Crypto World
Coinbase Not Supporting New Crypto Bill Compromise: Report
Crypto exchange Coinbase is reportedly against the latest compromise over stablecoin yields that the Senate is looking to include in its crypto market structure bill.
Coinbase representatives told Senate lawmakers in a meeting Monday that they had concerns over the language around stablecoin yields in the new compromise version of the bill, Punchbowl News reported Wednesday, citing four people briefed on the exchange.
A proposal that circulated earlier this week would have reportedly prevented third parties, such as exchanges, from paying stablecoin yields, a measure aimed at addressing banks’ concerns over the risk of deposit flight.
Coinbase is one of the largest crypto lobbyists in the US, and its withdrawal of support for the bill in January came just before the Senate Banking Committee indefinitely postponed a markup to advance the legislation.
Republican Senator Thom Tillis and Democratic Senator Angela Alsobrooks are leading the latest effort to advance the bill, and talks are reportedly ongoing. Coinbase did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Yield fight plagues Senate bill
The fight between the crypto and banking lobbies over the Senate’s bill, which aims to outline how regulators should approach crypto, has largely revolved around stablecoin yields.
The White House has hosted at least three meetings for the groups to agree on a compromise, which has yet to materialize.
Banking groups argue that stablecoin yield payments by exchanges are a loophole in the GENIUS Act, which banned stablecoin issuers from paying yield to holders, and present a risk of deposit flight from the banking system.
Stablecoin yields are a major business for crypto exchanges, and the crypto lobby has argued that the risks are overstated and has accused the banks of anticompetitive behavior.
Related: CLARITY Act 2026 odds ‘extremely low’ if not passed before April: Exec
Republicans are pushing to pass the bill ahead of the midterms, where the makeup of Congress could change and derail momentum around the legislation. The House passed its version of the bill, called the CLARITY Act, in July.
Patrick Witt, the executive director of the President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, posted to X on Wednesday that there was “plenty of uninformed FUD [fear, uncertainty and doubt] circulating on social media this week.”
“It’s all going to work out. Bullish,” he added.
Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis also posted to X on Wednesday that “we can’t wait until 2030 for another chance” to pass the crypto bill.
“Bipartisan compromise is necessary for the Clarity Act to pass,” she added. “We’re working around the clock to ensure stablecoin rewards are protected and to prevent deposit flight from community banks.”
Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026
Crypto World
Chainlink (LINK) Price Update: $14.8M Whale Transfer and Coinbase Partnership Signal Market Shifts
Key Highlights
- LINK currently trades near $9.2, confined within an $8.5 to $9.9 price corridor over the last seven days
- A major holder established 10 fresh wallets, transferring 1.62 million LINK valued at $14.8 million in what appears to be portfolio restructuring
- Exchange Supply Ratio declined to 0.127, matching January lows and indicating token migration away from trading platforms
- Coinbase launched integration with Chainlink DataLink, delivering institutional-quality trading data to blockchain applications
- Stochastic RSI surged from 26 to 44 within 48 hours, indicating emerging buying pressure despite continued selling activity
Chainlink has remained stuck in neutral throughout the previous week. LINK maintains its position at $9.2, oscillating between downside support at $8.5 and upside resistance at $9.9 without achieving a decisive directional move. Trading volume contracted by 32% to reach $649 million daily, signaling reduced market engagement.
While price action remains stagnant, significant developments are unfolding beneath the surface. A prominent whale established 10 fresh wallet addresses and withdrew 1.62 million LINK tokens — representing $14.8 million in value — from a centralized exchange before distributing them to Flowdesk-associated addresses. Blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain documented the transaction and confirmed these tokens were not part of a recent acquisition. The movement suggests strategic wallet management rather than an aggressive buy or sell position.
CryptoQuant’s Spot Average Order Size metrics reveal substantial whale-sized orders concentrated around the $9.2 level during five of the previous seven trading sessions. This confirms that major market participants are engaged at present valuations, although their directional intent remains ambiguous.
Token Migration from Exchanges Reaches Multi-Month Low
The Exchange Supply Ratio (ESR) has experienced consecutive monthly declines, dropping to 0.127 — representing the lowest reading observed since January. A decreasing ESR indicates reduced token balances held on centralized exchanges, which traditionally constrains immediate selling pressure.
Data from Santiment reveals that wallet addresses containing a minimum of 1,000 LINK tokens have expanded to 25,420 — marking the highest tally since December 4th. This development suggests larger investors are methodically accumulating positions during the current consolidation phase.
Exchange Netflow metrics have shifted positive at 101,000 LINK, reflecting greater inflows to exchanges than outflows. This confirms that active distribution remains ongoing, contributing to the persistent price consolidation.
Bullish Momentum Emerges Against Overhead Pressure
The Stochastic RSI indicator advanced from 26 to 44 during the past two trading sessions. The Bulls v. Bears gauge demonstrates that buyers are exhibiting stronger conviction in defending elevated price levels compared to sellers attempting to force depreciation. A sustained breakout would require the Stochastic RSI to penetrate the 50 threshold.
Regarding fundamental catalysts, Coinbase revealed its initiative to deliver premium trading information onchain via Chainlink’s DataLink infrastructure. This implementation provides live order book data, spot pricing, and derivatives information to decentralized finance builders. Coinbase VP Liz Martin emphasized the advancement enables developers to construct “more robust onchain apps across derivatives, tokenized assets, and more.” Chainlink CBO Johann Eid characterized the collaboration as establishing a new benchmark for programmable market infrastructure.
At current valuation, LINK exchanges hands at $9.2 with immediate downside protection at $8.5 and near-term upside barrier at $9.9.
The UK government is accelerating plans to impose a temporary ban on political donations made via cryptocurrencies, tying the move to findings from the independent Rycroft Review that examined foreign interference in elections and political processes.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer signaled the government’s intent during a recent Prime Minister’s Question Time, stating that the administration would act decisively to protect democracy and include a moratorium on all political donations conducted through crypto assets. The pledge reflects cross-party concerns that crypto payments could be exploited by foreign actors to influence UK politics, a risk underscored by the independent inquiry.
Under the proposed policy, crypto donations would be prohibited until the government and regulators establish a robust framework capable of ensuring traceability and preventing illicit funding. A separate government statement outlined that the moratorium would apply until the regulatory environment is deemed sufficiently strong to support transparent, accountable fundraising in elections.
Key takeaways
- The UK moves to suspend crypto-based political donations pending a robust regulatory regime aimed at preventing untraceable funds and foreign interference.
- The change is being pursued as part of amendments to the Representation of the People Bill, with retrospective effect from March 25.
- The legislation is at the committee stage in the House of Commons and must pass both Houses and receive royal assent to become law.
- Enforcement includes a 30-day window for political parties and regulated actors to return any unlawful crypto donations once the law takes effect.
- Reform UK, which has publicly accepted crypto donations, illustrates the shifting political dynamics around crypto contributions in the UK.
Rationale, risk, and political momentum
The move follows the Rycroft Review, an independent inquiry that scrutinized foreign financial influence and interference risks in the UK’s electoral architecture. While not the law itself, the review has become a blueprint for where policymakers believe tighter controls are warranted. In public remarks, Starmer framed the moratorium as part of a broader effort to shield democratic processes from covert funding channels. The government’s stance is that crypto donations, if left unregulated, could provide a vehicle for opaque contributions and foreign actors to sway political outcomes.
Observers note that the policy signals a broader shift in how UK politics may handle digital assets in the fundraising space. While crypto markets continue to evolve rapidly, lawmakers are signaling that fundraising mechanisms, disclosures, and enforcement capabilities must keep pace to preserve electoral integrity. The government’s position is that once a robust regulatory environment is in place, the ban would be lifted only after appropriate assurances about transparency and enforcement are satisfied by Parliament and the Electoral Commission.
Legislative path and practical implications
Implementing the moratorium requires amendments to the Representation of the People Bill. The government indicated that changes would take retrospective effect from March 25, aligning with the timeline of the inquiry and the current parliamentary session. The bill is presently at the committee stage in the House of Commons, meaning it must pass through both the Commons and the Lords before reaching royal assent, after which it could become law.
Once in force, the rule would impose a 30-day window for political parties, candidates, and MPs to return any crypto donations deemed unlawful during the interim period. After the window closes, enforcement actions could follow for breaches discovered under the new regime. This phased approach aims to deter crypto-based contributions that lack clear traceability or originate from prohibited sources, while giving political actors time to adjust and comply with the updated requirements.
Crucially, the ban is described as not being lifted until the regulatory framework is judged robust enough to sustain confidence and transparency in donations conducted through digital assets. That implies a potentially lengthy period before any relaxation, contingent on the development and rollout of effective compliance standards, verification processes, and enforcement mechanisms overseen by the Electoral Commission and relevant regulators.
Context, parties, and potential market impact
The policy landscape around crypto donations in the UK has already seen notable developments. Reform UK, for example, was reported to be the first major party to publicly accept crypto donations, with its leadership announcing an intention to accept Bitcoin and other digital assets from eligible donors. The new moratorium framework could complicate such fundraising arrangements, particularly if the donor pool and regulatory expectations become more tightly defined and enforced.
For investors and market participants, the unfolding policy debate underscores how regulatory risk is evolving alongside the crypto sector. While the moratorium targets political fundraising rather than broader market activity, it reflects a broader emphasis on governance, transparency, and anti-fraud controls in digital asset use. Market watchers will be watching not only the trajectory of the Representation of the People Bill, but also how regulators operationalize new rules, such as enhanced monitoring of crypto contributions, heightened disclosures, and potential cross-border compliance requirements.
The timeline remains to be seen. With the next general election due by August 15, 2029, the length of any enforced pause will partly hinge on parliamentary pace and the readiness of the Electoral Commission to administer and enforce the new regime. The case also sits within a wider international dialogue about how democracies regulate crypto philanthropy and campaign funding, a field that is rapidly evolving as lawmakers weigh both security concerns and the potential benefits of digital assets for fundraising.
As the bill advances through Parliament, observers should monitor three critical developments: the precise scope of the ban (whether it applies to all crypto donations or only certain types of gifts), the design and timeline of the regulatory regime that would allow the ban to be lifted, and how enforcement will be operationalized in practice across different political parties and candidates.
In the near term, the government’s priority is to safeguard election integrity while building a credible framework for digital fundraising. Whether the proposed measures will withstand political and legal scrutiny, and how quickly regulators can implement the necessary safeguards, will shape the trajectory of crypto donations in UK politics for the years ahead.
Readers should stay attentive to parliamentary proceedings around the Representation of the People Bill, as well as official statements from the Electoral Commission and the government on the timing and conditions for any potential exemption or lifting of the moratorium. The ongoing debate will likely influence how political campaigns, donors, and crypto firms approach fundraising and compliance in the United Kingdom.
The next phase of the policy process will reveal how aggressively the UK plans to police crypto-backed political giving and whether the regulatory approach can provide a clear, enforceable path for campaign finance in the digital asset era.
A Texas federal court has dismissed a lawsuit filed by crypto developer Michael Lewellen, who sought a court ruling that his software would not violate US money-transmission laws.
Summary
- Texas court dismissed Lewellen lawsuit citing no credible threat of prosecution tied to his software
- Judge referenced DOJ memo stating developers not targeted for user actions or unintended regulatory violations
- Coin Center urges Congress to pass bill clarifying non custodial developers are exempt from money laws
The case focused on Pharos, a tool designed to support donations to charitable crowdfunding campaigns. Chief US District Judge Reed O’Connor dismissed the case on Wednesday. The judge said Lewellen had not shown a credible threat of imminent prosecution tied to his software.
Lewellen reacted to the ruling on X. He wrote,
”Disappointed to see the court dismiss my suit today.”
The court dismissed the case without prejudice, which leaves room for Lewellen to file again after making changes.
In the ruling, the court also cited a Department of Justice memo. That memo said federal prosecutors will no longer target virtual currency exchanges, mixing services, tumbling services, or offline wallets for the acts of end users or for unwitting regulatory violations.
Lewellen rejected that point as enough legal protection. He said,
”A non-binding DoJ memo is no substitute for real legal certainty.”
Judge O’Connor also said the cases Lewellen relied on were not close matches to his own situation.
In addition, Lewellen had argued that developers behind software such as Tornado Cash and Samourai Wallet faced prosecution under similar laws. He used those cases to support his claim that developers like him face a real legal risk.
Judge O’Connor said those prosecutions centered on money laundering. He wrote,
”By contrast, the core conduct here would be running a business.”
He also said Lewellen denied knowingly transmitting criminal funds, which the judge described as central to the earlier cases.
Coin Center and supporters push for legal clarity
Lewellen said his legal team is reviewing its next steps. Coin Center, which backed the lawsuit, said the court’s reliance on the DOJ memo does not resolve the broader issue for software developers.
Coin Center executive director Peter Van Valkenburgh said,
”The Blanche memo is not enough to secure their rights.”
He and Lewellen called on Congress to pass the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act of 2026, introduced by Senator Cynthia Lummis in January. The bill would state that developers of non-custodial software who do not control user funds are not subject to money transmitter laws.
BTC USD is barely holding its ground. Bitcoin price now trades at under $70,000, a 1.6% drop in 24 hours, despite a bullish prediction yesterday. What’s interesting isn’t the number itself, but what the market is refusing to do despite serious headwinds.
Bitcoin rebounded to $71,200 yesterday, before the current pain, after oil prices eased on signals that Trump may pause Iran strikes, triggering a news-led bounce that analyst Blockchain Backer flagged directly: “Bitcoin spot volume falls to 2023 lows as Bitcoin rallies remain newsled,” as geopolitical headline-chasing.
Meanwhile, the Coinbase Premium has turned its most negative in over a month, per Coinglass data, meaning U.S. institutional buyers are consistently bidding below their offshore counterparts on Binance, a signal that has historically preceded periods of price stagnation.
Bitcoin ETF net inflows totaled $1.53 billion in March, ending a three-month outflow streak — but $1.3 billion of that landed in the first two weeks. The pace has collapsed to $195 million since. The macro setup and the on-chain signals are telling two different stories, and that tension is exactly where the price analysis gets complicated.
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Recover to $80,000 Before Q2 2026?
At $69,00, Bitcoin sits 44.4% below its all-time high of $126,080 last year. March futures (BTH26) settled at 70,750 on March 23 with a bid/ask spread of 70,660–70,740, signaling the derivatives market is pricing minimal near-term movement. Spot volume at 2023 lows confirms it: conviction is absent on both sides.
The technical picture shows consolidation without a clear catalyst. The $68,000 psychological level has acted as a floor held across multiple geopolitical shocks, which is genuinely impressive — but there’s no volume confirmation to hold it.
In a perfect world, a sustained Coinbase Premium recovery, combined with ETF inflows accelerating past $500 million per week, could push BTC back toward $80,000–$85,000 by late Q2. A normal Bitcoin price prediction puts BTC to grind sideways between $69,000 and $74,000 as geopolitical noise provides short-term volatility without directional conviction.
In a bear case, a clean breakdown below $68,500 on elevated volume, especially if ETF outflows resume, and reopens the path to $62,000. The range is holding, but it’s a defensive hold, not a confident one, for now.
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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early-Mover Upside as BTC Consolidates at Key Levels
When Bitcoin’s upside is capped by weak institutional demand and news-driven volume, some capital rotates toward infrastructure plays positioned to benefit regardless of BTC’s short-term direction. That’s the thesis gaining traction around Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), a Bitcoin Layer 2 project that has already raised more than $32million in its ongoing presale.
The project’s core claim is aggressive: the first-ever Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, delivering smart contract execution described as faster than Solana itself through extremely low-latency processing. It pairs that with a Decentralized Canonical Bridge for trustless BTC transfers, effectively bringing programmability to Bitcoin’s security layer without sacrificing the base chain’s trust model.
Current presale price sits at $0.0136, with staking live at 36% high APY rewards. Research Bitcoin Hyper ahead of the next price stage.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Always do your own research before investing.
The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Middle East Conflicts and BTC USD Chart Analysis appeared first on Cryptonews.
Key Takeaways
- A bearish reversal requires SOL to fall beneath $88.57—this hasn’t occurred yet.
- The $82–$86 zone shows robust buying activity, supported by Fibonacci levels.
- Price rejection occurred near $92.70, with resistance concentrated between $91–$94.
- Breaking above the $94–$96 threshold could propel SOL toward $98 and beyond.
- Major compliance firm Elliptic has partnered with Solana’s Developer Platform, bringing enterprise-grade tools used by Mastercard, Worldpay, and Western Union.
Solana continues defending a critical support area as market participants monitor a tight price corridor that may determine the asset’s upcoming trajectory. Multiple technical formations indicate indecision, while fresh institutional collaboration strengthens the network’s infrastructure.
The token has been trading within the $82 to $86 bracket, a zone that aligns with key Fibonacci retracement markers and an ascending trendline. This convergence indicates persistent demand at these price points. Following successful defense of this area, a consolidation pattern has emerged.
The subsequent upward movement from this foundation displayed an A-B-C corrective wave formation visible on shorter timeframes. Such patterns generally indicate consolidation rather than trend reversal. While this maintains bullish potential, it stops short of confirming directional commitment.
$91–$94 Zone Acts as Ceiling
During recent attempts to climb higher, SOL encountered significant selling pressure. The $91–$94 area features clustered Fibonacci resistance levels creating a formidable barrier. Price rejection around $92.70 demonstrated continued seller presence at these elevations.
Should this overhead resistance persist, expect potential retracement toward $85 or marginally lower to absorb liquidity. This wouldn’t compromise the overarching structure unless price action breaches $88.57—the critical threshold analysts identify as confirming bearish control.
Conversely, decisive movement above the $94–$96 region would shift technical dynamics. Such a breakthrough would negate the corrective interpretation and establish pathways toward $98 or higher targets.
The SOL/BTC trading pair reveals encouraging developments. Daily timeframe analysis shows the pair challenging horizontal resistance while maintaining position above an upward-sloping trendline. The Relative Strength Index demonstrates upward momentum and recently crossed above its signal line, indicating strengthening performance against Bitcoin.
Weekly chart examination places SOL near the lower boundary of a widening wedge formation. Maintaining this support level is crucial. Failure would suggest extended downside risk, while successful defense preserves recovery possibilities within the pattern.
Major Compliance Integration Announced
Beyond technical considerations, Solana secured an important infrastructure advancement. Elliptic has been designated as the official compliance partner for Solana’s Developer Platform.
This platform provides developers with unified access to construct financial applications including tokenized deposits, stablecoin payment systems, and real-world asset infrastructure. Elliptic contributes integrated wallet screening capabilities, transaction surveillance, and comprehensive risk assessment tools.
Notable organizations already utilizing the platform include payment giants Mastercard, Worldpay, and Western Union.
Currently, SOL must maintain support above $88.57 to preserve existing technical formation, while the $91–$94 region remains the critical area monitoring for potential breakout scenarios.
Google has set 2029 as its target to roll out post-quantum cryptography across its products, adding a firm deadline to a risk that has moved closer in recent years.
Summary
- Google sets 2029 deadline for post quantum cryptography amid faster progress in quantum computing hardware
- Ethereum plans protocol level quantum resistance while Bitcoin community remains divided on urgency and approach
- Solana introduces quantum resistant vaults but requires users to shift funds into specialized wallet structures
The company linked that timeline to faster gains in quantum hardware, better error correction, and new estimates on how quickly current encryption could become vulnerable.
Google said the industry should move sooner rather than later as quantum computing advances continue. The company stated that current cryptographic standards used for encryption and digital signatures will not remain safe forever.
In its update, Google said,
”Quantum computers will pose a threat to current cryptographic standards.”
It also said post-quantum migration is needed so users can continue to rely on secure authentication services across its products.
The 2029 timeline marks the first time Google has attached a clear migration target to its post-quantum work. That date arrives earlier than some estimates for Q-Day, the point when quantum machines could break widely used public-key encryption.
Google said it wants to set a public example for other companies and institutions. The company added, ”It’s our responsibility to lead by example and share an ambitious timeline,” while calling for wider action across the industry.
Moreover, the push toward quantum-safe systems is also gaining attention in crypto. The Ethereum Foundation launched a Post-Quantum Ethereum resource hub this week and said it wants protocol-level protections in place by 2029.
Ethereum’s plan focuses on securing the network against future quantum threats, with execution-layer work expected later. The effort reflects broader concern over how blockchains that rely on existing cryptographic systems may need upgrades over time.
Bitcoin and Solana show different approaches
Solana developers introduced a quantum-resistant vault in January 2025. The design uses hash-based signatures and creates a new key during each transaction, but users must move funds into special Winternitz vaults because the feature does not upgrade the full network.
Bitcoin developers remain divided on timing and need. Blockstream chief executive Adam Back said quantum risks are overstated and that action is not needed for decades, while Ethan Heilman and other researchers backed BIP-360, a proposal that would add a new output type to reduce short-exposure quantum risks.
Key Highlights
- Bitcoin surged past the $71,000 threshold driven by Middle East de-escalation optimism boosting risk-on sentiment
- Tehran dismissed Washington’s ceasefire initiative despite Trump’s claims, creating market confusion with contradictory messaging
- American equity futures declined 0.4% during Wednesday’s evening session amid persistent geopolitical concerns
- Crude oil retreated on peace prospects, with WTI closing at $90.32 and Brent finishing at $102.22
- The United Kingdom prohibited cryptocurrency contributions to political organizations and limited foreign donations to £100,000 annually
The flagship cryptocurrency rallied past the $71,000 mark on Wednesday as market participants priced in potential de-escalation between Washington, Tel Aviv, and Tehran. By early evening Eastern Time, Bitcoin was trading at $71,129, representing a 1.1% gain.
The week had started with the digital asset dipping beneath the $70,000 level following escalating tensions in the Middle East that prompted widespread liquidation across risky investments.
President Trump indicated on Tuesday that discussions were underway with Iranian officials, suggesting Tehran might be receptive to diplomatic resolution. Multiple sources reported that Washington had submitted a comprehensive 15-point framework designed to terminate hostilities.
However, Iran’s communications presented conflicting narratives. Fars News Agency stated that Tehran rejected any ceasefire arrangement, while Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi explicitly denied ongoing negotiations with American counterparts.
Iranian state media published five core requirements, including complete cessation of military operations and global acknowledgment of Tehran’s sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. Additional demands reportedly included dismantling all U.S. military installations throughout the Gulf region.
Despite public rejection, Axios sources indicated Washington had not yet received formal notification from Iran declining the proposal. The contradictory signals maintained markets in a state of tentative confidence.
Oil prices declined Wednesday as energy traders factored in reduced supply disruption risks. West Texas Intermediate benchmark settled at $90.32 per barrel while Brent crude concluded trading at $102.22.
Equity Markets Navigate Geopolitical Turbulence
American stock index futures retreated 0.4% during Wednesday’s after-hours trading. Contracts tracking the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all registered downward movement as market participants maintained cautious positioning.
Notwithstanding the futures decline, primary equity benchmarks have accumulated weekly gains, positioning themselves to terminate a four-week consecutive downturn. Crude oil price fluctuations and economic contraction fears have persistently dampened consumer confidence.
Market observers are anticipating Thursday’s weekly unemployment insurance claims report. Carnival Corporation is scheduled to release quarterly results before Friday’s opening bell.
Britain Implements Cryptocurrency Political Contribution Prohibition
The United Kingdom instituted a prohibition on digital currency contributions to political organizations, taking effect Wednesday. Simultaneously, authorities established a £100,000 annual ceiling on overseas contributions from British nationals residing internationally.
Housing Secretary Steve Reed explained the cryptocurrency restriction addresses a “clear pathway” enabling questionable funds to penetrate political operations. The regulation follows an investigation into foreign monetary influence, initiated after a former Reform UK representative received imprisonment for accepting illegal payments.
Reform UK, under Nigel Farage’s leadership, had pioneered Bitcoin acceptance among British political organizations. Approximately two-thirds of its previous year’s financial support originated from international contributors.
Most alternative cryptocurrencies appreciated Wednesday. Ethereum advanced 1% reaching $2,166, XRP increased 0.2% to $1.41, and Dogecoin climbed 1.5%.
Key Takeaways
- Bhutan moved 519.7 BTC valued at $36.75 million in its latest transaction on Wednesday
- The kingdom has liquidated more than $152 million in Bitcoin so far in 2026
- BTC reserves have plummeted 66% from approximately 13,000 BTC to just 4,453 BTC
- Singapore’s QCP Capital receives most transfers through structured OTC deals
- The nation’s 10,000 BTC commitment to Gelephu Mindfulness City appears impossible to fulfill
The Kingdom of Bhutan continues its systematic liquidation of Bitcoin holdings in 2026, with the selling momentum accelerating in recent weeks. Wednesday’s transaction saw the government transfer 519.7 BTC valued at $36.75 million to an external wallet, based on tracking data from Arkham Intelligence.
Bhutan’s cumulative Bitcoin disposals for 2026 have now surpassed the $152 million threshold.
The Himalayan nation accumulated its cryptocurrency treasury through government-operated hydroelectric mining facilities. With abundant renewable energy from surplus hydropower, mining costs were virtually negligible. This means every Bitcoin liquidation represents nearly 100% profit for the Royal Government.
At their zenith in late 2024, Bhutan’s Bitcoin reserves reached approximately 13,000 BTC. However, systematic outflows have dramatically reduced that position. Current holdings stand at merely 4,453 BTC—representing a staggering 66% decline from peak levels.
The liquidation campaign began conservatively. During January and February, individual transfers ranged from $5 million to $15 million. March witnessed a dramatic escalation, with transaction sizes ballooning to between $35 million and $45 million per movement.
The previous week marked the most intensive period of Bitcoin activity from Bhutan on record. A series of coordinated transfers moved approximately $72 million worth of Bitcoin within just seven days. The most substantial single transaction involved 595.8 BTC worth $44.44 million.
Strategic OTC Liquidation Framework
QCP Capital, a Singapore-headquartered digital asset trading firm, has been the recipient of three distinct Bitcoin transfers from Bhutan this year, totaling approximately $16.6 million. The recurring pattern of transfers to this specific entity indicates a formal over-the-counter liquidation agreement.
OTC transactions enable large-scale holders to dispose of significant positions without directly impacting public exchange markets, thereby minimizing adverse price movements. Bhutan’s approach of segmenting sales into multiple transactions serves precisely this purpose.
Bitcoin has traded in a range of $65,000 to $75,000 throughout March, significantly below the near-$119,000 peaks witnessed earlier. At maximum valuation, Bhutan’s portfolio approached $1.88 billion. Today’s holdings are worth approximately $315 million.
Blockchain analysis reveals minimal to zero fresh Bitcoin entering Bhutan’s wallets from mining activities recently. This pattern suggests the kingdom may have reduced or completely suspended its mining operations following the latest Bitcoin halving event.
The Gelephu Commitment Conundrum
Last December, Bhutan unveiled its Bitcoin Development Pledge, committing up to 10,000 BTC toward financing the ambitious Gelephu Mindfulness City initiative. When announced, that allocation represented approximately $860 million in value.
With current reserves sitting below 4,500 BTC, fulfilling the original 10,000 BTC pledge would require Bhutan to completely reverse its entire drawdown and acquire additional coins.
Wednesday’s 519.7 BTC transfer represents the latest chapter in what has evolved into an increasingly aggressive sovereign Bitcoin liquidation strategy throughout 2026.
- Bitcoin price falls below $70,000 as network activity weakens.
- Declining transactions and addresses signal lower demand.
- Key support is at $69,400, while resistance stands near $71,600.
Bitcoin price today hit a daily low of $69,914.54 after soaring above $71,000 at the start of the week, following news of a truce proposal to Iran by US President Donald Trump.
The sudden pullback has pushed Bitcoin back below the $70,000 level, a psychological zone that traders often watch closely for signs of strength or weakness.
This decline did not happen in isolation, as the underlying data suggests that the broader network is also losing momentum.
Bitcoin Network Activity signals weakening demand
Recent on-chain data shows that Bitcoin’s Network Activity Index continues to trend downward, pointing to a steady cooling in user participation.
This index tracks a combination of key metrics that together reveal how actively the network is being used daily.
Among these metrics are active addresses, which measure how many unique participants are sending or receiving Bitcoin.
A decline in active addresses often signals reduced interest or engagement from both retail users and larger players.
Transaction counts have also softened, indicating that fewer transfers are taking place across the network.
This drop in transaction activity suggests that demand for block space is easing, which usually aligns with quieter market conditions.
Another important indicator, the UTXO count, reflects how coins are being distributed and reused, and its slowdown points to less frequent movement of funds.
Block data, including the number of bytes per block, further confirms that network usage is not as intense as it was during more active periods.
On-chain activity is still cooling off 📉
Bitcoin’s CryptoQuant Network Activity Index keeps declining, pointing to weaker demand across the network.
Key indicators tracked:
• Active addresses (sending + receiving)
• Transactions (total & per block)
• UTXO count
• Bytes per… pic.twitter.com/U4aSKjz2Pk— Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) March 24, 2026
Taken together, these signals paint a clear picture of declining demand rather than temporary disruption.
The BTC price struggles mirror on-chain weakness
The recent dip below $70,000 appears to be more than just a reaction to short-term news or macro headlines.
Instead, it reflects a broader lack of strong buying pressure needed to sustain higher price levels.
Even though Bitcoin managed to climb earlier in the week, the rally lacked the support of rising network activity.
This disconnect between price and usage often leads to corrections, as the market struggles to justify higher valuations.
Short-term performance data also shows mild losses across multiple timeframes, reinforcing the idea that momentum is fading.
While the market has not entered a sharp sell-off, the gradual decline suggests a slow shift in sentiment.
Investors seem to be taking a more cautious approach, with fewer participants actively entering the market.
At the same time, existing holders appear less willing to move their coins, contributing to the drop in transactional activity.
The key Bitcoin price levels to watch in the coming days
Bitcoin is now approaching a critical zone where price action in the coming days could define its short-term direction.
Notably, most technical indicators are leaning bearish, with Bitcoin trading below major exponential moving averages on the daily chart.
This positioning suggests that the broader trend remains under pressure unless the price can reclaim key moving averages.
Currently, the most important level to watch is $69,423, which now acts as immediate support for the market.
If this support holds, it could allow Bitcoin to regain strength and attempt a push toward the first major resistance at $71,645.
If buyers manage to break above $71,645, momentum may build toward the next resistance level at $73,687.
A stronger rally could then open the door for a test of $75,930, which stands as the third key resistance level in the current structure.
On the downside, failure to hold above $69,423 would weaken the current structure and expose Bitcoin to further losses.
In that scenario, analysts note that the next support would be $67,167.
The news to watch
From a macro perspective, traders should closely watch the upcoming inflation data, particularly the PCE print expected early next month.
A softer reading below 2.8% could support risk assets and provide Bitcoin with a chance to recover.
On the other hand, a higher-than-expected figure above 3% may add pressure and push prices lower.
US lawmakers have introduced a bill aiming to ban members of the US Congress, the president and other high-ranking government officials from wagering on prediction markets.
The proposed bill, a bipartisan effort from US Representative Adrian Smith and Representative Nikki Budzinski, was introduced on Tuesday and is called the Preventing Real-time Exploitation and Deceptive Insider Congressional Trading Act (PREDICT Act).
“In recent months, we’ve seen instances of little-known traders making massive profits on events ranging from war with Iran to how long a government shutdown will last, raising necessary questions about the use of inside information,” Budzinski said.
The move comes amid growing scrutiny of prediction markets in the US, with lawmakers and regulators taking aim at platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket over contracts related to sports, war and politics.
The bill seeks to bar members of Congress, the president, vice president and political appointees from wagering on the “outcomes of political events, policy decisions, and other government actions on prediction markets.” It also extends to the spouses and dependents of these government officials.
The potential penalties listed in the PREDICT Act include a 10% fine on the total value of the contract and the disgorgement of all profits to the US Treasury.
Commenting on the bill, Budzinski stressed the importance of closing loopholes to ensure people with inside knowledge “cannot profit from it.”
Budzinski isn’t the only one sounding off on alleged corruption on prediction markets. Earlier this month, two Democratic lawmakers introduced a separate bill called the Banning Event Trading on Sensitive Operations and Federal Functions (BETS OFF) Act.
Speaking about the bill, Senator Chris Murphy alleged that it was likely that people used “inside information” to make bets on US President Donald Trump’s military actions involving Iran.
US lawmakers turn up heat on prediction markets
US lawmakers aren’t just flagging concerns with insider trading on prediction markets. Sports-related contracts have also recently drawn attention at both the federal and state levels.
Cointelegraph reported earlier this week that 11 states have taken legal action against prediction markets, while another two states also have pending legal action in the works.
At the federal level, Sens. John Curtis and Adam Schiff introduced a bill on Monday aiming to ban any Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) registered entity from listing prediction market contracts that resemble “a sports bet or casino-style game.”
Related: Why Argentina is blocking Polymarket despite its global growth
The senators argued that many companies have been offering significant amounts of contracts that “are indistinguishable from gambling” and also took aim at the CFTC for its approach to the sector.
“For fifteen years, the CFTC has enforced its authority to prohibit the listing of a contract that involves, relates to or references ‘gaming.’ However, the CFTC and its chair have abruptly reversed course — intervening in ongoing litigation and proceeding with rulemaking to significantly relax the CFTC’s enforcement of this clause,” they said.
Following the move, both Kalshi and Polymarket, two of the largest prediction market platforms, made efforts to tighten their rules to stop professional athletes and political candidates from wagering on prediction markets.
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