Crypto Could See “Unexpected November Rally” Amid Fear

On-chain intelligence firm Santiment says that the increasingly negative trader and investor sentiment in the market could ignite a rally this month.

In the past 24 hours, the crypto market cap jumped by a fraction of a percentage to around $3.5 trillion, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

Growing Fear In The Market Is An Ideal Launchpad

Santiment said in a recent X post that trader’s “moods are fading towards crypto.”  It added that the growing negativity in the market “is welcomed news for the patient.” 

😠 Traders’ moods are fading toward crypto, which is welcomed news for the patient.

🟥 Bitcoin $BTC: Even bullish/bearish ratio of social media comments (significantly lower than usual)
🟨 Ethereum $ETH: Just over 50% more bullish vs. bearish comments (less than usual)
🟦 XRP… pic.twitter.com/ZY9RXUxKDK

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 12, 2025

That’s as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a popular tool used to gauge investor sentiment in the digital asset market, plummeted to “Extreme Fear” territory recently. 

Crypto Fear & Greed Index (Source: Alternative.me)

The index currently stands on a score of 15/100. This is a 9-point drop from the “Extreme Fear” reading of 24 that was seen yesterday. It’s also a 23-point drop from the “Fear” reading of 38 that the indicator showed a month ago. 

According to Santiment, social media comments for crypto market leader Bitcoin (BTC) are evenly split between bullish and bearish. At the same time, Ethereum (ETH) has just over 50% more bullish versus bearish comments. 

Meanwhile, less than half of the comments on social media about XRP are bullish. This makes it one of the most “fearful moments of 2025” for the token. 

However, the negative sentiment around those cryptos, which are currently ranked in the top five list of the largest cryptos by market cap, could signal a “point of capitulation,” according to Santiment. 

“Once retail sells off, key stakeholders scoop up the dropped coins and pump prices. It’s not a matter of ‘if’, but ‘when’ this will next happen,” the firm said. 

Recent Correction In The Market Could Be Sign That Crypto Winter Is Coming

Not everyone is convinced that the crypto market may have reached its bottom. According to Morgan Stanley investment strategist Denny Galindo, the market has entered the “fall season,” the last season before a crypto winter. 

Speaking in a podcast episode titled Crypto Goes Mainstream, the investment strategist said that historical data indicates a consistent three-up, one-down rhythm in Bitcoin’s price cycles. 

“We are in the fall season right now,” he said. The strategist subsequently urged investors to take profits before the market undergoes a steep pullback and enters a period of flat trading.

“Fall is the time for harvest. So, it’s the time you want to take your gains. But the debate is how long this fall will last and when the next winter will start,” he said. 

Galindo’s calls to take profit come as the crypto market remains in a fragile state following a pair of liquidation events in recent weeks. This includes the record $19 billion liquidations seen on Oct. 10, when Trump threatened to slap 100% tariffs on Chinese imports. 

Bitcoin Attempting To Break Out Of A Medium-Term Channel

Looking at BTC, the crypto trades at $103,571 as of 4:23 a.m. EST, data from CoinMarketCap shows. 

Daily chart WBTC/USD (Source: GeckoTerminal)

That’s after the crypto slid more than 7% over the past month.

Recently, however, the crypto king seems to have been setting itself up to break out of the medium-term bearish channel, which can be seen by the blue region on the daily chart. 

The upper boundary of that channel is the resistance level at $107,215, which is also confluent with the 9 and 20 Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). As such, a break and daily close above this point could signal a reversal in Bitcoin’s trend. 

Indicators on the daily chart, such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggest bulls may be building momentum. 

The MACD line is attempting to cross above the MACD Signal line. If this intersection happens, it could be seen as an indication that BTC has entered a positive trend. Meanwhile, the RSI has risen in the past 48 hours, a classic indication of growing buyer power. 

With the combination of growing technical strength near a key barrier, BTC could soon break above the obstacle and climb to $112,791. However, a rejection may result in a pullback to the $101,280 support. 

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