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Bitcoin slips below $71k as Powell and Iran oil shock hit crypto

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Bitcoin sinks below $71k as Powell’s hawkish tone and Iran’s oil shock trigger a $542M liquidation wave across leveraged crypto markets.

Summary

  • Bitcoin drops to about $71,313, Ethereum to $2,201, as crypto and stocks sell off on Fed projections and oil shock fears.
  • Powell flags oil-driven inflation, keeps just one 2026 rate cut in the dot plot, crushing hopes for easier policy and triggering a risk-off move.
  • Over $542M in mostly long liquidations and Brent above $110 show how leveraged crypto positioning collides with Iran-driven energy turmoil.

Crypto markets extended their slide into Thursday as the combined aftershock of the Federal Reserve’s March policy meeting and an escalating oil shock from the Iran conflict continued to rattle risk assets. Bitcoin (BTC) fell to approximately $71,313 (-4.62%), Ethereum dropped to $2,201 (-5.92%), and a cascade of leveraged long positions was wiped out — with total network-wide liquidations reaching $542 million over 24 hours, of which $448 million were long positions. It was the largest liquidation event in weeks, and the most heavily one-sided since the early stages of the U.S.-Iran conflict in late February.

The proximate trigger was Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee decision and, more critically, the press conference that followed. The Fed held its benchmark rate at 3.5%–3.75% as universally expected, with the FOMC voting 11-1 to maintain that range. But the new Summary of Economic Projections — the first of 2026 — delivered the information markets least wanted to hear. The Fed raised its 2026 PCE inflation forecast to 2.7%, up from a prior estimate of 2.4%, citing the oil shock stemming from Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as a direct driver. The dot plot’s median remained anchored at just one 25-basis-point cut for all of 2026, dashing residual hopes for a more accommodative path.

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Fed Chair Jerome Powell was unambiguous in his press conference. “The oil shock for sure shows up,” he said, referring to its impact on the central bank’s projections. In his opening statement, he noted that near-term inflation expectations “have risen in recent weeks, likely reflecting the substantial rise in oil prices caused by the supply” disruption — a reference to the Hormuz closure that has taken roughly 20% of global oil flows offline since late February. Core PCE rose 3.0% in the 12 months through February, well above the Fed’s 2% target. Powell rejected comparisons to 1970s stagflation, arguing unemployment remains near normal levels, but acknowledged the tension between the Fed’s dual mandate goals in the current environment.​

The market reaction was swift and familiar. Bitcoin dropped from approximately $74,000 to $70,900 within hours of the press conference — its eighth decline following an FOMC meeting out of the last nine. The Nasdaq closed down 1.5% on Wednesday, the Dow and S&P 500 reversed five consecutive sessions of gains to hit their lowest levels since November, and 10-year Treasury yields climbed more than 5 basis points. On Thursday, the selloff continued, with the Dow opening down 420 points (-0.91%), the S&P 500 -0.89%, and the Nasdaq -1.23%.

The liquidation breakdown tells its own story: Bitcoin longs alone accounted for $172 million in forced selling, ETH longs for $126 million, with a total of 143,776 traders liquidated globally. The largest single liquidation — an ETH position worth $17.98 million on Aster — underscores how aggressively leveraged some participants were ahead of the FOMC. Long-term Bitcoin holders were also reported to have sold over 1,650 BTC worth approximately $117 million in the wake of Powell’s remarks.

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With Brent crude now above $110 per barrel following renewed Iranian attacks on regional energy facilities, and a Fed that has explicitly incorporated oil-driven inflation into its baseline forecast, the conditions for a near-term rate cut have seldom looked more remote.

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Crypto World

Listings And On-Ramps Are Ending, As Intent Protocols Make Access Native

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Listings And On-Ramps Are Ending, As Intent Protocols Make Access Native

Opinion by: Jason Dominique, co-founder and CEO of ONCHAIN® Labs

For years, whenever we explain what we’re building, the reaction is familiar. There’s curiosity, some skepticism, and then the question that almost always follows:

“If this is such a big problem, why hasn’t it been fixed already?”

The answer is not that the industry failed to notice it, nor that the technology was too immature to address it. Access remained broken because fixing it correctly required rearchitecting how coordination, execution and settlement work together, while leaving it broken was both easier and profitable.

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By “access” we mean the path between intent and ownership: the rules, intermediaries and detours that determine whether someone can reach an onchain asset directly or only through a platform that controls the route.

For most of the industry’s history, access has been treated as something users must earn or purchase before participating. Assets must be listed. Wallets must support them.

What began as a pragmatic workaround hardened into a durable economic structure.

If an asset is listed, access is monetized directly. If it isn’t, the native asset required to reach it is still monetized. Either way, the detour pays, regardless of user intent.

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In practice, this has created a vast, largely invisible rerouting of value. Today, significant onchain volume is not executed directly against the assets users intend to reach, but is first detoured through intermediary-controlled native assets required to transact on each network.

Access scarcity became an economic artifact

As onchain asset creation accelerated, platforms encountered a real constraint. No exchange, wallet or custodial ramp could realistically surface everything. Scarcity did not appear in liquidity or settlement. It appeared in distribution.

Listings became gates. Routing decisions determined reachability. Once these detours proved profitable, they stopped being temporary.

This was not a moral failure. It was an incentive-driven outcome. Monetizing access required far less coordination, capital and risk than redesigning how users reach onchain assets directly. Once intermediaries realized the detour itself could be priced, there was little reason to remove it, especially when removal required deep architectural changes few teams could afford.

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Over time, users were trained to accept the detour as normal. Acquiring intermediary-controlled native assets unrelated to intent. Bridging value across chains. Approving opaque transactions. These steps stopped feeling like friction and started feeling inevitable.

What emerged was an unspoken economic tax on participation, charged not in explicit fees, but in prerequisite assets, extra steps, delayed execution and abandoned intent.

Execution matured but access did not

While access remained economically gated, the execution layer matured rapidly. Automated market makers, permissionless liquidity and composable smart contracts turned execution into a largely solved problem.

These systems were never meant to be destinations. They were plumbing. Early on, interfaces were necessary, so decentralized exchanges became places users “went,” and on-ramps became gateways. Over time, the industry confused those interfaces with the infrastructure itself.

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Related: An overview of intent-based architectures and applications in blockchain

That confusion is now unraveling. People are no longer consciously navigating execution venues. Trading increasingly happens inside wallets and applications, with execution abstracted away.

The data reflects this shift. In 2025, the DEX-to-CEX spot volume ratio crossed 21% and peaked above 37% earlier in the year. Centralized platforms still matter, but decentralized execution is becoming the default regardless of where users interact.

As execution fades into the background, the remaining bottleneck becomes impossible to ignore.

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Builders are running into a ceiling

For builders, access has quietly become the limiting factor. Reaching users often requires relationships, listing approvals, or forcing users through native assets unrelated to the product’s core value.

This distorts incentives. Innovation slows not because ideas dry up, but because permission becomes the bottleneck. Teams optimize for gatekeepers rather than users. Distribution depends on capital and relationships instead of relevance.

Scale amplifies the problem. Even after issuance slowed in 2025, tens of thousands of tokens continued launching each day. Listing-based access cannot keep up with permissionless creation.

Permissionless issuance paired with permissioned access does not produce open markets. It produces fragmentation.

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Access is moving to the transaction layer

The alternative is not another marketplace or aggregator. It is a redefinition of where access lives.

In intent-based and abstracted systems, users express outcomes rather than routes. Transactions dynamically source liquidity, assets and execution at the protocol level. Access stops being something granted by platforms and becomes something enforced by the network itself.

This shift is structural. Solving access at the transaction layer requires deep changes to coordination, execution and settlement, changes that were expensive, risky and slow to implement. That is precisely why monetized detours persisted for so long.

Once access becomes native to the network, the economics of the stack change. Listings lose leverage. Discovery becomes emergent rather than negotiated. Liquidity competes on execution quality rather than placement.

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Execution works. Settlement scales. Value moves instantly and globally. The remaining question is whether access continues to be routed through detours users did not choose.

A quiet but irreversible transition

This transition will not arrive with a single protocol launch or headline-grabbing announcement. Systems built on structural friction rarely unwind overnight.

Access is moving closer to execution. When it does, the center of gravity in crypto shifts away from intermediaries and back toward networks.

The change will not be loud. It will be structural. By the time access feels “solved,” the old gates will already be impossible to justify.

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Opinion by: Jason Dominique, co-founder and CEO of ONCHAIN® Labs.