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Another European Country Bans Polymarket, Threatens $1M Fine

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Another European Country Bans Polymarket, Threatens $1M Fine

Dutch regulators have ordered crypto prediction platform Polymarket to stop operating in the Netherlands, warning it could face fines of up to €840,000 if it fails to comply. 

The decision marks the latest escalation in Europe’s widening crackdown on the platform.

Polymarket is Losing the European Market

The Kansspelautoriteit (Ksa), the Dutch gambling authority, issued a formal enforcement order against Polymarket’s operator, Adventure One QSS Inc., on Friday. The regulator said Polymarket was offering illegal gambling services without a Dutch license.

Authorities imposed a penalty of €420,000 per week if Polymarket continues serving Dutch users. The fines could reach a maximum of €840,000, with additional revenue-based penalties possible later.

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“In recent months, Polymarket has been in the news frequently, especially around bets on the Dutch elections. After contact with the company about the illegal activities on the Dutch market, no visible change has occurred and the offer is still available. The Gaming Authority therefore now imposes this order under penalty,” the regulator wrote.

The regulator said prediction markets qualify as gambling under Dutch law, regardless of how the platform classifies them. It also stressed that betting on elections is prohibited entirely, even for licensed operators.

Importantly, regulators highlighted Polymarket’s activity around Dutch elections as a key concern. It warned that election betting could create societal risks, including potential influence over democratic processes.

The Netherlands’ decision follows similar action in Portugal, where regulators recently blocked Polymarket nationwide. 

Portuguese authorities intervened after the platform saw heavy betting tied to the latest presidential election outcomes.

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Meanwhile, several other European countries have taken similar measures. Italy, Belgium, and Romania have blocked access to Polymarket, while France restricted betting functionality. 

Hungary also issued a formal ban, citing illegal gambling activity.

Prediction Markets as Financial Infrastructure or Gambling Platform?

These actions reflect a growing consensus among European regulators. Authorities increasingly classify prediction markets as gambling when they operate without licenses.

However, Polymarket’s creator, Shayne Coplan, has consistently rejected that classification. He argues that prediction markets function as financial infrastructure, similar to derivatives markets, rather than gambling platforms.

Coplan maintains that prediction markets help aggregate information and forecast real-world events. Regulators across Europe disagree.

As a result, Europe has become one of the strictest regions globally for prediction market platforms. The Netherlands’ threat of direct financial penalties signals that enforcement is moving beyond access blocks toward sustained legal pressure.

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Specialized AI detects 92% of real-world DeFi exploits

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Specialized AI detects 92% of real-world DeFi exploits

A purpose-built AI security agent detected vulnerabilities in 92% of exploited DeFi smart contracts in a new open-source benchmark.

The study, released Thursday by AI security firm Cecuro, evaluated 90 real-world smart contracts exploited between October 2024 and early 2026, representing $228 million in verified losses. The specialized system flagged vulnerabilities tied to $96.8 million in exploit value, compared with just 34% detection and $7.5 million in coverage from a baseline GPT-5.1-based coding agent.

Both systems ran on the same frontier model. The difference, according to the report, was the application layer: domain-specific methodology, structured review phases and DeFi-focused security heuristics layered on top of the model.

The findings arrive amid growing concern that AI is accelerating crypto crime. Separate research from Anthropic and OpenAI has shown that AI agents can now execute end-to-end exploits on most known vulnerable smart contracts, with exploit capability reportedly doubling roughly every 1.3 months. The average cost of an AI-powered exploit attempt is about $1.22 per contract, sharply lowering the barrier to large-scale scanning.

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Previous CoinDesk coverage outlined how bad actors such as North Korea have begun using AI to scale hacking operations and automate parts of the exploit process, underscoring the widening gap between offensive and defensive capabilities.

Cecuro argues that many teams rely on general-purpose AI tools or one-off audits for security, an approach the benchmark suggests may miss high-value, complex vulnerabilities. Several contracts in the dataset had previously undergone professional audits before being exploited.

The benchmark dataset, evaluation framework and baseline agent have been open-sourced on GitHub. The company said it has not released its full security agent due to concerns that similar tooling could be repurposed for offensive use.

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Fusaka Upgrade Fuels Record Address Poisoning on Ethereum

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Dust attack transactions before and after Fusaka upgrade. Source: Andrey Sergeenkov

Lower gas costs have turned Ethereum into a playground for mass address poisoning, with scammers hitting thousands of wallets daily.

Ethereum has spent years trying to fix high fees, and recent upgrades finally made transactions cheaper. But while they solved one problem, they may have opened the door to another.

Leon Waidmann, head of research at Lisk, noted in an X post on Wednesday, Feb. 18, that network activity is booming, with stablecoin volume hitting $7.5 trillion in a single quarter while transaction fees stayed under a dollar.

“Record usage. Record cheap. At the same time. The biggest divergence between fundamentals and price in all of crypto right now,” he noted.

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But the growth may hide a more alarming reality. A recent study by blockchain researcher Andrey Sergeenkov finds address poisoning attacks surged significantly after the December Fusaka upgrade, which cut gas fees sixfold and made spam attacks cheap enough to scale.

Address poisoning works by sending tiny transfers from addresses that look like the victim’s real contacts. If the victim copies the wrong address from their history, funds get stolen. Sergeenkov says attackers treat this like a lottery, sending millions of cheap transactions in the hope of a few big payoffs.

Unintended Consequences

Before Fusaka, attackers were sending roughly 30,000 dust transactions per day, according to Sergeenkov’s analysis of 101 tokens between Sept. 1, 2025, and Feb. 13 this year.

Dust attack transactions before and after Fusaka upgrade. Source: Andrey Sergeenkov
Dust attack transactions before and after Fusaka upgrade. Source: Andrey Sergeenkov

But after the upgrade, lower fees made mass poisoning viable in a way that wasn’t possible before, and daily dust transactions jumped to 167,000, peaking at about 510,000 in one day in January.

Gas price vs. dust attack volume before and after Fusaka upgrade. Source: Andrey Sergeenkov
Gas price vs. dust attack volume before and after Fusaka upgrade. Source: Andrey Sergeenkov

In just over two months after Fusaka, victims lost more than $63 million, 13 times the $4.9 million lost in a comparable prior period, the data shows.

“There is nothing wrong with lowering fees, but the security problems that cheap transactions amplify should have been addressed before the upgrade. When the Ethereum Foundation claims it is building trillion-dollar security, user safety must be the strictest priority over growth metrics,” Sergeenkov writes.

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Sergeenkov noted that a single transfer accounted for a large share of the post-Fusaka losses, when attackers stole $50 million in USDT on Dec. 19, 2025. Even leaving that out, total losses still came to $13.3 million, 2.7 times higher than the pre-Fusaka period, he concluded.

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Dutch Authorities Call on Polymarket Arm to Cease Activities

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Dutch Authorities Call on Polymarket Arm to Cease Activities

The prediction market’s Dutch arm, Adventure One, allegedly offered illegal bets, including on elections in the Netherlands.

The Netherlands Gambling Authority said it imposed a penalty on prediction markets platform Polymarket’s Dutch arm, Adventure One, for offering gambling to residents without a license.

In a Tuesday notice, Dutch authorities ordered the Polymarket company to “cease its activities immediately,” or face up to $990,000 in fines. According to authorities, Adventure One was in violation of Dutch law for offering illegal bets, including those on local elections, and the company had not responded to requests to address these activities.

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”Prediction markets are on the rise, including in the Netherlands,” said the Netherlands Gambling Authority’s director of licensing and supervision, Ella Seijsener. “These types of companies offer bets that are not permitted in our market under any circumstances, not even by license holders.”