Despite this pullback, Bank Nifty ended the week on a strong note at 60120, delivering nearly 3% weekly gains and forming a bullish candle accompanied by a long upper shadow on the weekly chart — a sign of intraday volatility and selling pressure at elevated zones.
From a trend perspective, the index remains comfortably positioned above all its crucial moving averages, reaffirming the resilience of the medium term uptrend. That said, momentum indicators and oscillators have started to flatten out, signalling a likely consolidation phase or sideways movement as the market digests recent gains and awaits fresh triggers.
Looking ahead, the 20 day EMA placed between 59600-59500 is expected to act as the immediate and most important support zone for the index. Holding above this region will be critical for maintaining the current bullish structure. On the upside, the band of 60400–60500 continues to act as a strong supply zone. A decisive and sustained breakout above 60500 could reignite bullish momentum, paving the way for a swift rally towards 61200, and potentially extending further to 62000 in the short term.
Q: FIIs have remained net buyers this week while INR has also managed to deliver its best weekly closing in nearly three years. Do you expect these reversals to sustain for markets to benefit?
While FIIs have turned net buyers this week and the INR has posted its best weekly close in nearly three years, it is still premature to assume that the reversal will sustain. A major portion of the FII inflow came from a single large buying session after the India–US trade deal announcement, rather than a steady flow trend. On the currency front, the dollar index has eased marginally from its recent high of 92.19 recorded on 28th January, but it has largely moved in a narrow range over the last few sessions, indicating that the weakness is not yet decisive. A sustained dollar decline is typically needed to drive durable EM inflows.
Importantly, most key domestic triggers namely the India–US trade deal, Union Budget, RBI policy decision, and Q3 earnings season are already behind us, yet broad-based FII participation has not meaningfully returned. In addition, elevated FII index futures shorts have not seen expected unwinding.
For markets to build a stronger uptrend, consistent FII cash buying and visible short covering will be two crucial triggers, going forward.
Q: Tech stocks were worst hit this week with Nifty IT index falling more than 6%. How should one trade in this pack?
The Nifty IT index was among the worst performers this week, falling over 6%, largely triggered by renewed global concerns around AI-led disruption after Anthropic launched an advanced legal-focused AI tool. This development intensified fears that AI could increasingly replace or compress high-value software and consulting work, a risk not limited to Indian IT firms but also impacting US technology and software companies. The selloff reflects worries about future billing models, pricing power, and demand visibility across the global IT services space.
Technically, the setup has weakened further. The IT index is trading below its key short- and long-term moving averages and has confirmed a double-top neckline breakdown, with the measured downside target placed near the 35,050–35,000 zone. RSI has slipped below 40, indicating bearish momentum, and the MACD line has moved below the zero line. Unless the index reclaims and sustains above 36,000, weakness is likely to persist. Traders should avoid aggressive bottom fishing and look at rallies toward resistance as potential sell-on-rise opportunities until momentum stabilizes.
Q: Defence stocks struggled this week despite a largely positive budget for this sector. Where do you see opportunities?
Defence stocks underperformed this week despite a budget that was broadly supportive for the sector, mainly because price action continues to lack momentum. The Defence index has been moving in a wide 8,359–7,459 range since Budget day and, in fact, has remained largely range-bound since September last year with no sustained directional trend. The only phase of notable outperformance was during the post–Operation Sindoor rally from early April to late June 2025, after which most gains were retraced and momentum faded.
Technically, the 8,300–8,400 zone remains a strong resistance band. Only a decisive breakout above this area with volumes can revive buying interest at the index level. Until then, opportunities appear selective rather than broad-based. Among the pack, Data Patterns and MTAR Tech currently display relatively stronger price structures, while most other defence names continue to show weak or sideways setups. Traders may focus on stock-specific strength instead of the entire theme.
Q: Apar Industries, Aarti and Nykaa have been star performers this week while BDL, Hindustan Copper and GRSE have been big losers. What should investors do with them?
Apar Industries, Aarti Industries and Nykaa have shown relative strength this week, but the approach should remain level-based rather than chasing momentum. After the post-Budget gap-up, APARINDS has moved in a tight range, with 9,750–9,800 acting as a strong resistance; only a sustained breakout above this zone can trigger fresh move higher. AARTIIND has given a downward-sloping trendline breakout with a rising RSI, and the bullish bias holds as long as it sustains above 420–415 zone. Nykaa has given a volume-backed horizontal trendline breakout, with RSI rising and DI+ crossing DI-, indicating continued upside potential on follow-through.
On the laggard side, BDL and GRSE remain weak as the defence pack underperforms. Both trade below key short- and long-term moving averages. BDL has broken below the 1,305–1,300 swing low, while GRSE failed near 2,800 and slipped. Trend reversal is unlikely unless these resistance levels are reclaimed. Hindustan Copper has corrected about 24% after a parabolic rally and is now consolidating in a 658–555 band since last 7 sessions. Traders should wait for a decisive range breakout for fresh directional signals.
Q. Which Sectors you feel can outperform from here on & stocks within them?
From a technical perspective, several sectoral indices are showing signs of relative strength and are poised to outperform in the near term. Notably, the Nifty CPSE, Nifty PSE, Nifty Metal, and Nifty Oil & Gas indices are displaying sustained momentum, favourable price structures, and strong sector specific tailwinds. These indices continue to trade above key moving averages, and their short term indicators point toward continued outperformance as long as current trend supports hold.
On the contrary, pockets such as Nifty IT, Nifty Pharma, and Nifty Healthcare appear comparatively weaker on the charts.
(Disclaimer: The recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)
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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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Shoma Group CEO Masoud Shojaee and BH Group CEO Isaac Toledano speak exclusively to Fox News Digital about the wealth migration trends and sales they’ve seen from New York and California in 2026 so far.
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Google co-founder Sergey Brin have closed on sprawling Miami-area estates, underscoring the continued shift of tech wealth from the West Coast to South Florida.
“While the neighborhoods they bought in differ, their priorities are identical: safety, security and proximity,” Douglas Elliman’s Chris Wands told Fox News Digital. “These high-profile buyers are choosing waterfront properties in gated, controlled environments with easy access to private airports and Miami’s business and restaurant corridors.”
Within roughly a 20-mile radius, four of the world’s wealthiest individuals — Jeff Bezos, Zuckerberg, Larry Page and Brin — now own significant residential properties. Zuckerberg’s reported $170 million closing on Indian Creek Island would rank among the most expensive residential sales in Miami-Dade County history, according to multiple reports.
Zuckerberg and his wife, Priscilla Chan, reportedly closed on the property at 7 Indian Creek Island Road on March 2, snapping up the 1.84-acre waterfront lot for a bit less than the original $200 million listing price.
OVER $126M IN 60 DAYS — FLORIDA REAL ESTATE TYCOONS SAY BLUE-STATE WEALTH MIGRATION IS NOW PERMANENT
The home features nine bedrooms, 11.5 bathrooms, a “secret” library passageway, a wellness wing with a gym, professional-grade salon and massage room, a 1,500-gallon centerpiece aquarium, a jazz lounge, a 60-foot pool and more.
Mark Zuckerberg and Sergey Brin both recently closed on their respective Miami mansions. (Getty Images)
The home — located three doors down from Bezos in the so-called “Billionaire Bunker” — is still under construction and was designed by Canadian architect Ferris Rafauli, known for designing rapper Drake’s “Embassy” mansion in Toronto.
“From the limestone façade and grand architectural proportions to the meticulously curated interiors, every detail showcases modern artistry and exceptional craftsmanship,” the listing details read. “This classically inspired residence offers endless views, indoor-outdoor living, and a sense of privacy and sophistication.”
“South Florida has become one of the most powerful concentrations of wealth in just a few years and that signals a real confidence in the market. Ultra-luxury real estate FOMO is absolutely real,” Douglas Elliman’s No. 1 agent nationwide, Dina Goldentayer, said. “There’s a network of gravity happening behind the scenes. Billionaires talk, their advisors, family offices and security teams are all talking. And suddenly Miami becomes a strategic base that you need as a hedge.”
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Brin opted for the more residential setting of 6569 Allison Road on Allison Island in northern Miami Beach. He reportedly purchased the $51 million property through a Nevada-based entity, Lagoon LLC, which has been linked to his longtime legal representatives.
The home, previously owned by LVMH Americas CEO Michael Burke and sold in an off-market deal, is a modernist, glass-walled property spanning roughly 10,000 square feet. The design includes seven bedrooms and 8.5 bathrooms, with sweeping views of Biscayne Bay and architectural elements said to draw inspiration from the Guggenheim Museum.
It’s notable that both Zuckerberg and Brin’s neighborhoods include ultra-secure, private police guards who must register any guests as they come and go.
The Corcoran Group agent Julian Johnston exclusively speaks to Fox News Digital about the new wave of California billionaires migrating to South Florida due to a proposed wealth tax.
“Security will always remain paramount for the ultra-high-net worth, and they all will always have their private security detail 24/7. Their choices between Indian Creek, Coconut Grove or Allison Island would be more based on their personal preference of what lifestyle the immediate surroundings offer, and of course, the home itself,” ONE Sotheby’s International Realty’s Eddy Martinez also told Fox News Digital. “How did that home make them feel in comparison to others? All these factors come into play on the final decision.”
The real estate insiders point to Google counterpart Larry Page as the first to sound the alarm by moving to Florida, with his $173 million acquisition of two separate estates in Coconut Grove in late 2025. The timing of these billionaire relocations coincides with a California proposal that would impose a one-time 5% tax on the net worth of Golden State residents with assets exceeding $1 billion.
If such a proposal were to receive enough signatures and voter approval, individuals who were California residents as of Jan. 1, 2026, could be subject to the tax, according to the measure’s draft language.
Gristedes CEO John Catsimatidis joins ‘Varney & Co.’ to comment on New York City’s budget and the need for checks and balances.
Based on recent net worth estimates, Zuckerberg and Brin could hypothetically owe more than $10 billion each under such a tax structure, though the exact amount would depend on final valuations and the measure’s ultimate language.
“We believe the catalyst in the billionaire migration to South Florida from California is more about the billionaire tax taking place,” Martinez noted. “We believe these individuals didn’t get to where they are by FOMO — rather, their success can be attributed to a mindset of taking fast and decisive action on what they believe is best for them to move forward and have continued success.”
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As Miami real estate continues to surge, Goldentayer argues there’s no clear ceiling for how high property values could climb in the near future.
“I see no ceiling,” she said. “When five of the six richest people in the world are buying homes within miles of each other, it completely shifts the market, and we are seeing a recalibration of an entire asset class.”
GE Aerospace CEO and Chairman Larry Culp joins ‘Mornings with Maria’ to discuss the company’s investment in U.S. manufacturing to accelerate engine deliveries and strengthen defense production.
GE Aerospace is pouring $1 billion into its U.S. manufacturing footprint as the company races to meet what CEO Larry Culp calls “tremendous demand,” with nearly $200 billion in backlog and engine orders accelerating across commercial aviation and defense.
“People are flying, airlines [are] looking to expand and modernize, as is the U.S. Military and our allies around the world and, given the install base that we have, both in commercial and on the military side of things, we could not be busier,” Culp said in a FOX Business exclusive, adding, “but happily so.”
Culp joined “Mornings with Maria” on Monday to discuss the company’s sweeping investment, which will span 30 communities across 17 states and include $275 million dedicated to ramping up defense production.
Roughly one-third of GE Aerospace’s business is tied to defense, and the company powers two-thirds of U.S. military aircraft, including combat jets, helicopters and training platforms, Culp shared.
LABOR DEPT LAUNCHES MULTIMILLION-DOLLAR SHIPBUILDING TRAINING PLAN AS US RACES TO CLOSE CHINA GAP
A GE9X engine, manufactured by GE Aerospace, on a Boeing 777X aircraft at the Dubai Air Show in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, on Monday, Nov. 17, 2025. (Christopher Pike/Bloomberg News)
He said a significant portion of the investment is aimed at strengthening GE’s defense footprint, calling support for the U.S. warfighter and allied forces a “no-fail mission” for the company.
“We’ve got a role to play, and part of this multi-year investment effort that we’ve made, it’ll be $600 million that we will have invested in our defense footprint over the last three years, is very much geared toward not only raising production, but quickening the pace of what we’re doing for the U.S. warfighter,” he said.
“That’s a no-fail mission for us at GE Aerospace, and we’re proud to be on board.”
GE APPLIANCES INVESTS $3B IN US MANUFACTURING OPERATIONS
Larry Culp, chief executive officer of General Electric Co., during a Bloomberg Television interview on the sidelines of the IATA Annual General Meeting & World Air Transport Summit in New Delhi, India, on Monday, June 2, 2025. (Anindito Mukherjee/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
As part of the expansion, Culp said GE Aerospace plans to hire another 5,000 workers in 2026, matching the same number added in 2025, to build the expertise and capacity needed to increase production not just next year, but annually into the 2030s.
On the commercial side, Culp underscored GE Aerospace’s massive global footprint, noting the company is scaling up production to support an already dominant installed base that powers the majority of the world’s flights.
“We power the better part of three quarters of all the commercial departures around the world on a daily basis,” he said.
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A ‘Barron’s Roundtable’ panel analyzes the Iran conflict, its impact on crude prices and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
“We have a million people in the air currently with GE Technology underwing. It’s an incredible responsibility we all take very seriously… We’ll need to continue to invest to support our commercial customers. But again, we’re doing the same thing to support the U.S. warfighters and our allies around the world.”
Early this year, FTLO Travel released a list of 10 countries solo travellers want to visit for 2026, and Australia made the list.
While Australia did not rank first, it sure made its way to the upper half of the list. Can you guess where Australia ranks in the list?
Australia Ranks Second in List of Countries Solo Travellers Want to Visit
Yes, you read that right. Australia ranks second in the top 10 list of countries travellers want to visit, according to the report by FTLO Travel.
Japan ranks first on the list, and Australia is followed by New Zealand in third place.
Here’s the complete top 10 list:
- Japan
- Australia
- New Zealand
- Argentina
- Italy
- South Korea
- Greece
- Thailand
- Iceland
- Tie between Peru and Switzerland
When it comes to regions, Australia/Oceania and Asia tied in first place when it comes to solo travellers’ bucket list destinations for the year.
Why Solo Travellers Want to Travel
According to the report, the top answer solo travellers have for travelling is they just simply want to see the world.
69% of those interviewed for the report said that they’re after cultural experiences, while 47% said food is a factor for choosing a destination. 44%, on the other hand, said affordability is a factor.
As for who or what influences solo travellers, 65% said word of mouth or friends influence them the most, while 63% credits Instagram for the influence.
Live Nation settles DOJ antitrust lawsuit, to divest venues
Altimeter Capital founder, Chairman and CEO Brad Gerstner discusses the benefits of Trump Accounts for kids on Mornings with Maria.
The IRS and Treasury Department on Friday put forward new proposed rules and processes that cover the implementation of Trump Accounts for parents and guardians who want to use the savings accounts for their children.
Trump Accounts were created under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act that was enacted last year and is expected to open for contributions after July 4, 2026. Ahead of the official launch of the accounts – which may be opened for children born between Jan. 1, 2025, and Dec. 31, 2028, as well as those born before 2025 who are under the age of 18 – the IRS and Treasury Department have to finalize regulations for the accounts.
The newly proposed rules include processes for opening an initial Trump Account using Form 4547, which allows an authorized individual to make an election opening the initial Trump Account. The election to open a Trump Account must be made on or before Dec. 31 of the calendar year in which the eligible individual turns 17.
Instructions for Form 4547 are currently available on the IRS website and the agency plans to allow individuals to file a one-page version of the form either at the same time they file their tax return or on a separate online portal.
HERE’S HOW MUCH TRUMP ACCOUNT BALANCES COULD GROW OVER TIME
Americans who want to create a Trump Account for their children can do so using IRS Form 4547. (Valerie Plesch/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
The form also gives the individual the option of requesting the $1,000 contribution from the Treasury’s pilot program for an eligible child’s Trump Account. While children born between the start of 2025 and the end of 2028 are eligible for the federal contribution, those born before 2025 are ineligible for the seed money.
If an election for the $1,000 pilot program is made at the same time as the decision to open an initial Trump Account, the authorized individual is able to make the election for a contribution.
If no election is made for the pilot program at the time the election to open a Trump Account is made, a different process would be used for determining an authorized individual. The proposed rule for priority ordering would be a legal guardian, parent, adult sibling and then the grandparent of the eligible individual.
HOW TO KNOW IF YOUR CHILD QUALIFIES FOR A TRUMP ACCOUNT: ‘A FINANCIAL STAKE IN THE FUTURE’
Children born between January 2025 and December 2028 are eligible for a $1,000 seed contribution to Trump Accounts from the federal government. (Michael Nagle/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Additionally, the proposed rules state that the individual who makes the election to open a Trump Account will be the responsible party who has authority to make investment choices among the options available while the account beneficiary is below the age of legal capacity.
The responsible party may also request a qualified rollover contribution to a rollover Trump Account, request a transfer for a qualified ABLE rollover contribution under certain rules or select a successor responsible party for the account.
BANK OF AMERICA TO MATCH $1,000 GOVERNMENT DEPOSITS FOR TRUMP ACCOUNTS
IRS CEO Frank Bisignano said the agency and Treasury are working to ensure families can easily take advantage of Trump Accounts. (Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images)
“Trump Accounts are a pro-family initiative that will help millions of Americans harness the strength of our economy to lift up this generation and generations to follow and unlock the American dream,” said IRS CEO Frank Bisignano.
“Creating Trump Accounts was one of the most important provisions in President Trump’s historic One Big Beautiful Bill, and these regulations are an example of the hard work of Treasury and the IRS in developing the guidance needed to ensure that eligible families can take advantage of Trump Accounts,” Bisignano added.
Business
Tesla Shares Slide Nearly 2% in Volatile Trading, Hovering Around $389 Amid Regulatory Deadline
Tesla Inc. shares fell about 2% in intraday trading on Monday as investors grappled with mounting pressures on the electric vehicle leader, including a critical regulatory deadline this week, renewed semiconductor supply worries and geopolitical tensions impacting energy markets.
AFP
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) opened at $390.05 and traded in a range from a low of $381.40 to a high of $392.99, with shares changing hands around $388 to $389 in recent updates, down roughly 1.9% to 2.1% from Friday’s close of $396.73. Volume reached over 41 million shares by early afternoon, approaching the average but signaling continued caution among traders.
The decline extended a recent pullback for the Austin-based company, which has seen its stock retreat from December 2025 highs near $499 amid softer EV demand and profit pressures. Tesla’s market capitalization stood near $1.46 trillion, reflecting its still-dominant position despite challenges in the core automotive segment.
A key focus remained the March 9 deadline for Tesla to submit detailed data to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration regarding its Full Self-Driving system. The submission follows an ongoing probe into performance and potential safety issues, with analysts noting that any delays or negative outcomes could weigh on the autonomy narrative central to Tesla’s long-term valuation. Elon Musk has repeatedly emphasized robotaxi ambitions as a transformative growth driver, but regulatory hurdles continue to introduce uncertainty.
Broader industry headwinds added to the sentiment. Reports surfaced of potential Chinese export controls on semiconductors from subsidiaries of Dutch chipmaker Nexperia, reigniting fears of supply chain disruptions for Tesla’s production. Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions drove oil prices above $100 per barrel, paradoxically pressuring EV adoption narratives in the short term despite long-term benefits for electrification.
Tesla’s fundamentals reflect a mixed picture. The company reported a rare annual revenue decline in recent quarters, with vehicle deliveries down sharply in the fourth quarter of 2025. Analysts project modest recovery in 2026, with revenue growth estimates around 15% and earnings per share near $2.16, though estimates have been revised lower from earlier optimism. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio remains elevated above 300, underscoring high expectations baked into the stock for breakthroughs in AI, robotics and energy storage.
Despite near-term softness, some positives emerged. Tesla announced plans for a massive Supercharger expansion, including a 400-stall site in California set to become its largest, addressing congestion concerns and supporting network growth. Energy storage deployments are forecasted to surge over 50% in 2026, with higher margins potentially offsetting automotive weakness. The upcoming six-seat Model Y L variant received approval for markets like Australia, signaling continued product diversification.
Analyst views remain polarized. Consensus 12-month price targets cluster around $393 to $396, implying limited near-term upside from current levels, with ranges spanning bearish calls near $150 to bullish targets up to $600. Wedbush’s Dan Ives maintains an optimistic stance on AI and robotics potential, while skeptics like GLJ Research highlight valuation risks if core EV growth stalls.
The stock’s 52-week range spans $214.25 to $498.83, with the current price well off peaks but significantly above yearly lows. Year-to-date performance in 2026 has been choppy following a strong rebound from 2025 lows, driven by optimism around autonomy and energy segments.
Investors continue monitoring Tesla’s pivot beyond traditional vehicles. The Optimus humanoid robot program and xAI integrations represent high-upside bets, though execution risks persist. Musk has described 2026 as a potentially defining year for scaling these initiatives, with robotaxi pilots and regulatory progress key milestones.
As markets digest these developments, Tesla’s ability to navigate regulatory scrutiny, supply constraints and competitive pressures in EVs will shape near-term sentiment. The company’s emphasis on innovation and vertical integration — from battery production to software — supports a constructive long-term case for many followers, even as volatility remains a hallmark.
Monday’s trading reflected broader market caution amid macroeconomic uncertainties, including interest rates and consumer spending on big-ticket items like vehicles. Tesla’s performance often amplifies sector trends, with peers in EVs and tech facing similar headwinds.
Looking forward, attention turns to the NHTSA submission outcome and any updates on FSD approvals or production ramps. Tesla executives have expressed confidence in overcoming challenges through disciplined execution and technological edges.
The day’s activity underscores ongoing investor debate over Tesla’s valuation in a transitional period for the auto industry. While automotive margins face pressure, diversification into energy and AI offers pathways to renewed growth acceleration.
Available for over a year
The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow gap of water in the Middle East between Iran and the Arabian peninsula. About 3,000 or so ships sail through the Strait each month – that’s about 80 ships a day. About 20% of the world’s oil and gas passes through it. But now, it’s an active war zone.
As the US and Israel continue strikes on Iran, and Iran launches missiles at Israel and nearby Gulf states in retaliation, key shipping routes are being disrupted as well as oil and gas production in the region.
Iran says it has complete control of the Strait of Hormuz, and that it would “set fire” to any ships trying to pass through it.
In this episode we explain how this war could affect the wider world and why closing the Strait of Hormuz could lead to higher prices for petrol, food and electronics for us all.
Kayleen Devlin from BBC Verify tells us what’s happening to ships in the Strait of Hormuz and BBC business reporter Nick Marsh describes why parts of Asia are already feeling the effects.
Instagram: @bbcwhatintheworld
Email: whatintheworld@bbc.co.uk
WhatsApp: +44 330 12 33 22 6
Presenter: Iqra Farooq
Producers: Julia Ross-Roy, Maria Clara Montoya and Ash Mohamed
Editor: Verity Wilde
Anthropic’s lawsuit is against the President Donald Trump’s executive office; several government leaders, including Hegseth, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick; and 16 government agencies, including the Department of War, Department of Homeland Security and the Department of Energy.
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