Crypto World
Can XRP price hold $1.45 demand zone as key metric peaks?
XRP price is testing a critical demand zone near $1.45 as rising on-chain velocity and falling open interest hint at a decisive move ahead.
Summary
- XRP trades near $1.44 after sharp weekly losses, with sellers still dictating short-term direction.
- On-chain velocity has surged to yearly highs, suggesting heavy re-positioning as price weakens.
- A firm hold above $1.45 could spark a short bounce, while a breakdown risks deeper losses.
XRP was trading near $1.44 at press time, down about 10% over the past 24 hours, sliding to its lowest level since November 2024. The token has weakened across all major timeframes, falling 23% over the past week and nearly 40% over the past month.
Price action over the last seven days has remained confined between $1.44 and $1.88, with sellers maintaining control. Even so, market activity has picked up. XRP (XRP) recorded $5.07 billion in trading volume in the past 24 hours, up 25%. This points to heavy participation during the sell-off.
Derivatives data show a more cautious tone. CoinGlass figures indicate futures volume rose 17% to $7.94 billion, while open interest slipped 1.8% to $2.61 billion. This mix suggests that traders reducing leverage while spot activity rises, a setup that can appear near short-term turning points.
XRP velocity spikes as supply shifts hands
A Feb. 4 analysis by CryptoQuant contributor CryptoOnchain highlighted a sharp move in XRP Ledger activity. The seven-day SMA of XRP velocity climbed to 0.013 on Feb. 3, matching the highest levels seen since January 2025.
In previous cycles, this level has appeared at key moments. During this instance, the velocity increase coincided with a price decline, suggesting rapid coin movement rather than steady accumulation. Such conditions are often linked to older holdings changing hands or aggressive short-term trading during periods of stress.
According to the analyst, when velocity reaches its upper range while price struggles, it can mark a high-friction phase in the market. Whether this activity marks late-stage selling or the early stages of stabilization depends on how the price reacts around key support.
In a separate note, CryptoOnchain pointed to a sharp drop in XRP open interest on Binance, which has fallen to $405.9 million, the lowest level since November 2024.
A market reset of this size suggests that leverage has been significantly reduced. The probability of more forced sales drops as positions are unwound. This eases the influence of derivatives on short-term price moves.
Under these conditions, if spot demand holds up, any rebound is more likely to develop in a gradual and orderly way.
XRP price technical analysis
XRP is testing a clearly defined demand zone at $1.45, which has held during prior drops. The token is trading well below its 20-day moving average, placing the price in a stretched position.
XRP has also slipped below the lower Bollinger Band, which points to shrinking volatility. Instead of sellers running out of steam, the price action suggests heavy selling pressure pushing straight into support.
The relative strength index is in the low-30s, indicating that momentum is weak but getting closer to levels where selling pressure often slows.
Smaller bodies and longer wicks on recent candles suggest that sellers are meeting more resistance close to the current price. So far, the $1.45 level has not given way on a daily close.
If buyers continue to defend this zone, a short-term bounce toward $1.60–$1.70 becomes possible, driven by oversold conditions and reduced leverage. For the price to stabilize further, XRP would need to reclaim $1.80 and hold it.
Failure to hold $1.45 would change the picture quickly. A clean break below that level could open the door to deeper losses, as visible support becomes thinner beneath current prices.
Let’s have a look at some important PI price targets as the cryptocurrency continues to fall toward new all-time lows.
PI reached a new all-time low at 14.6 cents. Is this the bottom?
PI Network (PI) Price Predictions: Analysis
Key support levels: $0.15
Key resistance levels: $0.2
PI Downtrend Accelerates
PI closed January with a new all-time low after briefly touching $0.146. Since then, buyers have pushed the price above 15 cents, but this is unlikely to hold if the downtrend continues.
Worst, there is no sign of a possible bottom yet, especially when major market leaders such as BTC and ETH continue to fall.
Aggressive Selloff since the start of 2026
As soon as the new year started, PI bears intensified their presence on the orderbook with massive sell orders. This led to a sharp 25% crash in mid-January. This pressure appears to continue in February, as can be seen on the chart.
Daily RSI Extremely Oversold
The daily RSI has been in the oversold region (below 30) since the start of the year, and it has not moved out of it. This is an extremely bearish signal, but it does hint at a possible bounce in the future, since prices rarely remain in extremes for long.
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Should a bounce materialize later, watch the resistance at 20 cents, which could stop any relief rally.
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Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $70,000 on Thursday as suspicions over coordinated selling boiled over.
Key points:
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Bitcoin tumbles below 2021 highs for the first time since November 2024.
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Gold and silver volatility spark copycat BTC price maneuvers as lower targets stay in play.
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Market participants say that large entities are selling BTC on a schedule.
Bitcoin collapses to $69,000 in fresh cascade
Data from TradingView captured new 15-month BTC price lows of $69,100 on Bitstamp during the Asia trading session.
The latest plunge marked Bitcoin’s first trip to the $60,000 range since early November 2024. In doing so, it sparked $130 million of crypto long liquidations over four hours, per data from monitoring resource CoinGlass.
Bitcoin moved in step with a flash reversal on precious metals.
Gold, which the day prior had seen a relief bounce to $5,100 per ounce, fell as low as $4,789 Thursday before again targeting the $5,000 mark.
Silver, meanwhile, gyrated between $90 and $73 per ounce as volatility stayed in control.
“$BTC has entered a key support zone,” trader CW warned in a post on X.
“If it fails to support the 69k level, another significant decline could occur.”
Earlier, traders gave various BTC price bottom targets of interest, with these including the area around $50,000. Directly below $69,000, meanwhile, lies the key 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) support trend line.
Reacting, crypto entrepreneur Alistair Milne agreed with observations from longtime trader Peter Brandt. Bitcoin, the latter argued, was the victim of “campaign selling.”
“Agree with this take. Someone enormous is unloading to a deadline,” Milne responded on X.
The post likened the current sell-side pressure to when the government of Germany distributed its BTC holdings to the market, suggesting that coins were being “handed over to OTC desks who simply execute.”
“For me it started 14th Jan,” he added.
Coinbase Premium undercuts Liberation Day low
Nic Puckrin, CEO of crypto education resource Coin Bureau, likewise flagged “large selling” by whales during US hours.
Related: Bitcoin, crypto ‘winter’ soon over, says Bitwise exec as gold retargets $5K
As Cointelegraph reported, the negative Coinbase Premium, which measures the difference in price between Coinbase’s BTC/USD and Binance’s BTC/USDT pairs, highlighted the lack of overall US Bitcoin demand.
“The Coinbase Premium is the lowest it has been in over a year. It’s even lower than post liberation day tariffs,” Puckrin noted.
He added that selling pressure would continue until the premium changed course.
Charles Edwards, founder of quantitative Bitcoin and digital asset fund Capriole Investments, said that “OG” whales were behaving as if BTC/USD were at all-time highs.
Bitcoin’s at $72K and the OG whales continue to dump like we’re still at $125K pic.twitter.com/prL68L8Lhi
— Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) February 5, 2026
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
As the XTI/USD chart shows, the price of a barrel rose above $65 yesterday, reacting to the risk of talks between Iran and the United States on the nuclear deal breaking down. These negotiations could begin on Friday.
According to Axios, Arab world leaders have urged Donald Trump not to follow through on his threats to withdraw from the talks and shift towards military action after demands put forward by Iran. This news prompted a pullback in prices below $64.
The news backdrop is further complicated by conflicting reports regarding India’s refusal to purchase Russian oil, alongside other global factors. All of this is contributing to heightened volatility in the oil market, a trend also confirmed by the ATR indicator.
Technical Analysis of XTI/USD
On 14 January, we:
→ analysed swings in WTI crude prices to identify a breakout from a descending channel (shown in red) and outline an upward trajectory (shown in blue);
→ noted that the breakout level (around $58.35) was acting as support;
→ suggested that the market was vulnerable to a corrective move.
Indeed, on the same day (as indicated by the blue arrow), the price formed a bearish impulse towards this support, where the market found some balance.
However, geopolitical developments since the second half of January have supported higher prices, providing grounds to draw a broad ascending channel (shown in purple). In this context:
→ its lower boundary is acting as support, with the long lower wick on the 3 February candle confirming aggressive buying interest;
→ the $65 level appears to be a key resistance. Broad price swings formed there on 29–30 January — a sign of “smart money” activity — after which prices declined. Yesterday, the market again reversed sharply from this level.
It is therefore reasonable to assume that this resistance will pose a significant hurdle for bulls if they attempt to keep prices within the ascending purple channel. At the same time, the further direction of WTI oil price movements will most likely be determined by developments surrounding Friday’s Iran–US nuclear talks in Oman.
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Crypto-linked cards are emerging as a key channel for stablecoin usage, with annualized volumes now catching up to peer-to-peer on-chain transfers.
Crypto-linked payment cards have become one of the fastest-growing bridges between stablecoins and everyday commerce, according to Artemis, a blockchain analytics firm.
In a Jan. 15 research report compiling estimates from on-chain settlement data and card network disclosures, Artemis found that monthly crypto card volume surged from about $100 million in early 2023 to more than $1.5 billion by late 2025.
“Annualized, the market now exceeds $18 billion, rivaling peer-to-peer stablecoin transfers ($19 billion), which grew just 5% over the same period,” the report reads.
While crypto cards can be funded with a range of assets, the report notes that Circle’s USDC and Tether’s USDT account for nearly 96% of deposited collateral on cards issued via Rain, an infrastructure platform that enables businesses to issue Visa cards.
Visa has also emerged as the dominant payment network in the sector, capturing more than 90% of on-chain card volume despite having a similar number of programs as Mastercard. As Artemis explains, this divergence is likely thanks to Visa’s “early partnerships with infrastructure providers.”
Visa’s stablecoin-linked card spending alone reached a $3.5 billion annualized run rate in late 2025, growing about 460% year over year, according to the report.
A geographic breakdown of stablecoin usage shows India and Argentina as “true global outliers,” where USDC accounts for 47.4% and 46.6% of usage, respectively.
By comparison, USDT dominates stablecoin activity across most other markets, including Turkey, China and Japan, according to the data.
However, even with the rapid growth of crypto cards, Artemis doesn’t expect direct crypto acceptance to fully replace card networks in the near term, citing their “slow relative growth in volume in comparison to cards.”
Bitcoin clawed its way back above $71,000 on Thursday after a sharp selloff earlier in the day dragged prices briefly below the $70,000 mark, mirroring tentative stabilization across global markets.
The move came as a broader rout in technology stocks showed signs of fatigue. Futures tied to the Nasdaq 100 edged higher after two bruising sessions that erased the index’s gains for the year, while European stocks steadied and Asian markets trimmed losses.
Bitcoin had fallen as much as 7% over the previous 24 hours as investors reduced risk across assets tied to growth and leverage. The slide coincided with renewed pressure in precious metals, where silver plunged as much as 17%, extending a brutal reversal after last month’s record rally.
Gold also slipped, underscoring how quickly speculative trades across markets have been unwound.
In crypto, the bounce above $71,000 appears more like short covering than a renewed rush of buyers. Trading volumes remain elevated, but demand in the spot market has thinned, according to analysts.
Stablecoin balances on exchanges have also been drifting lower, suggesting fresh capital is staying on the sidelines rather than stepping in aggressively on dips.
Macro uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment. Investors are recalibrating expectations around US interest rates amid speculation over Federal Reserve leadership and the risk of a stronger dollar, which typically pressures assets like bitcoin that thrive on easy liquidity.
Some firms remain cautious. Galaxy Digital has warned that, without a clear catalyst, bitcoin could still revisit lower levels if selling resumes.
Others see the bulk of the drawdown as already behind the market, with estimates clustering around a potential bottom in the low-to-mid $60,000 range.
Crypto World
CFTC Formally Withdraws Biden-Era Proposal to Ban Sports and Political Prediction Markets
The agency called the 2024 rule a “frolic into merit regulation” and said it will pursue new rulemaking grounded in the Commodity Exchange Act to provide clarity for prediction market operators.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Michael S. Selig has formally withdrawn a 2024 notice of proposed rulemaking that would have banned political, sports and war-related event contracts, marking the clearest signal yet that the agency intends to regulate prediction markets rather than restrict them.
Key Takeaways:
– The CFTC scrapped both its 2024 proposal to ban event contracts and a 2025 staff advisory that had warned firms away from sports-related markets.
– Chairman Selig dismissed the earlier ban as a politically driven “frolic into merit regulation” and committed to building a new rules-based framework.
– The move lands as Kalshi, Polymarket and Coinbase fight a wave of state lawsuits alleging their sports contracts amount to unlicensed gambling.
The agency also rescinded CFTC Staff Letter 25-36, a September 2025 advisory that had warned regulated entities to exercise caution when facilitating sports-related event contracts due to ongoing litigation. In the remarks following the decision, Selig said:
“The 2024 event contracts proposal reflected the prior administration’s frolic into merit regulation with an outright prohibition on political contracts ahead of the 2024 presidential election.”
The CFTC does not intend to issue final rules under the withdrawn proposal, according to the press release.
Instead, the commission will advance a new rulemaking framework anchored in the Commodity Exchange Act, aiming to establish clear standards for event contracts and provide legal certainty for exchanges and intermediaries.
Selig Frames Withdrawal as First Step Toward Comprehensive Event Contracts Rulemaking
The announcement follows remarks Selig delivered on January 29 at a joint CFTC-SEC harmonization event alongside Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Paul Atkins. As reported, Selig used his first public speech as chairman to outline a broader reset of the agency’s approach to prediction markets.
“For too long, the CFTC’s existing framework has proven difficult to apply and has failed our market participants,” Selig said. “That is something I intend to fix by establishing clear standards for event contracts that provide certainty to market participants.”
Selig also directed staff to reassess the commission’s participation in pending federal court cases where jurisdictional questions are at issue, signaling that the CFTC may intervene to defend its exclusive authority over commodity derivatives.
Prediction Market Platforms Navigate Booming Growth and State-Level Legal Battles
The withdrawal arrives as prediction markets experience rapid expansion and intensifying regulatory friction. Combined trading volumes on Polymarket and Kalshi, the two largest platforms, reached $37 billion in 2025, drawing in major exchanges eager to compete.
Coinbase launched prediction markets through a partnership with Kalshi, a federally regulated designated contract market, in late January. Crypto.com recently spun out its prediction business into a standalone platform called OG. Polymarket returned to the U.S. market in December after receiving CFTC no-action relief, and Gemini secured a designated contract market license for its Titan platform.
Gemini Clears Key CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Market Platform in US
Billionaire Winklevoss twins’ Gemini Space Station received a key nod from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to launch its betting platform ‘Gemini Titan’ to US customers.
The crypto…— Cryptonews.com (@cryptonews) December 12, 2025
Meanwhile, state gaming regulators have pushed back. Nevada filed a civil enforcement action against Coinbase this week, arguing that event contracts tied to sports constitute unlicensed gambling. Coinbase has sued regulators in Michigan, Illinois and Connecticut over similar claims.
The NCAA has also urged the CFTC to halt college sports prediction trading, warning that the sector exposes student-athletes to integrity risks and operates outside state-level safeguards.
Selig, who was sworn in on December 22, has not provided a firm timeline for the new rulemaking, but positioned event contracts as a priority alongside the agency’s broader “Project Crypto” initiative with the SEC.
The post CFTC Formally Withdraws Biden-Era Proposal to Ban Sports and Political Prediction Markets appeared first on Cryptonews.
US-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) holders are showing relatively firm conviction despite a four-month Bitcoin downtrend, according to ETF analyst James Seyffart.
“The ETFs are still hanging in there pretty good,” Seyffart said in an X post on Wednesday.
While Seyffart said that Bitcoin (BTC) ETF holders are facing their “biggest losses” since the US products launched in January 2024 — at a paper loss of around 42% with Bitcoin below $73,000 — he argues the recent outflows pale in comparison to the inflows during the market’s peak.
Bitcoin ETF holders are “underwater and collectively holding.”
Before the October downturn, spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows were around $62.11 billion. They’ve now fallen to about $55 billion, according to preliminary data from Farside Investors.
“Not too shabby,” Seyffart said.
Meanwhile, investment researcher Jim Bianco said in an X post on Wednesday that the average spot Bitcoin ETF holder is 24% “underwater and collectively holding.”
Bitcoiners are being “very short-sighted.”
Crypto analytics account Rand pointed out in an X post on Tuesday that this is “the first time in history there have been three consecutive months of outflows.”
The extended outflows come as Bitcoin’s spot price has fallen 24.73% over the past 30 days, trading at $70,537 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap.
Some analysts argue that Bitcoin investors are overlooking the bigger picture.
Related: XRP traders more optimistic as BTC, ETH mood turns sour: Santiment
ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said on Jan. 28 that Bitcoiners are being “very short-sighted,” given that Bitcoin’s performance since 2022 has been up over 400%, compared with gold at 177% and silver at 350%.
“In other words, bitcoin spanked everything so bad in ’23 and ’24 (which ppl seem to forget) that those other assets still haven’t caught up even after having their greatest year ever and BTC being in a coma,” Balchunas said.
Meanwhile, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju said in an X post on Wednesday that “every Bitcoin analyst is now bearish.”
Magazine: South Korea gets rich from crypto… North Korea gets weapons
Base lead Jesse Pollak said the web3 app will focus more on trading features, dialing back its social-heavy approach.
Jesse Pollak, Coinbase’s head of Base and Base App, announced that the Base App will shift its product focus to trading after mixed user feedback on its social-heavy features.
In an X post on Wednesday, Jan. 14, Pollak said the centralized exchange is now refocusing the Base App “to be trading-first,” signaling a shift to a finance focus for the web3 app after months of debate over its direction.
Base is the Ethereum Layer 2 developed by Coinbase, while Base App is the rebranded version of what was Coinbase Wallet, the CEX’s self-custody web3 wallet app.
After the company positioned the rebranded product as a “super app” in July of last year — combining crypto wallet, trading, social, and other functions — Pollak said “hundreds of thousands” of users indeed tried it for creating, trading, and building. But, as Pollak revealed this week, the response to the Base App’s social features was mixed.
“The app felt overly focused on social,” he wrote, adding it felt “too close to web2” and didn’t reflect the range of assets people want to trade. Pollak also wrote that users are asking for “more high quality assets” and a feed that shows not only social tokens.
Finance-First UX
“We’re going to lean into a finance-first UX. We believe it makes more sense to layer social features on top of finance, than the other way around,” Pollak wrote on X.
The shift follows a similar move by Farcaster, a prominent SocialFi protocol that recently stepped back from its original social-first model to focus more on trading.
Commenting on Base’s refocus, Dragonfly Capital partner Rob Hadick said in an X post on Jan. 15 that the move reinforces the view that blockchains work best for moving money, saying that “Base may have been the last meaningful hold out” of the social-first approach in web3.
The change also follows Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong’s public request for feedback late last year, in which he questioned whether the Base App should prioritize trading, social features, or a mix of both.
The Solana-based launchpad is gaining market share amid a resurgence in creator-linked coins.
Activity on Bags.fm, a Solana-based token launchpad, is spiking this week after the success of Gas Town’s token (GAS) drew traders to the platform.
Over the past 24 hours, several Bags.fm tokens posted significant gains: GAS surged 682%, Ralph Wiggum (RALPH) spiked 433%, Claude Memory (CMEM) climbed 543%, and Vibe Virtual Machine (VVM) gained 405%.
Meanwhile, Terraformation (TERRA) and RedwoodJS are up a whopping 84,000% and 31,000%, respectively, after launching earlier this morning.
The momentum is making waves across the launchpad sector. On Jupiter’s launchpad leaderboard, Bags ranked second by market share over the past day, with roughly 33.5% share and $293 million in volume, behind pumpfun at 51.2% and $448 million.
Jupiter data also shows that Bags volume remained relatively muted through late December 2025 and early January, before jumping yesterday as GAS rallied.
How exactly is Bags different?
Bags markets itself as a way for creators, artists, and entrepreneurs to fund ideas by launching coins that anyone can trade, while earning a cut of trading activity as royalties.
Gas Town, for example, is an open-source AI coding-agent orchestrator created by software engineer Steve Yegge. After the project gained traction online, a token linked to Gas Town (GAS) was launched on Bags, and trading activity quickly surged, Yegge explained in a Medium blog post.
As GAS trading picked up, it also generated large fee payouts for the account listed as the token’s “fee earner” (in this case, Yegge), which helped bring more attention to the Bags ecosystem.
The surge echoes recent “attention-driven” crypto cycles, where viral moments lead to sudden onchain revenue. Last year, onchain social platform Zora hit record daily revenue after Base-linked posts sparked a speculative frenzy, even as other metrics, like active addresses and total value locked (TVL), were flat or down.
On its website, Bags says creators earn 1% of trading volume from their coin and can claim the fees after verifying the linked social account. It also encourages creators to build communities around their tokens, with holders benefiting if the coin grows.
The Bags team did not immediately respond to The Defiant’s request for comment.
Binance said assets on its on-chain addresses increased during what appeared to be an attempted bank run, after a wave of social media posts urged users to pull funds from the world’s biggest crypto exchange.
Co-founder He Yi described the episode on X as a coordinated withdrawal push from parts of the community. She said she still did not understand why deposits appeared to outweigh withdrawals once the campaign started, and she framed routine, large-scale withdrawals across platforms as a useful stress test for the industry.
She also urged users to slow down when moving funds, warning that mistakes on blockchain transfers are permanent once confirmed.
In the same post, she pointed users toward self-custody options, including Binance Wallet and Trust Wallet, and suggested a hardware wallet alternative for those who want added reassurance.
Binance Outage Sparks Renewed Talk Of Exchange Risk On Social Media
The comments landed after Binance briefly paused withdrawals on Tuesday, a disruption that revived familiar nerves in a market still sensitive to exchange solvency rumours.
The company first posted, “We are aware of some technical difficulties affecting withdrawals on the platform. Our team is already working on a fix, and services will resume as soon as possible.” Follow-up updates said the issue was resolved in about 20 minutes.
@binance briefly paused withdrawals due to technical issues before restoring service within about 20 minutes, the exchange said on X.#Binance #CryptoTrading https://t.co/95c2xKnUdK
— Cryptonews.com (@cryptonews) February 3, 2026
The short outage quickly turned into a talking point on X, with some users drawing parallels to past exchange failures, such as FTX, and framing the withdrawal push as a stress test of Binance’s plumbing.
He Yi’s message pushed back on that narrative by pointing to net inflows, not outflows, during the campaign window.
Zhao Denies Bitcoin Dump Claims Amid Weekend Selloff
On Monday, Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao also weighed in, arguing that the market was recycling blame stories as crypto prices slid.
He called the allegations “pretty imaginative FUD” and rejected claims that Binance sold $1B of Bitcoin to trigger the weekend sell-off, saying the funds belonged to users trading on the platform.
Zhao also took aim at the idea that he could steer the market cycle through public comments. “If I had that power, I wouldn’t be on Crypto Twitter with you lot,” he wrote, after some users joked that he “canceled the supercycle” by sounding less confident about the thesis.
The back-and-forth played out as crypto traders stayed jittery and liquidity thinned across venues, conditions that tend to amplify rumours and accelerate crowd behaviour. It also revived a familiar fault line in the market, between traders who keep assets on exchanges for speed and those who see periodic withdrawals as the only credible check.
Binance has leaned on transparency reports to counter those concerns. CoinMarketCap’s Jan. 2026 exchange reserves ranking put Binance at the top with about $155.64B in total reserves, reinforcing its status as the largest liquidity hub in the sector.
The post Binance Says Assets Increased During Suspected Bank Run Attempt appeared first on Cryptonews.
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Tom Lee Just Said The UNTHINKABLE About Bitcoin & Ethereum! [2026 New Prediction]
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