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Arthur Hayes bets on ETHFI token, can it breakout?

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ETHFI token has broken out of a descending trendline resistance on the daily chart.

Arthur Hayes, a veteran trader and co-founder of BitMEX, has once again placed a bet in ETHFI nearly a month after a possible exit from the token.

Summary

  • Arthur Hayes re entered ETHFI with a $72,800 purchase shortly before Upbit announced a KRW listing, drawing attention to the timing of the move.
  • ETHFI price briefly surged nearly 12% following the listing before retracing, highlighting volatility tied to exchange driven catalysts.
  • Technical signals remain mixed, with a breakout above trendline resistance suggesting upside potential, while MACD and RSI indicate lingering bearish pressure.

According to a March 19 X post by on-chain tracker Lookonchain, Hayes invested around 132,730 ETHFI tokens worth $72,800 today. The tokens were received from Anchorage Digital at an average price of $0.55 each.

While such transfers are common for institutional players, the report highlighted the significance of the timing of the purchase. It revealed that the transfer from Anchorage Digital happened just five hours ahead of a KRW market listing for the token by South Korea’s largest crypto exchange, Upbit.

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Typically, a KRW listing on Upbit has often acted as a major catalyst for crypto assets. As reported by crypto.news earlier, CPOOL, the native token of the DeFi institutional credit protocol Clearpool, soared over 70% in a single day following a similar listing. However, the token later gave up a portion of those gains as profit-taking set in.

Lookonchain added another twist to the development. Notably, Hayes had transferred 2.15 million ETHFI tokens worth around $1 million out of his wallet a month ago, likely exiting from the position.

The latest receipt of ETHFI tokens could likely mark a potential re-entry into the token, though at a much smaller scale than when Hayes previously exited the position. Hayes has also historically rotated capital across DeFi tokens, including PENDLE, LDO, ENA, and ETHFI, depending on market conditions.

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Ether.Fi (ETHFI) shot up nearly 12% to $0.60 within an hour after Upbit listed the token. It, however, retraced back to around $0.54 at press time, down 2.3% over the past 24 hours.

On the daily chart, ETHFI price has broken out of a descending trendline that had been acting as dynamic resistance for the token following its decline since early October. A sharp breakout from the pattern typically signals a potential trend reversal and opens the door for further upside if supported by volume.

ETHFI token has broken out of a descending trendline resistance on the daily chart.
ETHFI price has broken out of a descending trendline resistance on the daily chart — March 19 | Source: crypto.news

Technical indicators like the MACD and the RSI also suggest mixed momentum. Notably, the MACD lines were still pointing downwards, indicating lingering bearish pressure, while the RSI hovered near the neutral zone, reflecting indecision among traders.

For now, $0.649 would be the key resistance level traders would be keeping an eye on. A break above that could strengthen bullish momentum and push the price toward higher levels.

On the contrary, $0.500 would be the key support level. A drop below that could lead to a retest of the Feb. 6 low of $0.381.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Crypto World

U.S. Treasury Opens Bank-Grade Cyber Alerts Channel to Crypto Firms

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • The U.S. Treasury said eligible crypto firms can access its cybersecurity information-sharing service.
  • Treasury will provide the crypto sector with cyber warnings already used by traditional financial institutions.
  • The department asked interested companies and organizations to contact its cybersecurity office for access details.
  • Treasury said the move followed a recommendation from the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets.
  • The announcement came as hackers continue to steal billions of dollars from digital asset platforms each year.

The U.S. Treasury will extend cyber threat alerts to eligible crypto businesses, it said Thursday. The step gives parts of the digital asset sector the same warnings used by banks. Treasury said companies and trade groups can contact its cybersecurity office to join the program.

U.S. Treasury Opens Cyber Warning Channel to Crypto Firms

The Treasury’s Office of Cybersecurity and Critical Infrastructure Protection will send timely cyber information to approved participants. Pettit said the service gives digital asset firms the same information available to traditional financial institutions.

Luke Pettit, assistant secretary for financial institutions, announced the change in Treasury’s statement on Thursday. He said, “Treasury is helping promote a secure and responsible digital asset ecosystem.”

The announcement did not define which firms qualify for the service. Treasury urged interested companies and organizations to contact the office directly for enrollment details.

The move follows a recommendation from the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets. That report outlined ideas for sharing cyber threat information across the crypto sector.

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Crypto platforms continue to face frequent attacks that drain funds and expose data. Those breaches shaped policy talks as lawmakers weigh rules for digital assets.

Last week, North Korea-linked hackers stole over $280 million from the decentralized platform Drift. The theft added to a long record of cybercrime tied to digital asset services.

This week, separate incidents pushed the Solana Foundation to pursue new security measures. The foundation said it wants stronger protections against future exploits on its network.

Hacks keep Pressure on Digital Asset Security

Hackers steal billions of dollars in digital assets each year, Treasury said. The statement said nation-backed groups, including actors linked to North Korea, drive many attacks.

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Cybersecurity remains a central issue in congressional work on digital asset legislation. Lawmakers have cited thefts and system weaknesses while shaping federal oversight proposals.

Treasury offered the service as the sector takes a larger financial role. It said the outreach aims to improve defense against cyber threats.

Traditional financial firms already receive these alerts through Treasury’s information-sharing channels. Now, eligible crypto entities may receive the same material for free.

Treasury framed the change as a direct response to earlier federal recommendations. The department cited the working group report issued last year.

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The statement arrived after another week of public reports about crypto-related hacks. Those reports included the Drift theft and new Solana security steps.

Interested firms can seek access now by contacting Treasury’s cybersecurity office, the statement said. The Treasury announced that it would open on Thursday and invited crypto organizations to apply.

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Quantum-safe bitcoin now possible without a soft fork, but costs $200 a pop

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Quantum-safe bitcoin now possible without a soft fork, but costs $200 a pop

A StarkWare researcher has published what he says is the first method for making bitcoin transactions quantum-safe on the live network today, without any changes to the Bitcoin protocol. The scheme, however, costs up to $200 per transaction and is designed as an emergency measure rather than a permanent fix.

In a paper published this week, StarkWare researcher Avihu Levy introduced Quantum Safe Bitcoin, or QSB, a scheme that aims to enable quantum-resistant transactions without requiring changes to the Bitcoin protocol, by replacing signature-based security assumptions with hash-based proofs within its design.

The hash-based design survives the kind of quantum attack that would break today’s cryptography, but shifts the burden from consensus to computation, requiring heavy off-chain GPU work for every transaction.

Think of traditional digital signatures as a handwritten signature on a cheque, which proves you authorized a transaction using a secret key that others can cross check with a public key.

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In Bitcoin, these digital signatures are called ECDSA signatures. They are secure against today’s computers, but a sufficiently powerful future quantum computer could, in theory, derive the secret key from a public key and potentially compromise funds.

QSB addresses that flaw by redesigning the system around a different kind of cryptography, involving hash-based proofs, which are more like a tamper-proof fingerprint, where instead of relying on signature alone, a unique mathematical digest of data is created. This is said to be extremely difficult to forge or reverse, even for powerful computers.

QSB works entirely within Bitcoin’s existing consensus rules for legacy transactions. It requires no soft fork (software upgrade), no miner signaling, and no activation timeline. This is a sharp contrast to BIP-360, the quantum-resistance proposal that was merged into Bitcoin’s official improvement proposal repository in February but has no Bitcoin Core implementation and faces years of governance delay.

The proposal builds on an earlier idea known as Binohash, which added an extra layer of computational work to secure bitcoin transactions. The problem is that it depends on a type of cryptography that quantum computers are expected to break. In practice, that means the protection disappears in a quantum scenario. An attacker could bypass the system’s core security check entirely, making it ineffective.

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Extra cost

The hash-based solution, however, means extremely expensive transactions.

Generating a valid transaction requires searching through billions of possible candidates, a process Levy estimates would cost between $75 and $200 using commodity cloud GPUs. Currently, the cost to send a bitcoin transaction through the blockchain is around 33 cents.

The system also comes with practical hurdles. QSB transactions wouldn’t move through Bitcoin’s normal blockchain like typical payments. Instead, users would likely need to send them directly to miners willing to process them.

They also don’t work with faster, cheaper layers like the Lightning Network, and are far more complicated to create. Generating a transaction would require outsourcing heavy computation to external hardware, rather than simply signing and sending from a wallet.

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Levy describes the scheme as a “last resort measure,” not a replacement for protocol-level upgrades. Proposals such as BIP-360, which aim to introduce quantum-resistant signature schemes through a soft fork, remain the more scalable long-term solution but could take years to activate.

BIP-360’s activation timeline is uncertain. Polymarket bettors are pricing in low odds of it happening this year, and Bitcoin’s governance history offers little reason for urgency — Taproot took roughly seven and a half years from concept to deployment. Then again, mature quantum computers capable of breaking the encryption that secures the network are not arriving tomorrow either.

QSB instead offers something different: a way to survive a quantum break using today’s rules, if users are willing to pay for it.

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Gold, Silver and Oil Drive 65,000% Jump in Commodity Perpetuals

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BitMEX said in a Thursday report that commodity perpetual swaps were the fastest-growing segment of TradFi perps in the first quarter of 2026, with weekly volume rising 65,463% from $38.1 million to $25.0 billion.

The report said silver, crude oil and gold drove most of that growth. By the week of March 15, Silver (XAG) accounted for 34.8% of the market share of tokenized commodities, followed by crude oil (CL) for 27.7%, gold (XAU) at 27.5% and Silver on Hyperliquid for 6%, according to a Thursday report.

BitMEX said the March entry of crude oil added a new leg to the market, attributing that move to Iran-related geopolitical tensions and broader demand for 24/7 commodity exposure on crypto-native venues.

The figures point to a fast-growing niche inside crypto derivatives markets.

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Global Weekly Volume by Commodity Pair. Source: BitMEX

Brent crude oil has risen by around 44% since the first US/Israeli strikes on Iran on Feb. 28, from around $69 to above $99 at the time of writing, according to data from Trading Economics. Oil prices peaked at around $114 on Tuesday, their highest level since the beginning of the conflict.

Brent Crude Oil, six-month chart. Source: Tradingeconomics

Weekend dislocations lifted commodity perps

Onchain TradFi perps are driving traders to “speculate and hedge against weekend geopolitical events like the recent Iran conflict, in real time,” Stephan Lutz, CEO at BitMEX, told Cointelegraph. “While the perpetual swaps model will continue to capture significant market share in commodities trading due to its 24/7 nature, we are highly skeptical about tokenising spot assets,” he said.

However, minting physical commodities on the blockchain is complicated by the legacy financial system’s “complex, arbitrary legal rules,” Lutz said, adding that onchain derivatives will continue to eat into the trading share of traditional commodities, until “legacy giants like the CME” launch their own 24/7 trading venues.

Related: Crypto exchanges gain as tokenized commodity market climbs to $7.7B

In the broader market, the total market capitalization of onchain commodities declined by 2.7% during the past 30 days to $7.34 billion as of Thursday, according to data aggregator RWA.xyz.

Tokenized commodities market capitalization. Source: RWA.xyz 

BitMEX, which says it launched the first perpetual swap in 2016, now offers more than 20 TradFi contracts, according to the report.

Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, introduced gold and silver perpetuals in January. It offers contracts spanning precious metals and tokenized equities. Its Silver (XAG) contract saw an average daily volume of $1.31 billion during the quarter, according to the report.

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