Connect with us

Crypto World

Bitcoin price at risk of hitting $50k, Coinbase premium sinks

Published

on

Coinbase Premium Index

Bitcoin price remained in a tight range this week, and the waning Coinbase Premium Index points to more downside as institutional demand wanes.

Summary

  • Bitcoin price has formed a bearish pennant pattern on the daily chart.
  • The Coinbase Premium Index has remained in the red, a sign of weak demand from the US.
  • Futures open interest has continued falling this month.

Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $67,420 on Wednesday, down modestly from last weekend’s high of over $70,000. It has slumped by double digits from its all-time high of $126,300.

One major risk facing Bitcoin is that institutional demand has largely waned in the United States, which explains why the Coinbase Premium Index has remained in the red throughout this year. Coinbase is the most preferred platform for Bitcoin investing by American investors.

Advertisement
Coinbase Premium Index
Coinbase Premium Index | Source: CoinGlass

Additionally, only a handful of Bitcoin treasury companies are accumulating Bitcoin as they did last year. Strategy continued buying Bitcoin last week, bringing its total holdings to over 717,000. American Bitcoin and Strive have also bought Bitcoin this year.

Meanwhile, SoSoValue’s data shows that spot Bitcoin ETF outflows have jumped in the past few months. All these funds have shed over $8 billion in assets since October last year, and the trend is continuing.

According to Bloomberginstitutions have largely given up on Bitcoin because it has not fulfilled its role as a hedge against inflation and equity market stress. It has also not served its perceived role as a hedge against currency debasement.

Bitcoin’s futures open interest has continued falling in the past few months and now sits at $44 billion, down sharply from last year’s high of over $95 billion. Also, demand for borrowed exposure on CME has remained muted into the past few months.

Advertisement

Bitcoin price technical analysis suggests a crash

bitcoin price
BTC price chart | Source: crypto.news 

The daily timeframe chart shows that Bitcoin price is flashing red alerts. For example, the coin is slowly forming a large bearish pennant pattern. It has already completed forming the vertical line and is now in the process of forming the triangle section.

The Supertrend indicator has remained red since January 19 this year. It has also remained below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages.

Therefore, the coin will likely continue falling, with the initial target being the year-to-date low of $60,000. A drop below that level will signal further downside, potentially to the psychological $50,000 level, as Standard Chartered analysts predicted last week.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

ETHZilla struggles to find footing as Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund exits

Published

on

ETHZilla struggles to find footing as Peter Thiel's Founders Fund exits - 1

ETHZilla Corp (ETHZ) shares faced intense pressure in pre-market trading this Wednesday following news that billionaire investor Peter Thiel and his venture firm, Founders Fund, have completely liquidated their position.

Summary

  • An SEC filing revealed that Peter Thiel and Founders Fund have completely liquidated their 7.5% stake in Ethzilla (ETHZ), triggering a 5.13% pre-market drop to $3.33.
  • Originally a biotech firm (180 Life Sciences), Ethzilla’s high-leverage pivot to a “corporate Ethereum treasury” model has faltered, with the stock currently down 97% from its 2025 highs.
  • Amidst heavy debt and market volatility, the company is attempting to stabilize by pivoting again, this time toward tokenizing jet engines and home loans, though investor confidence remains shaken.

The Thiel exodus: Founders Fund liquidates stake in ETHZilla

The stock, which has already plummeted over 97% from its 2025 highs, hit a pre-market low of $3.33, representing a 5.13% drop from its previous close.

ETHZilla struggles to find footing as Peter Thiel's Founders Fund exits - 1
ETHzilla price performance | Source: Google Finance

The sell-off was triggered by a late Tuesday SEC filing revealing that Thiel’s entities now hold zero shares in the company. This marks a dramatic reversal from August 2025, when the fund disclosed a significant 7.5% stake.

Advertisement

At the time, Thiel’s entry was seen as a massive vote of confidence for ETHZilla’s pivot from biotechnology to a corporate Ethereum (ETH) treasury model.

The massive sell-off marks a dramatic fall from grace for the firm, which rebranded from 180 Life Sciences last year to become a high-leverage Ethereum treasury. While the initial pivot drew over $425 million in institutional backing, the recent liquidation of its ETH holdings has left investors questioning the sustainability of its ‘crypto-first’ balance sheet.

Crisis in the ETH treasury model

The full exit by Founders Fund underscores the growing skepticism surrounding companies that use high-leverage strategies to accumulate Ethereum. While similar “Bitcoin treasury” plays have remained popular, Ether-focused firms like ETHZilla have struggled under the weight of market volatility and debt obligations.

ETHZilla has recently attempted to diversify its business to stabilize its balance sheet. Recent moves include:

Advertisement
  • Asset Tokenization: Launching “ETHZilla Aerospace” to tokenize leased jet engines.
  • Debt Repayment: Liquidating over 24,000 ETH in late 2025 to settle convertible bond obligations.
  • Real Estate: Acquiring modular home loan portfolios for on-chain yields.

Despite these efforts to pivot toward Real World Assets (RWA), the market appears focused on the loss of its most prominent institutional backer. For many investors, Thiel’s departure signals that the “Saylor-style” accumulation strategy for Ethereum may be facing a structural breakdown.

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Arthur Hayes Predicts AI Banking Crisis And Bitcoin Surge

Published

on

Arthur Hayes Predicts AI Banking Crisis And Bitcoin Surge

The divergence between Bitcoin and tech stocks is a warning sign of a potential artificial intelligence-driven credit crisis that could lead to more central bank money printing, says Arthur Hayes. 

“Bitcoin is the global fiat liquidity fire alarm. It is the most responsive freely traded asset to the fiat credit supply,” said the crypto entrepreneur in his latest blog post on Wednesday.

Hayes went on to caution that the recent divergence between Bitcoin (BTC) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index “sounds the alarm that a massive credit destruction event is nigh.”

When these two previously correlated asset classes diverge, “it warrants further investigation into any trigger that could cause a destruction of fiat” — mostly dollars and credit, which is also known as deflation, he said. 

Advertisement

Hayes believes that job losses due to AI adoption will have a major impact on consumer credit and mortgage debt “because of the inability of white-collar knowledge worker debt donkeys to meet their monthly payments.”

“That’s a bold statement to call for a financial crisis because of job losses caused by AI adoption.”

AI job losses could trigger another banking crisis 

In 2025, companies cited AI when announcing 55,000 job cuts, more than 12 times the number of layoffs attributed to AI just two years earlier, reported CBS News in early February. 

“This AI financial crisis will restart the money printing machine for realz,” said Hayes. 

His loose model suggests that a 20% reduction in the 72 million “knowledge workers” in the US could produce around $557 billion in consumer credit and mortgage losses, representing a 13% write-down of US commercial bank equity.

Advertisement
Predicted losses assuming a 20% AI job loss. Source: Maelstrom

Hayes speculates that weaker regional banks would buckle first, depositors would flee, and credit markets would seize. The Federal Reserve would eventually panic and start printing money. 

“While the Fed is fighting windmills, AI-related job losses will destroy the balance sheets of American banks,” he said. 

“Finally, the monetary mandarins panic and press that Brrrr button harder than I shred pow the morning after a one-meter dump.”

Related: 1 in 4 CEOs expect to sack staff due to AI this year

Hayes predicted that this surge in fiat credit creation would “pump Bitcoin decisively off its lows,” and that the future expectation of increased fiat creation to save the banking system would “propel Bitcoin to a new all-time high.”

In addition to Bitcoin, Hayes said there are two altcoins that his company, Maelstrom, will “deploy excess stables into once the Fed blinks.” Those coins are Zcash (ZEC) and Hyperliquid (HYPE). 

Advertisement

More money-printing theories abound 

However, this is not the first radical money-printing thesis Hayes has proposed.

In January, he said that the Federal Reserve would print money to alleviate the Japanese bond crisis. 

In December 2025, he predicted that BTC would surge to $200,000 by March due to money printing through a new Fed liquidity tool called Reserve Management Purchases, which resembles quantitative easing. 

Magazine: Chinese New Year boosts interest, TradFi buying crypto exchanges: Asia Express

Advertisement