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Cardano price prediction ahead of CME ADA futures launch

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cardano price

Cardano price continued its strong downward trend, reaching its lowest level since February 2021, as the crypto market crash accelerated. 

Summary

  • Cardano price dropped to a crucial support level as the crypto market crash continued.
  • CME will launch its ADA futures on Monday next week.
  • ADA’s price action will depend on the performance of the broad crypto market.

Cardano (ADA) token was trading at $0.2650, down by 80% from its highest point in December 2024. It has also retreated by 91% from its all-time high of $3.

A potential catalyst for ADA’s price will be the upcoming CME Group futures listing on February 9 this year. This is a major listing that will make it available to institutional and retail traders.

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Historically, such important launches normally lead to higher prices. For example, tokens such as Solana (SOL) and Ripple (XRP) jumped after their futures launched. 

However, in Cardano’s case, there is a possibility that the rebound will not happen after the futures launch. First, the launch will occur during a crypto market crash. As such, the broader sentiment in the industry may outweigh the importance of the futures listing.

Second, Cardano may remain under pressure since the ADA futures launch has been priced in by market participants. Additionally, Cardano has lost favor with investors in the past few years because it has been left behind by similar chains like Solana, BNB Chain, and Ethereum. 

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Cardano has failed to attract major oracle networks like Chainlink. Its total value locked in the DeFi industry is less than $300 million, which is much lower than the billions in assets in the industry. Also, it has a small market share in the stablecoin industry, with just $30 million in assets.

Charles Hoskinson and the team are working to address these issues through a 70 million ADA fund launched last year. The fund’s goal is to attract more oracles, tier-1 stablecoins, and analytics tools. Also, Cardano is preparing for the Midnight mainnet launch either this month or in March.

Cardano price technical analysis 

cardano price
ADA price chart | Source: crypto.news

The weekly chart shows that the ADA token has been in a strong downtrend in the past few months. It retreated from a high of $1.3296 in December 2024 to a low of $0.2360. Its lowest level this week was notable as it has failed to move below it several times since December 2022.

ADA price has moved below the 50-week and 100-week Exponential Moving Averages, which have made a bearish crossover. The Relative Strength Index has moved into the oversold zone at 30.

Therefore, the most likely Cardano price prediction is neutral. On the positive side, it has always bounced back whenever it reached this support level. This means that it may rebound again in the coming weeks.

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On the other hand, losing this support will lead to more downside, potentially to the key level at $0.100.

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Crypto World

Peraso (PRSO) Stock Soars Over 100% on Defense Contract Win

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PRSO Stock Card

TLDR

  • Defense contractor InTACT from Israel has chosen Peraso’s 60 GHz millimeter-wave technology to power a military-grade drone Identification Friend or Foe (IFF) system.
  • The system enables military personnel on the ground to differentiate between friendly and hostile drones using mutual authentication protocols.
  • Peraso’s beamforming transceiver chips provide directional, low-power communications that are difficult to intercept or jam.
  • The collaboration between Peraso and InTACT has spanned more than two years, concentrating on tactical drone identification capabilities.
  • PRSO shares skyrocketed by as much as 115% during Friday’s trading session and continued climbing over 33% in Monday’s pre-market hours.

Peraso Inc. (PRSO) experienced an extraordinary trading session on Friday. The semiconductor manufacturer based in California witnessed its share price soar by as much as 115% during intraday trading following news that its 60 GHz millimeter-wave technology will be integrated into a military drone identification platform.

The agreement centers around InTACT, a defense contractor headquartered in Israel. InTACT has selected Peraso’s semiconductor technology as the foundation for its Identification Friend or Foe (IFF) drone system — a critical tool that enables armed forces to rapidly determine whether an approaching drone poses a threat or belongs to allied forces.

The collaboration between these two entities has been ongoing for more than 24 months. This latest announcement signals a significant milestone in their relationship, as the technology transitions toward real-world military applications.


PRSO Stock Card
Peraso Inc., PRSO

PRSO shares jumped over 96% during pre-market hours on Friday before the rally intensified to 115% intraday. The stock settled at a closing gain exceeding 86%. Monday’s pre-market session saw another surge of 33%.

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How the Technology Works

Peraso’s 60 GHz beamforming transceiver chips serve as the core hardware for InTACT’s IFF platform. These semiconductors establish a short-distance, highly directional wireless communication link between unmanned aerial vehicles and troops on the ground.

The directional characteristics of the signal are crucial. This design makes the communications extremely difficult to detect or disrupt in contested electronic warfare scenarios — precisely the environments where such systems are needed most.

Through mutual authentication protocols, ground-based units can verify in real time whether an approaching drone is part of friendly operations. In modern combat zones saturated with drone activity, this identification capability provides significant tactical advantages.

CEO Ron Glibbery characterized the technology as “designed to provide a secure, directional communications channel ideally suited for these environments.”

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Peraso’s Recent Business Performance

Peraso has shown signs of business momentum leading up to this defense contract announcement. During Q3 of fiscal year 2025 (concluded September 2025), the company reported revenue growth of 45% on a quarter-over-quarter basis, reaching $3.2 million.

This revenue increase was primarily fueled by record-breaking sales from millimeter wave products — the exact product category featured in this defense partnership.

Despite the sequential growth, total revenue for that quarter still declined 16% year-over-year, falling from $3.84 million in the comparable period.

For a micro-cap semiconductor firm, securing a design win in the defense industry can fundamentally alter investor perception of the company’s prospects. Commercial agreements typically don’t carry the same strategic weight as military deployment contracts.

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InTACT has not revealed the financial parameters of this partnership. Neither contract value nor revenue forecasts have been made public.

The company has confirmed that its beamforming transceiver technology is ready for production and has been officially selected as the hardware platform for InTACT’s system. A specific timeline for military deployment has not been announced.

As of Monday’s pre-market trading, PRSO was up more than 33% following Friday’s impressive 86% closing gain.

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Cardano Called the ‘Most Useless Network in Crypto’ as ADA Down 92% From ATH

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Cardano Called the 'Most Useless Network in Crypto' as ADA Down 92% From ATH


The analyst who made that claim also laid out the most important support levels for ADA going forward.

Popular crypto market observer and commentator Ali Martinez took it to X to criticize the popular blockchain network, Cardano, for its failure to deliver on many of its promises.

Given the project’s popularity, many of the comments below the post lashed out at his harsh words, but there were some that agreed with his statements.

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Most Useless Blockchain?

In a post titled “The Most Useless Network In The Crypto Market,” Martinez began by indicating that the Cardano DeFi ecosystem has never exceeded the coveted $1 billion mark. He added that it has “historically been only a fraction of what is locked on competing platforms like Ethereum.”

A quick double check on DeFiLlama confirms his words, as the Cardano TVL in DeFi peaked last year at roughly $700 million. However, the value has plummeted to $136 million as of press time. In comparison, the TVL on Ethereum is currently at a whopping $55 billion, down from almost $100 billion reached last year.

Solana’s TVL jumped to over $12 billion in September 2025, but it’s down to $6.6 billion as of now. Martinez also compared Cardano’s TVL with newer chains like SUI, which has already surpassed it with $568 million after peaking at $2.5 billion last year.

“Unlike Ethereum, which has built a dominant position in DeFi, or Solana, which has captured high-speed consumer applications, Cardano still lacks a clear use case that consistently attracts users, developers, and investors,” said Martinez.

He added that Cardano was officially launched nine years ago, but smart contracts were introduced in 2021, which allowed its competitors to “build stronger network effects with more developers, applications, and liquidity.”

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He believes Cardano’s research-driven model, which prioritizes academic review and formal verification, slows down product rollouts compared to other blockchains.

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As mentioned above, the community was split after his post, with some bringing out Cardano’s liquid staking capabilities, while others agreed to a large extent with his words.

ADA’s Survival

Martinez also explained that blockchains that reach scale early tend to attract more capital and talent as this is a market “driven by adoption and network activity.” This makes it “difficult for slower-growing networks to catch up once competitors establish a lead,” which could be the main reason behind ADA’s struggles.

The token peaked at over $3 in 2021, but it has fallen from grace since then, currently trading 91.7% away from those levels. Even the 2024/2025 bull rally managed to drive it to as high as $1.30, and it now sits at around $0.25.

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Martinez weighed in on ADA’s performance as well, suggesting that if it breaks the $0.245 support, it could plunge to the next ones at $0.112 or $0.021, which would represent another 50% to 80% decline.

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Oil Cools After Overnight Spike as G7 Eyes Reserve Release

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Oil Cools After Overnight Spike as G7 Eyes Reserve Release

Oil prices pulled back sharply early Monday after reports that Group of Seven (G7) finance ministers planned an emergency call to discuss a coordinated release of strategic crude reserves, giving markets a possible policy response to the war-driven supply shock.

The Financial Times reported that G7 finance ministers planned an emergency call to discuss a possible coordinated release of 300 million to 400 million barrels from strategic oil reserves to calm markets after the war-driven spike in crude prices. The G7 countries consist of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States, with the European Union as a non-enumerated member.

On Hyperliquid, crude oil futures rose nearly 25% to as high as about $117 overnight before falling by around 14.5% to roughly $100 after the G7 reports emerged. The reversal suggested traders were quickly repricing the risk of a coordinated reserve release even as the conflict continued to threaten supply.

OIL/USD price chart. Source: Hyperliquid

Bitcoin rebounds after earlier drop

Bitcoin (BTC) also rebounded after an earlier drop during the oil spike. After falling to about $65,725, CoinGecko data shows BTC climbing as high as $67,992.88 at the time of writing, a gain of roughly 3.45% in a few hours.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said in a market note that higher oil prices and Strait of Hormuz tensions could weigh on risk appetite and complicate the outlook for volatile assets such as Bitcoin.

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“Historically, periods when oil prices regain strength often coincide with BTC end-of-cycle phases,” he wrote. 

Source: CryptoQuant

Hyperliquid HIP-3 hits record weekend volume on oil price surge

The episode also underscored how onchain venues can attract demand when traditional markets are closed.

Hyperliquid’s oil-linked contracts had already surged after the initial US-Israeli strike on Iran in late February, with traders turning to decentralized perpetuals for round-the-clock commodity exposure. Hyperliquid data shows that Tradexyz, a trading interface built on Hyperliquid, reached its highest weekend volume of over $610 million on Feb. 28.

Related: Iranian crypto outflows spike 700% after US-Israeli airstrikes

As the conflict escalates, oil prices have continued to rise, and Tradexyz has surpassed its previous weekend record with nearly $720 million in trading volume over the weekend, onchain analytics hub Pine Analytics said in an X post on Monday. 

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“These two waves of demand in the past month on Tradexyz show the platform is absorbing demand for traditional assets by people who don’t have TradFi access, or at points in time when these exchanges are offline,” Pine wrote.