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CFTC defends prediction market enforcement as states challenge platforms

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CFTC defends prediction market enforcement as states challenge platforms

Michael Selig, President Donald Trump’s nominee to serve as Commodity Futures Trading Commission chairman, testifies in a Senate Agriculture Committee hearing on his nomination on Capitol Hill, Nov. 19, 2025.

Jonathan Ernst | Reuters

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed an amicus brief in federal court on Tuesday to assert the agency’s right to enforce prediction markets instead of individual states, according to its new chairman, Michael Selig.

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Selig argued in a Monday Wall Street Journal op-ed that the CFTC has always had authority over prediction markets and determining whether the event contracts constitute gambling, as critics allege. Selig noted nearly 50 active legal cases against prediction markets and said the CFTC would be stepping in to prevent state encroachment.

“The CFTC will no longer sit idly by while overzealous state governments undermine the agency’s exclusive jurisdiction over these markets by seeking to establish statewide prohibitions on these exciting products,” he wrote.

The move comes as prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket face legal challenges in multiple states over event contracts. The platforms allow users to bet on the outcomes of events in pop culture, sports, entertainment and more.

Critics of prediction markets have argued that the offerings amount to little more than gambling, though Kalshi has defended its platform and argued that it abides by federal regulations. Sports betting on the prediction platforms has drawn comparisons to legalized sports betting in the U.S.

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In his first public comments as CFTC chairman at the end of January, Selig said he was prepared to draft new, clear rules to govern prediction markets and revisit the agency’s rules on involvement in federal and circuit court cases.

“Where jurisdictional questions are at issue, the Commission has the expertise and responsibility to defend its exclusive jurisdiction over commodity derivatives,” he said at the time.

In his Monday op-ed, Selig said event contracts “serve legitimate economic functions” and operate under CFTC rules as “swaps” rather than gambling. He also posited that trading on event contracts is beneficial for the market and for Americans at large.

“These exchanges aren’t the Wild West, as some critics claim, but self-regulatory organizations that are examined and supervised by experienced CFTC staff,” Selig wrote.

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In a Tuesday video posted to X, Selig said his message to those who challenge the CFTC’s authority is clear: “We will see you in court.”

“Today, the CFTC is taking an important step to ensure that these markets have a place here in America and have the integrity and resilience and vibrancy that our derivative markets deserve,” he said.

Selig said the amicus brief would be filed in the Ninth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in support of Crypto.com in its dispute with the Nevada Gaming Control Board.

CNBC could not verify that the amicus brief had been filed.

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Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes a CNBC minority investment.

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What next as bitcoin’s price trades above its 50-day average?

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What next as bitcoin's price trades above its 50-day average?

Bitcoin’s price has risen past its key average for the first time in two months, signaling strengthening bullish momentum.

The cryptocurrency’s price has gained over 3% to $73,700 in 24 hours, topping the 50-day moving average, which stood at $71,125 at the time of writing. The positive price action follows days of resilient performance amid the Iran war and global equity turmoil, especially in Asian markets.

The so-called 50-day moving average is one of the most widely tracked momentum indicators in the market, which analysts recently cited as one of the formidable resistance levels holding back gains.

“This indicator often signals the medium-term trend, and a confident break above it would be an important turning point in the coming days,” Alex Kuptsikevich, senior market analyst at FxPro, said in an email.

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Note, however, that the bullish breakout doesn’t necessarily promise a sustained uptrend. For instance, the previous one in early January was followed by an 8% price rise, but the momentum lasted just two weeks before selling resumed. Previous instances have delivered mixed results as well.

For now, the breakout, points to a continued move higher and perhaps increased volatility as prices move closer to the $75,000 mark. This is the level where market makers – those ensuring a smooth trading experience by providing liquidity on an exchange – hold net short gamma positions worth billions, as CoinDesk noted Friday.

So, as prices rise toward $75,000, they are likely to buy high to rebalance their net exposure to neutral. This could add to market volatility.

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Crypto trading firm Blockfills has filed for bankruptcy

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Crypto trading firm Blockfills has filed for bankruptcy

Blockfills, a Chicago-based crypto trading firm, has filed for bankruptcy, as the crypto winter takes its toll on the industry.

On Sunday, BlockFills operator Reliz Ltd. and three affiliated entities filed voluntary Chapter 11 restructuring petitions in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware, according to documents seen by CoinDesk.

The court filing shows Reliz reporting assets between $50 million and $100 million against liabilities of $100 million to $500 million, a stark indicator of the mounting pressures in its crypto trading operations.

The company decided to file for bankruptcy after consulting all stakeholders, it said in an official statement.

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“After extensive discussions with investors, clients, creditors, and other stakeholders, BlockFills has determined that a voluntary chapter 11 filing is the most responsible path forward in order to preserve the value of the business and maximize recoveries for stakeholders. This filing will allow the firm to implement an orderly restructuring while maintaining transparency and oversight through the court-supervised process,” it said.

“To that end, on March 15, 2026, certain BlockFills-related entities filed a voluntary petition to restructure under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware,” it added.

CoinDesk reported last month that the crypto lender had lost about $75 million and was seeking a buyer or emergency funding.

BlockFills is a crypto trading and lending firm that provides liquidity, financing and risk-management services to institutional clients. Its platform facilitates crypto lending and borrowing, derivatives trading and over-the-counter (OTC) execution for hedge funds, asset managers, market makers and mining companies.

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The company is backed by institutional investors including Susquehanna Private Equity Investments, CME Ventures, Simplex Ventures, C6E and Nexo Inc.

A U.S. federal judge issued a temporary restraining order (TRO) against BlockFills last week in a lawsuit brought by Dominion Capital.

Dominion alleged that the firm had misappropriated and improperly retained millions of dollars in customer crypto assets, commingled client funds and concealed significant losses.

BlockFills said on Feb. 11 it was halting customer withdrawals and deposits due to recent market and financial conditions.

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The company said at the time it was working with investors and clients to reach a swift resolution and restore liquidity to the platform. CoinDesk later reported that the crypto lender had lost about $75 million and was seeking a buyer or emergency funding.

CoinDesk also reported that BlockFills co-founder and CEO Nicholas Hammer had stepped down from his leadership role. Joseph Perry is the firm’s interim CEO.

BlockFills said it processed more than $60 billion in trading volume in 2025, up 28% from the prior year, and is among the more active institutional crypto lending and borrowing desks. The firm serves about 2,000 institutional clients, including hedge funds, asset managers and mining firms.

Read more: U.S. judge freezes BlockFills assets in dispute over 70 bitcoin with creditor Dominion Capital

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US Stablecoin Yield Ban May See Others Step Up: Ledger Exec

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US Stablecoin Yield Ban May See Others Step Up: Ledger Exec

A block on stablecoin yield payments in the US will likely prompt other countries to step up and offer the option, according to Takatoshi Shibayama, Asia-Pacific lead at crypto wallet company Ledger. 

Shibayama told Cointelegraph that if a wider ban on stablecoin yields is enacted in the US, it “definitely opens up a conversation” between institutions, stablecoin issuers and regulators overseas about how to respond.

He said countries such as Australia have given stablecoin issuers a regulatory carveout, but most stablecoins, even outside of the US, are “not providing yields or rewards to their user base just so that they can protect the banks’ interest.”

“If that were to change in the US, then I think it definitely opens up a lot of conversation between the stablecoin issuers and the regulators to allow yields or rewards to be passed through to their user base,” Shibayama said.

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Takatoshi Shibayama, pictured in an interview in June, says it’s likely other countries could move on stablecoin yields if the US doesn’t. Source: YouTube

The US Senate is currently working on a bill to outline how market regulators will police crypto, but a banking lobby-supported provision to ban third-party platforms from offering stablecoin yields has stalled the legislation, as crypto lobbyists have resisted the ban.

Meanwhile, Shibayama said there’s been a shift in how Asia’s financial heavyweights have approached crypto.

Asia’s institutions focused on blockchain, not crypto

Shibayama said that since last year, “there has been a bit of a decoupling of crypto and the rest of blockchain technology” in Asia, and institutions are not really looking at products offering exposure to cryptocurrencies.

“They’re really looking at: Can they tokenize their financial products? Can they issue stablecoins?” he said. “There’s been lots of talks around that as opposed to offering DeFi and staking.”

“The institutions have carefully selected what they want out of this blockchain technology and then leaving crypto — the Bitcoins and Ethereums of the world — out of the conversation.”

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Related: Blockchain firm eyes $200M in tokenized water projects across Asia

Shibayama said asset managers “are a little bit different” and are still looking at launching crypto products to increase the variety of what they can offer to clients, and are also drawn to doing so as there aren’t “strict regulations around them having to have a regulated custodian.”