Crypto World
Bitcoin Dip May Continue as Retail Buys Under $70K, Santiment Says
Bitcoin has shown renewed volatility as buyers and sellers clash at key levels. Retail participants have been loading up after the price dipped below $70,000, while larger holders have been trimming positions. Over a period spanning Feb. 23 to Mar. 3, Bitcoin traded roughly between $62,900 and $69,600, underscoring the tug-of-war between accumulation by smaller wallets and profit-taking by whales. The latest moves come as the market tries to discern whether the correction is over or if another leg lower lies ahead, particularly after a brief rally that pushed the price toward $74,000 before retreating.
Key takeaways
- Retail demand increased as Bitcoin failed to sustain a break above $70,000, while large holders began to reduce their exposure after a sharp rally past $74,000.
- Whales, defined as wallets holding 10–10,000 BTC, reportedly accumulated heavily in late February into early March when the price moved in the $62,900–$69,600 range.
- From the Wednesday peak, these whales offloaded roughly 66% of their recent purchases, even as smaller holders continued to add to positions below 0.01 BTC.
- The Crypto Fear & Greed Index sank to 12, placing the market in “Extreme Fear” as the pullback intensified.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs posted the largest outflow day in three weeks, with about $348.9 million sliding out of 11 products, signaling a shift in near-term demand dynamics.
Tickers mentioned: $BTC
Sentiment: Bearish
Price impact: Negative. Bitcoin traded around the mid-$60k range after peaking near $74k earlier in the week.
Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold — watch for a clearer bid near key support zones before committing further risk).
Market context: The move comes amid a broader sell-off in risk assets and shifting ETF flows, with on-chain behavior showing growing retail interest while wholesale players trim exposure. The combination of real-time price action and fund outflows suggests sentiment remains cautious, even as some participants see value in recent pullbacks.
Why it matters
The paradox in today’s Bitcoin dynamics rests on diverging activity between retail and whale cohorts. Santiment highlighted that, after Bitcoin breached the $74,000 mark, “key stakeholders began taking profit,” a pattern that can precede further near-term weakness if demand does not re-emerge. The dataset shows that while smaller holders were accumulating, larger holders were actively realizing gains, a combination that can slow the pace of a sustained rally even when retail buyers persist.
From a price-structure perspective, the volatility has shifted the narrative from a straight-line ascent to a more cautious outlook. The market technicals are complicated by macro considerations, including risk-off sentiment and liquidity conditions that influence whether a deeper correction can be avoided. The latest price action—moving down from $74k and hovering in the low to mid-$60k zone—echoes a broader market that is trying to price in both the potential for a rebound and the risk that the lows might retest if demand falters. This is reinforced by the fear gauge in crypto markets, which dropped into Extreme Fear and reflects a broader uncertainty among participants about near-term direction.
On the ETF side, the data point of $348.9 million in net outflows across eleven spot Bitcoin ETF products marks the largest single-day drain in three weeks. The outflows could reflect profit-taking amid the pullback, but they also underscore that ETF-driven demand has not yet returned to the pace seen during prior uplegs. In a broader sense, the ETF flows are part of a larger mosaic—retail demand, institutional positioning, and on-chain behavior—that determines whether a low-risk entry point emerges or if the market faces another test of support around the $60k–$68k corridor.
Analysts have stressed that the pattern of rising retail accumulation while whales exit could signal that the correction isn’t fully complete. If demand from smaller investors remains resilient while large holders refrain from aggressive buying, Bitcoin could spend more time consolidating before the next leg higher. As Mn Trading Capital founder Michael van de Poppe noted in a subsequent post, a lack of support in the $67k–$68k region could lead to a renewed test of liquidity lows before buyers step in again. That view dovetails with the chart-level work some observers conduct to determine whether the market is forming a basin or merely pausing amid a broader downtrend.
The history of Bitcoin’s volatility also provides a frame for current conditions. After an all-time high near $126,000 in October, the price dipped to around $60,000 in February—a level some analysts consider a potential floor, though that assessment remains contested as new data flows in. The mix of lower price levels and risk-off currents creates an environment where both the narrative of value and the mechanics of supply-and-demand play critical roles in the next few weeks. The current data points—retail accumulation, whale distribution, ETF outflows, and the fear index—should be weighed together when evaluating potential trajectories for Bitcoin in the near term.
For market participants, the takeaway is that the market continues to reflect a balance of risk appetite and caution. The conditional nature of the moves—where strong on-chain demand from smaller buyers exists alongside prudence from larger holders—means that a decisive breakout or breakdown will likely require a fresh catalyst, whether it be macro news, regulatory signals, or a notable shift in ETF flows. Until then, traders will be watching price interaction around the $67k–$68k zone and the evolving sentiment indicators that accompany daily price changes.
What to watch next
- Monitor Bitcoin’s price behavior around the $67k–$68k support region; a break below could imply deeper liquidity testing.
- Track the ongoing flow of spot Bitcoin ETFs in upcoming reporting periods to gauge institutional demand resilience or fatigue.
- Observe the divergence between retail accumulation and whale distribution to assess whether the imbalance signals a longer bottom-building phase.
- Watch the Crypto Fear & Greed Index and related sentiment metrics for any reversal that might precede a price bounce.
Sources & verification
- Santiment: analysis noting wholesale profit-taking at $74k and heavy accumulation by whales between Feb. 23 and Mar. 3.
- CoinMarketCap price data referenced for current price context.
- Crypto Fear & Greed Index data source used to frame sentiment movement.
- Michael van de Poppe’s public commentary on price support in the $67k–$68k zone.
- Farside ETF flow data, outlining the $348.9 million net outflows across 11 spot Bitcoin ETF products.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) market dynamics and potential path forward
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has once again proven that market direction hinges on a combination of on-chain activity, macro risk sentiment, and fund flows. The latest sequence—retail accumulation even as whales take profits, followed by a price retreat from a $74k high—underscores the complexity of pricing in a market where multiple participant types pursue different time horizons. The data from Santiment points to a tactical pattern that, if repeated, could foretell continued volatility in the near term. On the other hand, ETF outflows remind market watchers that demand from traditional vehicles remains a critical swing factor that can either accelerate a rebound or extend the correction depending on how flows align with price action. The next few weeks will likely hinge on whether the $67k–$68k band provides a durable foundation or if liquidity tests push the price toward the next set of support levels, potentially revisiting the sub-$60k region if demand falters.
Bitcoin’s current trajectory remains a reading of market mood as much as a function of technical levels. Traders will want to align price action with the evolving narratives around risk appetite, regulatory signals, and the appetite of institutional players for exposure to a volatile asset class. The ongoing tension between retail demand and wholesale posture will continue to shape the path of least resistance for Bitcoin in the near term, even as the longer-term thesis remains intact for those who view the asset as a hedge against inflation and a flexible store of value in a volatile macro landscape.
Sources and verification: Santiment report on this week’s market dynamics; CoinMarketCap price data; Crypto Fear & Greed Index page; Michael van de Poppe’s X post; Farside ETF flow data.
Crypto World
Cango Cuts Bitcoin Mining Output 30% as Hashprice Slump Continues
TLDR:
- Cango operated at 34.55 EH/s in February, running 30% below its 50 EH/s installed capacity
- Bitcoin hashprice dropped to the low-$30 range, squeezing miners with costs near $40/PH/s daily
- Cango sold 4,616 BTC in February — over ten times its monthly production — to cut loan exposure
- The asset-light Bitmain colocation model enabled fast scaling but left Cango exposed to high hosting fees
Cango ran its Bitcoin mining fleet at 30% below installed capacity in February. The company’s average operating hashrate reached 34.55 EH/s against 50 EH/s of deployed capacity.
Industry hashprice has fallen below $40/PH/s per day and stayed largely in the low-$30 range. The firm attributed the output gap to fleet optimization and ongoing equipment relocation efforts.
Cango is renegotiating hosting agreements and migrating to lower-cost power regions to manage expenses.
Fleet Restructuring Weighs on February Hashrate
The shortfall between the company’s deployed and operating hashrate stems from temporary downtime during restructuring.
The firm is upgrading equipment and divesting certain rigs while renegotiating hosting contracts. These steps aim to reduce the cost exposure that has widened as hashprice falls. Moving to regions with lower electricity costs remains a core element of the plan.
Cango built its 50 EH/s capacity through an asset-light colocation model at Bitmain-operated sites. The setup involved purchasing large volumes of on-rack Antminer S19 XP machines from Bitmain.
That model allowed rapid scaling without constructing proprietary data centers. However, it exposed the company to hosting costs that are difficult to justify near breakeven revenue levels.
The fleet hashcost has historically hovered around $40/PH/s per day. With hashprice largely in the low-$30 range, that margin is now razor-thin. Addressing hosting fees through renegotiation and relocation has become a top operational priority.
The miner produced 454.83 BTC in February despite running well under its installed capacity. Fleet repositioning is expected to reduce operating costs and improve margins going forward.
Completing the renegotiation and relocation work will be critical to longer-term operational stability.
Cango Liquidates Over 4,600 BTC to Reduce Loan Exposure
Cango moved aggressively to strengthen its balance sheet as market conditions deteriorated in February. The company sold a total of 4,616 BTC during the month, far exceeding its monthly production.
That figure is over ten times what the firm produced during the same period. The selling pressure was driven primarily by the need to reduce outstanding loan obligations.
During a market selloff in early February, the company force-liquidated reserves over a single weekend. The firm sold 4,451 BTC in those two days to reduce debt, per prior disclosures. That sale represented roughly 60% of its holdings at the time, as Bitcoin prices fell.
As of February 28, the company held 3,313.4 BTC on its balance sheet following the sales. The remaining reserves reflect what was left after the weekend liquidation and monthly production. Sustained margin pressure could lead to further reserve management decisions in the months ahead.
The broader mining sector continues to face strain as hashprice remains below $40/PH/s. The firm’s hosting cost exposure and forced reserve sales reflect the severity of current conditions.
Addressing fleet economics through relocation and contract renegotiation will determine the path to recovery.
Crypto World
Ripple ETFs Bleed Out Weekly as XRP Was Rejected at $1.45
Friday was the worst day in terms of daily outflows for the XRP ETFs in over a month.
Although the week began on a more positive note for the spot Ripple (XRP) ETFs in the US, it ended with more significant outflows, making it a red one – the first since late January.
At the same time, the underlying asset’s attempted breakout was short-lived, as it was stopped at $1.45 and now sits below a crucial support level.
XRP ETFs Bleed
The financial products tracking the performance of the fifth-largest cryptocurrency have not fared well in the past few weeks. Recall that they even had some days of minimal activity, where SoSoValue saw no measurable inflows worth reporting. Nevertheless, they managed to end all four weeks of February in the green, albeit in a more modest manner at the end of the month.
March also started more favorably. It began with a $7 million net inflow on Monday, followed by $7.53 million on Tuesday, and a more modest $4.19 million on Wednesday. However, investors broke their streak on Thursday, with $6.15 million in net outflows.
Friday was the worst day in this manner, as $16.62 million left the funds. This was the highest single-day net outflow since January 29, when investors pulled out a whopping $92.92 million.
Consequently, the first trading week of March ended with a $4.09 loss for the XRP exchange-traded funds. The total net inflows have declined to $1.24 billion from the $1.26 billion mid-week peak.
Meanwhile, Canary Capital’s XRPC remains the largest XRP-focused ETF, but Bitwise’s XRP has narrowed the gap to under $1 million – $266.11 million against $265.42 million, respectively.
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XRP Price Progress Halted
Perhaps driven by the positive inflows at the start of the week and the overall market-wide resurgence, XRP jumped from its Saturday low at $1.27 to $1.47 by Wednesday. However, as the tides turned, BTC was rejected at $74,000, and the ETF flows turned negative, Ripple’s cross-border token slipped to under $1.40 as of now.
Popular analyst CryptoWZRD noted that the asset closed indecisively, but believes the XRP/BTC trading pair “should play a major role soon.” Ripple’s asset needs to hold above the $1.3820 resistance to remain long, but it’s currently trading just below that level.
XRP Daily Technical Outlook:$XRP closed indecisively. XRPBTC should play a major role soon. My focus will remain on the lower time frame. Holding above the $1.3820 resistance for a while could trigger a long. Below we’ll see more sideways movement 😈 pic.twitter.com/4b0uZndh2m
— CRYPTOWZRD (@cryptoWZRD_) March 7, 2026
In the meantime, some of the most vocal XRP bulls on X continue to outline highly speculative and big price predictions. Cobb, for example, said a $4.00 price target for XRP doesn’t sound crazy.
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Crypto World
BlackRock Blocks $580M in Withdrawal Requests from HPS Corporate Lending Fund
TLDR:
-
- BlackRock blocked $580M in withdrawal requests after its HPS fund hit the 5% quarterly redemption cap limit.
- The $3 trillion private credit market faces a structural mismatch between investor liquidity needs and long-term loan terms.
- Blue Owl and BlackRock both faced heavy withdrawal pressure, pointing to possible tightening across private lending markets.
- Weakening labor markets and slower consumer spending are raising corporate debt repayment risks across private credit portfolios.
BlackRock, one of the world’s largest asset managers with $10 trillion under management, has restricted withdrawals from its $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund.
Investors submitted $1.2 billion in redemption requests, equal to 9.3% of the fund’s total assets. The fund paid out $620 million before reaching its 5% quarterly redemption cap. The remaining withdrawal requests were then blocked through a mechanism known as a redemption gate.
The Structure Behind Private Credit Funds
Private credit funds lend directly to companies that cannot access traditional bank financing. These loans typically carry interest rates between 8% and 12% per year.
The loans last between three and seven years and are not traded on any public market. That makes them less liquid than standard investment products.
This creates a structural mismatch between investor withdrawal expectations and long-term loan schedules. Investors in these funds often expect short-term or periodic access to their money.
However, the underlying corporate loans are locked into multi-year repayment timelines. That tension becomes clear when many investors attempt to withdraw capital at once.
As BullTheory.io pointed out, the fund paid $620 million but blocked the rest once it hit the 5% cap. That cap is a built-in protection called a redemption gate. It limits how much capital can leave the fund within a single quarter. It protects the fund’s overall stability.
The private credit market has grown to roughly $3 trillion in total size. Much of that growth followed the 2008 financial crisis, when companies turned away from traditional bank lending.
BlackRock’s HPS Corporate Lending Fund is among the largest vehicles operating in this space today. The market now plays a central role in corporate financing.
Credit Conditions Show Signs of Tightening
The broader private credit market is now facing growing pressure from economic shifts. The labor market is weakening, and layoffs are increasing across several sectors.
Consumer spending is also slowing. These changes tend to reduce corporate revenue, which makes debt repayment harder for many borrowers.
When corporate revenues slow, companies that rely on borrowed capital face a higher risk of missing loan payments. That raises the overall credit risk within private lending portfolios. As that risk rises, more investors are likely to seek early withdrawals from the funds holding those loans.
@BullTheoryio raised the question of whether these events signal broader tightening across the private lending market. BlackRock is not the only fund to face this situation.
Blue Owl Capital also experienced heavy withdrawal pressure before the BlackRock redemption gate made headlines. Two major funds showing this pattern within a short time is worth watching closely.
If more companies struggle to repay loans while investors seek to exit at the same time, stress will not stay limited to individual funds.
It tends to spread through connected parts of the lending system. The events at BlackRock and Blue Owl may be the early stage of a broader credit cycle.
Crypto World
Pi Network’s PI Taps 3-Month High, Bitcoin (BTC) Fights for $68K: Weekend Watch
Pi Network’s PI token continues to defy the overall market trend with a massive double-digit gains daily.
Bitcoin’s price failed to maintain the $70,000 level and has dropped by an additional two grand since then, currently fighting for the $68,000 support.
The altcoins are bleeding out as well daily, with ETH going below $2,000, and BNB dipping beneath $630. PI is among the few exceptions today with a notable price surge.
BTC Drops to $68K
Last Saturday was quite eventful as the US and Israel initiated air strikes against Iran. The Middle Eastern country retaliated immediately against numerous nations in the region, even though its Supreme Leader was killed during the attacks. BTC reacted with an immediate price drop from $67,000 to $63,000 after the initial strikes, but rebounded to $68,000 on the same day.
Its fluctuations continued as other financial markets opened on Monday morning, but the bulls seemed in control. By Wednesday, they had driven the cryptocurrency to its highest level in a month at $74,000. After gaining $11,000 since the Saturday low, BTC was due for a correction that began on the same day and culminated earlier on Saturday.
As reported yesterday, bitcoin lost the $70,000 level following a weak US jobs report and Trump’s latest remarks on Iran and Cuba. It kept dropping to a multi-day low of $67,500 marked on Saturday morning.
It has rebounded to roughy $68,000 since then, but it’s still 4% down daily. Its market cap has declined to $1.360 trillion, while its dominance over the alts is at 56.6%.
PI Defies the Market
The graph below will clearly demonstrate that the bears continue to dominate the altcoin market. ETH is down by nearly 5% to under $2,000 now, SOL has lost a similar percentage to $84, while BNB, XRP, DOGE, BCH, and XMR are down by 2-3%.
Even more painful losses are evident from SKY, ZEC, SUI, and AAVE. In fact, the only notable exception from the top 100 alts is Pi Network’s native token. PI has soared by another 13% daily and now trades close to $0.23 for the first time in three months. Perhaps the most probable reason behind this impressive performance is the ongoing protocol updates.
Nevertheless, the total crypto market cap has shed over $50 billion in a day and is down to $2.4 trillion on CG.
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Crypto World
AI-Powered Quant Funds Outperform Individual Traders in Stock and Crypto Markets
Key Takeaways
- Goldman Sachs has issued warnings that artificial intelligence may trigger significant job losses in finance and beyond
- Ningbo’s High-Flyer, an AI-driven quant hedge fund, achieved an average 52.55% return in 2025
- A staggering 84% of retail cryptocurrency traders experienced losses during their initial trading year
- Approximately 19% of investors worldwide now leverage AI technologies for portfolio management and investment decisions
- Financial professionals believe the ability to choose and oversee AI trading systems will become the most critical investment skill
Artificial intelligence is revolutionizing investment strategies, trading methodologies, and wealth preservation techniques. What began as simple chatbot consultations for basic financial inquiries has evolved into sophisticated systems where AI agents execute transactions, provide continuous market surveillance, and handle risk management with minimal human intervention.
Goldman Sachs has issued stark warnings about potential widespread unemployment driven by AI advancement. Citrini Research highlighted a job-displacement scenario that temporarily shook financial markets. These alerts are prompting investors to reconsider their financial protection strategies.
According to industry experts, the solution isn’t attempting to master every emerging AI platform. Rather, success lies in developing a single critical competency: the ability to choose and supervise AI trading systems.
Ningbo’s High-Flyer, an AI-powered quant hedge fund, delivered an impressive average return of 52.55% in 2025, ranking among the sector’s elite performers. This performance becomes even more striking when contrasted with broader retail trading outcomes.
In cryptocurrency markets, 84% of individual traders suffered losses in their first twelve months. These losses rarely stemmed from inadequate market information. Instead, they resulted from poor discipline — including panic-driven selling, emotionally-charged revenge trades, and impulsive decision-making.
AI systems don’t suffer from these human weaknesses. They operate continuously without fatigue, emotional responses, or second-guessing. These algorithms execute predetermined strategies consistently, following established rules without deviation.
The Growing Dominance of AI in Financial Markets
According to eToro, approximately 19% of global investors currently utilize AI technologies to construct or modify their investment portfolios. In the United Kingdom specifically, Lloyds Group reports that nearly 39% of individuals employ AI for long-term financial strategy development.
Despite this expansion, individual investors remain significantly underutilized AI trading agents. Most applications involve requesting AI-generated recommendations rather than implementing autonomous strategic execution.
This distinction is crucial. Consulting AI for investment suggestions differs fundamentally from deploying an agent that independently executes a comprehensive strategy with predefined risk parameters.
Industry experts compare the process to coaching a professional sports team. Investors establish objectives, define operational parameters, and allow the agents to perform independently. Critical safeguards include emergency shutdown mechanisms, position size limitations, and ongoing performance evaluation.
Implications for Individual Market Participants
Success doesn’t depend on selecting the most advanced AI model. It requires constructing a framework with explicit objectives and boundaries, then consistently evaluating outcomes.
Cryptocurrency markets operate continuously without interruption, 24 hours daily, throughout the entire week. AI systems are purpose-built for this environment. Human traders fundamentally are not.
As AI trading tools become increasingly accessible, the performance gap separating institutional and retail investors may diminish. However, this advantage will only materialize for those who develop proficiency in effectively utilizing these technologies.
The competency being emphasized isn’t primarily technical. It’s fundamentally managerial. Determine your objectives, establish operational guidelines, confirm protective measures, and monitor outcomes systematically.
Ningbo’s High-Flyer’s 52.55% return in 2025 continues to serve as one of the most frequently referenced demonstrations of AI-driven trading potential in today’s market conditions.
Crypto World
Binance Responds to U.S. Senate: No Direct Crypto Transfers Found to Iranian Entities
TLDR
- The world’s largest crypto exchange informed U.S. senators it discovered no direct cryptocurrency transactions involving Iranian entities on its platform
- Binance reported finding only indirect connections to potentially Iran-associated wallets, which have since been terminated
- The company labeled news coverage from major outlets including NYT, WSJ, and Fortune as “demonstrably false” and defamatory
- Following internal reviews, accounts associated with Hexa Whale and Blessed Trust were terminated
- Congressional scrutiny intensifies amid questions about Trump administration connections and a major stablecoin transaction
The world’s leading cryptocurrency exchange, Binance, has issued an official response to a United States Senate investigation, asserting that its comprehensive review uncovered no instances of direct cryptocurrency transfers to Iranian-connected entities from any platform account.
Dated March 6, the formal correspondence addressed Sen. Richard Blumenthal’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations and Sen. Ron Johnson. The inquiry originated from a coalition of 11 senators who initiated the investigation in February.
The congressional investigation emerged following media allegations suggesting Binance had facilitated over $1 billion in cryptocurrency transactions connected to Iran-affiliated organizations. The exchange has categorically rejected these characterizations.
According to Binance’s official statement, the company’s comprehensive internal audit identified only indirect connections to digital wallets that potentially had Iranian associations. The exchange confirmed these accounts have been permanently removed from its platform.
Two specific entities were highlighted in Binance’s investigation: Hexa Whale and Blessed Trust. The exchange disclosed that Hexa Whale’s account was terminated in August of the previous year, while Blessed Trust was removed in January following the completion of thorough investigations.
The company’s internal review was initiated following contact from law enforcement agencies last April. Authorities supplied Binance with a roster of external wallet addresses suspected of potential links to terrorist financing activities.
Binance emphasized its complete cooperation with authorities, supplying comprehensive user records and detailed transaction information to support the investigation.
Exchange Challenges Mainstream Media Narrative
The cryptocurrency platform mounted a strong defense against the media coverage that triggered the Senate investigation. Binance explicitly characterized reporting from the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and Fortune as “demonstrably false” and defamatory in multiple significant aspects.
The published reports had claimed that the exchange dismissed employees who internally flagged concerns regarding the Iran-connected transactions. Binance has firmly disputed these allegations.
According to the company, the majority of staff departures connected to this matter were voluntary resignations. While one employee was indeed terminated, Binance clarified that the dismissal resulted from breaching company protocols by sharing confidential user information with external parties.
“When there is credible risk information, Binance investigates, mitigates, offboards accounts, and reports to appropriate authorities,” the letter stated.
Congressional Investigation Unfolds Against Backdrop of Political Connections
The senators’ correspondence to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Attorney General Pamela Bondi established a March 13 deadline for responding on whether federal investigations into Binance would proceed. As of Friday, neither official had issued public statements on the matter.
The exchange has a documented regulatory history in the United States. In 2023, the company settled violations related to sanctions and anti-money laundering regulations for $4.3 billion. Former chief executive Changpeng Zhao resigned and entered a guilty plea to felony charges, subsequently serving four months in federal custody.
President Trump granted Zhao a pardon in October, effectively eliminating legal restrictions preventing his return to Binance leadership. Despite this, Zhao has publicly stated he has no intentions of resuming the CEO position.
Congressional attention toward Trump’s connections with Binance has intensified following a UAE-based firm, MGX, utilizing the USD1 stablecoin — issued by World Liberty Financial, a venture backed by Trump and his sons — to finalize a $2 billion investment in the exchange. Several legislators have characterized this arrangement as presenting potential conflicts of interest.
As of March 6, the Senate subcommittee has not publicly announced additional measures following receipt of Binance’s formal response.
Crypto World
AVAX One Repurchases 2.4M Shares, CEO Says Stock Trading Below Fair Value
TLDR
- AVAX One Technology completed a repurchase of 2,423,383 shares as part of its $40 million buyback initiative
- Stock currently valued at $0.76 per share, representing a 95% decline from its 52-week peak of $22.50; buyback program approved November 2025
- Company CEO Jolie Kahn believes current share price significantly undervalues the firm’s net asset holdings
- AVAX One functions as a publicly accessible Avalanche blockchain treasury vehicle, concentrating on AVAX token acquisition and yield generation
- Firm simultaneously deployed its inaugural public validator node within the Avalanche ecosystem
AVAX One Technology Ltd. has completed a significant share repurchase transaction, acquiring more than 2.4 million of its outstanding shares based on management’s conviction that the market is significantly undervaluing the company.
The Florida-based firm, headquartered in West Palm Beach, executed the transaction under a $40 million share repurchase authorization initially greenlit in November 2025.
Shares are presently trading at $0.76, marking a dramatic 95% plunge from the 52-week peak of $22.50.
According to CEO Jolie Kahn, the company strategically acquired shares when market pricing fell beneath the firm’s calculated net asset value. “We believe our shares remain materially undervalued relative to the strength of our operating platform and the long-term opportunity ahead for the Avalanche blockchain,” she stated.
Kahn characterized the share acquisitions as “opportunistic,” indicating management capitalized on perceived pricing inefficiencies between market valuation and intrinsic worth.
AVAX One operates as a publicly accessible investment vehicle centered on the Avalanche blockchain ecosystem. The company positions itself as the inaugural publicly traded treasury dedicated to Avalanche.
Its core business model involves accumulating and maintaining positions in the Avalanche native token, AVAX, while simultaneously generating returns through various yield strategies. Management’s primary objective centers on expanding AVAX holdings on a per-share basis.
How the Buyback Works
The entire repurchase was executed via open market purchases. The company maintains flexibility regarding purchase volumes and retains the ability to modify or terminate the initiative based on evolving circumstances.
Additional share acquisitions remain contingent upon prevailing market dynamics, capital allocation priorities, and applicable regulatory frameworks.
Financial analysis from InvestingPro highlights concerns that the firm is “quickly burning through cash.” The company’s current ratio stands at 0.69, indicating that near-term liabilities exceed readily available liquid resources.
Validator Node and Broader Strategy
Concurrent with the buyback announcement, AVAX One unveiled its inaugural public validator node on the Avalanche network. This infrastructure component contributes to Avalanche’s consensus protocol and enables delegators to participate in staking at minimal thresholds, while the company generates income through delegation fee arrangements.
The firm also submitted a Form 8-K filing accompanied by a prospectus supplement related to its active registration statement on Form S-3.
AVAX One’s leadership team comprises veterans from institutional finance and capital markets sectors. The organization seeks to provide conventional investors with a regulated avenue for gaining exposure to Avalanche blockchain opportunities through strategic treasury operations and potential acquisitions.
Kahn emphasized that leadership remains “focused on investing in AVAX accumulation and yield opportunities to maximize AVAX per share and create durable shareholder value.”
Both the validator infrastructure deployment and the share repurchase program align with the company’s broader strategic roadmap to diversify revenue channels and strengthen its financial foundation.
Crypto World
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Retreats to $68K Following Dismal February Jobs Report
TLDR
- BTC experienced a 3.4% decline to approximately $68,000 on Saturday following a mid-week peak at $74,000
- February employment data revealed a loss of 92,000 jobs, with unemployment climbing to 4.4%
- The greenback recorded its most significant weekly rally in twelve months, weighing on digital assets
- Large holders liquidated approximately 66% of their recent Bitcoin accumulation as retail continued buying
- Bitcoin ETFs experienced $348.9 million in redemptions — the highest single-day exodus in three weeks
Bitcoin’s weekly trajectory began on an optimistic note but concluded with significant headwinds. After reaching $74,000 on Thursday, BTC reversed course dramatically, sliding back to approximately $68,000 by Saturday morning — representing a 3.4% decline over 24 hours.

The downturn followed disappointing employment figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which revealed the U.S. economy shed 92,000 jobs in February. This stark contrast to economists’ projections of a 50,000 job increase caught markets off guard. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate ticked upward from 4.3% to 4.4%.
Equity markets absorbed the shock as well. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted over 900 points in early Friday trading. The Nasdaq Composite declined 1.7%.
The broader cryptocurrency market mirrored Bitcoin’s weakness. Ethereum declined 4.4% to $1,974. Solana shed 4% to reach $84.31. Dogecoin retreated 2.9% to $0.09. XRP decreased 2.2% to $1.37.
Despite Friday’s selloff, most leading digital assets maintained weekly gains. Bitcoin advanced 3.6% over the seven-day period. Ethereum posted a 2.6% increase. BNB climbed 2.1%.
Whale Selling and ETF Outflows
Analytics from Santiment revealed that large holders — addresses containing between 10 and 10,000 BTC — accumulated positions from February 23 through March 3 while Bitcoin traded in the $62,900 to $69,600 range. As BTC surged beyond $70,000 and reached $74,000, these same addresses offloaded approximately 66% of their recent accumulation.
Meanwhile, smaller investors — wallets holding less than 0.01 BTC — continued accumulating. Santiment indicated this divergence typically signals additional downside ahead.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs registered $348.9 million in net redemptions on Friday, marking the most substantial single-day withdrawal since February 12.
Crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe warned: “If Bitcoin doesn’t find support in this $67–68K region, then we’re likely going to retest the lows.”
Macro Headwinds
The U.S. dollar experienced its strongest weekly advance in a year. Climbing oil prices — with Brent crude reaching $90 per barrel, a surge exceeding 20% over the week — combined with persistent Middle East tensions amplified inflation concerns, diminishing expectations for imminent Federal Reserve interest rate reductions.
Glassnode analytics indicated that 43% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply currently sits underwater. This underwater supply generates selling pressure during price rallies as holders attempt to achieve breakeven.
A potential silver lining emerged: net stablecoin inflows surged 415% to $1.7 billion throughout the week, indicating substantial capital waiting on the sidelines.
Economist Timothy Peterson observed that Bitcoin’s present price range has historically represented a floor, citing a 99.5% statistical probability that BTC maintains levels above $60,000.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropped to a reading of 12 on Saturday, firmly entrenched in “Extreme Fear” territory.
Crypto World
Coinbase Prime Unveils Cross-Margin Trading and CFTC-Regulated Futures for Institutions
Key Highlights
- Coinbase Prime introduces unified cross-margin capability spanning spot and derivatives markets for institutional traders
- Institutions gain round-the-clock access to over 20 futures and perpetual products through the company’s CFTC-regulated division
- Cross-margin functionality enables traders to utilize one collateral pool for multiple positions rather than maintaining isolated accounts
- This development advances Coinbase’s objective to establish itself as a comprehensive prime brokerage provider for institutional crypto participants
- The exchange recently completed its acquisition of Deribit to incorporate options trading into its institutional product lineup
Coinbase Prime, serving as the institutional division of America’s premier crypto exchange, has introduced unified cross-margin capabilities alongside regulated futures products spanning its spot and derivatives offerings. The announcement came on Friday, March 6, 2026.
The enhanced features operate through Coinbase Financial Markets, the organization’s Futures Commission Merchant that maintains regulatory oversight from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Institutional participants now enjoy continuous market access to over 20 futures instruments.
The deployment encompasses perpetual-style futures instruments delivered via Coinbase Derivatives. The platform broadened its perpetuals portfolio in the latter part of last year amid intensifying competition among crypto venues for derivatives trading volume.
Derivatives trading represents approximately 70% to 75% of aggregate crypto market volume, based on data from Kraken’s Head of Derivatives.
The cross-margin functionality stands as the centerpiece of this product launch. Previously, institutional participants needed to maintain distinct collateral reserves for spot versus futures activity, coupled with separate risk management frameworks.
The newly implemented unified architecture permits traders to deploy their complete account equity as pooled collateral spanning all trading positions. Spot holdings and futures exposure now receive combined evaluation within an integrated portfolio structure.
This proves particularly valuable for basis trading strategies, where market participants simultaneously maintain long spot exposure paired with short futures positions. The previous infrastructure demanded independent collateral for each component.
Understanding the Risk Framework
Coinbase indicates its infrastructure employs a deterministic risk framework. This approach allows institutions to project margin obligations prior to trade execution, eliminating post-trade surprises.
This represents a departure from what Coinbase describes as “opaque margin engines,” which only disclose margin costs following order submission. The modification provides trading operations enhanced oversight regarding position construction and capital allocation.
Client holdings reside with Coinbase’s NYDFS-regulated qualified custodian. Futures operations execute through the CFTC-regulated division, maintaining all transactions within compliant frameworks.
Coinbase reports custodying approximately 12% of total cryptocurrency market capitalization. Rival institutional prime brokerage providers include FalconX, BitGo, and Digital Currency Group.
Expanding Institutional Infrastructure at Coinbase
Coinbase has systematically developed its comprehensive prime brokerage infrastructure throughout the previous year. The organization markets itself as the “Everything Exchange,” terminology introduced in 2025 alongside announcements regarding expansion into equities, tokenization, and prediction markets.
Coinbase launched stock trading nationwide last month.
The firm additionally completed its purchase of Deribit, characterized as the globe’s premier crypto options marketplace. Through the Deribit integration, Coinbase intends to enable institutions to execute spot, futures, perpetuals, and options trades within a single unified environment.
Rick Schonberg, serving as Coinbase’s Global Head of Product for Trading and Clearing, stated that Prime was “designed so institutions no longer have to self-assemble their trading infrastructure.”
Crypto World
Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis: Whale Buying Intensifies as Network Staking Demand Explodes
Key Highlights
- ETH recovered from $1,830 lows to approach $2,200 before consolidating around the $2,000 zone
- Whale wallets and veteran holders continue accumulating at the current $2,000 support threshold
- Spot Ethereum ETFs in the United States experienced $90 million in net outflows over the past week
- The validator entry queue has exploded to 3.4 million ETH, a dramatic increase from 904,000 in early January
- Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin unveiled the Minimmit proposal to streamline finality from two rounds to one
Ethereum’s recent price action has been marked by significant volatility. After dropping to approximately $1,830 in late February, the asset staged an impressive recovery, climbing to nearly $2,200. Following this rally, ETH has retraced and is currently consolidating around the psychologically important $2,000 threshold.

The $2,000 price point has emerged as a critical battleground. Blockchain analytics reveal that major wallet addresses have been accumulating during recent price weakness. Instead of distributing holdings, long-term market participants are increasing their positions. Futures market data indicates that derivatives traders maintain predominantly bullish positioning.

Analysis of cost-basis metrics reveals substantial ETH volume last changed hands near the $2,000 mark. This concentration suggests numerous investors have breakeven positions at current levels, creating a natural incentive to defend this price floor.
From a technical perspective, Ethereum is developing a converging wedge pattern. The asset attempted to breach $2,200 resistance but was rejected, establishing a lower peak. Meanwhile, an ascending support trendline continues to provide upside momentum. This compression pattern indicates an imminent breakout.
Should ETH successfully clear $2,200, technical analysts identify $2,400 and $2,750 as subsequent resistance targets. Conversely, a breakdown below $2,000 would likely expose support areas near $1,850 and $1,750.
Institutional ETF Withdrawals Create Headwinds
Spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds in the United States recorded $90 million in net withdrawals over the recent trading week. This outflow pattern suggests certain institutional participants are reducing their exposure. The capital exit has contributed to diminished near-term buying momentum.
The overall market sentiment remains measured. Macroeconomic uncertainties continue to influence investor behavior, with some large-scale market participants apparently trimming positions in anticipation of potential economic shifts.
Despite these challenges, Ethereum’s price has maintained its position above crucial long-term support levels. Bearish forces have been unable to trigger a more substantial downturn.
Technical indicators present a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index currently sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum. The MACD remains in negative territory at -55.8. However, both the Commodity Channel Index and Stochastic Oscillator readings suggest building upward pressure.
Staking Demand Reaches Unprecedented Levels
Demand for Ethereum staking has accelerated dramatically. The validator activation queue has ballooned to 3.4 million ETH, representing a substantial increase from approximately 904,000 ETH recorded in early January. Current estimates place the waiting period at roughly 60 days.
Corporate entities and cryptocurrency exchanges are increasingly choosing to stake their ETH holdings rather than liquidate them. Market observers note that institutional players are prioritizing yield generation over keeping assets dormant.
In parallel developments, Vitalik Buterin introduced a significant proposal to enhance Ethereum’s consensus mechanism. The Minimmit proposal aims to replace the existing two-round Casper FFG finality protocol with a more efficient single-round alternative.
This architectural change involves important compromises. While fault tolerance would decrease from 33% to 17%, Buterin contends that censorship resistance would improve, and the threshold required to finalize invalid chain history would increase from 67% to 83% of staked ETH.
This modification represents one component of Ethereum’s comprehensive development strategy to reduce slot times from the current 12 seconds to potentially 2 seconds, while achieving single-digit second finality.
Ethereum is presently trading around $2,000, representing a significant decline from its previous cycle peak near $4,900.
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