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Bitcoin price eyes rebound as spot BTC ETFs return

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Bitcoin price eyes rebound from oversold RSI as spot BTC ETFs see inflows for first time in 5 days - 1

Bitcoin price edged higher on Feb. 3 after days of heavy selling, as pressure from forced liquidations faded and fresh capital returned to U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds.

Summary

  • Bitcoin rebounded after dipping to its lowest levels since April 2025.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their first net inflows in five sessions.
  • Technical indicators suggest short-term relief, not a confirmed reversal.

Bitcoin was trading at $78,659 at the time of writing, up 3.8% from the previous day. The move comes after a severe decline that dragged prices to around $75,400, levels not seen since April 2025. 

Even with the bounce, Bitcoin (BTC) is still under strain. The asset is down roughly 11% over the past week and nearly 40% from its October 2025 peak of $126,080, showing how deep the recent correction has been.

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Futures market suggests conditions are starting to stabilize. As per CoinGlass data, total trading volume slipped 18.7% to $78.9 billion, while open interest climbed slightly to $52.19 billion. The combination points to traders reopening positions cautiously rather than piling into leverage.

ETF inflows return as dip buyers step in

One of the more constructive signals came from the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF market. According to data from SoSoValue, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $561.89 million on Feb. 3, snapping a five-day streak of outflows.

BlackRock’s IBIT led the inflows with $141.99 million, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC at $153.35 million and Bitwise’s BITB with $96.5 million. All other issuers also posted net inflows on the day.

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ETF inflows matter because they reflect direct buying of Bitcoin rather than short-term speculation. When these products see steady demand, they can help soak up supply during periods of market stress. While one session does not confirm a trend, the timing suggests institutions are starting to view current prices as attractive.

Some analysts say the setup favors short-term buyers. In a Feb. 3 analysis, CryptoQuant contributor CryptoNiel noted that Bitcoin funding rates have stayed negative for three days in a row, a pattern often seen when short positions dominate futures markets.

“When price declines and funding rates stay negative for several days, it typically signals that short positions are dominating,” he said. “From a bullish perspective, this can represent an attractive entry. From a bearish one, it may also signal the start of a prolonged consolidation phase.”

CryptoNiel added that Bitcoin has failed to push back toward the CME gap near $84,000, suggesting upside momentum is still limited.

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Bitcoin price technical analysis

On the technical side, Bitcoin is flashing signs of exhaustion after the recent sell-off, though sellers continue to dictate direction. Bitcoin is clearly in oversold territory as the relative strength index has fallen below 30.

Similar readings have often preceded brief recoveries in previous cycles, even when the overall trend remained negative. 

Bitcoin price eyes rebound from oversold RSI as spot BTC ETFs see inflows for first time in 5 days - 1
Bitcoin daily chart. Credit: crypto.news

Strong downward pressure is evident in Bitcoin’s trading along the lower Bollinger Band. If selling slows, this setup may precede a return to the mid-band, but a reversal is not guaranteed.

Price remains below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, meaning any recovery attempt is likely to face resistance near the $82,000–$85,000 area. That zone previously acted as support before breaking down.

Structurally, the chart continues to show lower highs and lower lows. Bitcoin is currently holding just above the $76,000–$78,000 demand area, where buyers have stepped in before. The market may suffer greater losses if there is a clear break below that range.

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However, downward momentum is starting to level off, increasing the likelihood of a bullish RSI divergence should selling pressure continue to wane. In addition, Bollinger Bands are beginning to narrow after rapidly expanding, suggesting that the market may be shifting from aggressive selling to a period of consolidation.

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Crypto World

Cross-Chain Governance Attacks – Smart Liquidity Research

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Cross-Chain Governance Attacks - Smart Liquidity Research

The Governance Exploit Nobody Is Pricing In. Bridges get hacked. That’s old news. We’ve seen the carnage: nine-figure exploits, drained liquidity, emergency shutdowns, Twitter threads filled with “funds are safu” copium.

From Ronin Network to Wormhole, bridge exploits have become a recurring tax on innovation. But here’s the uncomfortable truth. The next systemic risk in crypto probably won’t be a bridge exploit. It’ll be a governance exploit enabled by cross-chain voting power. And almost nobody is pricing it in.

The Shift: From Asset Bridges to Power Bridges

Cross-chain infrastructure has evolved.

We’re no longer just bridging tokens for yield. We’re bridging:

Protocols increasingly allow governance tokens to exist on multiple chains simultaneously — often via wrapped representations or omnichain token standards (like those enabled by LayerZero Labs).

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This improves capital efficiency and participation.

But it also introduces a new attack surface:

The separation of voting power from finality.

The Core Problem: Governance Is Local. Voting Power Is Not.

Governance contracts typically live on a single “home” chain.

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But voting power can be represented across multiple chains.

This creates a dangerous gap:

  1. Tokens are locked on Chain A

  2. Voting power is mirrored on Chain B

  3. Governance decisions are executed on Chain A

If the system relies on cross-chain messaging to sync voting balances, any delay, exploit, or manipulation in that messaging layer becomes a governance vector.

You don’t need to drain liquidity.

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You just need to distort voting power long enough.

And governance proposals often pass with shockingly low turnout.

The Attack Path Nobody Talks About

Let’s walk through a hypothetical.

Step 1: Acquire or Manipulate Voting Power Cross-Chain

An attacker:

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  • Borrows governance tokens

  • Bridges them to a secondary chain

  • Exploits a delay in balance updates

  • Or abuses inconsistencies in wrapped token accounting

In poorly designed systems, the same underlying tokens may temporarily influence voting in multiple domains.

Even if briefly.

Even if “just a bug.”

Governance doesn’t need hours. It needs one block.

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Step 2: Flash Governance

We’ve already seen governance flash-loan exploits in DeFi.

The most infamous example? The attack on Beanstalk in 2022.

The attacker used flash loans to acquire massive voting power, passed a malicious proposal, and drained ~$182M.

Now imagine that dynamic — but across chains.

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Flash-loaned tokens → bridged representation → governance vote → malicious proposal executed → unwind.

All before the watchers even understand what happened.

Step 3: Proposal Payloads as Weapons

Governance proposals can:

If cross-chain voting power is compromised, the proposal payload becomes the exploit.

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No bridge drain required.

Just governance “working as designed.”

Why Markets Aren’t Pricing This Risk

Three reasons.

1. Everyone Is Still Fighting the Last War

After major bridge hacks, teams hardened signature validation and multisig thresholds.

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But governance-layer risk is subtler.

It doesn’t show up as “TVL at risk” on dashboards.

It shows up as “who controls protocol direction.”

That’s harder to quantify.

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2. Voting Participation Is Low

Many DAOs struggle to get 10–20% participation.

Which means:

You don’t need 51%.

You need slightly more than apathy.

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Cross-chain voting power distortions don’t need to be massive. They just need to be decisive.

3. Composability Multiplies Complexity

Modern governance stacks combine:

  • Delegation contracts

  • Token wrappers

  • Cross-chain messaging

  • Snapshot systems

  • Execution timelocks

Each layer introduces potential inconsistencies.

And composability means failures cascade.

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Where the Real Risk Lives

This isn’t about one protocol.

It’s systemic.

The more governance tokens become:

The more fragile governance assumptions become.

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If a governance token is:

You’ve built a multi-dimensional voting derivative.

And derivatives break under stress.

Ask TradFi. They have scars.

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The Governance Exploit Nobody Is Pricing In

Markets price:

  • Smart contract risk

  • Bridge exploit risk

  • Oracle manipulation risk

But they do not price:

Cross-domain voting synchronization risk.

No dashboards are tracking:

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  • Governance message latency

  • Cross-chain vote desync windows

  • Wrapped-token vote inflation

  • Double-counted delegation

Yet these variables may determine who controls billion-dollar treasuries.

What Builders Should Be Doing (Now)

If you’re designing cross-chain governance:

1. Separate Voting Power from Bridged Liquidity

Avoid naïve 1:1 mirroring without strict finality checks.

2. Introduce Vote Finality Windows

Require:

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  • Cross-chain state verification

  • Message settlement delays

  • Proof-of-lock confirmations

Before votes are counted.

3. Use Decay or Cooldowns on Newly Bridged Tokens

Voting power shouldn’t activate instantly after bridging.

If tokens just moved chains 5 seconds ago, maybe they shouldn’t decide protocol destiny.

4. Simulate Governance Stress Scenarios

Run adversarial simulations:

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If your governance model breaks under simulation, it will break in production.

What Investors Should Be Asking

Before allocating to a multi-chain DAO:

  • Where does governance live?

  • How is voting power mirrored?

  • Can voting power be double-counted during bridge latency?

  • What happens if the messaging layer stalls?

  • Is there a time lock between the vote and execution?

If the answers are vague, the risk is real.

And it’s not priced in.

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The Inevitable Wake-Up Call

Crypto learns through catastrophe.

  • Smart contract exploits → audits became standard.

  • Oracle exploits → TWAP and redundancy

  • Bridge hacks → validator hardening

Governance-layer cross-chain exploits are likely next.

And when it happens, it won’t look like a hack.

It’ll look like a proposal that “passed.”

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That’s the scary part.

Final Thought

Cross-chain infrastructure is powerful. It enables capital mobility, global participation, and modular design.

But it also decouples authority from location.

And when authority becomes fluid across chains, attackers don’t need to steal funds.

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They just need to win a vote.

That’s the governance exploit nobody is pricing in.

And by the time the market does, it’ll already be too late.

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Payoneer Adds to Crypto, Fintech Firms Seeking Bank Charter

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Payoneer Adds to Crypto, Fintech Firms Seeking Bank Charter

Global financial services firm Payoneer is the latest in a growing number of companies that have filed for a national trust banking charter in the US, which could enable it to issue a stablecoin and provide various crypto services.

Payoneer said on Tuesday it filed with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to form PAYO Digital Bank, a week after it partnered with stablecoin infrastructure firm Bridge to add stablecoin capabilities to its platform that is mainly focused on cross-border transactions.

Payoneer said that it is seeking to issue a GENIUS Act-compliant stablecoin, PAYO-USD, to serve as the holding currency in Payoneer wallets, in addition to allowing customers to pay and receive stablecoins.

OCC approval would also enable Payoneer to manage PAYO-USD reserves, offer custodial services and enable customers to convert between the stablecoins into their local currency.

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“We believe stablecoins will play a meaningful role in the future of global trade,” said Payoneer CEO John Caplan.

Source: Payoneer

The OCC gave conditional approval to Crypto.com for a charter on Monday, adding to the banking charters won by crypto companies Circle, Ripple, Fidelity Digital Assets, BitGo and Paxos in December.

Related: Better, Framework Ventures reach $500M stablecoin mortgage financing deal

The Trump family’s World Liberty Financial also applied for one in January to expand the use of its USD1 (USD1) stablecoin, but is still awaiting a decision. 

Crypto trading platform Laser Platform also submitted an application in January, while Coinbase has been awaiting a decision on its application since October.

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Stablecoins ideal for business cross-border transfers: Payoneer

Payoneer said OCC approval would allow it to offer its nearly two million customers, which are mostly small and medium-sized businesses, a regulated stablecoin solution to simplify cross-border trade.