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Binance CEO Richard Teng breaks down the ‘10/10’ nightmare that rocked crypto

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Binance CEO Richard Teng breaks down the ‘10/10’ nightmare that rocked crypto

Binance did not cause the crypto market liquidation event on Oct. 10, but every exchange — centralized or decentralized — saw massive liquidations that day after China imposed rare earth metal controls and the U.S. announced fresh tariffs, said Binance Co-CEO Richard Teng.

About 75% of the liquidations took place around 9:00 p.m. ET, alongside two unrelated, isolated issues: a stablecoin depegging and “some slowness in terms of asset transfer,” Teng said Thursday at CoinDesk’s Consensus Hong Kong conference.

“The U.S. equity market plunged $1.5 trillion in value that day,” he said. “The U.S. equity market alone saw $150 billion of liquidation. The crypto market is much smaller. It was about $19 billion. And the liquidation on crypto happened across all the exchanges.”

Some users were affected by this, which Binance helped support, he said, an action other exchanges did not take.

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Binance facilitated $34 trillion in trading volume last year, he said, with 300 million users. Trading data does not indicate any massive withdrawals from the platform.

“The data speaks for itself,” he said.

Speaking more broadly, Teng said the crypto market was tracking broader geopolitical tensions but that institutions are still pouring into the sector.

“At the macro level, I think people are still uncertain about interest rate movements going forward,” he said. “And there’s always the trend of geopolitics, tension, etc. Those weigh on these assets, such as crypto.”

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However, pointing to how the sector has changed over the past four to six years, Teng said long-term industry participants will have noticed that crypto prices move cyclically.

“I think what we have to look at is the underlying development,” he said. “At this point in time, retail demand is somewhat more muted compared to the past year, but the institutional deployment, the corporate deployment is still strong.”

Institutions are still entering the sector, even despite the market, he said, “meaning the smart money is deploying.”

Read more: Crypto’s $19 billion ’10/10′ nightmare: Why everyone is blaming Binance for the bitcoin crash that won’t end

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Crypto World

Pro Traders Anticipate Low Odds of a Bitcoin Rally Toward $78,000

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Pro Traders Anticipate Low Odds of a Bitcoin Rally Toward $78,000

Key takeaways:

  • Professional traders remain cautious, pricing low odds for a Bitcoin breakout to $78,000 despite recent ETF inflows.

  • US and Israel-Iran war and soft US labor data offset momentum in Bitcoin ETFs.

Bitcoin options: 17% chance of breaking $78,000

Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $70,000 mark again on Wednesday. However, repeated failed attempts to break above $74,000 over the last five weeks have fueled skepticism. The ongoing US and Israel-Iran war, coupled with disappointing US labor numbers, has only added to the cautious outlook.

Traders are now evaluating whether recent inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) signal an imminent bullish breakout.

US-listed Bitcoin ETFs daily net flows, USD. Source: Farside Investors

While US-listed Bitcoin ETFs saw $414 million in net inflows between Monday and Tuesday, this was insufficient to offset the $576 million in net outflows recorded the previous Thursday and Friday. 

Data from the derivatives market suggests that professional traders are skeptical of a significant rally before the end of the month.

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Bitcoin call options for March 27 at Deribit. Source: Deribit by Coinbase

Bitcoin call options on Deribit for March 27, which target a $78,000 strike price, traded at $704 on Wednesday. This pricing indicates that whales and market makers see less than a 17% chance of Bitcoin gaining roughly 12% from its current levels.

This cautious outlook is also visible in the futures market, where demand for leveraged long positions remains stagnant.

Bitcoin 2-month futures annualized premium. Source: Laevitas.ch

The annualized premium (basis rate) for monthly Bitcoin futures has stayed below the 4% neutral threshold. Notably, this metric failed to shift even after a 16% four-day rally that peaked with a retest of $74,000 on March 4.

Current onchain and derivatives data point toward indifference rather than an expectation of a sharp crash.

Economic outlook offsets institutional BTC inflows

Professional traders appear wary of sustained BTC price momentum, largely due to a worsening global economy.

Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, said that investors are far more focused on how the conflict feeds into inflation, according to Yahoo Finance.

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Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt wrote on Monday that the $25 oil price gain essentially offsets the fiscal benefit from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, according to CNBC.

McCourt added that after the Gulf War in 1990 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, it took about six months for oil prices to get back to where they were before.

The 92,000 job positions cut in the US during February, announced on Friday, vastly disappointed analysts, as consensus anticipated a 55,000 increase. Sentiment further deteriorated on Monday after JPMorgan reportedly reduced the value of private credit loans made to software firms, according to Financial Times.

Source: X/gumsays

Regardless of the economic outlook, yield products revolving around Strategy (MSTR US) shares are becoming increasingly supportive for Bitcoin’s price. The company announced a record high daily average price and trading volume, offering opportunities to issue at-the-market share offerings and use the proceeds to buy additional spot Bitcoin positions.

Related: Price predictions 3/11: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, DOGE, ADA, BCH, HYPE, XMR

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X user “gumsays” said that Strategy Variable Rate Perpetual (STRC US) adoption would lead to Strategy buying billions worth of Bitcoin per week.

The analysis added that a potential series of ETF inflows could result in sustained institutional demand. Therefore, traders will likely have to wait until after March for Bitcoin to break $78,000.