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Markets likely to look past geopolitics as oil risks remain contained, says Andrew Freris

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Markets likely to look past geopolitics as oil risks remain contained, says Andrew Freris
In an environment where global markets have repeatedly faced geopolitical shocks, investors appear increasingly conditioned to look through conflicts unless they materially disrupt growth or inflation. Speaking to ET Now, Andrew Freris, CEO, Ecognosis Advisory argued that even rising tensions involving the United States and Iran may not have a lasting impact on markets, though crude oil remains a key variable.

Markets growing used to conflict
Freris suggested that markets have built resilience after years of geopolitical uncertainty.

“In the last three years the world has got quite accustomed to wars… I think the markets will simply ignore it. It is as simple as that.”

His remarks reflect a broader shift in investor psychology, where geopolitical events tend to cause short-term volatility but rarely derail broader trends unless they trigger supply shocks.

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US data and Fed outlook
With weaker trade and jobless data and key releases like GDP and inflation readings on the horizon, investors are assessing what lies ahead for US monetary policy. Freris expects little clarity from the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.


“The Personal Consumer Expenditure Index… has gone up down… with no specific trend… the Fed is not going to cut interest rates for several more months.”
He also downplayed concerns around the US trade deficit, describing it as more political than economic in nature, while emphasising that inflation and labour conditions are likely to offset each other.Oil dynamics remain balanced
On crude, Freris highlighted the role of strong US production alongside OPEC supply decisions in keeping prices contained despite geopolitical tensions.

“United States is very neck to neck with OPEC… I do not want to spend too much time on the price of oil as a particular input into global inflation.”

He added that while inflation remains above central bank targets, current levels are not alarming in a global context.

The takeaway
The broader message for investors is that while headlines around geopolitics and oil may create noise, the real drivers remain inflation, growth, and central bank policy. For now, expectations of steady US economic momentum and delayed rate cuts continue to underpin market sentiment.

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Asos co-founder dies after Thailand balcony fall

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Asos co-founder dies after Thailand balcony fall

Quentin Griffiths co-founded Asos in 2000 and remained a significant shareholder after leaving the firm five years later.

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Garmin Stock Is Surging. There’s More to Its Move Than Solid Earnings.

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Garmin Stock Is Surging. There’s More to Its Move Than Solid Earnings.

Garmin Stock Is Surging. There’s More to Its Move Than Solid Earnings.

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Closing factory workers paid to help at food bank

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Closing factory workers paid to help at food bank

Dutch coffee-making giant Jacobs Douwe Egberts (JDE) will close its plant in Banbury this year.

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UK government finances better than expected in January

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UK government finances better than expected in January

Chief Secretary to the Treasury, James Murray said: “We know there is more to do to stop one in every £10 the government spends going on debt interest, and we will more than halve borrowing by 2030-31 so that money can be spent on policing, schools and the NHS.”

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Fundamentals intact but markets search for fresh triggers, says Karthikraj Lakshmanan

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Fundamentals intact but markets search for fresh triggers, says Karthikraj Lakshmanan
Indian equities appear to have moved past several key uncertainties — from trade developments to recent earnings — yet the market continues to search for its next catalyst. Speaking to ET Now, Karthikraj Lakshmanan from UTI AMC said the macro backdrop remains supportive, noting that “macros are quite good… Q3 earnings were in line… fundamentals look good,” even though sector-specific corrections have weighed on the index in recent sessions.

He acknowledged the disconnect between positive fundamentals and subdued market performance, as the anchor observed that “on paper everything looks okay… but it is not reflecting on the ticker.” Lakshmanan responded that “flows are difficult to predict… if fundamentals and earnings accelerate, markets will follow,” adding that the environment is increasingly becoming a bottom-up market where stock selection matters more than broad liquidity trends.

Looking ahead, he struck an optimistic tone on growth, pointing out that “FY25–FY26 saw single-digit growth… FY27 could see double-digit GDP and earnings growth,” which he believes should support equities even without major earnings upgrades. On valuations, Lakshmanan said “large caps look more attractive… private banks have reasonable valuations,” highlighting financials as one of the more compelling pockets after recent corrections.

Discussing capital goods, he noted that while “business has done well post-COVID… government capex continues,” valuations in several names remain elevated, making selectivity important for investors. On broader markets, he reiterated that “diversification is a must,” adding that although indices may not show deep cuts, many individual mid- and small-cap stocks have undergone “silent corrections,” creating selective opportunities.

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In the consumption space, Lakshmanan said “discretionary and durables have better growth prospects,” while within staples, foods appear structurally stronger. On autos, he observed that “PV growth remains strong… valuations must be watched,” and described the electric vehicle opportunity as evolving gradually rather than offering immediate pure-play opportunities.


Turning to primary markets, he said the “pipeline is strong,” suggesting that muted subscriptions and listings are largely cyclical and reflect market conditions rather than a lack of quality issuers.
Overall, Lakshmanan’s message was clear: while near-term triggers may be elusive, improving growth prospects and steady fundamentals should continue to underpin markets, with disciplined stock selection and valuation awareness remaining key for investors.

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Vita Coco Stock Will Bounce Back From Earnings Slump. Here’s Why.

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Vita Coco Stock Will Bounce Back From Earnings Slump. Here’s Why.

Vita Coco Stock Will Bounce Back From Earnings Slump. Here’s Why.

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Alamos Gold Inc. 2025 Q4 – Results – Earnings Call Presentation (TSX:AGI:CA) 2026-02-20

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Q4: 2026-02-18 Earnings Summary

EPS of $0.74 beats by $0.05

 | Revenue of $788.06M (47.40% Y/Y) misses by $20.87M

This article was written by

Seeking Alpha’s transcripts team is responsible for the development of all of our transcript-related projects. We currently publish thousands of quarterly earnings calls per quarter on our site and are continuing to grow and expand our coverage. The purpose of this profile is to allow us to share with our readers new transcript-related developments. Thanks, SA Transcripts Team

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Japan stocks lower at close of trade; Nikkei 225 down 1.07%

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Japan stocks lower at close of trade; Nikkei 225 down 1.07%

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Silicon Valley engineers arrested, charged with Google trade secrets theft

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Silicon Valley engineers arrested, charged with Google trade secrets theft

Three Silicon Valley engineers were arrested and charged with stealing trade secrets from Google and other U.S. technology firms and transferring sensitive data to unauthorized locations, including Iran, federal prosecutors announced Thursday.

Samaneh Ghandali, 41, Soroor Ghandali, 32, and Mohammadjavad Khosravi, also known as Mohammad Khosravi, 40, all of San Jose, were arrested Thursday, according to the Department of Justice (DOJ).

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A federal grand jury indicted the engineers on charges of conspiracy to commit trade secret theft, theft and attempted theft of trade secrets, and obstruction of justice.

“We have enhanced safeguards to protect our confidential information and immediately alerted law enforcement after discovering this incident,” Google Spokesperson José Castañeda said in a statement to FOX Business. “Today’s indictments are an important step towards accountability and we’ll continue working to ensure our trade secrets remain secure.”

META CEO TO TESTIFY IN HIGH-STAKES TRIAL THAT COULD COST BIG TECH BILLIONS

A large multicolored Google emblem towers above a landscaped courtyard at the company’s Bay View headquarters.

Three Silicon Valley engineers were charged with stealing Google trade secrets and transferring sensitive data to unauthorized locations, including Iran, federal prosecutors said. (Josh Edelson/AFP via Getty Images / Getty Images)

The defendants gained employment at technology companies focused on mobile computer processors, according to the indictment unsealed Thursday.

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According to prosecutors, sisters Samaneh Ghandali and Soroor Ghandali worked at Google before moving to another technology company identified as “Company 3,” headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Khosravi, who is married to Samaneh Ghandali, worked at a separate company identified in the indictment as Company 2, headquartered in San Diego.

The DOJ alleges the defendants used their positions to access confidential and sensitive information as part of a scheme to steal trade secrets.

The defendants “exfiltrated confidential and sensitive documents, including trade secrets related to processor security and cryptography and other technologies, from Google and other technology companies to unauthorized third-party and personal locations, including to work devices associated with each other’s employers, and to Iran.” 

“As alleged, the defendants exploited their positions to steal confidential trade secrets from their employers,” United States Attorney Craig H. Missakian said in a statement. “Our office will continue to lead the way in protecting American innovation and we will vigorously prosecute individuals who steal sensitive advanced technologies for improper gain or to benefit countries that wish us ill.”

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Google in California

Federal prosecutors allege former Google employees conspired to steal confidential company information and send it overseas. (Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images / Getty Images)

The indictment alleges that while working at Google, Samaneh Ghandali transferred hundreds of files, including company trade secrets, to a third-party communications platform. Soroor Ghandali is also accused of transferring Google trade secret files while employed at the company.

Prosecutors allege the defendants attempted to conceal their actions by submitting “false, signed affidavits to victim technology companies about the conduct and the stolen trade secrets, destroying exfiltrated files and other records from electronic devices, and concealing the methods of exfiltration to avoid detection by the victim technology companies.”

According to a Google spokesperson, the company discovered the alleged theft through routine security monitoring and referred the case to law enforcement after conducting its own internal investigation.

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TECH TITANS ELON MUSK AND REID HOFFMAN ATTACK EACH OTHER OVER LATEST EPSTEIN EMAILS

Google

A federal grand jury indicted three engineers in an alleged scheme involving Google trade secrets, the Department of Justice said. (Rolf Vennenbernd/ via Getty Images / Getty Images)

Google said it maintains robust security measures to protect its confidential information and intellectual property, including limiting employee access to sensitive data, requiring device authentication before network access, and mandating two-factor authentication for work accounts.

Additionally, Google logs employee activity on its network, including file transfers to third-party platforms such as Telegram. The company began blocking uploads to Telegram from corporate laptops last year.

The indictment states that Google took “numerous measures to safeguard its confidential technology, information, and trade secrets.”

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Prosecutors said Google secured its physical space and restricted access to its buildings, along with its computer systems and network.

According to the indictment, Samaneh Ghandali is an Iranian national who became a U.S. citizen around 2018, Mohammadjavad Khosravi is an Iranian national who became a U.S. legal permanent resident around 2019, and Soroor Ghandali was in the United States on a nonimmigrant student visa.

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EV appoints US advisor to aid antimony push

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EV appoints US advisor to aid antimony push

In its push to become a near-term antimony producer in North America, Subiaco-based EV Resources has made a key appointment.

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