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Bitcoin drops as soaring energy prices rattle risk assets: Crypto Markets Today

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Bitcoin drops as soaring energy prices rattle risk assets: Crypto Markets Today

Bitcoin nursed fresh losses on Thursday after bearing the brunt of soaring energy prices, with Brent crude oil rising to $114 and Oman crude pushing up to $150.

European natural gas futures followed suit, surging about 25% to above $78 per MWh on Thursday as Iran attacked key Gulf energy infrastructure after an Israeli strike on its South Pars gas field.

Bitcoin traded near $70,000 having lost 1.6% since midnight UTC while ether (ETH) dropped 1.7% to $2,160.

The Federal Reserve also had an impact after it left rates unchanged in the 3.50%–3.75% range on Wednesday, pausing a rate-cutting cycle to boost the U.S. dollar.

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Risk assets tumbled across the board as a result, with Nasdaq 100 futures down by around 0.3% since midnight UTC.

Derivatives positioning

  • Nearly $600 million in leveraged crypto futures bets have been liquidated by crypto platforms in 24 hours, with longs, or bullish plays, accounting for most of the tally. The overnight price drop clearly caught bulls off guard.
  • Industry-wide, futures open interest (OI) has declined by 5.6% to $106.90.
  • Ether futures OI dropped 9% as the token’s spot price fell 6%. This combination represents capital outflows.
  • Futures tied to tether gold (XAUT) and privacy-focused ZEC saw double-digit declines, indicating investor risk aversion.
  • Bearish short plays are in demand again, as evidenced by negative funding rates for BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL and other tokens. The 24-hour cumulative volume delta for most of these coins is negative, underlining the position.
  • Fear has crept back into the market. Volmex’s BVIV, which measures the 30-day implied, or expected, price turbulence in bitcoin, has jumped over 5% to 58.36%, ending a week-long decline. The same is true for ether.
  • On Deribit, bitcoin and ether put skews have strengthened, again indicating heightened downside concerns.
  • Block flows featured an outsized demand for ether straddles, a volatility strategy. In BTC’s case, traders chased risk reversals and put spreads.

Token talk

  • Several altcoins were dealt deep moves to the downside on Thursday, notably bittensor (TAO) and hyperliquid (HYPE), which lost 8.8% and 6.5%, respectively, since midnight.
  • The move in the altcoin market can be attributed to a lack of liquidity in a market that remains fractured following a $19 billion leverage wipeout in October.
  • A select few tokens showed strength despite the broader market pullback. NEO rose by 4.2% and restaking token ETHFI continued its strong start to the year, adding 1.5% to $0.55.
  • The CoinDesk 20 (CD20) is in the red after losing around 1% since midnight, while the DeFi Select Index (DFX) and CoinDesk Memecoin Index (CDMEME) are down by 1.4% and 2%, respectively.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Whales Dump $271M In BTC: What May Happen Next?

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Data shows Bitcoin (BTC) investors who had held their positions for over seven years took profit last week by selling $271 million in BTC.

A similar wave of “OG whale” selling in January coincided with a more fragile market that lacked buyer demand, triggering a sharp dip in the BTC price. Current onchain data reflects a much stronger market where BTC supply absorption and reduced selling may allow Bitcoin to hold its place in the $70,000-$72,000 range.

OG Whale BTC supply meets strong absorption

Data from Capriole Investments shows that the Bitcoin “OG whale spent value” moved roughly $271 million on Sunday. That marks the largest surge in activity for this cohort since Jan. 10, when a $280 million outflow spike preceded a 13% correction to $78,700 from $90,000 within two weeks.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Whale
BTC OG whale spent value. Source: Capriole Investments

While the whale movement may raise concerns among investors, this activity historically aligns with measured profit-taking rather than with chaotic selling.

Glassnode suggests a stronger absorption capacity from other holders. Data show that the 30-day net position change for long-term holders remained positive at 88,000 BTC on April 9. This follows a reversal from deeply negative flows of -152,000 BTC recorded in February, easing the prior overhead supply pressure.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Whale
BTC: Long-term holder net position change. Source: Glassnode

The accumulating cohorts also continued to expand their holdings. Cointelegraph reported that the total balance exceeded 4.3 million BTC on Tuesday, rising further to 4.5 million on Thursday.

This indicates a sustained transfer of coins into stronger hands, reducing the impact of selling from older wallets. 

Related: Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF trails BlackRock with $30M in first-day inflows

Bitcoin “stress cycle” has not reversed yet, says analyst

CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV highlighted two key indicators shaping the current BTC positioning. The short-term Sharpe Ratio has dropped to -40, a level historically associated with major accumulation phases in 2015, 2019, 2020, and 2023.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Whale
Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio. Source: CryptoQuant

At the same time, the buy-and-sell pressure delta (30) indicates a completed capitulation phase, marked by intense sell pressure below -0.05. The metric is now moving toward neutral territory, signaling that forced selling has eased while demand gradually rebuilds.

Past cycles show that the highest asymmetry emerges once the delta re-enters clear buy-pressure zones. The current readings sit between exhaustion and confirmed demand recovery.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Whale
Bitcoin buy/sell pressure delta. Source: CryptoQuant

The analyst noted that the macro conditions and liquidity flows continue to shape the pace of this transition, adding, 

“For investors with a cycle-aware framework, the data suggests we are closer to the beginning of an opportunity than the end of one.”

Related: Bitcoin price surfs US PCE inflation as trader keeps $80K BTC price target