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China holiday spending sends a strong signal on consumer stimulus plans

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China's consumption sector will compliment the over-crowded AI theme: CIO

People watch performances to welcome the ‘God of Wealth’ during Lunar New Year festivities at Qianmen Street in Beijing, China, on February 21, 2026.

Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

BEIJING — China’s consumer market is recovering — just enough that policymakers likely won’t need to roll out the large-scale stimulus that investors have long hoped for.

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The nine-day Lunar New Year, which ended Monday, saw a steady rise in spending across the country, from hotel bookings to duty-free shopping. Rail travel hit a record of over 18.7 million passengers in a single day.

The better-than-expected data suggest that Beijing’s recent support measures are effective, while underscoring a broader consumer trend: spending on experiences such as travel and entertainment is still picking up faster than traditional goods, CCB International Securities said in a report Tuesday.

China’s retail sales have remained sluggish since the pandemic. Unlike the U.S., which handed out cash to consumers, Beijing has instead offered trade-in programs and vouchers. Chinese authorities have increasingly emphasized the need to boost consumers’ incomes, but have yet to release details.

That’s not likely to change soon.

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China's consumption sector will compliment the over-crowded AI theme: CIO

“Policymakers are likely to build on the positive [holiday] momentum and introduce targeted, incremental easing around the March Two Sessions to stabilize expectations and sustain the recovery,” the CCB analysts said, referring to the annual parliamentary meetings that kicks off next week.

Chinese Premier Li Qiang is set to announce the year’s economic targets and policy priorities on March 5.

Still price-conscious

Despite the travel rebound, consumers remained price sensitive. Nationwide, tourism trips per day grew by 5.7% on average from a year ago, in line with 2025, according to official holiday figures released late Tuesday. Even though spending climbed by 5.5%, it slowed from 7% in 2025.

“Such trends reflect better sentiment from a longer holiday, but consumers remained budget cautious in general,” Morgan Stanley Equity Analyst Lillian Lou said in a report Wednesday.

In a sign of persistent deflationary pressure, the holiday recorded a 0.2% drop in average spend per tourist trip compared with a year ago, according to CNBC’s analysis of official data.

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To boost consumer spending, China extended the official holiday period by one day compared with last year. Many people also took personal leave around the holiday, suggesting the official figures may not capture the entire spending picture.

“The extended holiday encouraged families to travel together,” Jihong He, chief strategy officer at H World Group, one of China’s largest hotel operators, said in a statement.

“That shift is driving demand for larger rooms and family-friendly configurations designed for shared experiences,” He said.

H World operates more than 12,000 hotels across over 30 brands in mainland China. For the Lunar New Year, the company said the top 10 destinations, with hotel occupancy rates of 90% or higher, were all located in southern or coastal cities, including Sanya in the tropical island province of Hainan.

China in December expanded a zero-tariff policy for the island to encourage duty-free luxury goods purchases within the mainland. Official figures showed Hainan’s holiday-period duty-free sales rose 30.8% from a year ago to 2.72 billion yuan ($400 million).

Alibaba-owned travel booking platform Fliggy said bookings for hotel and theme park packages during the holiday season more than doubled from last year. More remote, scenic destinations such as Altay in Xinjiang and Pu’er in Yunnan also saw bookings more than double, the company said.

Government support

China has sought to promote its growing services sector. This month, the National Bureau of Statistics disclosed that it was giving more weight to services in its consumer price index than in the previous base period in 2020.

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Even consumer goods in China are increasingly oriented towards dining and social activities, Bruce Pang, adjunct associate professor at CUHK Business School, said in Chinese remarks translated by CNBC.

The key to consumption recovery is confidence in income and employment prospects, he said, rather than shopping promotions. Policymakers should place greater emphasis on those long-term issues, Pang added.

In the fall, China’s top leaders pledged to boost consumption over the next five years, and have subsequently said the country will prioritize domestic demand.

Local governments in China issued more than 2.05 billion yuan in consumption vouchers and subsidies ahead of the holiday, CCB analysts said, “effectively putting a floor under demand.”

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However, prioritizing consumption does not necessarily signal sweeping stimulus, said Liqian Ren, director of Modern Alpha at U.S.-based fund manager WisdomTree.

Instead, Beijing appears focused on preventing consumption growth from slipping below a certain level, Ren noted, indicating sector growth of roughly 2% to 3%.

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US Treasury calls bank CEOs over cyber risks tied to Anthropic’s Claude Mythos model

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OpenAI buys tech talk show TBPN as it builds out communication strategy

The US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, has reportedly met with major American bank leaders this week as officials assessed potential cyber threats that Anthropic’s latest artificial intelligence system poses.

Summary

  • Scott Bessent convened major U.S. bank CEOs to assess cybersecurity risks linked to Anthropic’s Claude Mythos AI model following a code leak.
  • The model reportedly uncovered thousands of long-standing software vulnerabilities, raising concerns over misuse by hackers and threats to financial stability.
  • Anthropic’s revenue surpassed $30 billion annualized, driven by enterprise demand, major compute deals with Google and Broadcom, and the growth of its Claude Code platform.

According to reports, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent brought together senior executives at the department’s Washington headquarters, with Jerome Powell also said to be present. The meeting followed the unveiling of Anthropic’s Claude Mythos model, which the company has described as posing “unprecedented” cybersecurity risks.

Concerns surrounding the model intensified after its code was leaked earlier this month. In a subsequent blog post, Anthropic said advanced AI systems had surpassed “all but the most skilled humans at finding and exploiting software vulnerabilities,” warning that the consequences for economies, public safety, and national security “could be severe.”

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The gathering took place while bank executives were already in Washington for an industry event, with invitations largely extended to leaders of systemically important institutions. Regulators consider these banks critical to financial stability, meaning disruptions to their operations could have far-reaching consequences.

Attendees reportedly included David Solomon of Goldman Sachs, Brian Moynihan of Bank of America, Jane Fraser of Citigroup, Ted Pick of Morgan Stanley, and Charlie Scharf of Wells Fargo. Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase was invited but did not attend.

In his annual shareholder letter released this week, Dimon cautioned that cybersecurity “remains one of our biggest risks,” adding that artificial intelligence “will almost surely make this risk worse.”

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Anthropic said its yet-to-be-released Mythos model has already identified thousands of vulnerabilities across software and widely used applications. As a result, access to the system has been limited to a small group of companies, including Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft.

The move marks the first time the company has restricted a product rollout. Select infrastructure and technology groups, such as Cisco and Broadcom, have also been granted access, along with the Linux Foundation.

The developments come as fears grow that malicious actors could use advanced AI tools to uncover passwords or break encryption systems designed to protect sensitive data.

Anthropic said some of the flaws identified by Mythos date back as far as 27 years and had not been detected by developers or security monitors before the AI system surfaced them.

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The Treasury meeting also follows a recent decision by the US government to classify Anthropic as a potential supply chain risk, a designation the company is currently challenging in court.

Despite the ongoing regulatory scrutiny and a supply chain risk designation from the U.S. Department of Defense, Anthropic has reported unprecedented financial momentum.

In a recent blog post released on April 6, the company said its annualized revenue run rate exceeded $30 billion as of early April 2026, more than tripling from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025. 

Part of that growth has been driven by new compute partnerships with Google and Broadcom, highlighting rising demand for large-scale AI infrastructure. This agreement secures multiple gigawatts of next-generation TPU capacity to power frontier Claude models through 2027 and beyond. 

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Its agentic coding platform, Claude Code, has emerged as a key contributor, generating more than $2.5 billion in run-rate revenue as of February.

Weekly active users on the platform have also doubled since the start of the year, pointing to rapid adoption of AI-driven development tools as the company shifts its focus toward high-value enterprise agents.

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CFTC Announces Initial Crypto Task Force Members

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CFTC Announces Initial Crypto Task Force Members

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission has unveiled the first members of its new innovation task force as the agency continues its push to provide greater clarity for the crypto market.

The Innovation Task Force was initially launched by CFTC Chairman Mike Selig on March 24, who appointed Michael Passalacqua as the leader of the group. Passalacqua is currently the senior advisor to Selig at the CFTC.

In an announcement Friday, the CFTC said that Passalacqua will be joined by a list of five initial members including Hank Balaban, a former Latham & Watkins crypto lawyer; Sam Canavos, an ex-Patomak crypto and prediction markets advisor; Mark Fajfar, a CFTC legal veteran; Eugene Gonzalez IV, an ex-Sidley blockchain lawyer; and Dina Moussa, a CFTC Market Participants Division special counsel.

“The Innovation Task Force brings together a leading team that exhibits deep expertise and an enthusiastic commitment to deliver clear rules of the road for American innovators,” Selig said.

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The move is part of a broader push from both the CFTC and Securities and Exchange Commission to provide regulatory clarity for the digital asset sector under the direction of the Donald Trump administration.

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Source: Michael Passalacqua

CFTC pushing for clarity as major bill stalls

On Friday, Selig also announced the CFTC’s “innovation tracker,” which highlights all the work done under Selig to help “advance regulatory clarity, market integrity, and responsible technological progress.”

The website lists three key innovation areas the agency is focused on, including crypto and blockchain, artificial intelligence and autonomous systems, and contracts and prediction markets.

Related: Prediction market users await Artemis II mission splashdown

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The CFTC in particular could be set to be the main overseer of the industry, with the SEC proposing in mid-March that the agency doesn’t see most crypto assets falling under its jurisdiction as securities.

However, the certainty of both agencies’ roles is still largely dependent on whether the Clarity Act passes through the upper levels of government and becomes enshrined as law — something SEC Chair Paul Atkins called for via X on Thursday.

The SEC and CFTC are “ready to implement the CLARITY Act,” he said, adding: “It’s time for Congress to future-proof against rogue regulators and advance comprehensive market structure legislation to President Trump’s desk.”

Magazine: Should users be allowed to bet on war and death in prediction markets?

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