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Bitcoin Outperforms Equities as Asia Markets Reel From Iran Strikes

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Bitcoin Outperforms Equities as Asia Markets Reel From Iran Strikes

Asian markets plunged on Monday as the fallout from US and Israeli military strikes on Iran sent oil surging, stocks tumbling, and investors scrambling for safe havens — but Bitcoin held up better than expected, trading around $66,500 after a weekend that saw it swing between $63,000 and $68,000.

With the Strait of Hormuz effectively shut and Brent crude up as much as 13%, the conflict is now testing whether Bitcoin’s 24/7 liquidity makes it a crisis shock absorber or just another risk asset caught in the downdraft.

Asia Opens in the Red, Then Pares Losses

Japan’s Nikkei plunged as much as 2.15% at the open, shedding over 1,260 points. By midday, it had pared the drop to 1.66%, trading at 57,875. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 2.54%, and Singapore’s Straits Times fell 2.13%. Shanghai held up better, dipping just 0.45%.

Airline stocks across the region — Qantas, Singapore Airlines, and Japan Airlines among them — fell more than 5% as the Hormuz closure disrupted flight routes and sent fuel costs soaring. Chinese airlines were also hit hard.

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Oil’s initial surge faded sharply through the session. Brent had jumped as much as 13% at the open, but WTI was up just 4.24% by midday. US equity-index futures also recovered, with the S&P 500 down 0.67% and the Dow off 0.71% — well off earlier lows of over 1%. Gold rose 1.76%.

China’s energy sector bucked the trend. PetroChina opened up 7% in Shanghai, and the CSI Energy Index jumped 5%. Korea’s Kospi, one of Asia’s top-performing markets this year, was closed Monday for a national holiday — delaying what could be a sharp reaction on Tuesday.

Bitcoin, down 2.2% on the day, outperformed the steep losses in equity futures and Asian stock benchmarks.

A Wild Weekend for Crypto

The turbulence began Saturday when US-Israeli strikes hit targets across Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Bitcoin dropped below $64,000 within hours as the total crypto market shed roughly $128 billion in value, with forced liquidations cascading across derivatives markets.

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The bounce came fast. After Iranian state media confirmed Khamenei’s death, traders bet the power vacuum could accelerate de-escalation, pushing Bitcoin back above $68,000 in thin Sunday liquidity. But the optimism faded as Iran launched retaliatory missile and drone strikes across the Gulf, hitting targets in Israel, the UAE, and Bahrain, dragging the price back below $66,000 by Sunday evening in New York.

By early Monday in Asia, Bitcoin was trading at around $66,543, with a 24-hour range of $65,149 to $68,043. The 24-hour trading volume topped $43.6 billion, reflecting heightened activity as traders repositioned ahead of the US market open.

Hormuz: The Real Risk

The biggest market risk is the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Roughly 20% of global seaborne oil passes through the waterway. Digital signals indicate tanker traffic has nearly halted. At least three ships have been attacked near the mouth of the Persian Gulf. Economists have warned that a sustained closure could push oil prices as high as $108 per barrel.

OPEC+ moved to ease supply fears on Sunday, announcing a production increase of 206,000 barrels per day starting in April — more than analysts had expected. Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, and four other members are set to boost output. But analysts cautioned the move may offer limited relief. If Gulf flows remain constrained, additional production means little. Export routes matter more than headline output targets.

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For crypto, the oil shock creates a dual threat. Higher energy prices feed directly into inflation expectations, potentially delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts that the market has been counting on. Even with OPEC+ stepping in, prolonged disruption to Hormuz could keep crude elevated long enough to push inflation readings higher, which is negative for risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Pressure Valve or Risk Asset?

The weekend reinforced Bitcoin’s evolving identity in geopolitical crises. When traditional markets are closed, crypto absorbs selling pressure from equities, bonds, and commodities. Analysts call this the “pressure valve” effect. Bitcoin is the only large liquid asset trading around the clock. It took the brunt of weekend risk-off flows. The real price discovery is expected on Monday when US equity markets and Bitcoin ETFs reopen.

That ETF dynamic adds a new variable. Spot Bitcoin ETFs drew nearly $254 million in net inflows over three sessions last week. Monday’s open could test whether institutional holders maintain positions through escalating geopolitical turmoil.

Bitcoin futures funding rates have turned sharply negative, with the CMC Crypto Fear and Greed index at 15 — deep in “Extreme Fear” territory where it has been stuck for weeks. Some analysts view this as a contrarian signal, arguing that the market is mechanically paying traders to go long.

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What Comes Next

Some initial panic has faded after President Trump told the New York Times he was open to dropping sanctions on Iran if its new leadership proves pragmatic. A senior White House official also said to the press that Iran’s new interim leadership had suggested it was open to talks, and Trump said he had agreed to engage.

Some Wall Street strategists warned against buying the dip too quickly. This episode risks lasting longer than the geopolitical flare-ups investors have grown accustomed to.

For Bitcoin, which has already fallen 47% from its October all-time high of $126,000, the $60,000 support level remains the line in the sand. A break below could open the path to the mid-$50,000 range. A sustained move above $70,000, on the other hand, could trigger a short squeeze given the heavy bearish positioning currently built up in derivatives markets.

With CPI data due March 11 and the Fed decision on March 18, the crypto market faces a gauntlet of catalysts that the Iran conflict has made exponentially harder to navigate.

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Inside the messy proxy fight at BTC treasury company Empery Digital (EMPD)

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Inside the messy proxy fight at BTC treasury company Empery Digital (EMPD)

A public fight is unfolding at Empery Digital (EMPD), a bitcoin treasury company holding 3,723 BTC whose shares have slumped 45% in the past 12 months.

While it’s a small holding compared to firms like Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the boardroom drama with an activist investor brought this company into the spotlight.

In a Feb. 4 letter, investor Tice P. Brown, founder and managing partner of the Woodmont Partners family office, said he owns 9.8% of the firm, accused management of reckless behavior and poor governance, allowing employees to “day-trade tens, or hundreds of millions of dollars of bitcoin derivatives.” He called for the resignation of co-CEO Ryan Lane and the rest of the board, and demanded the sale of all its bitcoin, returning the cash to shareholders.

Empery’s management rejected Brown’s claims and offered a different account of recent events. The dispute now spans buyout talks, office meetings and the use of bitcoin derivatives at the company.

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“Management attempted to reach an agreement with Mr. Brown as it believed such an agreement would be in the best interests of the Company and all its shareholders,” the company said in a post on its website. “It is disappointing Mr. Brown ended these conversations and issued his letter to advance his self-serving campaign.”

At the core is a simple question: Should Empery, which has a market capitalization of $140 million, keep building around its bitcoin holdings or sell them and wind down, especially when the bitcoin price has cratered from its all-time high and most treasury companies are hurting?

Options trading

Brown, who started building his stake in December and is now the third-largest shareholder, according to WallStreetZen data and SEC filings, argues for the latter.

Brown, who declined to comment for this story, said in his letter that liquidating all the bitcoin would close the gap between the company’s share price of around $3.96 and its net asset value of $4.72.

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Empery, however, says that selling all bitcoin would destroy long-term potential and undermine its strategy.

That strategy involves using its holdings to support an options trading plan that involves selling out-of-the-money calls and puts, along with spreads, to collect premiums. It’s an approach employed by some other bitcoin treasury firms, including Metaplanet, the fourth-largest corporate holder of bitcoin, to generate income against their bitcoin holdings.

In plain terms, that means the company earns fees from other market participants who want exposure to bitcoin price moves. If bitcoin stays within certain price ranges, Empery keeps the premium. If it moves sharply, the company faces limits defined by the contracts.

It’s personal

The disagreement also turned personal.

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Brown, a graduate of Harvard College and Harvard Law School, noted in recent filings that he has made “a few hundred million dollars of public and private investments” since 2014 through his family office and previously served as chairman of PharmChem, which was acquired last year at a premium to their open market price.

He described a January meeting at Empery’s Rockefeller Center office, where he said Lane had him removed by security. Empery says the meeting ended after Brown insisted the company liquidate immediately and refused to leave unless security escorted him out.

In a Feb. 23 letter, Brown says the company offered to buy his shares at a premium in exchange for a standstill agreement.

The company, in its post, says it did not initiate an offer to buy Brown’s shares. Instead, it claims Brown’s prime broker approached the firm to explore a potential deal. Empery confirmed discussions took place, but said the talks broke down over price.

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A person familiar with the talks told CoinDesk Brown sought $7.50 per share, valuing the company at roughly $270 million vs its current market cap of $136 million.

A bid for the board

The proxy fight escalated further on Feb. 26 when Brown filed a formal notice nominating himself for election to Empery’s board of directors. In the filing, Brown disclosed his stake had grown to 10.3%, representing over 3.3 million shares.

He criticized the company’s “poison pill” and further referenced “management’s efforts to impose standstill agreements,” arguing they serve only to entrench incumbents rather than allow stockholders to effect change.

Touting his background as a Harvard Law graduate and former chairman of PharmChem, Brown stated that if elected, he would work to remove impediments to shareholder oversight and dramatically increase the capital returned to investors.

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“The Company’s continued retention of bitcoin holds no ongoing business purpose, as dozens of cheaper ways to achieve bitcoin exposure exist,” Brown wrote in the filing.

Bitcoin treasury in limbo

CoinGecko data shows the company’s bitcoin was purchased at an average price of $122,283 each, costing a total of $455 million. The current value stands at $235.5 million, meaning a sale would result in a realized loss of nearly $220 million.

Still, the company signaled some flexibility. In its latest statement, Empery said it may use existing cash or reduce its bitcoin holdings to fund share repurchases or repay borrowings, something that other treasury companies have done. It stopped short of endorsing a full sale.

It also said recent buybacks had narrowed the gap between its share price and net asset value by roughly 40% in less than a month.

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For now, neither side appears ready to back down. The dispute could shape not only Empery’s future, but also may foreshadow what awaits other smaller public companies with large bitcoin treasuries in a volatile market.

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HYPE jumps 5% as token burn offsets $316 Million unlock, JUP gains weekly on supply freeze

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HYPE jumps 5% as token burn offsets $316 Million unlock, JUP gains weekly on supply freeze

Hyperliquid’s HYPE token outperformed bitcoin and the broader market as traders flocked to the decentralized exchange over the weekend, placing bullish bets on TradFi-linked futures amid escalating Middle East tensions.

HYPE has climbed more up to 5% in the past 24 hours, as exploding platform activity led to higher token burn rate, countering fears of an impending $316 million token unlock. Bitcoin, meanwhile, dropped 0.7% to $66,700. The CoinDesk 20 Index, a broader market gauge, has declined by 1.7% to 1,937 points.

Hyperliquid’s fee mechanism channels a portion of trading fees directly into HYPE buy-backs and burns. So spikes in activity, like the weekend rush into oil futures, lead to increased fee revenue and slash circulating supply of the token.

The protocol has earned $2.8 million in fees over the past 24 hours and over $13 million in one week, according to data source Defillama. It has burned $9.22 million worth of tokens over the past seven days, a 20.4% increase from the prior period.

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This has shifted attention away from the token unlock – roughly 9.92 million HYPE, equal to about 2.7% of released supply, is scheduled to unlock this week. With historical unlocks often resulting in smaller-than-projected releases, according to data tracked by Tokenomist, traders appear to be betting that net circulating supply will not expand meaningfully.

Jupiter’s JUP token – up 13% in the last week and largely steady over 24 hours – has drawn similar attention after holders in a late-February governance vote approved eliminating net-new emissions for 2026, shelving planned token distributions and preventing any additional JUP from entering circulation this year, reinforcing the same supply-discipline narrative now driving selective altcoin strength.

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Magic Eden Shifts Focus From NFTs to Casino Platform

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Magic Eden Shifts Focus From NFTs to Casino Platform

Solana-based nonfungible token (NFT) marketplace Magic Eden is winding down its support for Bitcoin and Ethereum as it plans to double down on its upcoming online casino and sportsbook, Dicey.  

Magic Eden CEO and co-founder Jack Lu said in an X post on Friday that it is winding down support for its Ethereum Virtual Machine and Bitcoin-based Runes and Ordinals marketplaces on March 9, followed by its Bitcoin API on March 27, and its crypto wallet on April 1.

He added that the platform will end its NFT buyback program and would be “doubling down” on Dicey, with Lu saying there is a “massive opportunity” in iGaming, or online gambling. 

“It is clear we’re entering a new era where finance and entertainment merge,” Lu said, adding he was “incredibly bullish” on Dicey’s two-month-old closed beta, which has seen 200 users wager over $15 million.

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Source: Jack Lu

Dicey offers an on-chain casino and plans to launch a sportsbook in a similar fashion to blockchain gambling sites such as Stake. 

Magic Eden cutting NFTs to streamline toward gambling

The changes see Magic Eden, once one of the most popular NFT marketplaces, significantly scale back its focus on NFTs.

Lu said the platform will “exclusively” focus on NFT packs, which bundle random NFTs from various collections, similar to physical trading card packs.

Related: Logan Paul sells Pokémon card for $16.5M, years after fractional NFT row

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Lu said the shift was ultimately down to most of the platform’s products not contributing significantly to revenues.

“80% of our cost are tied to products generating only 20% of our revenue. By winding down these products, we’re refocusing on our Solana roots [and] retaining our most profitable products, betting on deep on crypto entertainment, and positioning our products for long term growth.”

The NFT market has been impacted significantly amid a broader crypto market downturn over the past few months, with big names such as Nifty Gateway announcing in January that it was shutting down.