Crypto World
Bitcoin Price Faces 40% Risk Despite Improving US Demand
The Bitcoin price has rebounded nearly 20% after slipping close to $60,000 on February 6. The move has revived “buy-the-dip” hopes and fueled talk of a local bottom. At the same time, US demand indicators have started to recover from recent lows.
But beneath the surface, volume signals, on-chain data, and price structure suggest the rally may be fragile. Several warning patterns now resemble setups that preceded major declines in this cycle.
Bear Flag Shows Big Money Is Not Fully Committed
One of the clearest warning signals comes from the Klinger Oscillator, a volume-based indicator that tracks big money flow.
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Unlike indicators such as the CMF, which focus mainly on short-term big-money pressure, the Klinger Oscillator measures large-wallet volume intensity across trends. It is designed to highlight how large players position themselves over time, not just day-to-day activity.
In simple terms, it shows whether big money is quietly accumulating or preparing to sell into rallies.
Between October 6 and January 14, Bitcoin fell from around $126,000 to $97,800, a decline of roughly 22%. During that period, the Klinger Oscillator moved higher while the price weakened. This created a bearish divergence.
That divergence warned that volume strength by large wallets (possibly whales and institutions) was not supporting price recovery. Within weeks, Bitcoin extended its decline toward $60,000 as the Klinger reading dropped sharply (possible big money outflows).
A similar pattern is forming again.
Between February 2 and February 9, the price drifted lower while the Klinger Oscillator trended upward. This suggests large players may be positioning (recent buys) to sell into rebounds rather than build long-term exposure.
At the same time, Bitcoin’s drop from mid-January to early February formed a sharp downside “pole.” The current price bounce movement resembles a bear flag, a pattern that often signals a continuation of the lower trend, with a near 40% crash possibility if the lower trendline support gives way. That could trap the bulls buying into the bounce.
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When rising Klinger readings align with a bear flag, it usually means rallies lack deep institutional support. Big players are active, but not in accumulation mode, and might distribute at any given chance. Days of BTC ETF outflows in the near term would validate the Klinger-led hypothesis.
Improving US Demand Has Failed to Mark Bottoms Before
This technical weakness does not exist in isolation. It comes even as US demand has started to improve.
The Coinbase Premium Index tracks whether Bitcoin trades at a premium or discount on US-based Coinbase compared with global exchanges. It primarily reflects American institutional demand.
On February 4, the index fell to around -0.22, showing weak US participation. This level closely matched December 31, 2024, when the index dropped to -0.23. At that time, Bitcoin traded near $93,300.
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Many traders believed a bottom had formed. Instead, the price later fell to about $76,200, a decline of nearly 18%.
Since early February, the index has recovered to near -0.07, signaling improving US interest and aligning with the Klinger oscillator’s rising reading. However, history shows that demand recovery often comes before price bottoms, not after. In 2024, US demand improved first. The deeper correction came later.
On-chain data adds another layer of risk.
The 1-day to 1-week holder group, made up of short-term traders, increased its share of supply from about 2.05% to over 3.3% since February 5 (during the 20% rebound). That is a rise of more than 60% in just days, as highlighted by HODL Waves, a metric segregating wallets by time.
This cohort tends to sell quickly when prices weaken. Their growing presence makes the market more unstable. A similar surge in short-term holders in late January was followed by a rapid 3% pullback. So far, improving US demand is being matched by rising speculation, not strong conviction.
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Key Bitcoin Price Levels Show Where the Bounce Could Fail
All signals now converge around a few critical Bitcoin price zones.
The first major support sits near $67,350. A daily close below this level could restart selling pressure.
If that breaks, the next downside targets are:
- $60,130, the recent low
- $57,900 (a key Fibonacci support and a mear 18% correction zone from the current levels)
- $53,450 a major retracement zone
- $43,470, the bear flag projection
A move from current levels to $43,400 would represent a further decline of roughly 35%. On the upside, Bitcoin must reclaim $72,330 to stabilize and get out of the possible bull trap. This level capped recent rallies.
Above that, $79,240 remains decisive. Recovering this zone would retrace about half of the prior fall and likely invalidate the bearish structure. Only then would the path toward $97,870 reopen. Until that happens, all Bitcoin price rallies remain vulnerable.
Crypto World
Quantum computing could break Bitcoin sooner, says Google
Network News
GOOGLE SAYS BREAKING BITCOIN IS EASIER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT: Breaking the Bitcoin blockchain with quantum computers may not be as difficult as once thought, and Bitcoin’s Taproot technology, which enables more efficient, private transactions, may be partly to blame, Google’s Quantum AI team said in a blog post and newly published whitepaper. The team said the computing power required to break Bitcoin’s security may be far lower than previously assumed, raising fresh questions about how soon quantum threats could become a reality.In a new whitepaper, researchers found that cracking the cryptography used by Bitcoin and Ethereum could require fewer than 500,000 physical quantum bits, or qubits, well below the “millions” often cited in recent years. Google has previously pointed to 2029 as a potential milestone for useful quantum systems, saying migration needs to come before that, making the paper’s finding that attacks may require less computing power more significant. Quantum computers use qubits instead of traditional bits and can solve certain problems much faster than today’s machines. One of those problems is breaking the type of encryption that protects crypto wallets.Google said it designed two potential attack methods, each requiring roughly 1,200 to 1,450 high-quality qubits. That is a fraction of earlier estimates and suggests the gap between current technology and a viable attack may be smaller than investors think. The research also outlines how such an attack could work in practice. Rather than targeting old wallets, a quantum attacker could go after transactions in real time. When someone sends bitcoin, a piece of data called a public key is briefly revealed. A fast enough quantum computer could use that information to calculate the private key and redirect the funds. — Sam Reynolds Read more.
OPENAI RAISES RECORD $122 BILLION: Artificial intelligence giant OpenAI has closed $122 billion in committed capital at an $852 billion post-money valuation, a round that dwarfs anything raised in private markets and cements the company as the most valuable startup in history by a wide margin. The funding was anchored by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, with continued participation from Microsoft. SoftBank co-led alongside a16z, D.E. Shaw Ventures, MGX, TPG, and accounts advised by T. Rowe Price. The investor list reads like a who’s who of global capital — BlackRock, Blackstone, Fidelity, Sequoia, Temasek, Coatue, and ARK Invest all participated. For the first time, OpenAI opened participation to individual investors through bank channels, raising over $3 billion from that tranche alone. OpenAI said it is generating $2 billion in revenue per month, up from $1 billion per quarter at the end of 2024. ChatGPT has more than 900 million weekly active users and over 50 million subscribers. The company claims 6x the monthly web visits and mobile sessions of the next largest AI app, and 4x the total time spent of all other AI apps combined. — Shaurya Malwa Read more.
HOW BITCOIN, ETHEREUM, AND SOLANA ARE PREPARING FOR Q-DAY: As quantum computing edges closer to practical reality, the crypto industry is beginning to confront a question it has long deferred: what happens if the cryptography underpinning trillions of dollars in digital assets no longer holds? The answers, so far, are anything but uniform. Across many of the most well-known ecosystems like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, responses are diverging along familiar lines: what to do on social consensus and technical iteration, and community members are split between caution and acceleration. Quantum computing is a fundamentally different approach to computation that uses the principles of quantum mechanics rather than classical physics. Instead of traditional bits that are either 0 or 1, quantum computers use “qubits,” which can exist in multiple states at once, a property known as superposition, allowing them to process many possibilities simultaneously. Combined with another feature called entanglement, this enables quantum machines to solve certain complex problems far more efficiently than classical computers, particularly tasks like factoring large numbers that underpin modern encryption. How threatening is quantum computing? Consider this: Quantum computers can solve extremely complex problems within seconds, whereas ‘Supercomputers,’ the most powerful computing machines available today, would take thousands of years for the same problems, according to IBM. And that’s why the threats to cryptographic networks stemming from quantum computing are concerning. And even Google, developer of Willow, a quantum supercomputer, is setting a 2029 deadline to migrate its authentication services to post-quantum cryptography, citing progress in the technology. — Margaux Nijkerk Read more.
BASE TEAM RELEASES 2026 ROADMAP: Base, the layer-2 network from Coinbase (COIN), is doubling down on its push to build what it calls a “global onchain economy,” outlining a 2026 strategy centered on markets, payments and developers. Base is one of the most widely used layer-2 networks in the Ethereum ecosystem, having opened to public use in August 2023. It was initially built using Optimism’s OP Stack as part of the broader “Superchain” ecosystem, though the project has since signaled plans to differentiate its infrastructure as it scales. In February, the Coinbase team said the chain will increasingly rely on its own, in-house code. Layer-2 blockchains are built on top of Ethereum and aim to increase speed and lower costs by processing transactions themselves, while still relying on Ethereum for security. The model has become a key part of Ethereum’s scaling strategy, enabling cheaper and faster transactions without moving activity entirely off the network. More recently, however, some Ethereum leaders, including co-founder Vitalik Buterin, have signaled a shift in focus toward scaling the base layer itself, leaving open questions about how layer-2 networks will fit into Ethereum’s evolving roadmap. For 2026, Base said it will focus on three areas: expanding onchain markets, scaling stablecoin-based payments and growing its developer ecosystem — a push that comes as onchain trading venues and stablecoins see rising adoption among institutional players. — Margaux Nijkerk Read more.
In Other News
- Bitcoin’s reputation has historically been built on extreme boom-and-bust cycles, with steep drawdowns of up to 90% following all-time highs. This cycle, however, the decline has been closer to 50%, a shift that analysts said reflects the maturation of BTC as an asset class. “Bitcoin’s drawdowns compressing to about 50% is a sign of a maturing market structure,” AdLunam co-founder and market analyst Jason Fernandes told CoinDesk. “As liquidity deepens and institutional participation increases, volatility naturally compresses on both the upside and the downside,” he added, saying that “at that point, the narrative shifts from questioning its legitimacy to optimizing allocation.” Fernandes’ comments are in response to Fidelity Digital Assets analyst Zack Wainwright’s X post Tuesday, in which he noted growth is becoming “less impulsive,” with a reduced probability of extreme downside events as bitcoin matures. — Olivier Acuna Read more.
- In Jack Dorsey’s view of the world, the job most at risk from the AI revolution is the middle manager. Dorsey argues in a new essay, “From Hierarchy to Intelligence,” published with Roelof Botha, Sequoia Capital’s managing partner, an investor in Block, that his company’s decision to cut approximately 4,000 of its more than 10,000 employees was not a cost reduction but a permanent restructuring to replace middle managers with AI. Corporate hierarchy, the essay argues, has always existed to solve one problem: routing information through organizations too large for any single person to oversee. Managers aggregate context from below, act as messengers from above, and maintain alignment across teams. AI can now perform those functions continuously and at scale, the authors argue, making the messenger redundant. In place of management layers, Dorsey and Botha proposes two AI-driven “world models.” One aggregates internal data from code, decisions, workflows, and performance metrics to create a continuously updated picture of company operations, replacing the context that managers traditionally carried. The other maps customer and merchant behavior using transaction data from Cash App and Square. — Sam Reynolds Read more.
Regulatory and Policy
- Australia passed legislation creating its first comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets that requires crypto exchanges and custody providers to obtain financial services licenses. The Corporations Amendment (Digital Assets Framework) Bill 2025 cleared both houses on April 1, bringing firms that hold digital assets on behalf of customers into the existing Australian Financial Services Licence regime. Australia’s bill creates two new regulated categories under the Corporations Act: digital asset platforms, which hold crypto on behalf of users, and tokenized custody platforms, which hold real-world assets and issue a corresponding digital tokens. Operators of both must obtain an Australian Financial Services License from ASIC, bringing them under the same core rules as brokers or fund managers, including requirements to safeguard client assets, provide standardized disclosures, avoid misleading conduct, and maintain dispute resolution and compensation systems. Instead of regulating crypto itself, the law targets the companies in the middle that control customer funds, aiming to reduce risks like commingling, insolvency, and misuse of assets that have caused losses in past crypto failures. — Sam Reynolds Read more.
- Hong Kong has missed its own March timeline for HKD stablecoin licensing, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) yet to approve any issuers despite public signals that the rollout would begin last month. At Consensus Hong Kong in February, Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po said licenses would begin to be issued in March as part of the city’s push to position itself as a regulated hub for stablecoins and tokenized finance. The lack of approvals so far pushes that timeline into April and raises questions about how quickly the framework will move from policy to implementation. “In giving our licenses, we ensure that licensees have novel use cases, a credible and sustainable business model and strong regulatory compliance capabilities,” he said at CoinDesk’s Hong Kong conference.— Sam Reynolds Read more.
Calendar
- Mar. 30-Apr. 2, 2026: EthCC, Cannes
- Apr.15-16, 2026: Paris Blockchain Week, Paris
- May 5-7, 2026: Consensus, Miami
- Sept. 29-Oct.1, 2026: Korea Blockchain Week, Seoul
- Oct. 7-8, 2026: Token2049, Singapore
- Nov. 3-6, 2026: Devcon, Mumbai
- Nov. 15-17, 2026: Solana Breakpoint, London
Crypto World
Jamie Dimon signals JPMorgan (JPM) entry into prediction markets as competition surges
JPMorgan (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon said the bank is considering entering the prediction markets space, signaling growing interest from major financial institutions in a sector that has expanded rapidly in recent months, including among crypto-native companies.
“It’s possible one day we’ll do something like that,” Dimon said on CBS on Tuesday, though ruled out offering markets in sport or politics.
“There’s a bunch of stuff we won’t do. And obviously, we have strict rules around insider information.”
Goldman Sachs (GS) has expressed similar ambitions. CEO David Solomon said during the bank’s January earnings call that the firm is actively exploring the space. “I personally met with the two big prediction companies and their leadership in the last two weeks and spent a couple of hours with each to learn more about that,” he said/ “We have a team of people here that are spending time with them and are looking at it.”
The comments highlight how quickly the sector has evolved. Not long ago, prediction markets were a niche corner of finance dominated by just two credible players: Polymarket and Kalshi. Today, competition is intensifying at a rapid pace.
Several crypto-native platforms, including Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD), have integrated prediction market trading into their offerings, expanding access to retail users and increasing overall market activity.
At the same time, the early leaders continue to grow. Polymarket has secured major partnerships and investments, including ties with Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange. The company is believed to be valued at around $20 billion. Rival platform Kalshi recently reached a $22 billion valuation following a funding round led by Coatue Management.
The two platforms take different technological approaches. Polymarket operates on blockchain infrastructure, using networks like Polygon (POL) to record trades and settle positions through smart contracts. Users deposit stablecoins, place bets on event outcomes and receive automated payouts based on verified results.
Kalshi does not use blockchain technology, instead operating more like a traditional exchange, offering event contracts under a regulated framework with centralized order matching and settlement.
It remains unclear how JPMorgan or Goldman Sachs would structure their own offerings, particularly whether they would adopt blockchain-based systems or stick to traditional infrastructure.
Regulation remains a key uncertainty. The legal status of prediction markets in the U.S. is still evolving, especially around what types of events can be offered and how contracts are classified. Major banks are likely to wait for clearer guidance before launching products.
Earlier this month, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) took two significant steps toward building a regulatory framework for prediction markets, signaling that oversight of the sector is beginning to take shape.
Crypto World
Cango (CANG) faces NYSE delisting risk, raises fresh capital
Cango (CANG) is at risk of losing its NYSE listing after its shares traded below $1 on average for 30 consecutive days, triggering a compliance notice from the exchange and giving the bitcoin miner a six-month window to recover, the company said in a press release Wednesday.
The New York Stock Exchange flagged the company on March 10, warning that failure to lift its share price back above the $1 threshold by the end of the cure period could lead to suspension and delisting proceedings. Cango said it plans to monitor market conditions and explore options to regain compliance, while its shares continue trading in the interim.
Against that backdrop, the company is shoring up its balance sheet with fresh capital.
In a separate announcement, Cango said it has entered into a $10 million convertible note agreement with Hong Kong-listed DL Holdings, alongside issuing warrants to purchase shares at $2.70 apiece. The financing is paired with a non-binding cooperation framework that could see the two firms pursue additional joint investments tied to crypto mining and AI infrastructure.
Proceeds from the note are earmarked for upstream acquisitions and expanding Cango’s push into computing infrastructure, part of a broader pivot beyond bitcoin mining.
Cango’s recent fundraising comes as the company pivots beyond its roots in bitcoin mining toward a broader strategy centered on energy and AI compute infrastructure. The firm has been positioning its global mining footprint as a foundation for high-performance computing, aiming to repurpose or expand its power capacity to support data-intensive AI workloads, a shift that mirrors a wider industry trend of miners seeking more stable, higher-margin revenue streams.
The convertible issuance follows the closing of a $65 million strategic investment round led by entities controlled by chairman Xin Jin and director Chang-Wei Chiu. The deal, settled in USDT and completed March 31, saw the company issue more than 49 million Class A shares.
Together, the transactions underscore management’s effort to stabilize the company financially while betting on longer-term growth in energy and AI-linked compute, even as it faces near-term pressure to keep its NYSE listing intact.
Cango’s shares have slumped sharply this year, highlighting the urgency behind its latest capital raise. The stock is down more than 70% year to date, recently trading around $0.39 after starting January above $1.40, with sustained selling pressure pushing it below the NYSE’s $1 minimum listing threshold.
Read more: Cango is selling off its bitcoin stash to pay down debt and fund an AI makeover
Crypto World
Ripple expands treasury platform to include digital asset support
Ripple is moving digital assets from the periphery of corporate finance into the heart of treasury operations. The company announced an update to its treasury management platform that adds native digital asset capabilities, enabling finance teams to hold, track and manage cryptocurrencies alongside traditional fiat balances within a single system.
The upgrade introduces Digital Asset Accounts and a unified dashboard that aggregates balances across bank accounts, custody providers and on-chain wallets. The result is real-time visibility into both cash and digital assets, all reconciled within Ripple’s treasury interface, according to the company. The platform supports XRP and Ripple USD (RLUSD), with balances updated in real time and recorded alongside fiat transactions. APIs connect external custodians and sync activity back into the platform.
Ripple emphasizes that embedding digital asset functionality directly into its treasury system reduces the need for separate crypto tools, potentially cutting manual reconciliation and fragmented reporting across banking and custody systems. “The shift is about making digital assets a core part of treasury operations,” said Mark Johnson, Ripple’s chief product officer, noting use cases such as stablecoin settlement and yield on idle cash.
The rollout follows Ripple’s October acquisition of GTreasury for $1 billion, a deal that signaled a strategic push into enterprise treasury software. The company described the product as live for customers in beta ahead of a broader rollout, with availability varying by jurisdiction depending on regulatory requirements and geography.
Key takeaways
- Ripple adds native digital asset accounts and a unified dashboard to its treasury platform, enabling real-time visibility of fiat and crypto balances in one system.
- The platform supports XRP and RLUSD, with live balance updates and on-chain activity reconciled alongside traditional transactions.
- Digital asset functionality is embedded directly into treasury operations, potentially reducing reliance on separate crypto tools.
- The feature is in beta with phased rollout by jurisdiction, following Ripple’s GTreasury acquisition for $1 billion.
Ripple’s crypto-enabled treasury in practice
The integration of digital assets into treasury workflows is designed to streamline how enterprises manage liquidity, settlement, and treasury operations. By presenting XRP and RLUSD side by side with cash balances, treasurers can execute cross-asset transactions and approval workflows without leaving the platform. The real-time updates ensure that treasury teams see the latest asset positions, while the unified reporting helps reduce fragmentation across banking partners, custody providers and on-chain wallets.
In describing the move, Ripple’s Mark Johnson framed it as a natural evolution of treasury infrastructure. “Making digital assets a core part of treasury operations allows companies to manage them alongside traditional balances while enabling practical use cases such as stablecoin settlement and yield on idle cash,” he told Cointelegraph.
Strategic momentum behind the GTreasury tie-in
The product’s release aligns with Ripple’s broader enterprise strategy following its October purchase of GTreasury for $1 billion. Ripple said the treasury product is already accessible to select customers in beta, with broader availability contingent on regulatory considerations and geography.
The enterprise focus fits a wider pattern in the financial sector, where institutions are pushing to bring digital assets into mainstream financial infrastructure rather than keeping them siloed in crypto-native systems. The shift toward integrated asset classes mirrors a wave of institutional activity across payments and capital markets, as practitioners explore how tokenized representations can streamline settlement and custody.
Wider industry context: digital assets becoming part of financial infrastructure
A Ripple-published survey conducted in March found that 72% of more than 1,000 global finance leaders believe companies must offer digital asset solutions to stay competitive, signaling a move from mere experimentation to integration. The findings underscore growing emphasis on custody, security and robust infrastructure as institutions seek end-to-end visibility over crypto and fiat in a single platform.
In parallel, cross-industry moves illustrate the broader trend toward tokenized money and on-chain settlement. In July, Visa expanded its settlement platform to support additional stablecoins and blockchain networks, building on its early use of USDC for settlement in 2021. JPMorgan expanded access to its JPM Coin deposit token in November, enabling real-time settlement for institutional clients on blockchain rails. Meanwhile, Securitize and BNY Mellon announced plans to bring tokenized assets such as collateralized loan obligations on-chain. These developments collectively reflect a growing push to embed digital assets within traditional financial infrastructure rather than treating them as a standalone playground.
As the industry advances, the pace and scope of adoption will hinge on regulatory clarity and the ability of platforms to deliver secure, auditable, and scalable treasury workflows that can operate across jurisdictions.
Readers should monitor how quickly this integrated approach gains traction across sectors and geographies, and how regulators shape the rules for cross-border asset management and settlement in the enterprise space.
Crypto World
Fed’s Barr Calls for Strong Stablecoin Oversight, Citing ‘Long and Painful’ History
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr invoked a “long and painful history of private money created with insufficient safeguards” in remarks Tuesday, making the most pointed Fed case yet for aggressive stablecoin oversight under the newly enacted GENIUS Act.
The comments land directly on the two largest issuers in a $200 billion market – Tether and Circle – and signal that the Fed’s implementation posture will be harder-edged than the legislation’s passage suggested.
Barr addressed the GENIUS Act specifically, acknowledging that Congress’s stablecoin framework could accelerate development – then spending the bulk of his remarks cataloguing the risks that framework must contain. That sequencing was deliberate.
It tells markets that the regulatory rulemaking phase, now underway at the Fed and FDIC, will define what the GENIUS Act actually means in practice.
Key Takeaways:
- Barr’s Position: The Fed governor warned that stablecoins will only remain stable if they can be redeemed at par under stress conditions – including during Treasury market volatility and issuer-specific strain.
- Legislative Context: The GENIUS Act, signed into law in July 2025, established the first federal stablecoin framework; Barr’s March 31 remarks focus on implementation gaps that federal agencies must now fill through rulemaking.
- Reserve Risk: Barr flagged issuer incentives to maximize returns on reserve assets as a structural vulnerability – a direct warning applicable to Tether’s reserve composition history.
- Issuer Implications: The GENIUS Act mandates monthly reserve reporting and restricts backing assets to high-quality liquid instruments like U.S. Treasuries; Barr’s remarks signal strict Fed enforcement of those limits.
- Broader Regulatory Landscape: Stablecoin friction is already blocking progress on the Clarity Act, a separate digital asset bill – meaning Barr’s warnings have downstream effects beyond stablecoins alone.
Discover: Top Crypto Presales to Watch Before They Launch
What Barr Actually Said – and Why the Framing Matters
The phrase “long and painful history” is not rhetorical decoration. Barr is pointing at a specific lineage – the 19th-century free banking era when private bank notes traded at discounts and collapses wiped out depositors, money market fund runs in 2008 and 2020, and the 2022 TerraUSD collapse that erased $40 billion in weeks.
That history matters because it tells us exactly how Barr conceptualizes stablecoin risk: as a monetary problem, not just a consumer protection problem.
His core warning was precise: “Stablecoins will be stable only if they can be reliably and promptly redeemed at par in a wide range of conditions, including during stress in the market that can put pressure on the value of otherwise liquid government debt and during episodes of strain on the individual issuer or its related entities.”

That framing matters because it directly challenges the assumption that Treasury-backed reserves are automatically safe – even U.S. Treasuries face liquidity pressure during acute market stress, as March 2020 demonstrated.
Barr also named the incentive problem explicitly: issuers profit from stretching reserve asset quality, and that pressure intensifies as the market grows.
His formulation – “stretching the boundaries of permissible reserve assets can increase profits in good times but risks a crack in confidence during inevitable bouts of market stress” – is a pre-emptive argument against any industry lobbying to broaden the GENIUS Act’s permitted asset list during rulemaking.
Congress and regulators now have a Fed governor on record with a specific structural critique. The question is whether that critique shapes the rulemaking text or gets absorbed as boilerplate.
Explore: Best Crypto Projects With High Growth Potential in 2026
What the GENIUS Act Actually Covers – and Where the Fed’s Position Creates Friction
The GENIUS Act sounds clean on paper, but what matters now is how it actually gets enforced, because the rules it set are pretty strict.
Stablecoin issuers have to show their reserves every month, keep those reserves in safe and liquid assets like short term U.S. Treasuries, make it clear there is no FDIC protection, and follow real banking style rules around capital, liquidity, and AML.
Barr is now pushing the next phase, and his focus is very direct. He wants tight control over what counts as safe reserves, especially under stress, stronger rules to stop companies from escaping into weaker jurisdictions, and capital requirements that actually match real redemption risk. On top of that, he is doubling down on AML and limiting what stablecoin firms can do outside of issuing, to reduce spillover risk.
But the real story is not the law itself, it is the rulemaking that comes next, because that is where things either stay strict or get loosened. The big question is how narrow regulators define “safe assets,” since that decides how flexible issuers can be, and right now Barr is clearly leaning toward a tighter definition.
That tension is already spilling into other legislation, with negotiations slowing as regulators push a more cautious stance, so what we are seeing is not just policy being written, but a broader shift in how seriously the system wants to control crypto going forward.
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The post Fed’s Barr Calls for Strong Stablecoin Oversight, Citing ‘Long and Painful’ History appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Aave V4 launches at EthCC with ‘hub-and-spoke’ design for RWAs and structured credit
Aave V4 is live on Ethereum with a hub-and-spoke design that keeps liquidity pooled while routing credit to bespoke RWA and structured credit markets for institutions.
Summary
- Aave has launched V4 on Ethereum mainnet, introducing a “hub-and-spoke” architecture aimed at real‑world asset (RWA) collateral and institutional structured credit markets.news.
- The protocol, which secures more than $24 billion in total value locked (TVL), is positioning V4 as core infrastructure for regulated RWA pipelines and on‑chain credit products rather than purely speculative leverage.
- V4 debuts with three liquidity hubs—Core, Prime and Plus—that route credit to specialized “spokes,” allowing bespoke risk policies without fragmenting Aave’s pooled liquidity.governance.
Aave (AAVE) has used EthCC 2026 in Cannes as the launchpad for its long‑anticipated V4 upgrade, activating a new “hub‑and‑spoke” architecture on Ethereum (ETH) mainnet that is explicitly designed to serve real‑world assets and institutional credit strategies. The decentralized lending protocol, which Phemex notes already holds more than $24 billion in TVL, is betting that its next phase of growth will come from RWA‑backed lending and structured products, not just yield‑farming loops.
In The Block, V4 is described as a system in which a central liquidity “Hub” extends credit lines to multiple lending markets, with Aave establishing three main hubs—Prime, Core and Plus—to segregate assets and use cases by risk level. Governance documentation on the Aave forum explains that “V4 allows each Spoke to define its own risk appetite, collateral policies, and liquidation rules while drawing on shared Hub liquidity,” likening the model to “a supranational bank allocating capital to regional facilities, each operating under its own mandate.” In practice, that means RWAs, fixed‑rate lending and more complex credit structures can sit in their own spokes, with conservative caps and isolation mechanisms, without splintering Aave’s overall liquidity or forcing users to choose between entirely separate pools.governance.
Coverage from Bitcoin.com and Me3 frames Aave V4 as a fundamental redesign rather than a minor version bump, highlighting that the new architecture “supports new market types like fixed‑rate lending and tokenized real‑world asset collateral” and “enables institutional borrowing against RWAs without fragmenting the protocol’s existing liquidity pool.” Those capabilities tie directly into Aave’s 2026 “master plan,” where founder Stani Kulechov outlined three pillars: the V4 upgrade, Horizon—an RWA platform tailored to institutions—and a new front‑end app aimed at onboarding mainstream users. Horizon is already focused on regulated, compliance‑aligned lending, targeting tokenized treasuries, real estate and private credit, with Kulechov’s goal to grow that platform beyond $1 billion in assets and deepen partnerships with firms like Circle, Ripple, Franklin Templeton and VanEck.
Those ambitions are underpinned by scale that is unusual even within DeFi. According to figures shared by Aave and cited by MEXC, the protocol has processed more than $3.33 trillion in total deposits since launch and issued close to $1 trillion in loans, generating around $885 million in fee revenue and capturing roughly 59% of the decentralized lending market. In that context, the decision to anchor V4’s debut to EthCC—amid a broader institutional turn at the conference—signals that Aave sees itself less as a pure crypto‑native money market and more as a candidate backbone for an on‑chain credit system that can handle both degen leverage and Basel‑sensitive collateral flows.
The launch comes after months of governance work and a sizeable funding push. In March, Aave Labs submitted the “Aave Will Win” framework, asking the DAO for $25 million in stablecoins and 75,000 AAVE tokens—about $42.5 million in total—to finance V4 development, a new independent foundation and growth initiatives targeting fintechs and institutions. A separate governance proposal set out the V4 activation path and initial asset range on Ethereum, with Kulechov telling the community on X that V4 is a “full redesign of the protocol’s structure” aimed at moving “the next trillion dollars in assets” on‑chain.
For users, the immediate changes include a more modular risk framework and the prospect of borrowing against a broader set of tokenized assets while still benefiting from Aave’s deep, shared liquidity. For the broader DeFi market, the upgrade cements a narrative shift: as more protocols chase RWA flows and institutional capital, flagship money markets like Aave are quietly turning into on‑chain credit utilities, with EthCC now serving as the stage where that transition is announced.
Crypto World
Western Digital (WDC) Stock Rallies 11% on Bernstein’s Bullish Upgrade to Outperform
Key Takeaways
- Bernstein elevated Western Digital to Outperform from Market Perform, raising its price target from $170 to $340.
- A sharp 21% decline followed concerns about Google’s TurboQuant compression technology — which Bernstein argues poses zero threat to hard drive demand.
- The firm projects Western Digital and Seagate will achieve combined revenue growth of 24% CAGR between fiscal 2025 and 2030.
- Western Digital announced an extended timeline for its ePMR technology, potentially indicating a delayed shift to HAMR drives.
- Seagate remains Bernstein’s preferred stock in the segment, with its price target elevated to $620.
Despite recent volatility, Western Digital maintains a year-to-date gain of approximately 57%, showcasing resilience even through the latest correction.
Western Digital Corporation, WDC
The stock plunge was triggered when Google Research introduced TurboQuant — an advanced compression method designed to optimize KV cache during AI inference operations. Market participants worried this innovation could reduce storage hardware demand.
Bernstein’s Mark Newman firmly rejected this narrative. “There is zero impact to HDD demand,” Newman stated in his research note. He emphasized that TurboQuant’s influence on NAND flash storage, utilized solely for offloading inactive caches, is minimal at best.
According to Bernstein, the market reaction was excessive and unwarranted. Western Digital had tumbled 21% from its recent peak before the analyst’s upgrade. Related companies including Seagate and Sandisk experienced similar pressure.
Upgraded Revenue Projections for Storage Industry
Bernstein has adopted a more constructive stance on the broader storage industry. The research firm now forecasts that Western Digital and Seagate will achieve a combined revenue compound annual growth rate of 24% spanning fiscal years 2025 through 2030.
This represents a substantial upgrade from earlier projections that anticipated 18.7% bits growth accompanied by 3.6% annual price erosion. The updated model incorporates 24% bits expansion with pricing holding steady.
Newman pointed to several structural growth drivers: expanding AI computational workloads, increasingly sophisticated content production, extended data retention requirements, and strengthening data sovereignty regulations that support both volume growth and pricing power.
Regarding product developments, Western Digital’s 2026 Innovation Day revealed plans to extend its ePMR technology roadmap. The company essentially prolonged the lifecycle of its existing drive architecture by one to two additional years beyond prior expectations.
Questions About HAMR Rollout Timeline
The upgrade contains an important qualification. Newman interprets Western Digital’s continued emphasis on ePMR as an implicit indication that the company’s migration to heat-assisted magnetic recording — commonly referred to as HAMR — might be progressing slower than initially anticipated.
Bernstein’s financial model anticipates Western Digital will begin scaling HAMR production in 2027, representing approximately 5% of nearline exabyte shipments during that year.
This contrasts sharply with Seagate’s trajectory, where Bernstein projects roughly 70% of nearline volume will utilize HAMR technology by 2027. Seagate continues as the firm’s preferred investment, with its price target increased to $620 from $500.
Western Digital shares climbed approximately 2.3% during Wednesday’s premarket session following the upgrade before accelerating gains throughout regular trading hours.
Crypto World
can a governance chain become a native L2?
Gnosis’ push behind the Ethereum Economic Zone shows DAOs moving from tuning parameters to voting on whether whole chains become Ethereum L2s, tying governance to market structure.
Summary
- Gnosis and Zisk’s Ethereum Economic Zone (EEZ) emerged directly from a GnosisDAO R&D mandate to explore turning Gnosis Chain into a natively integrated Ethereum layer‑2.
- The framework, co‑funded by the Ethereum Foundation and unveiled at EthCC 2026, aims to fix Ethereum’s “fragmentation problem” by enabling synchronous composability across L2s while keeping ETH as the core gas and settlement asset.
- The process marks a new phase in on‑chain governance, with DAOs effectively voting on the technical and economic destiny of entire chains, not just on parameter tweaks.
The Ethereum Economic Zone did not appear out of thin air at EthCC 2026; it is the visible tip of a governance process inside Gnosis that has been wrestling with a single strategic question for months: should a long‑running sidechain effectively become a native Ethereum layer‑2. GnosisDAO governance records from February 2026 show community discussions around a six‑month R&D collaboration with zero‑knowledge engineer Jordi Baylina to explore “converting Gnosis Chain (GNO) into a natively integrated Ethereum (ETH) L2 with synchronous composability,” as summarized by analytics site Crypto Whale Data. According to a subsequent note on that same site, “EEZ appears to be the product of that exploration,” effectively weaponizing Gnosis’ internal L2 thesis into a shared framework for the broader ecosystem.
At EthCC in Cannes on March 29, Gnosis co‑founder Friederike Ernst and Baylina formalized that pivot by unveiling the Ethereum Economic Zone, a rollup framework co‑funded by the Ethereum Foundation and pitched as a way to “reassemble Ethereum” into “One Ethereum.” As Binance’s coverage of the announcement notes, the “core commitment” of EEZ is “synchronous composability,” allowing smart contracts on connected rollups to interact with each other and with Ethereum mainnet “within a single atomic transaction” and using ETH as the default gas token. In an EtherWorld write‑up, Ernst is quoted telling the audience that “Ethereum does not have a scaling problem, it has a fragmentation problem,” arguing that every new L2 has become “its own island, separate liquidity, separate deployments, separate bridges that take a cut every time you try to move between them.”
What makes the Gnosis story different from a routine technical upgrade is the way governance and infrastructure are now fused. As MEXC’s summary of the initiative points out, Gnosis has been active as a layer‑1 for seven years, and its decision to help build EEZ means “a governance‑driven blockchain is actively choosing to tie its future to Ethereum’s rollup‑centric roadmap rather than compete as a standalone L1.” The same report stresses that development is being led by contributors from Gnosis and Baylina’s proving‑stack project Zisk, with the Ethereum Foundation co‑funding the work and a Swiss‑based EEZ Association created to maintain neutrality and invite broader participation.
Market commentators within the ecosystem have seized on the shift. In a widely circulated post, the Bankless account described EEZ as “Ethereum’s fragmentation problem [getting] its most serious answer yet,” emphasizing that it is “led by Gnosis and ZisK, funded by the EF.” A longer explainer published on Binance’s content platform asks, “Can this new framework bring Ethereum back together?” and frames EEZ as an attempt to stop building “more walled gardens” and instead connect existing rollups into “something that actually behaves like a single DeFi economy.”
For GnosisDAO and other token‑holder communities watching closely, the implications are clear. Governance is no longer just about changing interest‑rate curves or fee switches; it is about making existential choices over whether entire chains migrate into tightly coupled rollup frameworks, which settlement asset they prioritize, and how closely they bind themselves to Ethereum’s monetary and security model. The Gnosis‑EEZ path suggests that future DAO votes may increasingly resemble corporate strategy decisions—approve an R&D mandate, explore a structural pivot, then ratify an architecture that can redefine the chain’s economic role—rather than the parameter fine‑tuning that defined DeFi’s first era.
Crypto World
Visa launches new AI tools to manage the charge dispute process
Visa Inc. signage on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Wednesday, Jan. 28, 2026.
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Visa is launching six new tools using artificial intelligence to modernize the process of disputing credit card charges, the company told CNBC exclusively.
The digital payments company said the tools are designed to reduce the costs and frustration of “outdated” dispute processes for multiple entities involved in the payments process: merchants, issuers and acquirers.
“Some of the challenges are these back-office systems are still largely manual,” Andrew Torre, Visa’s president of value-added services, told CNBC. “We really had to think differently about how we approach this at scale.”
In 2025, Torre said, Visa processed more than 106 million charge disputes globally, marking a 35% increase since 2019.
“Our goal is to streamline this as much as possible,” Torre said. “We’d love to be able to see that growth rate come down.”
Visa’s new tools are part of a larger push by major banks and financial institutions to incorporate AI into their businesses — both internally and in consumer-facing applications. JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs have both said they’re already using AI to hire fewer people. BNY spent $3.8 billion on technology in 2025, or about 19% of its revenue.
Visa said three of its six new tools focus on merchants, allowing them to address potential disputes before they escalate, managing disputes with generative AI responses and providing a deeper level of detail on order insights to manage confusion over unfamiliar charges.
For example, Torre said, many disputes are borne out of cardholders not recognizing a specific charge on their statements. With the new tool, Visa will be able to provide further details to financial institutions to show cardholders that data at a deeper level, according to the company.
The other three tools are built for issuers and acquirers, using predictive AI models to aid in case-by-case analysis, analyzing documents for summaries and auto fill and establishing an AI-powered dispute platform to manage the entire process in one location, Visa said.
“We’ll be able to get them insights and data so they can move from being reactive to proactive,” Torre said.
Torre said Visa’s new AI tools are part of a broader host of solutions for consumers, including a subscription manager announced last week that allows cardholders to cancel unnecessary subscriptions directly on the manager.
The automation will save time, money and unnecessary confusion for both parties, he added. Most of the tools will be generally available later this year, the company said.
“We really believe that disputes in this solution makes it much easier to manage and resolve,” Torre said. “We think it has better outcomes for everyone.”
Crypto World
Liquity accused of ‘market manipulation’ after Circle acquisition April Fools’
A crypto April Fool’s bit from protocol firm Liquity, which claimed it was being bought by stablecoin giant Circle, has led to allegations of “market manipulation” after it pumped the price of its in-house token.
Liquity announced on April 1 that it was acquired by Circle in a deal that would allow Circle to offer users “a non-freezable stablecoin and directly distribute yield under the Clarity Act.”
The joke pokes fun at Circle’s ability to freeze tokens and the fact that the Clarity Act, in its current form, seeks to ban yield on stablecoins.
Read more: ‘Bad actor’ Circle slammed for letting stolen $3M USDC sit unfrozen
Its freezing powers were ridiculed by the crypto investigator ZachXBT last week, who claimed Circle wrongly froze 16 wallets as part of a civil lawsuit.
Despite the buyout announcement being a joke on Liquity’s part, it still boosted its $LQTY token by 5%.
The price, however, pulled back in just a few minutes, and is now down 6% from its April 1 peak.
Crypto users on X weren’t too impressed with the joke, describing it as an “April Fool’s pump and dump.”

Read more: WIF fundraiser says Vegas Sphere refunds will start on April Fools
Some said it was an ultra-thin line between a joke and “market manipulation,” while others described the day as an opportunity to “do crime and it’s totally legal!”
Others were more forgiving. DeFi researcher Ignas said that crypto users were losing their minds over a “mere” 5% pump.
They added, “Good taste joke, IMHO. And good project.”
Other users warned not to base your trading on headlines, as on a day like April Fools’, most of them are “facetious.”
Read more: ‘Bad actor’ Circle slammed for letting stolen $3M USDC sit unfrozen
In response to the April Fools’ post, Liquity made it clear that it was just a joke, while also promoting its own stablecoin BOLD.
Additionally, Circle clarified to Protos that the announcement was false, and said “Circle has not acquired Liquity.”
The theme of crypto April Fools’ is phony acquisitions
There were at least two more fake crypto acquisitions announcements today. Crypto wallet firm Frontrun Pro announced that it had been acquired by AI giant Anthropic as part of a $141 million deal.
Crypto copy trading account PolyGun also announced that it had been acquired by Anthropic, this time in a transaction worth $69 million.
Dogecoin also did its own corporate April Fools’ joke, announcing that it would restructure the firm into “DogeCoin Financial Solutions LLC™.”
Read more: Memescope traders have been left with a case of Monday blues
As part of this, it said it would drop its Shiba Inu logo for something navy blue, stop saying words like “wow,” “much,” and “very,” and rebrand its “Doge army” as “Stakeholders.”
Some users thought it would be funny to pretend that memecoin launcher Pump Fun is finally dropping an airdrop in the form of “Pump Fun rewards.”
The platform announced an airdrop would be coming “soon” 266 days ago.
Others joked that Bored Ape Yacht Club had replaced the images of all of its NFTs with photos of actual monkeys and chimps.
Read more: BAYC goes full ‘laser eyes’ and allegedly blinds ApeFest attendees
A bitcoiner called Didi Taihuttu claimed, while wearing his Bitcoin hat and strutting around a luxury villa, that he would be switching back to traditional banks after crypto had become too volatile.
All these examples demonstrate that trading headlines on a day like today is risky business, and that firms with financial assets to their names should be careful about just what kind of April Fools’ they run.
Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.
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