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China’s Alibaba AI Predicts the Price of XRP, Solana and Bitcoin By the End of 2026

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When prompted with carefully engineered sentences, China’s Alibaba AI (aka KIMI) model reveals detailed and ambitious price scenarios for XRP, Solana, and Bitcoin by the end of the year.

Based on KIMI’s assessment, a prolonged crypto bull cycle alongside clearer and more constructive regulation in the United States could lift major digital assets to new all-time highs (ATHs) over the coming eleven months.

Below, we break down KIMI’s projections for the three leading cryptocurrencies.

XRP ($XRP): Alibaba AI Charts a Clear Path Toward $10 by 2027

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Ripple’s XRP ($XRP) is the largest cryptocurrency for institutional-grade cross-border payments.

Just last week, Ripple, in a blog post, teased its blockchain’s growing utility for institutional-grade payments and tokenization. To XRP HODLers, the message was clear: XRP has a central role in Ripple’s protocol.

alibaba ai xrp
Source: KIMI

Currently trading around $1.45, KIMI estimates that under sustained bullish conditions, XRP could surge to as high as $10 by the end of 2026. That scenario would translate into gains of roughly 600%, or close to 7x increase from current prices.

From a technical perspective, XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 30, placing the asset on the boundary of oversold territory. This often signals that selling pressure is close to peaking, with buyers likely to step in at current levels to capitalize on discounted prices.

At the same time, January’s support and resistance zones formed bullish flag patterns across late 2025 and early 2026, a technical structure that frequently precedes upside breakouts.

Institutional inflows from newly approved U.S.-based XRP exchange-traded funds, along with Ripple’s growing network of partners and the possibility of the US CLARITY bill getting finalised this year, could act as the explosive catalysts needed to hit Alibaba’s target.

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Solana (SOL): Alibaba AI Sees SOL at $400

The Solana ($SOL) network now hosts approximately $6.4 billion in total value locked (TVL) and commands a market cap close to $50 billion, supported by steady gains in network usage, developer engagement, and daily users.

Investor interest in SOL has intensified following the launch of Solana-linked ETFs from major asset managers, including Bitwise and Grayscale.

After undergoing a sharp correction in late 2025, SOL spent recent months consolidating around a crucial support range and currently trades near $85.

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Like most altcoins, Solana’s price action remains closely correlated with Bitcoin. If BTC reclaims the $100,000 level, a milestone it could reach before midyear, this could quickly set the stage for a strong SOL rebound.

Under KIMI’s most optimistic outlook, Solana could climb to $400 by 2027. That would represent nearly 5x returns for current HODLers while decisively pipping its previous ATH of $293, set last January.

Institutional adoption continues to reinforce Solana’s long-term thesis. The network is increasingly being used for real-world asset tokenization, with firms such as Franklin Templeton and BlackRock leveraging Solana for the tech so far.

Bitcoin (BTC): Alibaba AI Predicts 1BTC will Soon be Half a Million Dollars

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Bitcoin ($BTC), the first and largest cryptocurrency by market value, reached a fresh ATH of $126,080 on October 6 and has been pulling back ever since.

Despite the troubles, KIMI’s analysis suggests that Bitcoin’s broader year-over-year uptrend can still continue, with 2026 price targets stretching to between $150,000 and by $500,000.

Often described as digital gold, Bitcoin continues to attract both institutional and retail investors seeking protection against inflation and broader macroeconomic uncertainty.

Bitcoin currently accounts for roughly $1.4 trillion of the $2.4 trillion total cryptocurrency market. Since setting its latest all-time high, BTC has declined by about 45% and now trades below $70,000, following two sharp selloffs exacerbated by geopolitical tensions surrounding potential U.S. military action involving Iran and Greenland.

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Looking past near-term risks, KIMI’s outlook points to accelerating institutional participation and post-halving supply constraints as major drivers that could push Bitcoin to multiple new highs this year.

Moreover, if U.S. lawmakers advance proposals to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Bitcoin’s long-term upside could exceed even KIMI’s already bullish projections.

New Maxi Doge Presale Could Be the Next Dogecoin

Finally, outside of Alibaba’s AI-driven forecasts, Maxi Doge ($MAXI) is one of the most talked-about meme coin presales of 2026, raising $4.6 million ahead of its public launch.

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The project’s mascot is a high-octane parody (and envious distant cousin) of Dogecoin, combining gym-bro bravado with unapologetic degen humor.

Loud, pumped, and intentionally over the top, Maxi Doge fully embraces the irreverent spirit that originally propelled Dogecoin and Shiba Inu into the spotlight.

MAXI is an ERC-20 token on Ethereum’s proof-of-stake network, giving it a notably smaller environmental footprint compared to Dogecoin’s proof-of-work design.

During the presale, participants can stake MAXI tokens to earn yields of up to 68% APY, with returns gradually declining as the staking pool expands.

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The token is currently priced at $0.0002803 in the latest presale phase, with automatic price increases applied at each funding milestone. Purchases are supported via MetaMask and Best Wallet.

Say goodbye to Dogecoin. Maxi Doge is the new alpha in Dogesville!

Stay updated through Maxi Doge’s official X and Telegram pages.

Visit the Official Maxi Doge Website Here

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The post China’s Alibaba AI Predicts the Price of XRP, Solana and Bitcoin By the End of 2026 appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Aave V4 Launches on Ethereum Mainnet

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Aave V4 Launches on Ethereum Mainnet


Announced at EthCC in Cannes, the upgrade enables institution-specific borrowing environments, structured credit products, and RWA-backed lending within a unified liquidity system.

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Australia passes crypto regulation requiring exchanges to obtain financial services licenses

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Australia passes crypto regulation requiring exchanges to obtain financial services licenses

Australia passed legislation on Wednesday, creating its first comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets that requires crypto exchanges and custody providers to obtain financial services licenses.

The Corporations Amendment (Digital Assets Framework) Bill 2025 cleared both houses on April 1, bringing firms that hold digital assets on behalf of customers into the existing Australian Financial Services Licence regime.

Australia’s bill creates two new regulated categories under the Corporations Act: digital asset platforms, which hold crypto on behalf of users, and tokenized custody platforms, which hold real-world assets and issue a corresponding digital token.

Operators of both must obtain an Australian Financial Services License from ASIC, bringing them under the same core rules as brokers or fund managers, including requirements to safeguard client assets, provide standardized disclosures, avoid misleading conduct, and maintain dispute resolution and compensation systems.

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Instead of regulating crypto itself, the law targets the companies in the middle that control customer funds, aiming to reduce risks like commingling, insolvency, and misuse of assets that have caused losses in past crypto failures.

Research from the Digital Finance Cooperative Research Center and industry groups estimates Australia could generate as much as A$24 billion annually from tokenized markets, payments, and digital assets, roughly 1% of GDP. Under the previous regulatory path, the country was on track to capture just A$1 Billion of that by 2030.

A Kraken spokesperson said the law provides a “top-down signal” that Australia is serious about digital assets, adding that clearer rules would give firms confidence to invest and expand locally.

Kate Cooper, CEO of OKX Australia and co-chair of the Digital Economy Council of Australia, called the bill a “pivotal moment,” saying it establishes a foundation for institutional participation and long-term capital allocation.

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Price of tungsten, sulfur and helium

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How the Iran war is squeezing metals markets and key industries

Almonty’s tungsten mine in Sangdong, South Korea, in March 2026.

Almonty

BEIJING — The Iran war is squeezing a global commodities market already pressured by China’s export controls and stockpiling efforts.

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Prices of three niche elements — tungsten, sulfur and helium — have climbed sharply in recent weeks.

While none of the commodities are traded as widely as oil, the surge indicates how ripple effects from the Middle East conflict could end up restricting production of the semiconductors that power artificial intelligence advances.

Tungsten, a metal nearly as hard as a diamond, creates the electrical connection in the core of a semiconductor chip. Sulfuric acid, a byproduct of sulfur, cleans chip wafers. Helium enables smooth production of semiconductors since the gas prevents unwanted chemical reactions in the manufacturing process.

Those are just some of the ways in which the three elements have become critical for modern manufacturing, including for defense.

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Beijing started to ramp up its control over the critical supplies even before the Iran war started on Feb. 28, partly as tensions with the U.S. escalated over the last few years.

China started restricting tungsten exports just over a year ago, and in December called for tighter limits on sulfuric acid exports. Helium, a gas that’s difficult to store, saw the volume of Chinese imports rise by 15.7% in 2025, after a nearly 65% surge in 2024, according to Wind Information.

The Iran war and the ensuing constraints on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical Middle East shipping route for energy and chemicals, has tipped some oversupply situations into undersupply, while exacerbating existing shortages.

How the Iran war is squeezing metals markets and key industries

Prices of the three commodities have jumped in some cases by more than oil. The widely used fossil fuel has climbed by more than 50% in March, putting Brent on track for a record month.

“While the Chinese supply chain is being viewed as more resilient than many peers, the risk of disruption in chemicals as raw materials for manufacturers in selected segments is higher than expected based on the feedback,” Goldman Sachs analysts said in a report late last week, citing nearly 40 commodity-related meetings and site visits in China.

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Tungsten

Tungsten hit a record high of over $3,000 late last week, marking a surge of well over 50% for the month and more than tripling in price since late December. That’s based on the industry benchmark called “ammonium para tungstate (APT)” in metric ton units, or MTU, from Fastmarket, as quoted by tungsten miner Almonty.

Almonty officially reopened a large tungsten mine in Sangdong, South Korea, earlier this month, and plans to start producing some tungsten this year at a project in the U.S. state of Montana.

The company’s CEO Lewis Black told CNBC that defense sector demand for tungsten has been “extremely strong” since the beginning of last year, but that there’s been no notable change despite the Iran war.

“There’s no material to stockpile. That’s probably the biggest change,” he said.

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Sulfur

The price of sulfuric acid in Africa is now at least 30% higher than it was prior to the war, and is still rising, the Goldman Sachs analysts said, citing a local Chinese miner in Africa.

Other assessments point to a milder rise in prices.

China sulfur prices, including cost and freight, climbed by about 13% from early March to $621 per tonne as of March 26, according to S&P Global Platts.

“A 2-3 month effective blockade would likely become a severe supply shock, especially as freight/insurance stay elevated and Middle East-origin cargoes become harder to execute,” Pan Yuya, lead analyst for sulfur and phosphate raw materials at S&P Global Energy, and Isaac Zhao, senior principal analyst, China fertilizers at S&P Global Energy, said in a March 20 note.

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The S&P analysts said that around 56% of China’s sulfur imports came from the Middle East in 2025.

“Even prior to the Middle East conflict, sulfur prices were rising sharply as the market tightened. With sulfur prices now at fresh record highs, the ‘super squeeze’ in this rather obscure commodity in supply warrants further examination,” HSBC analysts said in a March 16 report.

Helium

Helium prices have roughly doubled since the Iran war began, according to Fitch Ratings.

As most trading occurs through long-term private contracts between industrial gas suppliers and manufacturers, it is difficult to pinpoint industry-wide prices, said Shelley Jang, Fitch’s director of Asia-Pacific corporate ratings.

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Iranian missile attacks this month crippled a key industrial center in Qatar, which produces about one-third of the world’s helium.

That implies helium supply won’t be restored anytime soon, pointed out Christopher Ecclestone, principal and mining strategist at Hallgarten & Company.

In one indication of further market tightness, prices of helium in China’s Henan province have reversed a downturn this year to climb from a Feb. 28 low of 545 yuan ($78.85) a bottle to 600 yuan ($86.81), according to Wind Information.

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Shortages caused by the Iran war are the latest supply chain disruption to rock global markets, which faced similar shocks from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 and the Covid-19 pandemic. That’s pushed companies to diversify, and countries such as China to ramp up stockpiling plans.

“Access to supplies of certain physical materials where production and processing is concentrated in China will become more frequent topics of negotiations with Beijing,” Rhodium Group said in a March 24 report.

Limited price transparency also means the shortage could be worse than available numbers suggest.

Tungsten and helium prices have been surging, “but you don’t have anyone on the buy side saying, ‘oh my goodness, we don’t have enough product,’” Ecclestone said. “Defense contractors should have warehouses of tungsten, but they don’t.”

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“The world has got lazy. It thinks life is like a supermarket, the product is a pack of cornflakes or a few tons of sulfuric acid,” he said. “The supermarket of commodities has had a few of the aisles chopped down.”

Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.

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Valinor Raises $25M Seed Round to Bring Private Credit Onchain

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Valinor Raises $25M Seed Round to Bring Private Credit Onchain


The ex-Blackstone team wants to move beyond crypto-collateralized loans and into ‘real economy credit’ as the tokenized RWA sector continues to grow.

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Fidelity says Bitcoin’s Cycle Drawdown is the Mildest Yet

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Fidelity says Bitcoin’s Cycle Drawdown is the Mildest Yet

Bitcoin has declined by about 50% this market cycle, far less than in previous cycles, Fidelity Digital Assets said, adding this trend could continue over time. 

Bitcoin’s post-all-time-high drawdowns have historically been steep, at about 80% to 90%, but this cycle has been about 50%, Fidelity Digital Assets research analyst Zack Wainwright said Tuesday.

One can see the “diminishing returns” that have developed from cycle to cycle when looking at Bitcoin’s price performance from the perspective of the previous all-time high, he said.

“Each cycle has been less dramatic to the upside than the previous,” he said. “Downside risk has been less dramatic in 2026, the current cycle, as well,” he added. 

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Bitcoin’s price hit its current cycle low of just over $60,000 on Feb. 6, a decline of 52% from its Oct. 6 all-time high of about $126,000, according to TradingView. It is currently down 46% from its peak six months ago. 

The previous cycle saw a much larger decline of 77%, from the 2021 all-time high of $69,000 to a bear market low just below $16,000 in November 2022. 

Bitcoin may bottom in late September

Fidelity’s assessment that this Bitcoin cycle is notably shallower than prior cycles “indicates a maturing market with reduced volatility and stronger institutional confidence,” Nick Ruck, director of LVRG Research, told Cointelegraph on Wednesday. 

“This shift signals that Bitcoin is changing from a speculative asset toward a more stable store of value, potentially paving the way for greater adoption in the future.”

Related: Bitcoin’s $10K range expected to hold until spot traders show up: Data

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Meanwhile, Alphractal founder Joao Wedson observed Tuesday that Bitcoin’s top occurred 534 days after the last halving, a shorter span than in the previous cycle.

This “decaying pattern” across cycles suggests the historical bottom may occur between 912 and 922 days after the halving, which “points to a bottom in late September or early October 2026,” he said. 

BTC is below key daily moving averages 

Bitcoin remains below the key 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, two long-term trend indicators. 

It is hovering at the 200-week EMA, around $68,000, which has served as a key level of support during previous market downturns. 

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BTC remains below key daily moving averages. Source: TradingView

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