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Bitcoin Institutions Hedge Both Ways at $72K

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Bitcoin Institutions Hedge Both Ways at $72K

Bitcoin institutions are betting on both sides of the market at $72,000, buying $80,000 call options while simultaneously purchasing downside protection, as Friday’s CPI data and US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad leave direction entirely unclear.

Summary

  • Institutional traders are buying $80,000 call options while also loading downside protection.
  • Bitcoin has stalled at $72,000 as investors await clarity from the CPI print and Iran ceasefire talks.
  • US-Iran peace negotiations in Islamabad this weekend could provide the next decisive directional catalyst.

Bitcoin has been range-bound near $72,000 on April 10, with institutional positioning reflecting deep uncertainty about the next major move. Investors are not choosing a direction; they are hedging both sides simultaneously.

According to CoinDesk, institutions are buying call options targeting $80,000 while simultaneously purchasing puts for downside protection. That dual positioning reflects hesitation rather than conviction, with neither bulls nor bears willing to fully commit ahead of this weekend’s geopolitical and economic catalysts.

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Trump said he was “in deep negotiations” with Tehran heading into the Islamabad talks, and the gap between a deal and a breakdown has left institutional traders unwilling to pick a side. Bitcoin has traded in a range of roughly $65,000 to $73,000 since the Iran war began.

CPI and Iran Talks Are the Two Key Catalysts

Friday’s US inflation report came in softer than expected on core measures, with core CPI rising just 0.2% against a 0.3% forecast. The print eased some short-term rate fears but did not provide enough clarity to break Bitcoin out of its established range.

The more consequential event may be the Islamabad talks. As crypto.news reported, a fragile two-week ceasefire was agreed last Wednesday, but investor caution has persisted as the Strait of Hormuz remains only partially reopened and Iran has proposed a $1 per barrel crypto toll on tanker passage.

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What a Resolution Could Mean for Price

As crypto.news noted, a confirmed agreement could open the door for a move toward the $75,000 region, as easing tensions would support risk appetite across financial markets. Failure to reach a deal could shift sentiment in the opposite direction, with Bitcoin retesting lower support levels and altcoins bearing the heavier losses.

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US Treasury calls bank CEOs over cyber risks tied to Anthropic’s Claude Mythos model

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OpenAI buys tech talk show TBPN as it builds out communication strategy

The US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, has reportedly met with major American bank leaders this week as officials assessed potential cyber threats that Anthropic’s latest artificial intelligence system poses.

Summary

  • Scott Bessent convened major U.S. bank CEOs to assess cybersecurity risks linked to Anthropic’s Claude Mythos AI model following a code leak.
  • The model reportedly uncovered thousands of long-standing software vulnerabilities, raising concerns over misuse by hackers and threats to financial stability.
  • Anthropic’s revenue surpassed $30 billion annualized, driven by enterprise demand, major compute deals with Google and Broadcom, and the growth of its Claude Code platform.

According to reports, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent brought together senior executives at the department’s Washington headquarters, with Jerome Powell also said to be present. The meeting followed the unveiling of Anthropic’s Claude Mythos model, which the company has described as posing “unprecedented” cybersecurity risks.

Concerns surrounding the model intensified after its code was leaked earlier this month. In a subsequent blog post, Anthropic said advanced AI systems had surpassed “all but the most skilled humans at finding and exploiting software vulnerabilities,” warning that the consequences for economies, public safety, and national security “could be severe.”

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The gathering took place while bank executives were already in Washington for an industry event, with invitations largely extended to leaders of systemically important institutions. Regulators consider these banks critical to financial stability, meaning disruptions to their operations could have far-reaching consequences.

Attendees reportedly included David Solomon of Goldman Sachs, Brian Moynihan of Bank of America, Jane Fraser of Citigroup, Ted Pick of Morgan Stanley, and Charlie Scharf of Wells Fargo. Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase was invited but did not attend.

In his annual shareholder letter released this week, Dimon cautioned that cybersecurity “remains one of our biggest risks,” adding that artificial intelligence “will almost surely make this risk worse.”

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Anthropic said its yet-to-be-released Mythos model has already identified thousands of vulnerabilities across software and widely used applications. As a result, access to the system has been limited to a small group of companies, including Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft.

The move marks the first time the company has restricted a product rollout. Select infrastructure and technology groups, such as Cisco and Broadcom, have also been granted access, along with the Linux Foundation.

The developments come as fears grow that malicious actors could use advanced AI tools to uncover passwords or break encryption systems designed to protect sensitive data.

Anthropic said some of the flaws identified by Mythos date back as far as 27 years and had not been detected by developers or security monitors before the AI system surfaced them.

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The Treasury meeting also follows a recent decision by the US government to classify Anthropic as a potential supply chain risk, a designation the company is currently challenging in court.

Despite the ongoing regulatory scrutiny and a supply chain risk designation from the U.S. Department of Defense, Anthropic has reported unprecedented financial momentum.

In a recent blog post released on April 6, the company said its annualized revenue run rate exceeded $30 billion as of early April 2026, more than tripling from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025. 

Part of that growth has been driven by new compute partnerships with Google and Broadcom, highlighting rising demand for large-scale AI infrastructure. This agreement secures multiple gigawatts of next-generation TPU capacity to power frontier Claude models through 2027 and beyond. 

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Its agentic coding platform, Claude Code, has emerged as a key contributor, generating more than $2.5 billion in run-rate revenue as of February.

Weekly active users on the platform have also doubled since the start of the year, pointing to rapid adoption of AI-driven development tools as the company shifts its focus toward high-value enterprise agents.

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CFTC Announces Initial Crypto Task Force Members

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CFTC Announces Initial Crypto Task Force Members

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission has unveiled the first members of its new innovation task force as the agency continues its push to provide greater clarity for the crypto market.

The Innovation Task Force was initially launched by CFTC Chairman Mike Selig on March 24, who appointed Michael Passalacqua as the leader of the group. Passalacqua is currently the senior advisor to Selig at the CFTC.

In an announcement Friday, the CFTC said that Passalacqua will be joined by a list of five initial members including Hank Balaban, a former Latham & Watkins crypto lawyer; Sam Canavos, an ex-Patomak crypto and prediction markets advisor; Mark Fajfar, a CFTC legal veteran; Eugene Gonzalez IV, an ex-Sidley blockchain lawyer; and Dina Moussa, a CFTC Market Participants Division special counsel.

“The Innovation Task Force brings together a leading team that exhibits deep expertise and an enthusiastic commitment to deliver clear rules of the road for American innovators,” Selig said.

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The move is part of a broader push from both the CFTC and Securities and Exchange Commission to provide regulatory clarity for the digital asset sector under the direction of the Donald Trump administration.

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Source: Michael Passalacqua

CFTC pushing for clarity as major bill stalls

On Friday, Selig also announced the CFTC’s “innovation tracker,” which highlights all the work done under Selig to help “advance regulatory clarity, market integrity, and responsible technological progress.”

The website lists three key innovation areas the agency is focused on, including crypto and blockchain, artificial intelligence and autonomous systems, and contracts and prediction markets.

Related: Prediction market users await Artemis II mission splashdown

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The CFTC in particular could be set to be the main overseer of the industry, with the SEC proposing in mid-March that the agency doesn’t see most crypto assets falling under its jurisdiction as securities.

However, the certainty of both agencies’ roles is still largely dependent on whether the Clarity Act passes through the upper levels of government and becomes enshrined as law — something SEC Chair Paul Atkins called for via X on Thursday.

The SEC and CFTC are “ready to implement the CLARITY Act,” he said, adding: “It’s time for Congress to future-proof against rogue regulators and advance comprehensive market structure legislation to President Trump’s desk.”

Magazine: Should users be allowed to bet on war and death in prediction markets?

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