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Bitcoin price outlook: buy signals appear amid deep BTC correction

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Bitcoin price outlook: buy signals appear
Bitcoin price outlook: buy signals appear
  • Bitcoin (BTC) is showing early buy signals amid an ongoing correction near $69,500.
  • The key support levels at $65,800 and $60,100 attract dip buyers.
  • A break above $74,500 could trigger renewed bullish momentum.

Bitcoin has been in a volatile state over the past month, with prices hovering near $69,500.

The cryptocurrency has faced a 23.2% drop over the last month, signalling a deeper correction in progress.

Despite the decline, recent market activity suggests early buy signals are starting to emerge.

Bitcoin price trapped in a sideways phase

BTC is currently trading in a sideways range between $62,800 and $78,900 over the past seven days.

This range indicates indecision among traders, with neither bulls nor bears fully controlling the market.

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Analyst Doctor Profit warn that this sideways phase could be a trap, potentially leading to a deeper drop toward $44,000–$50,000.

However, this view is balanced by macroeconomic developments that may provide temporary support for Bitcoin.

The recent rebound above $70,000 came after a short squeeze pushed BTC higher, liquidating over $245 million in positions.

This shows that buying pressure still exists, particularly from opportunistic traders looking to enter at perceived lows.

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Liquidity remains relatively strong, with 24-hour trading volume exceeding $46 billion, suggesting continued investor participation.

Bitcoin technical outlook: the buy signals

From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin remains capped below key resistance at $69,000–$69,500.

Breaking above this level is essential for bulls to regain control of short-term momentum.

On the flip side, the support levels at $65,800 and $60,100 provide clear thresholds where buyers may step in.

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Recent dip buying indicates that some traders are accumulating Bitcoin during the correction.

Notably, the reset of leveraged positions in derivatives markets points to reduced short-term selling pressure.

Meanwhile, macro factors such as strong US economic data and Federal Reserve liquidity injections provide additional tailwinds.

Political events like Japan’s election have also lifted global risk appetite, indirectly supporting BTC and other risk assets.

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Historical trends show that Bitcoin often experiences deep corrections after major rallies, making the current slump consistent with past market cycles.

The all-time high of $126,080, reached in October 2025, remains distant, but the current consolidation may offer opportunities for medium-term accumulation.

Analysts emphasise that patience is critical, as further volatility is expected before a sustained uptrend emerges.

Bulls should watch these key technical zones carefully, knowing that a breakout above $74,500 could signal renewed upward momentum.

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Conversely, a fall below $65,800 could intensify selling and extend the correction phase.

Overall, the market is balancing between lingering bearish pressure and emerging buying interest, creating a cautious but potentially rewarding environment.

Investors with a longer-term perspective may view current prices as an entry point amid market-wide corrections.

Short-term traders should remain alert to both upside breakouts and downside risks in the coming weeks.

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Crypto World

Kalshi Suffers Court Loss in Ohio over Sports Betting Lawsuit

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Law, CFTC, Court, Kalshi, Prediction Markets

The prediction markets platform argued for an injunction against Ohio authorities, claiming that federal commodities laws superseded state laws on sport event contracts.

An Ohio federal court has denied a motion filed by prediction markets platform Kalshi for a preliminary injunction against Ohio state authorities over allegations that the company was operating in violation of gambling laws.

In an order filed Monday, US District Court for the Southern District of Ohio Chief Judge Sarah Morrison denied Kalshi’s request for an injunction that would have blocked the Ohio Casino Control Commission and state attorney general from regulating contracts on the platform, specifically for sports betting.

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According to the judge, Kalshi had failed to show that the sports event contracts available on the platform were subject to the “exclusive jurisdiction” of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

“Even if this Court were to find that sports-event contracts are swaps subject to the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction, Kalshi has not shown that the [Commodity Exchange Act, or CEA] would necessarily preempt Ohio’s sports gambling laws,” said the opinion and order, adding:

“Kalshi argues that Ohio’s sports gambling laws are field and conflict preempted by the CEA when it comes to sports-event contracts traded on its exchange […] Kalshi fails to establish that Congress intended the CEA to preempt state laws on sports gambling.”

Law, CFTC, Court, Kalshi, Prediction Markets
Source: Courtlistener

The denial pushed back against the narrative from CFTC Chair Michael Selig, who said in February that the federal regulator had “exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets and threatened lawsuits against any authority claiming otherwise. Kalshi and prediction platforms face lawsuits in other US states over similar allegations involving unlicensed sports betting.

“This Court does not endeavor to explain why the CFTC has not exercised its authority […] with respect to the sports-event contracts,” said the Monday filing in Ohio. “But the agency’s inaction is not proof that the sports-event contracts are regulated by or permissible under the CEA—and the Court has concluded they are not.”

Related: CFTC chair backs blockchain-based prediction markets as ‘truth machines’

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In a statement to Cointelegraph, a Kalshi spokesperson said that the company “respectfully disagree[d] with the Court’s decision, which splits from a decision from a federal court in Tennessee just a few weeks ago, and will promptly seek an appeal.”

CFTC guidance on prediction markets could be looming

Last week, Selig said that the federal regulator was working to provide guidance regarding prediction markets “in the very near future.” The CFTC chair is the sole Senate-confirmed commissioner in a panel normally consisting of five people.

Magazine: The debate over Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is over: Benjamin Cowen

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