However, the ONS said the estimates need to be treated with caution
Unemployment in Wales has fallen well below the level for the UK as a whole, although economic inactivity remains a sticky issue,
Latest figures from the Office for National Statistics show that from November to January the unemployment rate felll on the previous quarter by 2.6% to 3.5%. For the UK as a whole unemployment was up 0.1% to 5.2%.
However, the ONS says that increased volatility in its Labour Force Survey, as a result of small sample sizes, means that estimates of changes should be treated with “additional caution.” The Welsh Government, while the latest figures are relatively favourable for Wales, said due to their reliability they rely more on the Annual Population Survey, which shows unemployed in Wales at 4,5%, slightly above the UK level.
The latest ONS figures show that in England the unemployment in the three months to end of January was 5.4%, Scotland 3.9% and Northern Ireland 2.2%. The highest rate amongst the UK’ nations and regions was London, 7.9% followed by the north east, 7.1%.
The number of people unemployed in Wales was 54,000, down 40,000 on August to October, 2025. For the UK as a whole it was up 37,000 to 1.86 million.
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The employment rate in Wales was 71.9%, below the UK as a whole at 75.1%. Of the UK nations and region the employment rate was only lower than Wales in Northern Ireland at 71.6%. Wales also had the second highest economic inactivity level at 25.54% (496,000 people). Only in Northern Ireland, at 26.7%, was it higher. For the UK as whole economic activity levle was 20.7%.
For the UK as a whole, youth unemployment shot up to 14.5% for 18 to 24-year-olds in the latest period, reaching the highest level since early 2015, though the rate fell for 16 and 17-year-olds, to 29.3%.
But the overall jobless rate was lower than expected, with most economists having forecast a rise to 5.3%, while there was also a 20,000 estimated increase in workers on payrolls last month.
ONS director of economic Statistics Liz McKeown said: “Labour market conditions were little changed at the start of the year. The number of workers on payroll rose slightly in the latest month but, overall, the recent picture has been broadly flat. Unemployment remains at the rate reported last month, up on the quarter and the year, while the number of vacancies remains largely stable, with declines among smaller firms being offset by rises among larger ones.
Regular wage growth is at its lowest rate in more than five years, with pay growth in both the private and public sectors continuing to ease.”
A spokesman for the Welsh Government said: “Evidence from a range of sources suggest the labour market in Wales has followed similar trends to the UK since the pandemic. Latest figures from the Annual Population Survey (APS) show the unemployment rate for people aged 16 and over in Wales was 4.5% compared to the UK rate of 4.2%. It also shows Wales’ employment rate is relatively close to the all-time high.
“We have rolled our sleeves up to deliver for businesses, communities, and thousands of workers across Wales as we build a stronger, fairer, and greener economy – supporting more than 50,000 jobs this Senedd term through business programmes.
“As we’ve said before, we’re quoting the Annual Population Survey because of concerns about the reliability of Labour Force Survey data. In fact, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) itself advises caution when taking these statistics as the only measure of the labour market in Wales. For greater accuracy it is recommended that a range of sources are used, while the ONS develops a new survey.”








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