Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Crypto World

Bitcoin’s Worst Relative Performance Since FTX Era Raises Eyebrows

Published

on

Bitcoin's Worst Relative Performance Since FTX Era Raises Eyebrows


Since late August, Bitcoin has broken from equities in what appears to be its weakest stock correlation since the chaos of 2022.

Bitcoin’s recent performance differs from its long-standing pattern of moving with stocks. Over the past six months, it has lagged while equities stayed stable and gold rose.

The trend created an unusually weak correlation and recalled rare periods when crypto briefly moved independently from broader financial markets.

Advertisement

Rare Market Divergence

For many years, Bitcoin has frequently moved in the same direction as traditional equity markets, especially the S&P 500. During periods of low interest rates and strong economic growth, such as in 2021 and again in parts of 2024, BTC and many altcoins performed well alongside rising stocks.

On the other hand, during periods of increased fear and tightening monetary policy, including aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes, crypto markets tended to decline in tandem with equities, as seen in 2018 and 2022.

A clear example occurred in November 2022, when rising interest rates combined with the collapse of FTX pushed Bitcoin down to approximately $15,700. This is one of the most extreme cases of crypto markets falling far more sharply than equities.

Over the past six months, however, Bitcoin has started to move very differently from stocks. Since late August, gold has risen by 51%, the S&P 500 has gained 7%, while Bitcoin has fallen 43%, creating the weakest correlation between BTC and stocks since the market chaos of late 2022.

Advertisement

Rather than moving in step with equities, Bitcoin has significantly underperformed as traditional markets have remained relatively stable and gold has seen strong gains. According to Santiment, such dramatic deviations from long-standing correlations do not typically continue indefinitely.

You may also like:

Previous instances clearly show that markets rotate as sentiment and macroeconomic conditions evolve, which results in changing capital flows over time. Within this context, Santiment added that if BTC eventually returns to its historical tendency of tracking equities during economic expansions, particularly in a scenario involving three interest rate cuts in the second half of 2025, there could be significant room for Bitcoin and altcoins to catch up.

Bearish Pressure

Bitcoin saw a modest rebound on Wednesday as it briefly climbed above the $66,000 level before giving back part of its gains and stabilizing above $65,000.

But data suggests bearish pressure in the BTC futures market, as funding rates remained largely negative across the $62,000-$68,000 range.  Additionally, CryptoQuant stated that Bitcoin may not have formed a true bottom yet. Short-term holders have been consistently selling at a loss for nearly 30 days, and multiple large sell spikes have been absorbed without triggering a sustained rebound.

Advertisement

Despite brief price pumps, selling pressure has remained dominant. These rallies are acting as exit liquidity, and a meaningful trend reversal is unlikely until short-term holder profits turn positive and remain there, the report added.

SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)

Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).

LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: Use this link to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

2 Bullish Signals for Ripple’s XRP Despite Ongoing Correction

Published

on

Spot XRP ETF Inflows. Source: SoSoValue


The negative ETF streak finally came to an end, which is the first good sign for XRP.

Ripple’s native cross-border token was rejected at over $1.60 yesterday and has dropped by over 10% since that local peak to $1.45 as of press time.

Nevertheless, there are a couple of positive signs for its short-term price movements, including the reactivation of whale wallets.

Advertisement

2 Bullish Signs

The spot XRP ETFs in the United States had entered their worst streak in terms of consecutive daily net outflows (or lack of any flows) that lasted nearly two straight weeks – from March 5, when investors pulled out just over $6 million, to March 16, when the withdrawals were just shy of that number. In the meantime, there were two days with zero reportable activity.

However, that negative trend was finally broken yesterday as the funds attracted $4.64 million – the highest single-day figure since March 3. As such, the total net inflows have remained above $1.2 billion.

Spot XRP ETF Inflows. Source: SoSoValue
Spot XRP ETF Inflows. Source: SoSoValue

The second positive news for the XRP Army comes from whales. After a prolonged period of lack of any substantial activity, these large market participants have resumed their accumulation spree. Citing data from Santiment, Ali Martinez asserted that they have bought 200 million tokens in the past two weeks. In terms of USD, this stash is worth roughly $300 million at current prices.

XRP Price Rejected

Yesterday’s positive net inflow day for the ETFs, aligned with the accumulation from whales and the overall market-wide resurgence, led to an impressive rally for XRP. The token surpassed BNB in terms of market cap after it jumped to a monthly high of around $1.63.

Advertisement

You may also like:

Although analysts began praising the move and setting new big targets ahead, XRP was rejected at that point and driven south by over 10%. It currently struggles to remain above $1.45. This correction comes despite the recent expansion news from the company behind the asset, as well as the fact that the top traders on Binance have been “quietly buying XRP long positions,” according to data from popular analyst CW.

SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)

Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).

LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: Use this link to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

FTX Recovery Trust Announces Fourth Round of Creditor Repayments

Published

on

Bankruptcy, Sam Bankman-Fried, FTX

Additional reporting by Turner Wright.

The FTX Recovery Trust, which oversees the distribution of funds to creditors and former customers of the failed crypto exchange, announced on Wednesday that it will distribute $2.2 billion to creditors on March 31, 2026.

Eligible creditors will receive their funds through their chosen distribution provider within one to three business days, according to an announcement from the Trust. 

The fourth distribution includes a 18% payout for Dotcom Customer claims, a 5% distribution for US Customer Entitlement Claims and a 15% distribution for both General Unsecured Claims and Digital Asset Loan Claims.

Advertisement

Convenience claims will receive a 120% reimbursement under the recovery plan, according to the announcement.

Following the fourth round of distributions, about $10 billion will have been paid out to creditors and former customers of the exchange. The fifth round of payments is scheduled for May 29, 2026, according to the trust. 

The reimbursements could effect crypto prices in the short term if creditors and former customers of the FTX exchange, which collapsed in 2022, invest the recovery funds in digital assets. 

Advertisement

Related: Court sets deadline for US to address Bankman-Fried’s new trial motion

FTX recovers billions in payouts, but creditors say it isn’t nearly enough

The FTX Recovery Estate began creditor payments in February 2025, with a $1.2 billion payment, followed by a $5 billion distribution the following May. The third round of creditor payments was distributed in September 2025 and totaled $1.6 billion. 

Despite the billions of dollars recovered, creditors and former customers of the FTX exchange say they were short-changed by the recovery plan.

Creditors and former customers were reimbursed according to crypto asset values at the petition date in 2022, when legal action was taken against the exchange by creditors and customers.

Advertisement
Bankruptcy, Sam Bankman-Fried, FTX
Source: Sunil Kavuri

Crypto asset values were much lower when the petition was filed, with Bitcoin (BTC) then trading at about $16,871, and Ether (ETH) at about $1,258. 

“FTX creditors are not whole,” FTX creditor and creditor advocate Sunil Kavuri said in response to the reimbursement plan.

Convicted founder “SBF” pursues appeal, prison change

The latest effort to make victims whole comes amid appeal efforts by Sam “SBF” Bankman-Fried, the former CEO of FTX, who was sentenced to 25 years in prison following his 2023 conviction related to the misuse of customer funds.

He has posted to his X account using a proxy, often praising US President Donald Trump’s actions in the country’s conflict with Iran and his approach to regulating digital assets. Many experts speculate that the former CEO is lobbying the president for a pardon, but Trump reportedly said in January that he would not consider it.

As of Wednesday, Bankman-Fried was housed at the Federal Correctional Institution Terminal Island in the Los Angeles area. However, a Monday court filing by his mother claimed that he would be relocated “sometime in the next couple of weeks.”

Advertisement

Magazine: The $2,500 doco about FTX collapse on Amazon Prime… with help from mom