SoFi posts record quarter with $1B revenue, stronger crypto and payments push, and 2026 growth outlook as shares climb over 6% on guidance.

SoFi advanced its cryptocurrency and blockchain strategy in the fourth quarter, launching its stablecoin, SoFiUSD, on a public blockchain for enterprise 24/7 settlement and resuming consumer crypto trading. The company also expanded blockchain-enabled cross-border payments via the Bitcoin Lightning Network in over 30 countries, following its partnership with Lightspark.

Chief Executive Officer Anthony Noto outlined plans for borrowing and staking options, building on earlier 2025 announcements, according to the company.

Management projected total membership growth of at least 30% in 2026, with full-year adjusted net revenue expected at $4.66 billion and adjusted net income around $825 million. Shares rose over 6% in pre-market trading following the announcement.

AI agents will increasingly transact and interact on-chain, with blockchains providing identity, payments, and contract rails to prevent impersonation and automate tasks.

A16Z indicated that blockchains could provide essential identity verification infrastructure as AI agents become more prevalent in digital ecosystems.

The firm’s analysis highlighted the technical compatibility between blockchain systems and the operational requirements of autonomous AI agents, particularly in scenarios requiring rapid, low-value transactions and automated contract execution.

Andreessen Horowitz, known as A16Z, is a prominent Silicon Valley venture capital firm that has invested extensively in cryptocurrency and blockchain technology companies.

Institutional attitudes toward bitcoin yield are beginning to shift and there is now renewed interest in BTC rewards after years of skepticism driven by smart-contract risk, leverage, and opaque strategies, GlobalStake co-founder Thomas Chaffee told CoinDesk on Thursday.

Products that allow users to earn a return on their bitcoin holdings often require wrapping BTC into protocols, involving smart contract risk or strategies that don’t scale, so institutions didn’t see “a risk-return profile that made sense,” according to Chaffee.

That reluctance is starting to change, Chaffee said, not because institutions suddenly want more risk, but because the types of strategies available to them have evolved. Rather than protocol-based yield or token incentives, allocators are increasingly gravitating toward fully collateralized, market-neutral approaches that resemble traditional financial strategies already familiar to hedge funds and treasuries, he said.

“The behavior change we’re seeing isn’t institutions chasing yield,” Chaffee said. “It’s institutions finally engaging once the strategies, controls, and infrastructure look like something they can actually deploy capital into at scale.”

The renewed interest comes after years of failed or short-lived attempts to generate yield on bitcoin, many of which unraveled during the 2022 market downturn as prominent lenders froze withdrawals and ultimately collapsed amid liquidity stress, most notably when crypto lending service Celsius Network indefinitely paused withdrawals and transfers citing “‘extreme market conditions’” in mid-2022 and later entered bankruptcy.

Chaffee is not the only one seeing renewed institutional interest in bitcoin yield. “People holding bitcoin, — whether on balance sheet or as investors — increasingly see it as a pot just sitting there,” Richard Green, director of Rootstock Institutional, told CoinDesk recently. “It can’t just sit there doing nothing; it needs to be adding yield.” Green said professional investors now want their digital assets to “work as hard as possible” within their risk mandates.

Chaffee explained that GlobalStake, which provides staking infrastructure across proof-of-stake networks, began hearing the same question repeatedly from clients over the past several years: whether similar institutional-grade yield opportunities existed for bitcoin.

GlobalStake unveiled its Bitcoin Yield Gateway on Thursday, a platform designed to aggregate multiple third-party bitcoin yield strategies behind a single onboarding, compliance, and integration layer.

The co-founder explained the company expects roughly $500 million in bitcoin to be allocated within three months. “We expect the bitcoin to be allocated during the gateway’s first-quarter roll-out period, sourced from a custodial partner based in Canada, demand generated by parties through our partner MG Stover, and our clients, which include family offices, digital asset treasuries (DATs), corporate treasuries, and hedge funds.”

Other firms are approaching the problem from the infrastructure layer. Babylon Labs, for example, is developing systems that allow native bitcoin to be used as non-custodial collateral across financial applications, an effort aimed at expanding BTC’s utility rather than generating yield directly.

Editor’s note: Alphabet has reported a strong fourth quarter, beating market expectations on both revenue and earnings, driven by continued resilience in advertising and a sharp acceleration in Google Cloud profitability. While headline growth remains solid, the results have refocused investor attention on the scale of Alphabet’s capital expenditure, particularly its aggressive push into artificial intelligence. With AI adoption expanding rapidly across platforms like Gemini, the key question is no longer demand, but whether and when that usage can be translated into sustainable revenue and returns for shareholders.

Key points

• Alphabet’s Q4 revenue rose 18% year on year, with earnings exceeding expectations.
• Google Cloud revenue jumped 48% to USD 17.7 billion, with operating income more than doubling.
• Advertising revenue remained resilient, growing 14% year on year.
• Capital expenditure reached USD 91.5 billion in the quarter, with 2026 guidance set at USD 175–185 billion.
• Gemini has surpassed 750 million monthly users, highlighting rapid AI adoption.

Why this matters

Alphabet’s results underline a broader shift across Big Tech, where profitability in core businesses is increasingly funding massive AI investment cycles. For investors, the tension lies between long-term strategic positioning and near-term pressure on free cash flow and margins. For the wider digital economy, Alphabet’s spending signals how central AI infrastructure has become to future competitiveness, influencing cloud markets, enterprise adoption, and the pace at which AI moves from experimentation to monetised products.

What to watch next

• How Alphabet manages capital expenditure discipline relative to revenue growth.
• Signals around AI monetisation beyond user growth metrics.
• Cloud margin trends as investment intensity remains elevated.

Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company/PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates – February 05, 2026: Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) reported a solid fourth quarter, with revenue rising 18% year on year and earnings surpassing market expectations, underpinned by resilient performance across its core businesses.

Google’s advertising segment continued to show strength, with advertising revenue up 14% year on year. Google Cloud was the standout performer, posting revenue growth of 48% to USD 17.7 billion and delivering operating income of USD 5.3 billion—more than double the figure recorded in the same period last year.

Commenting on the results, Zavier Wong, Market Analyst at eToro, said that while Alphabet’s headline numbers were encouraging, investor attention has shifted toward the scale and execution risk of the company’s capital expenditure plans.

During the quarter alone, Alphabet spent USD 91.5 billion and has guided for capital expenditures of USD 175–185 billion in 2026—well above market expectations. From a shareholder perspective, this level of spending materially reduces free cash flow in the near term, with returns on AI investments yet to be proven at scale.
Alphabet is effectively asking investors to be patient and trust that artificial intelligence will evolve into a significant revenue driver.

While the company has little choice but to invest heavily to remain competitive with rivals such as Microsoft, Amazon, and OpenAI, the timeline for meaningful AI monetisation remains uncertain.
AI adoption is clearly accelerating, with Alphabet’s Gemini platform surpassing 750 million monthly users.

However, the gap between usage and monetisation remains wide, and prolonged delays in converting AI engagement into revenue could weigh on margins and earnings.

Wong added that although AI spending has so far been viewed as necessary and largely justified, Alphabet’s latest guidance represents a material escalation. “This marks one of the most significant risks we’ve seen so far in the current AI investment cycle,” he noted.

Media Contact:
PR@etoro.com

About eToro

eToro is the trading and investing platform that empowers you to invest, share and learn. We were founded in 2007 with the vision of a world where everyone can trade and invest in a simple and transparent way. Today we have 40 million registered users from 75 countries. We believe there is power in shared knowledge and that we can become more successful by investing together. So we’ve created a collaborative investment community designed to provide you with the tools you need to grow your knowledge and wealth. On eToro, you can hold a range of traditional and innovative assets and choose how you invest: trade directly, invest in a portfolio, or copy other investors. You can visit our media centre here for our latest news.

The last time we asked ChatGPT this question, it was rather dismissive. Now, its answers were significantly less optimistic.

The price moves from precisely a month ago could hardly have anticipated what happened in the following 30 days. XRP, for example, skyrocketed by 30% at the time to $2.40 amid growing ETF inflows.

The subsequent rejection and correction, though, were brutal. After several consecutive leg downs, the culmination, at least for now, transpired earlier today when it plunged below $1.40 and now struggles at $1.35. As such, we decided to revisit a painful question for ChatGPT.

Below $1 Now?

CryptoPotato first asked this question over the weekend when the landscape around Ripple and its native token was not as grim. XRP traded at around $1.60 after its most recent crash, but it seemed as if it had bottomed. Perhaps that’s why most AIs agreed that the chances for a drop beneath $1.00 in February were quite slim at the time.

However, that perceived bottom gave in during the current trading week, as mentioned above. Consequently, we asked ChatGPT whether its view on the matter will change now.

The AI’s short answer was yes, as the probability of such a drop is “meaningfully higher now than it was when XRP was at $1.60-$1.70.” At the time, the token still traded above major structural support, and the broader market hadn’t rolled over so decisively. There was no confirmed breakdown of higher-timeframe levels, and the sentiment wasn’t entirely bearish.

A lot changed in the following several days, though. Momentum has accelerated to the downside as XRP sold off aggressively, “slicing through intermediate supports and failing to hold rebounds.” Additionally, February has just started, and there’s too much time for such a drop to occur if the overall conditions do not improve rapidly.

Dip or Breakdown?

Given the current circumstances, ChatGPT believes that the probability of XRP remaining above $1.00 in February is around 40%. It expects that there will be some consolidation and choppy trading after such heightened volatility and declines.

You may also like:

However, it also noted that there’s a 35-40% chance of a liquidity sweep to just under $1.00 in the next few weeks. It would be prompted by a fast sell-off, resulting in a panic wick, before a sharp rebound. This scenario, it added now, has become “very real.”

It still dismissed the possibility of a full-on breakdown below $1.00, saying the percentages are around 15-20% now. Although this scenario appears least likely for ChatGPT, it still acknowledged that it had gone from negligible (over the weekend) to quite possible (now).

TLDR

• XRP sentiment beats BTC and ETH even as price drops and sell pressure rises
• Strong XRP optimism clashes with losses and heavy exchange inflows
• XRP mood surges above rivals while on-chain data signals weakness

XRP shows stronger trader sentiment than major rivals even as prices slide across the crypto market. Recent analytics place XRP well above Bitcoin and Ethereum on social mood indicators. Price action and on-chain signals still reflect pressure, and momentum remains uneven.

XRP Sentiment and Market Structure

Santiment data ranks XRP with a Positive/Negative sentiment score far above competing large-cap assets. The reading stands above Ethereum and Bitcoin even after a notable weekly decline. Yet XRP lost more value than both peers during the same period.

The price fell over six percent during the past week, and losses exceeded market averages. However, social platforms continue to reflect higher confidence around XRP than other major tokens. This divergence creates tension between sentiment readings and real trading behavior.

On-chain metrics add pressure because unrealized losses now outweigh profits across many wallets. Glassnode data shows XRP approaching levels associated with capitulation cycles in past downturns. Meanwhile, loss-heavy transactions dominate flows, and panic selling continues to outpace profitable exits.

Bitcoin Holds Preference During Market Weakness

Bitcoin sentiment trails XRP, yet market structure still favors Bitcoin during broad risk-off conditions. The Altcoin Season Index places the market firmly inside a Bitcoin-dominated phase. Traders prefer relative stability, and capital rotates toward larger assets during stress.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index recently printed one of its lowest readings in months. That score signals strong fear, and it reflects hesitation across the wider crypto environment. Such conditions often appear near short-term bottoms, yet volatility remains elevated.

Market commentators note that weakness has persisted for several weeks across major tokens. Some analysts frame the period as an extended cooling phase after earlier rallies. Even so, Bitcoin continues to anchor liquidity, and it attracts defensive positioning during uncertainty.

Ethereum Tracks Broader Risk Sentiment

Ethereum sentiment sits between Bitcoin and XRP, yet it fails to match XRP’s social strength. Weekly performance shows Ethereum declining close to five percent alongside Bitcoin. This parallel movement confirms Ethereum’s alignment with overall market direction.

Network activity remains steady, yet speculative appetite has cooled across decentralized finance segments. Lower transaction enthusiasm reflects reduced risk tolerance, and capital rotates toward safer positions. Ethereum mirrors that caution because traders scale back aggressive exposure.

Exchange flows across major assets show rising balances that often precede additional selling pressure. XRP recorded significant inflows, and Ethereum followed a similar exchange pattern. Unless buying activity returns, both assets may struggle to establish firm support levels.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has sold a significant amount of his personal ETH holdings over the past several days.

According to blockchain analytics shared by Lookonchain, Vitalik has offloaded 2,961.5 Ethereum (ETH), worth approximately $6.6 million, at an average price of around $2,228 per ETH. The selling is reported to be ongoing.

• Ethereum price drops to $2,127 amid market weakness and high volatility.
• Vitalik Buterin sells $6.6M ETH, part of planned funding moves.
• Key support at $2,007, with resistance targets at $2,133 and $2,274.

Ethereum (ETH) is under pressure as the cryptocurrency continues to face a significant pullback.

The price of ETH has dropped to $2,098.91, down 5.6% in the last 24 hours.

This decline is part of a broader downtrend, with Ethereum losing around 28% over the past week and nearly 34% over the past three months.

Trading volume, however, remained elevated at $54.5 billion in the last 24 hours, highlighting strong market activity despite the falling prices.

Vitalik Buterin’s ETH trades

Adding to the market concerns, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has sold millions in ETH.

Reports indicate that wallets linked to Buterin moved roughly 2,961.5 ETH, valued at approximately $6.6 million at the time of sale.

vitalik.eth(@VitalikButerin) is dumping $ETH fast!

Over the past 3 days, Vitalik has sold 2,961.5 $ETH($6.6M) at an average price of $2,228 — and the selling is still ongoing.https://t.co/Q9G1lEsdiP pic.twitter.com/C1vBn5UimJ

— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) February 5, 2026

These transactions attracted attention due to the timing of the Ethereum downturn.

Additional reports highlight a separate $29 million ETH transfer, part of a planned reallocation by Buterin.

The movement included converting ETH to wrapped ETH (wETH) and sending smaller amounts to his Kanro charity, which focuses on biotechnology and infectious disease research.

Analysts stress that these transfers are likely strategic funding moves, not panic selling.

Nevertheless, the market has interpreted these large movements as bearish signals.

ETH price analysis

Ethereum has been under pressure due to broader crypto market weakness.

The 24-hour price range for ETH is currently $2,077.42 to $2,258.21, reflecting volatility and uncertainty.

Ethereum’s market capitalisation stands at $257 billion, with a circulating supply of 120.6 million ETH.

The cryptocurrency is still down 57% from its all-time high of $4,946.05 in August 2025.

Despite the decline, Ethereum remains a major player in the crypto ecosystem, with investors closely monitoring large wallet movements.

Ethereum price forecast

Traders are watching key levels for signs of market direction.

The first support level to monitor is $2,007.

If ETH fails to hold this level, it could drop further to the next support at $1,800.

On the upside, $2,133 is the initial resistance level.

A sustained break above this could push Ethereum toward $2,274, with the third resistance at $2,396.

Analysts like CoinLore suggest that maintaining a price above the $2,007 support is critical for any potential recovery.

Conversely, breaking below this level could accelerate selling pressure and test lower price floors.

In conclusion, Ethereum faces a challenging period as both founder wallet activity and broader market trends weigh on the price.

Traders should pay close attention to the support and resistance levels, as these will likely guide short-term movements in ETH.

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

With bitcoin’s BTC$69,270.10 bear market raging and the price dropping to the lowest since November 2024, its core pitch, a hard cap of 21 million supply, faces fresh skepticism.

Some observers say that alternative investment vehicles like ETFs, cash-settled futures and options and other services like prime-broker lending have diluted that scarcity appeal. These tools let investors access bitcoin without owning the real thing, creating a “synthetic supply” that floods the market.

“Once you can synthetically manufacture the supply, the asset is no longer scarce, and once scarcity is gone, price becomes a derivatives game, not a supply-and-demand market. This is exactly what has happened to Bitcoin,” veteran analyst and writer of The Kendall Report, Bob Kendall, wrote on X.

Gold, silver, oil and equities saw a similar structural change with the debut of alternative investment vehicles, Kendall wrote. In 2023, CoinDesk highlighted how financialization of BTC creates paper claims that mimic abundance in a market defined by raw scarcity.

This is also why investors should tread carefully with onchain metrics like the “percentage of illiquid supply,” because these don’t account for massive “paper supply” from ETFs and futures that dilute the 21 million cap.

In the market, bitcoin lost even more ground, falling below $70,000 for the first time in more than a year.

According to veteran chart analyst Peter Brandt, the selloff has all the hallmarks of campaign selling, or coordinated selling by institutions and large traders rather than retail capitulation. Brandt is not sure at what level or when the decline will halt.

Most observers expect a slide to under $60,000 while firms like Stifel fear a more profound decline to $38,000, given the strengthening correlation with tech stocks, which have also taken a beating lately.

Hyperliquid’s HYPE remains the only consistent hideout. The token is up 11% on the year, while BTC is down nearly 19%. One other interesting token is TRX, which is down just 2%, outperforming the broader market possibly, on the back of dip buying by treasury firm Tron Inc.

In traditional markets, Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge, the VIX index, is revisiting January highs above 20.00, signaling risk aversion. U.S. Treasury market action suggests expectations for a smaller Fed balance sheet. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today

What to Watch

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

• Crypto
  • Feb. 5: Zilliqa to undergo its hardfork enabling Cancun.
• Macro
  • Feb. 5, 2 p.m.: Mexico interest-rate decision (Prev. 7%)
  • Feb, 5, 4:30 p.m.: Fed balance sheet for the period ending Feb. 4
• Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
  • Feb. 5: Bullish (BLSH), pre-market, $0.15
  • Feb. 5: Strategy (MSTR), post-market, -$18.64
  • Feb. 5: IREN Limited (IREN), post-market, -$0.18
  • Feb. 5: CleanSpark (CLSK), post-market, -$0.02

Token Events

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

• Governance votes & calls
  • Feb. 5: PancakeSwap to host an ask me anything (AMA) session with Arbitrum.
  • Feb. 5: Olympus to host a community call with a live Q&A session.
  • Feb. 5: Aster to host an AMA session with its CEO.
• Unlocks
  • Feb. 5: XDC$0.03278 to unlock 5% of its circulating supply worth $31.52 million.
  • Feb. 5: ENA$0.1304 to unlock 2.31% of its circulating supply worth $26.46 million.
• Token Launches
  • No major launches scheduled.

Conferences

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Market Movements

• BTC is down 1.62% from 4 p.m. ET Wednesday at $71,467.00 (24hrs: -6.52%)
• ETH is up 0.24% at $2,130.50 (24hrs: -5.93%)
• CoinDesk 20 is down 1.68% at 2,077.53 (24hrs: -7.15%)
• Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 18 bps at 3.01%
• BTC funding rate is at 0.0008% (0.8793% annualized) on Binance

• DXY is up 0.29% at 97.90
• Gold futures are down 1.22% at $4,890.20
• Silver futures are down 7.55% at $78.02
• Nikkei 225 closed down 0.88% at 53,818.04
• Hang Seng closed up 0.14% at 26,885.24
• FTSE is down 0.43% at 10,357.59
• Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.36% at 5,949.05
• DJIA closed on Wednesday up 0.53% at 49,501.30
• S&P 500 closed down 0.51% at 6,882.72
• Nasdaq Composite closed down 1.51% at 22,904.58
• S&P/TSX Composite closed up 0.56% at 32,571.55
• S&P 40 Latin America closed down 2.89% at 3,653.05
• U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is down 0.8 bps at 4.27%
• E-mini S&P 500 futures are unchanged at 6,904.75
• E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.14% at 25,033.50
• E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 0.25% at 49,466.00

Bitcoin Stats

• BTC Dominance: 59.26% (-0.39%)
• Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.02981 (1.56%)
• Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 913 EH/s
• Hashprice (spot): $32.02
• Total fees: 3.22 BTC / $240,320
• CME Futures Open Interest: 114,080 BTC
• BTC priced in gold: 14.6 oz.
• BTC vs gold market cap: 4.77%

Technical Analysis

• The chart shows daily price swings in decentralized exchange Hyperliquid’s HYPE token.
• HYPE’s price has surged past the trend line that characterizes the decline from September highs.
• The breakout indicates that the path of least resistance is to the higher side and shifts focus to resistance at $50.

Crypto Equities

• Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Wednesday at $168.62 (-6.14%), -1.51% at $166.07 in pre-market
• Circle Internet (CRCL): closed at $55.05 (-1.98%), -1.25% at $54.36
• Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $20.16 (-8.28%), -1.49% at $19.86
• Bullish (BLSH): closed at $27.20 (-1.59%), -0.51% at $27.06
• MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $8.28 (-8.51%), -1.81% at $8.13
• Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $14.14 (-7.82%), -1.34% at $13.95
• Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $16.15 (-8.96%), +0.37% at $16.21
• CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $10.22 (-10.04%), -1.47% at $10.07
• CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $40.29 (-11.06%)
• Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $10.70 (+2.20%)

Crypto Treasury Companies

• Strategy (MSTR): closed at $129.09 (-3.13%), -3.24% at $124.91
• Strive (ASST): closed at $0.59 (-13.20%), -6.74% at $0.55
• SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $7.08 (-7.57%), -2.54% at $6.90
• Upexi (UPXI): closed at $1.36 (-12.26%), -2.21% at $1.33
• Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.06 (-7.83%)

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

• Daily net flows: -$544.9 million
• Cumulative net flows: $54.73 billion
• Total BTC holdings ~1.28 million

Spot ETH ETFs

• Daily net flows: -$79.4 million
• Cumulative net flows: $11.94 billion
• Total ETH holdings ~5.92 million

Source: Farside Investors

While You Were Sleeping

Miners are being squeezed as bitcoin’s $70,000 price fails to cover $87,000 production costs (CoinDesk): Bitcoin is now some 20% below its estimated average production cost, increasing financial pressure across the the crypto mining industry.

Precious metals, oil slide as global tensions ease; copper down (Reuters): Prices of commodities from silver and gold to crude oil and copper dived on Thursday as global tensions eased after talks between China and the U.S., which is also set to sit down with Iran.

Trillion-dollar tech wipeout ensnares all stocks in AI’s path (Bloomberg): Hundreds of billions of dollars were wiped off the value of stocks, bonds and loans of companies big and small across Silicon Valley, with software stocks at the epicenter.