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Benchmark slashes Metaplanet target as BTC slump drives losses

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Benchmark slashes Metaplanet target as BTC slump drives losses

Benchmark cut Metaplanet’s target after BTC-driven losses despite stronger BTC income.

Summary

  • Benchmark trimmed its Metaplanet target from ¥2,400 to ¥1,100 while reiterating a buy view.
  • Metaplanet booked a sizeable net loss on late‑2025 BTC price declines despite higher BTC income revenues.
  • Shares trade near post‑April 2024 BTC‑treasury lows as large holders sit on deep unrealized BTC losses.

Benchmark has reduced its price target for Tokyo-listed Bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet while maintaining a “buy” rating, according to a recent analyst report citing mixed performance indicators from the firm’s earnings and bitcoin-focused strategy.

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Metaplanet shares, which trade on U.S. over-the-counter markets, are trading near their lowest levels since the company began purchasing bitcoin in April 2024, according to market data.

The company reported a net loss for the fiscal year ended December 31, driven primarily by non-cash valuation losses on its bitcoin holdings following price declines in late 2025, according to the company’s financial statements. Revenue and operating profit showed improvement due to bitcoin-related financial services, the report stated.

Benchmark highlighted Metaplanet’s Bitcoin (BTC) Income Generation business, which generates revenue through options and yield strategies tied to bitcoin. The business model allows for potential dividends on new perpetual preferred shares without requiring the sale of core bitcoin holdings, according to the analyst report.

Metaplanet holds tens of thousands of bitcoin purchased at a high average price, resulting in a substantial unrealized loss, according to company disclosures.

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Analysts stated that investor demand for preferred shares will determine the company’s ability to expand its bitcoin treasury while managing dilution risk. Large holders face substantial losses, reflecting the sector-wide impact of bitcoin volatility on corporate treasuries, the report noted.

Benchmark stated that upside potential remains if Metaplanet successfully scales both its bitcoin holdings and income-generating operations, but cautioned that price volatility and shareholder dilution represent significant concerns for investors.

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Crypto World

Goldman Sachs (GS) earnings 1Q 2026

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Goldman Sachs (GS) earnings 1Q 2026

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon speaks during an interview at the Economic Club of Washington, Oct. 30, 2025.

Kevin Lamarque | Reuters

Goldman Sachs is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the opening bell Monday.

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Here’s what Wall Street expects:

  • Earnings: $16.49 per share, according to LSEG
  • Revenue: $16.97 billion, according to LSEG
  • Trading revenue: Fixed income of $4.92 billion, equities of $4.91 billion, per StreetAccount
  • Investing banking fees: $2.5 billion, per StreetAccount

Goldman Sachs is set up to benefit from several trends during the first quarter.

Trading desks across Wall Street have been busy at the start of the year as institutional investors set new positions against the churn of AI-led disruption across sectors.

At the same time, the investment banking rebound is expected to continue, with revenue for the industry set to climb by 10% in the quarter, per Dealogic.

For Goldman Sachs, which gets most of its revenue from its trading and investment banking franchise, the main question analysts will have is about the impact of the Iran war that started on Feb. 28.

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Disruptive events that impact the price of commodities — like the Iran conflict has — can sometimes force corporate clients to the sidelines, meaning a delay in mergers activity might have started. At the same time, the churn can lead to greater trading revenues thanks to moves in interest rates, bond prices and currencies.

Shares of the bank have climbed about 3% this year.

This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

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AI Routers Can Steal Credentials and Crypto

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AI Routers Can Steal Credentials and Crypto

University of California researchers have discovered that some third-party AI large language model (LLM) routers can pose security vulnerabilities that can lead to crypto theft. 

A paper measuring malicious intermediary attacks on the LLM supply chain, published on Thursday by the researchers, revealed four attack vectors, including malicious code injection and extraction of credentials

“26 LLM routers are secretly injecting malicious tool calls and stealing creds,” said the paper’s co-author, Chaofan Shou, on X.

LLM agents increasingly route requests through third-party API intermediaries or routers that aggregate access to providers like OpenAI, Anthropic and Google. However, these routers terminate Internet TLS (Transport Layer Security) connections and have full plaintext access to every message. 

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This means that developers using AI coding agents such as Claude Code to work on smart contracts or wallets could be passing private keys, seed phrases and sensitive data through router infrastructure that has not been screened or secured.

Multi-hop LLM router supply chain. Source: arXiv.org

ETH stolen from a decoy crypto wallet 

The researchers tested 28 paid routers and 400 free routers collected from public communities. 

Their findings were startling, with nine routers actively injecting malicious code, two deploying adaptive evasion triggers, 17 accessing researcher-owned Amazon Web Services credentials, and one draining Ether (ETH) from a researcher-owned private key.

Related: Anthropic limits access to AI model over cyberattack concerns

The researchers prefunded Ethereum wallet “decoy keys” with nominal balances and reported that the value lost in the experiment was below $50, but no further details such as the transaction hash were provided. 

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The authors also ran two “poisoning studies” showing that even benign routers become dangerous once they reuse leaked credentials through weak relays.

Hard to tell whether routers are malicious

The researchers said it was not easy to detect when a router was malicious.  

“The boundary between ‘credential handling’ and ‘credential theft’ is invisible to the client because routers already read secrets in plaintext as part of normal forwarding.” 

Another unsettling find was what the researchers called “YOLO mode.” This is a setting in many AI agent frameworks where the agent executes commands automatically without asking the user to confirm each one.

Previously legitimate routers can be silently weaponized without the operator even knowing, while free routers may be stealing credentials while offering cheap API access as the lure, the researchers found.

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“LLM API routers sit on a critical trust boundary that the ecosystem currently treats as transparent transport.” 

The researchers recommended that developers using AI agents to code should bolster client-side defenses, suggesting never letting private keys or seed phrases transit an AI agent session.

The long-term fix is for AI companies to cryptographically sign their responses so the instructions an agent executes can be mathematically verified as coming from the actual model. 

Magazine: Nobody knows if quantum secure cryptography will even work