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Bitcoin Long Term Holders Quietly Accumulate Near $68,000

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Bitcoin LTH CBD Heatmap

Bitcoin has struggled to regain upward momentum in recent sessions. The price has remained range-bound amid uncertain macro conditions. Volatility in equities and rate expectations has capped recovery attempts.

With short-term signals mixed, attention shifts to long-term holders, or LTHs. This cohort has historically shaped major Bitcoin reversals. Their behavior now offers critical insight into whether BTC is nearing a turning point.

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Bitcoin LTHs Have a Critical Support Established

The LTH CBD Heatmap highlights significant supply density above $65,000. This cluster is anchored in the 2024 first-half accumulation range. That zone has repeatedly absorbed recent selling pressure. Strong demand there suggests conviction among experienced Bitcoin holders.

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This support band has acted as a buffer during pullbacks. Capital accumulated during prior consolidation phases remains largely dormant. As long as this structure holds, large-scale distribution appears unlikely.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Bitcoin LTH CBD Heatmap
Bitcoin LTH CBD Heatmap. Source: Glassnode

A decisive breakdown below this range would change the narrative. It could open the path toward Bitcoin’s Realized Price, currently near $54,000. However, such a move seems less probable while LTH supply remains stable. The data suggests holders are not preparing for capitulation.

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How Are LTHs Reacting?

The Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit and Loss, or NUPL, has recently declined. This metric measures aggregate unrealized gains within long-term wallets. Falling NUPL indicates shrinking profitability among this BTC cohort.

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Historically, extended NUPL declines have coincided with deeper price corrections. Similar patterns appeared in February 2020 and June 2022. In those periods, weakening profitability led to broader capitulation events.

Bitcoin LTH NUPL
Bitcoin LTH NUPL. Source: Glassnode

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This cycle appears different. Institutional flows and spot Bitcoin ETF support have strengthened structural demand. Persistent inflows from regulated products provide a stabilizing force. As a result, LTHs may be less inclined to exit positions despite margin compression.

HODLer Net Position Change data shows Bitcoin LTHs are accumulating rather than distributing. Rising green bars on the metric suggest coins are moving into long-term storage. This is a positive sign as their accumulation tends to stick for a long while, unlike STHs, who are prone to selling at the first sign of profits.

Continued inflows into LTH wallets reinforce this trend. Accumulation during uncertainty can slow downside momentum, and if this pattern persists, it may help establish a foundation for a broader Bitcoin price recovery.

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Bitcoin HODLer Net Position Change
Bitcoin HODLer Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode

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BTC Price Is Still Under Resistance

Bitcoin is trading at $68,282 at the time of writing. The primary near-term target remains reclaiming the $70,000 level. This psychological barrier has capped upside for roughly ten days.

The $68,342 support level is critical in the short term. Strong defense of this zone could enable BTC to challenge the $70,610 resistance. A confirmed breakout may extend gains toward $73,499 and potentially higher if momentum accelerates.

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Downside risk remains present under adverse macro conditions. A break below $65,158 would weaken the current structure. Losing that support could expose Bitcoin to a deeper retracement. In such a scenario, price could gravitate toward the Realized Price near $58,000.

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Reclaims Ground While USD/JPY Momentum Fades

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Reclaims Ground While USD/JPY Momentum Fades

EUR/USD is recovering losses from 1.1500. USD/JPY is correcting gains from 159.00 and might decline further if it stays below 158.30.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today

· The Euro struggled to stay in a positive zone and declined below 1.1700 before finding support.

· There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 1.1580 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.

· USD/JPY started a decent increase above 157.00 before the bears appeared near 158.90.

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· There is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near 158.30 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from 1.1825. The Euro declined below 1.1750 and 1.1700 against the US Dollar.

The pair even declined below 1.1665 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1500 zone. A low was formed at 1.1507, and the pair is now recovering losses. There was a move above 1.1550 and a connecting bearish trend line at 1.1580.

The pair surpassed the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1826 swing high to the 1.1507 low. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement at 1.1665.

The first major hurdle for the bulls could be 1.1705. An upside break above 1.1705 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1775.

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If not, the pair might drop again. Immediate support is near the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1620. The next key area of interest might be 1.1565. If there is a downside break below 1.1565, the pair could drop toward 1.1505. The main target for the bears on the EUR/USD chart could be 1.1440, below which the pair could start a major decline.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair gained pace for a move above 157.00 and 158.00. The US Dollar even traded close to 159.00 against the Japanese Yen before the bears emerged.

A high was formed at 158.90 before there was a downside correction. The pair dipped below 158.00 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 156.45 swing low to the 158.90 high. However, the bulls were active above 157.00 and they protected the 61.8% Fib retracement.

The pair is back above the 50-hour simple moving average and 158.00. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 158.30. There is also a key contracting triangle at 158.30.

If there is a close above the triangle and the hourly RSI moves above 65, the pair could rise toward 158.90. The next major barrier for the bulls could be 159.25, above which the pair could test 160.00 in the near term.

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On the downside, the first major support is near 158.00. The next key region for the bulls might be 157.40. If there is a close below 157.40, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward 156.45. Any more losses might send the pair toward 155.85.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Australia warns on AI and finfluencers as Gen Z owns 23% of crypto

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Crypto Breaking News

Australia’s financial regulator has published findings from a Gen Z money mindset study, highlighting how social media and artificial intelligence are shaping young investors’ approaches to money. The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) released the results of a survey conducted between Nov. 28 and Dec. 10 last year, involving 1,127 respondents aged 18–28. The study shows that roughly one in four Gen Z individuals in Australia now invest in cryptocurrency, and while there is a strong appetite for credible, trustworthy financial content, many struggle to locate it amid engagement-first material. Regulators warn that marketing on social platforms can push people toward riskier investments and, in some cases, toward scams. posted.

The regulator’s findings come as ASIC outlined a cautious stance toward crypto marketing and the broader financial-advice ecosystem. The survey reveals a generation that craves reliable content but often lands on sources built for engagement rather than accuracy. ASIC Commissioner Alan Kirkland highlighted that some marketing activity on social media is specifically designed to drive investments, and a portion of it promotes activity that could expose young Australians to scams. He warned that the volatility of crypto investments is not always understood by those advertising or encouraging participation, particularly when the audience is spread across a developed but complex financial landscape. issuing warning notices to 18 influencers for unlawfully promoting high-risk financial products and providing unlicensed financial advice is a sign of the regulator’s willingness to take action against misleading campaigns.

The survey, which included respondents aged 18–28, found that 63% rely on social media for financial information and guidance, 18% use artificial intelligence (AI) platforms, and 30% turn to YouTube as a source for financial content. On trust, the results show a nuanced picture: 56% of Gen Z say they somewhat or fully trust financial information found on social media, and 52% say the same about “finfluencers”—those online personalities who cover finance and investments. AI, however, stands out as the most trusted source among Zoomers, with 64% expressing trust in AI-enabled financial information.

ASIC calls for caution on crypto influencers

The study also shows a notable crypto footprint among Gen Z in Australia, with 23% reporting ownership of cryptocurrency. Among those who own crypto, 29% trade based on content from social media or influencer posts, a dynamic that prompted regulatory caution. The regulator has warned that influencers may set unrealistic expectations about investment returns, market volatility, and the realities of long-term investing. The findings reinforce concerns about how promotional content can shape risk perceptions and trading behavior in a sector that remains volatile and is subject to evolving regulatory scrutiny.

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Speaking with the Australian Financial Review (AFR) on Sunday, ASIC Commissioner Alan Kirkland underscored the risk that marketing activity on social platforms can steer consumers toward risky crypto investments and even scams. “We’re conscious that there’s a lot of marketing activity on social media to encourage crypto investment, and our work has shown some of it is actually encouraging people to invest in scams,” he said. “It’s really important for people to be aware of those risks, because you don’t see that same volatility in other types of investments and often that volatility is driven by forces that it’s impossible for an individual sitting in Australia to understand.”

Kirkland also flagged Australian superannuation funds—the country’s $4.5 trillion retirement pool—as an area where unqualified influencers may be offering inappropriate investment guidance. “We see it most where people are lured in through social media ads and then encouraged to switch their super, because super is often people’s most valuable asset, and that’s why disreputable people often target it and why it can be so tragic if people are encouraged to put it into a risky investment,” he said.

ASIC has AI financial advice in its crosshairs

The regulator also said it is watching closely how AI tools generate financial information. Licensing requirements apply where a source is giving financial advice or making product-specific recommendations based on an individual’s circumstances. “Under Australian law, if any entity is giving financial advice, they need to be licensed. So if an AI tool, whoever’s providing it, is actually making recommendations about individual financial products, taking into account individual circumstances, that would be personal advice, so it needs to be licensed,” Kirkland noted.

Industry observers have noted that some crypto exchanges have begun integrating AI-based guidance features for customers. Platforms such as MEXC, KuCoin and Bitget have introduced AI-assisted options to accompany trading services, signaling regulators’ interest in how digital-asset markets are combining advisory capabilities with automated decision-making.

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“One of the most surprising findings from this research was the degree of trust young people are placing in AI platforms,” Kirkland said, adding that the usefulness of AI depends on the specificity of questions and the quality of sources AI can draw on to provide results. The regulator’s concerns extend beyond AI itself, as evidenced by the ongoing focus on licensing requirements for those delivering financial guidance, including AI-driven advice.

ASIC’s stance on AI financial advice is set against a broader regulatory backdrop. In January, the agency signaled that crypto and AI firms exploiting licensing gaps around payments in Australia would be a top priority in 2026. The regulator’s crosshairs are not limited to platforms or influencers but extend to the legal framework that governs how digital financial products are marketed and advised upon.

The Gen Z study illuminates how a generation that grows up with social media and AI navigates risk and opportunity in a rapidly evolving financial landscape. As ASIC continues to monitor marketing practices and the deployment of AI tools in financial services, stakeholders—from investors to platform operators—will be watching closely to see how policy adapts to new behavioral realities in the digital economy.

Why it matters

First, the findings underscore a critical consumer-protection challenge: young investors actively turn to social media and AI for guidance, often without access to robust, independent sources. The potential for misinformation, exaggerated returns, or misaligned risk underscores the need for credible educational resources and transparent disclosures in fintech marketing. Regulators’ emphasis on licensing for AI-driven advice signals a move toward more formal accountability, reducing the likelihood that automated recommendations operate outside established compliance frameworks.

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Second, the study highlights the evolving risk landscape around crypto participation among younger demographics. With 23% of Gen Z reporting crypto ownership and 29% of them trading as a result of influencer content, the regulatory focus on finfluencers and marketing practices gains renewed urgency. This is particularly salient as the Australian market approaches broader financial-technology innovations and digital asset service providers push deeper into mainstream finance.

Finally, the integration of AI bots by crypto and fintech platforms is prompting regulators to rethink the boundaries between information and advice. The balance between innovation and consumer protection will likely shape future licensing, disclosure, and advertising standards. In Australia, that balance currently hinges on whether AI-driven guidance crosses into personalized financial advice, a threshold that triggers licensing requirements and stricter oversight.

What to watch next

  • ASIC’s ongoing monitoring of social-media marketing for financial products and potential enforcement actions against misleading campaigns.
  • Any new guidance or licensing requirements addressing AI-based financial advice and tools that tailor recommendations to individuals.
  • Regulatory scrutiny of crypto and fintech platforms deploying AI-based trading guidance or “trading partners.”
  • Regulatory priorities in 2026 around payments licensing and licensing expectations for AI-enabled financial services.

Sources & verification

  • Australian Securities and Investments Commission, Gen Z and money advice study — 26-049mr: https://www.asic.gov.au/about-asic/news-centre/find-a-media-release/2026-releases/26-049mr-asic-urges-gen-z-to-sense-check-money-advice-as-social-media-fuels-riskier-financial-decisions/
  • Australian Financial Review interview with ASIC Commissioner Alan Kirkland on Gen Z and AI trust: https://www.afr.com/wealth/personal-finance/gen-z-puts-trust-in-ai-for-financial-advice-asic-says-don-t-20260311-p5o9iy
  • ASIC cracks down on unlawful finfluencers in global push against misconduct: https://www.asic.gov.au/about-asic/news-centre/news-items/asic-cracks-down-on-unlawful-finfluencers-in-global-push-against-misconduct/

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Ripple linked token jumps as breakout extends on broad bitcoin-led move

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Ripple linked token jumps as breakout extends on broad bitcoin-led move

XRP pushed higher after clearing a key resistance level, extending a breakout from a multi-month consolidation range.

News Background

  • XRP’s latest move comes after several months of sideways trading, where the token repeatedly failed to sustain rallies above the mid-$1.40 area.
  • The breakout marks the first clear move above that ceiling since early 2026, shifting short-term momentum toward buyers.
  • While the price advance lacked a clear XRP-specific catalyst, activity on the XRP Ledger has continued to rise.
  • Tokenized real-world assets on the network recently climbed sharply, with the value of tokenized commodities approaching $1.14 billion during the first quarter.

Price Action Summary

  • XRP rose from about $1.41 to $1.47 during the latest 24-hour session
  • The token broke through the $1.426 resistance zone that capped previous rallies
  • Trading volume spiked to roughly 170 million tokens during the breakout
  • XRP traded within a roughly 5% intraday range

Technical Analysis

The key development was the breakout above $1.426, which had acted as a ceiling throughout recent consolidation. Once the level cleared on strong volume, price accelerated quickly toward the $1.47 area.

Short-term charts show a sequence of higher lows forming after the breakout, suggesting buyers are attempting to turn the former resistance zone into support.

Momentum remains constructive while XRP holds above roughly $1.43. The next technical barrier sits near the $1.48–$1.50 area, where previous rallies have stalled.

What traders say is next?

Traders are now focused on whether XRP can maintain support above the $1.43–$1.44 breakout level.

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If that zone holds, the token could extend the move toward $1.50 and potentially the $1.55 region as momentum builds.

However, a drop back below $1.43 would weaken the breakout and could pull XRP back toward the previous consolidation range near $1.39–$1.40.

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ASIC has Warned Against Listening to Finfluencers and AI Financial advice

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image.png

Australia’s financial regulator has urged young investors not to rely on social media influencers and artificial intelligence chatbots to make financial decisions, according to a study that also found that one in four “Gen Zs” invest in crypto.

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) posted the results of a survey on Sunday, finding that Gen Z has high levels of trust in “often unreliable sources,” which has contributed to riskier financial decisions.

“Moneysmart’s Gen Z study found that while Gen Z has a strong appetite for reputable and trustworthy financial content, many struggle to find it – and their search often leads them to sources designed for engagement rather than accuracy,” said ASIC. 

ASIC took action against influencers over their financial social media content last year in June, issuing warning notices to 18 influencers “suspected of unlawfully promoting high-risk financial products and providing unlicensed financial advice.”

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The latest survey, conducted between Nov. 28 and Dec. 10 last year with 1,127 respondents between 18 and 28, found that 63% of the group uses social media for financial information and guidance, while 18% use artificial intelligence (AI) platforms and 30% said they use YouTube specifically.

It also found that 56% of Gen Z say they “somewhat or completely trust” financial information on social media, with 52% saying the same of “finfluencers” — social media influencers primarily covering financial or investment niches who appear well-versed in finance. 

AI, however, was the most trustworthy among Zoomers, at 64%.

ASIC calls for caution on crypto influencers

The survey also showed that 23% of Gen Z now own crypto in Australia, with 29% of these trading based on social media and influencer content, prompting a warning that influencers may “set unrealistic expectations” about investment returns, market volatility, and the intricacies of long-term investing.​

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image.png
Breakdown of Gen Z crypto activity. Source: ASIC

​Speaking with the Australian Financial Review (AFR) on Sunday, ASIC commissioner Alan Kirkland said the regulator has been keeping an eye on marketing activity designed to drive people to make investments, noting some of them are scams. 

“We’re conscious that there’s a lot of marketing activity on social media to encourage crypto investment, and our work has shown some that is actually encouraging people to invest in scams,” Kirkland said.

“It’s really important for people to be aware of those risks, because you don’t see that same volatility in other types of investments and often that volatility is driven by forces that it’s impossible for an individual sitting in Australia to understand,” he added.

Kirkland also flagged Australian superannuation funds — a $4.5 trillion market made of retirement funds — as an area in which unqualified influencers are offering advice.

“We see it most where people are lured in through social media ads and then encouraged to switch their super, because super is often people’s most valuable asset, and that’s why disreputable people often target it and why it can be so tragic if people are encouraged to put it into a risky investment,” he said.

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ASIC has AI financial advice in its crosshairs  

Kirkland also told the AFR that ASIC is “watching very closely” what types of financial information are being derived from AI tools. The commissioner warned that licenses are required for anything that gives out information representing concrete financial recommendations.  

“It is clear under Australian law that if any entity is giving financial advice, they need to be licensed. So if an AI tool, whoever’s providing it, is actually making recommendations about individual financial products, taking into account individual circumstances, that would be personal advice, so it needs to be licensed,” he said.