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Costco (COST) Stock Falls Pre-Market Despite Strong Q2 Earnings Performance

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COST Stock Card

Quick Summary

  • Quarterly earnings per share reached $4.58, surpassing analyst expectations of $4.55; total revenue of $69.6 billion exceeded the $69.3 billion forecast
  • Comparable sales across stores increased 7.4%, while digitally-driven comparable sales jumped 22.6%
  • Net income increased nearly 14% compared to the prior year, reaching $2.035 billion
  • Revenue from membership fees expanded 13.6% to $1.355 billion; paid membership base grew to 82.1 million
  • COST shares gained 14% year-to-date but declined 0.2% during premarket hours following the earnings release

Costco reported strong fiscal second-quarter 2026 results that exceeded Wall Street’s projections on most important performance indicators. The warehouse retailer’s net income advanced nearly 14% from the same period last year to $2.035 billion, translating to $4.58 per diluted share and beating the consensus forecast of $4.55.

Total revenue reached $69.6 billion, modestly surpassing the anticipated $69.3 billion. Comparable sales across the company’s warehouse locations increased 7.4% overall, or 6.7% when adjusted for gasoline price fluctuations and currency exchange impacts.

This marks an acceleration from the prior quarter ending in December, when adjusted comparable sales grew 6.4%. Sequential monthly trends also demonstrated strengthening momentum — comparable sales climbed 7% in December, 7.1% in January, and accelerated to 7.9% in February.


COST Stock Card
Costco Wholesale Corporation, COST

The company’s digital operations delivered particularly impressive results. Comparable sales through digital channels surged 22.6%, supported by a 32% increase in website visitors and a 45% jump in mobile app traffic throughout the quarter. Personalized product recommendation features alone generated more than $470 million in online revenue.

COST stock traded 0.2% lower in premarket activity on Friday following the earnings announcement, although shares remain 14% higher year-to-date — positioned to fully recover the losses experienced during the previous year.

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Membership Revenue and Profitability Remain Strong

Income from membership fees increased 13.6% year-over-year to $1.355 billion. Approximately one-third of this growth stemmed from the membership fee adjustment implemented in September 2024 across U.S. and Canadian locations. When excluding the fee increase and foreign exchange impacts, membership income still expanded 7.5%.

The total paid membership count reached 82.1 million, representing a 4.8% increase from the prior year. Executive-level memberships climbed to 40.4 million, up 9.5%. The global renewal rate remained stable at 89.7%, unchanged from the previous quarter.

Renewal rates in the U.S. and Canada decreased 10 basis points sequentially to 92.1%, which management attributed to online membership enrollments — which historically renew at marginally lower rates compared to in-warehouse signups.

Gross profit margin expanded to 11.02% from 10.85% in the year-ago period. Core-on-core margins improved by 22 basis points, with improvements spanning food, non-food, and fresh merchandise categories. Selling, general, and administrative expenses rose modestly to 9.19% of sales from 9.06% last year, partially driven by increased general liability reserves.

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Tariff Environment, Store Growth, and Forward Outlook

CEO Ron Vachris described the tariff landscape as “extremely fluid.” Recently eliminated IEEPA tariffs have been substituted with new global tariffs scheduled to remain in place for at least 150 days. Costco filed legal action in the Court of International Trade to preserve its ability to claim refunds if those tariffs were invalidated — which occurred in February.

Vachris noted the retailer did not transfer complete tariff costs to members in numerous instances. Should refunds materialize, the company intends to pass that value back through reduced prices and enhanced promotional offers. The company has already reduced prices on eggs, cheese, coffee, select paper goods, and certain tariff-impacted merchandise including textiles and cookware.

The retailer operated 924 warehouses globally at quarter-end. Management projects 28 net new location openings in fiscal 2026 and aims to sustain 30-plus new openings annually moving forward. Capital expenditures for the full year are estimated at approximately $6.5 billion.

February net sales totaled $21.69 billion, increasing 9.5% year-over-year. Total comparable sales rose 7.9% for the month (7.0% adjusted). Digital-enabled sales climbed 21.8%.

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No special dividend was declared. The board indicated it would continue evaluating the possibility, but stated there were no announcements to make at this time.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Traders Bet On Sub-$66K BTC In April Due To Rising Fear

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Bitcoin Traders Bet On Sub-$66K BTC In April Due To Rising Fear

Key takeaways:

  • Bearish sentiment is rising as Bitcoin options professional traders lose confidence that the $66,000 level will hold for long.

  • The exit of David Sacks as the Crypto and AI czar and a lack of a clear US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve plan added to investors’ doubts.

Bitcoin (BTC) fell to $65,530 on Friday, an 8% decline from the $71,300 level seen on Thursday. This move wiped out over $210 million in leveraged bullish Bitcoin futures and left most call (buy) options worthless during the $18.6 billion monthly expiry. Traders now anticipate a 53% chance that Bitcoin will stay below $66,000 by April 24.

April 24 Bitcoin option prices at Deribit. Source: Deribit

On Friday, the April 24 Bitcoin $66,000 put (sell) options traded at 0.0566 BTC or roughly $3,730. With a 53% implied probability of Bitcoin trading below $66,000 by late April, the mood remains decidedly bearish following the increased uncertainty in the US and Israel-Iran war, pushing traders into a risk-averse mode.

US inflation threats and stalling crypto, Bitcoin legislation

Rising oil prices and a potential $200 billion in extra US military spending led investors to demand higher returns on government bonds and dragged the S&P 500 to its lowest levels since September 2025. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil surged to $100 on Friday, while 5-year Treasury yields reached 4.07%, up from 3.72% three weeks prior.

US 5-year Treasury yield (left) vs. S&P 500 (right). Source: TradingView

Inflationary fear and weaker corporate earnings perspectives alone cannot explain Bitcoin’s 20% underperformance against the S&P 500 in 2026. Other factors are likely at play, including investors’ discomfort over the lack of progress on the US Bitcoin Strategic Reserve.

David Sacks has stepped down from his role as the Trump administration’s crypto and AI czar. While Sacks remains an advisor on the President’s Council on Science & Technology, his departure follows earlier comments that inflated Bitcoin investors’ expectations. Sacks had previously hinted that the US could acquire more Bitcoin through budget-neutral methods without raising taxes.

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Related: US lawmakers publish crypto tax proposal without Bitcoin tax exemption

Bitcoin 30-day options delta skew (put-call) at Deribit. Source: Laevitas

The Bitcoin options delta skew jumped to 15% on Friday, showing that put options are trading at a significant premium relative to call instruments. In balanced market conditions, this metric usually ranges between -6% and +6%. The current level indicates a lack of conviction among whales that the $66,000 level will hold. Fear has largely dominated the Bitcoin options market since mid-January.

Bitcoin options expiry favored neutral-to-bearish strategies

Friday’s monthly options expiry at $68,610 proved unfavorable for neutral-to-bullish strategies, as 97% of call options became void. Bears gained the upper hand as put options at $69,000 or higher surpassed $2 billion in open interest. Critically, part of Friday’s downward move reflects a growing unwillingness among traders to maintain Bitcoin exposure over the weekend.

Crypto markets cut risk on Friday due to uncertainty. Source: X/WhalePanda

X social platform user WhalePanda, suggested that the crash in risk markets anticipates President Trump making “another dumb escalating move” after US markets close. Consequently, the current fear seen in the options market could reverse if no major geopolitical events occur before Monday.

During bearish cycles, traders often rush for the exits at the mere sight of any event that could be deemed negative. Investors should not take Bitcoin’s implied odds at face value, as these metrics are heavily impacted by recent news and headlines. However, expectations could shift more favorably if Iran effectively releases a counter-offer to the US peace proposal.