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BTC Rises After Soft March Data

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Bitcoin’s Lightning Network clears record $1M transfer to Kraken

Bitcoin moved from $72,000 to $72,400 on April 10 after March core CPI printed below expectations, giving crypto bulls a short-lived reprieve from months of sustained macro pressure.

Summary

  • March core CPI rose just 0.2%, below the 0.3% consensus forecast, while headline CPI climbed 0.9% on war-driven oil prices.
  • Bitcoin ticked up to $72,400 within minutes of the 8:30 AM ET release before pulling back near $72,000.
  • The soft core print eased immediate rate hike fears but did not shift the broader Federal Reserve policy outlook.

Bitcoin (BTC) price update: BTC climbed from roughly $72,000 to $72,400 on April 10 after the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that March core CPI rose just 0.2%, coming in below the 0.3% consensus forecast, according to CoinDesk. Headline CPI rose 0.9% on the month, driven by a roughly 10.9% surge in energy costs tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict, keeping annual inflation at 3.3%. Core CPI came in at 2.6% year-on-year, slightly below the 2.7% economists had forecast.

The below-forecast reading gave crypto traders a short-lived reason to add exposure. Bitcoin rose in the minutes following the release, with FXLeaders noting that BTC “reclaimed $72,000 as macro fears fuel appetite for digital scarcity.” The move was measured rather than explosive, reflecting a market still navigating sticky headline inflation against a softer underlying trend. As crypto.news noted, the inflation print “came in line with expectations” at the headline level, easing fears of an even hotter surprise while confirming that price pressures remain elevated but stable.

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The distinction matters for traders. A softer core number reduces the probability of an aggressive Fed pivot toward tightening. But with annual headline CPI running at 3.3%, the highest reading since May 2025, the Fed has little political or economic space to move toward cuts.

Fed Stays Cautious as Oil Keeps Headline Inflation Elevated

The soft core figure did not meaningfully shift Federal Reserve rate expectations. With the Strait of Hormuz still constrained by the ongoing conflict, energy prices remain a structural upward force on monthly CPI readings, complicating the Fed’s near-term calculus. Markets currently price near-zero odds of a rate reduction in the coming months.

As crypto.news tracked ahead of the release, analysts had outlined a directional framework: a cooler core print could open a path toward $74,000 to $76,000, while a hotter reading risked a retest of the $68,000 support zone. The actual print landed in the middle, producing a modest rally that stalled short of $73,000.

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What Traders Are Watching Next

Bitcoin remains range-bound near $72,000, with $73,000 acting as the immediate ceiling. The level has capped every rally since the ceasefire was announced six weeks ago. Analysts broadly agree that a sustained break above $75,000 is needed before the market can enter a genuine new leg higher. Attention now shifts to weekend US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad and whether progress toward a durable peace deal could remove the geopolitical overhang that has weighed on prices across all risk assets.

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Crypto World

CFTC Announces Initial Crypto Task Force Members

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CFTC Announces Initial Crypto Task Force Members

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission has unveiled the first members of its new innovation task force as the agency continues its push to provide greater clarity for the crypto market.

The Innovation Task Force was initially launched by CFTC Chairman Mike Selig on March 24, who appointed Michael Passalacqua as the leader of the group. Passalacqua is currently the senior advisor to Selig at the CFTC.

In an announcement Friday, the CFTC said that Passalacqua will be joined by a list of five initial members including Hank Balaban, a former Latham & Watkins crypto lawyer; Sam Canavos, an ex-Patomak crypto and prediction markets advisor; Mark Fajfar, a CFTC legal veteran; Eugene Gonzalez IV, an ex-Sidley blockchain lawyer; and Dina Moussa, a CFTC Market Participants Division special counsel.

“The Innovation Task Force brings together a leading team that exhibits deep expertise and an enthusiastic commitment to deliver clear rules of the road for American innovators,” Selig said.

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The move is part of a broader push from both the CFTC and Securities and Exchange Commission to provide regulatory clarity for the digital asset sector under the direction of the Donald Trump administration.

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Source: Michael Passalacqua

CFTC pushing for clarity as major bill stalls

On Friday, Selig also announced the CFTC’s “innovation tracker,” which highlights all the work done under Selig to help “advance regulatory clarity, market integrity, and responsible technological progress.”

The website lists three key innovation areas the agency is focused on, including crypto and blockchain, artificial intelligence and autonomous systems, and contracts and prediction markets.

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The CFTC in particular could be set to be the main overseer of the industry, with the SEC proposing in mid-March that the agency doesn’t see most crypto assets falling under its jurisdiction as securities.

However, the certainty of both agencies’ roles is still largely dependent on whether the Clarity Act passes through the upper levels of government and becomes enshrined as law — something SEC Chair Paul Atkins called for via X on Thursday.

The SEC and CFTC are “ready to implement the CLARITY Act,” he said, adding: “It’s time for Congress to future-proof against rogue regulators and advance comprehensive market structure legislation to President Trump’s desk.”

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