Crypto World
Crypto in crisis, DeFi doomerism
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Welcome back to Inside DeFi
It’s been an especially painful week for crypto markets and DeFi. So bad, in fact, that even the FT was reduced to posting wojaks with the rest of us.
With bitcoin dipping below the previous cycle’s peak, and ether (ETH) sub-$2,000, it may feel like there’s not much further to fall. But remember, even when down 99%, there’s still another 99% to go.
The bloodbath has also seen DeFi’s TVL drop to under $100 billion for the first time since May last year. Reactions ranged from sober doomerism to gallows humor.
Charts aside, InsideDeFi 003 returns to catch up with the week’s goings on.
Security scares
The week was, despite the ugly backdrop, thankfully light on DeFi hacks, with just two significant incidents. A failed attempt at a third was spotted and publicly mocked on-chain.
On Friday, an “arbitrary call vulnerability” in one of Gyroscope’s cross-chain contracts allowed a hacker to grant themself “full allowance to the escrow’s GYD holdings.”
Around $700,000 was lost, a third of which Gyroscope later decided to offer to the exploiter as a bounty.
A larger attack then hit CrossCurve’s bridge on Sunday. BlockSec put the losses, estimated at $2.7 million, down to an “authorization bypass,” while a post-mortem report from MixBytes claimed $1.4 million.
Puzzle Network’s founder has claimed that $700,000 of his own funds were amongst the losses in an on-chain message.
In a series of subsequent messages, he continued to request the return of his funds, even offering to buy the exploiter a beer in exchange.
According to Spearbit researcher “sujith,” the same attack vector had been previously identified but the report was dismissed as “invalid.”
While not a smart contract hack, a significantly larger loss affected the so-called frontpage of Solana, Step Finance, on Friday.
Read more: 2025’s biggest crypto hacks: From exchange breaches to DeFi exploits
A later update confirmed that approximately $40 million worth of assets were drained from the project’s treasury after executives’ devices were compromised.
Almost $5 million was subsequently recovered.
MetaMask’s Taylor Monahan implied that the theft was tied to a spate of incidents linked to hijacked Telegram accounts which, she estimates, is responsible for a total of over $300 million of losses, so far.
In better news, The DAO’s Griff Green followed up last week’s announcement of a 75,000 ETH security fund with a whitehat operation on a decade-old The DAO contract, rescuing a further 50 ETH to be added to the pot.
Read more: The DAO hacked again, but this time it’s the good guys
L2s left behind?
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin made a lengthy post on Tuesday, arguing that “the original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense, and we need a new path.”
He pointed to drastic improvements in mainnet scaling (which are set to continue, 1,000-fold), along with the slow progress on L2 decentralization, as evidence that L2s must offer a specific “value add” to remain relevant.
He followed up, underlining that pursuing more “copypasta” EVM L2s and chains is a “dead end” and suggesting that networks offering something specific, such as “privacy, app-specific efficiency [or] ultra-low latency” should be the goal.
For all his confidence in Ethereum’s future, reportedly dumping $13 million on-chain definitely didn’t do ETH sentiment any favors.
Perhaps waiting to sell until after using a mixer would be preferable in future.
Elsewhere in L2 land, a few days before Vitalik’s comments, Base suffered its latest bout of disruption, with “intermittent transaction inclusion delays.”
An incident report clarifies that, over a period of two hours and 26 minutes, approximately 80% of transactions (2.1 million) were dropped.
The network’s status page registers an outage of 11 minutes on January 31.
Transaction inclusion delays were again showing on February 5, leading to a mempool upgrade. Delays are currently ongoing, with improvements including a “transaction propagation redesign” expected to take “four to six weeks.”
Read more: Coinbase Base network halts for 44 minutes due to ‘unsafe head delay’
AAVE whale in danger
Also on Thursday, all eyes turned to a highly leveraged whale, borrowing $28 million USDC against AAVE tokens.
As prices dropped, the position entered dicey territory, which would lead to further pain for AAVE holders if liquidated.
Against the backdrop of an ongoing debate over future control of the Aave brand, the assumption the position belonged to Aave founder Stani Kulechov was apparently too tempting for some to resist.
Parallels to the DeFi founder playbook of aggressively borrowing stables against their own project’s governance tokens, especially given this week’s news of Kulechov’s purchase of a £22 million London mansion, were hard to miss.
However, Kulechov roundly denied the position was him, insisting he stakes his AAVE rather than borrowing against it.
Read more: AAVE whale crashes token 10% amid ‘disgraceful’ governance vote
Most notably, Curve Finance’s Michael Egorov used this approach long term, whilst buying up a pair of luxury properties in Melbourne.
After striking a gentleman’s agreement in the wake of 2023’s Curve hack, Egorov managed to dodge disaster before ultimately being stung in a $20 million liquidation cascade in June 2024.
Rune Christensen of Sky (formerly Maker) also uses the same approach, which occasionally leads to its own governance dramas.
Kulechov though, with no need to worry about getting liquidated, instead celebrated the protocol’s resiliency at scale, after over $450 million was liquidated this week.
Cambodia scam compound crackdown ongoing
News out of Cambodia continues to outline the sheer scale of the nationwide crackdown on online “pig butchering” scam syndicates.
The widespread disruption has led to over 100,000 foreigners leaving the country since the beginning of the year, according to local media reports, citing the country’s Secretariat of Commission for Combating Technology Crimes.
Authorities claim to have shut down 190 locations, including 44 casinos, across the country and made over 2,500 arrests.
Additionally, almost 500 people, mostly Chinese and Philippine nationals, have reportedly been deported, though it’s unclear how many of these cases were related to the scamming industry.
As well as raids on compounds, the organizations involved have been hit with high profile arrests and executions of leaders in China.
The operations are now rumored to be on the move, with Sri Lanka being the next destination.
Crypto World
Samson Mow Explains the Bitcoin Market Crash
In a recent interview, Bitcoin veteran Samson Mow shares a measured read on the latest pullback in BTC and what may lie behind the churn. He frames Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) not merely as a store of value but as the most liquid asset in global markets, whose 24/7 trading may amplify downside spillovers during stress. The discussion traverses the seeming disconnect between stronger on-chain fundamentals and a prolonged price decline, the rising strength in gold and silver, and the idea that capital rotation among hard assets could set the stage for Bitcoin’s next breakout. The interview also tackles the idea of a looming “quantum threat” and whether it belongs in today’s risk calculus.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin’s liquidity and around-the-clock trading are highlighted as factors that can magnify downside moves during periods of market stress, according to Mow.
- The narrative emphasizes capital rotation into hard assets, with gold and silver rallies potentially influencing BTC demand as investors reassess risk exposure.
- Discussion of the so‑called quantum threat is treated as a theoretical risk rather than an imminent trigger for BTC price action.
- Despite months of selling pressure, the interview suggests BTC could recover if risk sentiment improves and liquidity conditions shift, even amid strong on-chain fundamentals.
- The long‑standing fiat-devaluation thesis for Bitcoin is debated, with no consensus on whether it remains the primary driver of price moves.
Tickers mentioned: $BTC
Sentiment: Neutral
Market context: In the broader market, Bitcoin’s price action sits amid shifting liquidity and risk appetite. Traders weigh macro signals, cross-asset flows, and structural factors in crypto, with BTC acting as a liquidity proxy that can move sharply on liquidity crises or shifts in risk sentiment.
Why it matters
The interview provides a framework for interpreting a complex price environment where on-chain health does not always translate into immediate price appreciation. By centering Bitcoin’s role as the most liquid asset, the discussion helps readers understand how systemic stress can reverberate through BTC markets even when miners, network security, and transaction metrics remain robust. For investors, the conversation offers a reminder that liquidity dynamics—how quickly assets can be traded without moving price—play a critical role in short- to medium-term volatility. For traders, the emphasis on capital rotation into gold and silver as a macro signal that could precede crypto demand introduces a potential cross-asset tool for assessing sensitivity to risk-on or risk-off shifts. For builders and researchers, the dialogue underscores the need to monitor not just on-chain metrics but the evolving risk sentiment that shapes liquidity and price discovery in crypto markets.
What to watch next
- Watch BTC price action and liquidity indicators in the coming weeks for signs of capitulation easing or a sustainable bounce.
- Monitor the pace of gold and silver rallies and any corresponding shifts in capital flows that could reallocate demand toward BTC.
- Look for any new discourse on the quantum threat and whether market participants translate it into practical risk models or hedging strategies.
- Track macro risk sentiment, including inflation data and central bank signals, for indications that the broader risk appetite is shifting in favor of crypto assets.
Sources & verification
- Interview with Samson Mow discussing BTC’s pullback, catalysts for recovery, and cross-asset dynamics.
- YouTube video of the interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5VaqkszkWp8
- Discussion points on gold/silver rallies as a backdrop to BTC demand and capital rotation.
- References to the theoretical nature of the “quantum threat” within crypto risk discourse.
Bitcoin market reaction and catalysts for the next move
In a recent exchange, the market’s focus shifts beyond最近 price levels to the mechanics that drive BTC’s moves in a liquidity-driven system. In this framing, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is not simply a late-stage risk-on asset waiting for fundamentals to align; it is a constantly tradable currency in a global pool of capital that reacts quickly to shifts in risk appetite. Samson Mow outlines a nuanced picture: the same liquidity that enables Bitcoin to function as the most liquid asset in traditional markets also makes it susceptible to rapid downdrafts when liquidity tightens or risk aversion spikes. The result is a price action that can diverge from longer-term fundamentals, particularly in episodes marked by forced liquidations and cross-asset selling. This perspective emphasizes structure as much as signal, inviting readers to consider how order books, funding rates, and leverage levels contribute to the size and speed of BTC moves during market stress.
One of the central threads in the discussion is the relationship between Bitcoin and the metals complex. After a robust rally in gold and silver, capital rotation becomes a focal point: if investors seek safe havens or hedges against inflation, where does crypto stand in the pecking order? The interview presents a plausible scenario in which BTC could benefit after a metals-led reallocation cycle cools or consolidates. In such an environment, BTC’s liquidity and distribution across exchanges could attract new demand as risk premia recalibrate. The argument does not insist on an immediate rebound; rather, it frames recovery as a gradual reversion supported by improved risk sentiment, reduced forced liquidations, and a rebalancing of portfolios that previously parked capital in gold, silver, or other hard assets.
The discussion also touches on what many in the space consider a longer-term risk: the so‑called quantum threat. This is framed as a theoretical risk to crypto security and ecosystem confidence, not a near-term catalyst for price rallies or crashes. By keeping the focus on present market dynamics—liquidity, leverage, and risk‑on vs. risk‑off cycles—the interview distinguishes between potential future risks and the more immediate drivers of price action. In other words, while the quantum threat may merit attention for risk modeling and contingency planning, it is not presented as the catalyst for Bitcoin’s next move in the near term.
Beyond these threads, the interview revisits the long-standing narrative that Bitcoin’s price can be tied to fiat devaluation. This is a topic that has attracted both staunch believers and critics. The conversation presents a thoughtful counterpoint: even if fiat erosion remains a macro driver, market dynamics—such as liquidity, risk sentiment, and capital flows—can overshadow the fiat narrative in the short and medium term. The net takeaway is not a prediction but a careful reckoning of the multiple forces at play. In practice, readers are reminded to watch for shifts in funding markets and liquidity regimes that may signal the next inflection point for BTC.
For readers seeking a complete sense of the interview’s tone and content, the full video remains a key source. The embedded YouTube presentation provides direct access to Mow’s remarks and the nuances of his argument, offering a useful complement to the written summary. The format underscores a broader industry shift toward multi-source analysis—combining on-chain data, macro context, and participant perspectives—to form a more robust view of Bitcoin’s evolving trajectory.
Crypto World
China expands crypto crackdown to stablecoins, asset tokenization
Chinese regulators have broadened their crackdown on crypto activities, imposing strict oversight on tokenization and stablecoin issuance in a Friday notice.
“Recently, influenced by various factors, speculative activities related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets have occurred frequently, posing new challenges and situations for risk prevention and control,” said the notice, issued jointly by eight national organizations including the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) and the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC).
The notice reiterates China’s blanket ban on crypto, saying that trading, issuing or facilitating transactions involving digital currencies such as bitcoin , ether , or stablecoins like Tether’s USDT is illegal.
The prohibition extends to foreign entities and individuals offering such services within China. It also bans domestic entities from issuing digital currencies overseas without regulatory approval.
The notice singles out stablecoins — cryptocurrencies pegged to fiat currencies — for special scrutiny. Authorities argue stablecoins replicate key functions of sovereign money and therefore threaten monetary control.
The new rules make clear that no entity, Chinese or foreign, may issue a stablecoin linked to the renminbi abroad without government approval. That includes overseas branches of domestic firms.
The rules also tighten control over tokenization, the fast-growing trend of turning ownership of real-world assets like equities, real estate or funds into digital tokens.
Chinese firms that want to tokenize assets overseas now must obtain approvals or file with regulators, and their financial and tech partners are required to meet heightened compliance standards, the notice said.
China’s crackdown on cryptocurrencies and related activities have been a staple over the past years. The new set of rules build on Chinese authorities in 2021 deeming all crypto-related business activities illegal and prohibiting crypto mining, often called a “China ban.” In 2017, authorities banned Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs), labeling them as illegal fundraising and financial fraud, and ordered domestic cryptocurrency exchanges to shutter fiat-to-crypto trading operations.
Read more: China Never Completely Banned Crypto
Crypto World
What’s surging Friday? Bitcoin, Litecoin lead the crypto
Friday’s market saw a notable recovery in cryptocurrency prices, with Bitcoin and Litecoin leading the charge. Bitcoin’s bounce from the $60,000 level helped ease fears of a deeper market correction, as it rose nearly 8% to reclaim the $70,000 mark.
This surge also supported riskier altcoins like Litecoin, which is up about 8% for the day.
Summary
- Bitcoin surged nearly 8% to reclaim the $70,000 level on Friday, easing fears of a deeper correction and supporting altcoins like Litecoin and Shiba Inu.
- Litecoin saw an 8% increase, trading around $54, as traders rotated into altcoins following Bitcoin’s recovery and reduced margin stress.
- Shiba Inu climbed about 7%, benefiting from Bitcoin’s rebound and renewed investor interest in higher-beta tokens.
Why Bitcoin’s rise bodes well for Litecoin
Bitcoin remains the benchmark asset in the crypto space, and when it rallies, traders typically rotate into altcoins like Litecoin. As Bitcoin stabilizes, the risk of forced selling and liquidation cascades decreases, allowing traders to take fresh positions in altcoins.
This is particularly important after Bitcoin touched the $60,074 mark earlier on Friday, a key level that had traders on edge. The rebound reduced margin stress and bolstered sentiment across the market.
Bitcoin’s price recovery also helped offset the concerns raised by figures like Michael Burry, who warned that miners could be forced to sell their Bitcoin holdings if the price dropped below $50,000.
Litecoin’s Friday spike
Litecoin, created in 2011 by Charlie Lee, has seen an uptick in interest as Bitcoin recovers. Known as the “silver to Bitcoin’s gold,” Litecoin benefits from a long track record and strong exchange support. As of Friday, Litecoin is trading around $54, having hit an intraday high of $56.25.

Shiba Inu follows Bitcoin’s lead
Alongside Litecoin, meme-coin Shiba Inu (SHIB) also gained traction, climbing about 7%.
As Bitcoin recovered from its Thursday slump, large investors redeployed capital across the market, pulling speculative coins like Shiba Inu back into the green.
SHIB, which had faced pressure earlier in the week from market weakness and liquidations, is now benefiting from improved market sentiment.

What’s next for crypto?
Bitcoin’s recovery is giving traders a window to reposition in the market, but caution remains. Analysts suggest that while short-term bounces are possible, broader market trends still point to volatility. Key resistance for Bitcoin sits in the $70,000 to $75,000 range, with some traders speculating on further upward movement.
For now, the surge in Bitcoin’s price is driving positive sentiment in the market, with altcoins like Litecoin and Shiba Inu benefiting from the rebound.
Crypto World
Bitcoin & Ethereum Drop, ETFs Face Losses Amid Market Volatility
TLDR:
- Bitcoin and Ethereum fall below key technical levels, triggering $1.7B in liquidations.
- U.S. Treasury confirms it cannot “bail out” Bitcoin or direct banks to increase holdings.
- Spot ETFs face unrealized losses, but most investor positions remain largely intact.
- Crypto funding continues selectively with TRM Labs, Flying Tulip, and Prometheum rounds.
Recent analysis covers major shifts in digital assets, including sharp price drops, regulatory actions, and institutional responses affecting market flows and positioning.
Crypto Market Downturn and Institutional Exposure
Bitcoin fell below $65,000, while Ethereum dropped under $1,900, triggering $1.7 billion in liquidations within 24 hours. Most liquidations came from long positions, as leveraged traders exited rapidly across major exchanges.
The market broke key technical levels, with Bitcoin falling under the 50-week moving average. Analysts used historical retracements to estimate downside, with targets ranging from $35,200 to $45,000.
Alex Thorn from Galaxy Digital noted that past cycles showed drops below 50-week moving averages often tested the 200-week level near $58,000.
Meanwhile, the cost basis for many institutional investors remained above current prices.
Strategy Inc.’s average holding cost is around $76,000 per Bitcoin, while JPMorgan estimates mining costs at $87,000.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs are also under pressure, with average entry costs near $84,100 per coin.
Despite a 25% unrealized loss, only a small portion of ETF assets has been withdrawn.
Overall, the market shows lower liquidity, technical weakness, and elevated institutional stress.
ETF inflows slowed, and macro-hedging appeal has reduced, reflecting cautious sentiment.
Regulation, Policy Signals, and Capital Movements
Seized Bitcoin has grown in value from $500 million to over $15 billion, reflecting market gains despite volatility. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent clarified that seized Bitcoin will be retained, but the government cannot “bail out” prices.
Regulatory attention is shifting to crypto infrastructure, focusing on exchanges, stablecoin corridors, and liquidity hubs.
The Treasury investigates potential sanction evasion, particularly by platforms linked to Iran’s $8–10 billion annual crypto activity.
Meanwhile, the White House hosted discussions with Coinbase, banking groups, and industry representatives on stablecoin rewards. The dialogue explored whether third-party platforms can provide regulated yields to users.
At the same time, state-level enforcement increased, with New York, Nevada, and Connecticut issuing warnings or restraining orders. This divergence reflects the evolving balance between federal guidance and state-level actions.
Capital formation continues cautiously. TRM Labs raised $70 million in Series C funding, while Flying Tulip secured $75.5 million. Prometheum and Penguin Securities also completed rounds, albeit at more conservative valuations.
Despite market stress, selective funding demonstrates ongoing investor interest in blockchain and crypto infrastructure projects. Family offices largely remain sidelined, with 89% holding no crypto exposure, while AI investments show higher interest.
BlackRock’s Bitcoin spot ETF IBIT retains most assets despite AUM retreat from $100 billion to $60 billion. Overall, institutional positioning reflects cautious engagement, regulatory attention, and selective capital deployment.
Crypto World
How Long Can It Stay Above?
Bitcoin has bounced roughly 17% from Friday’s $60,150 trough, but the rebound has not erased the undercurrent of caution rippling through the derivatives market. Traders remain wary of chasing fresh upside exposure as the price hovers near the $70,000 level, with liquidity dynamics painting a mixed picture. In the past five sessions, leveraged bullish futures liquidations totaled about $1.8 billion, fueling speculation that major hedge funds or market makers may have faced sizable losses. The market’s struggle to sustain momentum after Thursday’s skid highlights how fragile appetite for risk remains, even as the price attempt to reclaim ground continues.
Key takeaways
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Bitcoin’s derivatives signals point to elevated caution, with the options skew measuring roughly 20% on the week as traders weigh a potential second wave of fund liquidations.
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While the price retraced some of Thursday’s losses, the rally is not translating into broad demand for new long exposure, especially when compared with gold and technology equities.
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Aggregate futures liquidations indicate a recent wave of forced liquidations, but open interest on major venues remains steady, suggesting mixed conviction among bulls and sellers.
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The futures market shows cooling demand for bullish leverage, with the BTC futures basis rate sinking to the lowest in over a year, underscoring a cautious stance despite a price move above key levels.
Tickers mentioned: $BTC
Sentiment: Bearish
Market context: The current dynamics unfold against a backdrop of tepid leverage appetite in crypto markets, with options and futures signals diverging from spot-price gains. Investors are reevaluating risk, liquidity, and potential catalysts that could reaccelerate a broader uptrend, while systemic concerns about market-makers and liquidity have kept participants cautious.
Why it matters
The present mood in the Bitcoin market illustrates a broader tension between price action and risk appetite embedded in derivatives markets. The rally from Friday’s low has been constrained by a thinning of upside demand, suggesting that buyers are selective and selective exposure remains the name of the game. For market participants, the key takeaway is not a lack of interest in Bitcoin per se, but a hesitation to deploy fresh leverage when volatility remains high and liquidity conditions are not uniformly supportive.
The liquidation backdrop underscores how fragile liquidations can ripple through the marketplace. When approximately $1.8 billion of leveraged bullish futures contracts liquidate over a five-day window, it can prompt a reassessment of risk by major players, potentially widening bid-ask spreads and triggering protective selling pressures that outlive the immediate move. This environment makes it harder for bulls to build sustained momentum, even as the price tests and briefly surpasses notable thresholds.
On the sentiment front, the skew in options markets provides a counterpoint to price recovery. A 20% two-month options skew signals persistent fear and a premium placed on downside protection. In calmer times, a higher demand for calls—indicative of optimism—would push the skew down toward neutral readings. Instead, the market appears more attuned to the risk of further losses than to a runaway rally. The lack of a clear catalyst for a renewed surge adds to the sense that any upside may be incremental and exposed to negative surprises if liquidity tightens or macro risk shifts.
Traders will be watching whether institutions that have been operating behind the scenes—market makers, hedge funds, or proprietary desks—adjust their risk models in the near term. The fear of an unseen balance-sheet event can weigh on market psychology, particularly when combined with ongoing questions about systemic leverage in the crypto space. While some bulls have been adding exposure as prices attempt to climb toward and beyond $70,000, the overall tone remains cautious, with the derivatives landscape signaling that risk-off tendencies could reassert themselves if new liquidity concerns or regulatory headlines surface.
The current narrative also invites a closer look at the relationship between price movements and hedging behavior. The apparent dissonance between a late-week price rally and dwindling leverage demand raises questions about what comes next for Bitcoin’s trajectory. If the price can sustain its gains without drawing in a broader wave of leverage, a potential scenario could involve a gradual reaccumulation of long positions. Conversely, any renewed shock—whether from leverage unwind, a regulatory development, or macro catalysts—could accelerate a fresh wave of selling pressure, given the fragile confidence that currently characterizes the market.
The data paints a picture of a market tentatively treading water near critical levels. The aggregated Bitcoin futures open interest across major exchanges stood at roughly 527,850 BTC on Friday, essentially flat versus the prior week, even as the notional value of those contracts declined from about $44.3 billion to $35.8 billion. The juxtaposition—steady open interest with a sharp drop in notional exposure—reflects a snapshot of risk being redistributed rather than a wholesale shift in bullish conviction. It implies that while some traders are choosing to run hedges or reduce exposure, others are still accumulating, albeit cautiously, with a renewed emphasis on margin discipline as prices move in and out of the $70,000 region.
To contextualize whether larger players are reconsidering risk, the BTC futures basis rate—an indicator of the premium paid for futures relative to spot over a set horizon—fell to about 2% on Friday, the lowest in more than a year. In neutral conditions, the annualized premium would typically sit in a 5%–10% range to compensate for the settlement lag. The decline signals a cooling appetite for bullish leverage, even as the price manages to breach the psychological threshold of $70,000. This divergence between price strength and leverage appetite helps explain why the market has yet to embark on a fresh, sustained ascent and why traders remain alert to potential pullbacks if liquidity tightens or risk sentiment worsens.

Options dynamics add another layer of caution. The BTC options market has shown a growing tendency to put protection against downside moves, a hallmark of risk-averse positioning. A prominent feature in the latest readings is the elevated put-call skew, which suggests traders were willing to pay a premium to insure against declines. The skew’s elevation aligns with periods of market stress in which fear and uncertainty dominate price action. While some participants might anticipate a sharper comeback if macro conditions stabilize, the absence of a compelling bullish catalyst leaves room for continued volatility and potential dissipations in sentiment as the market digests new information.

The current mood sits within a broader narrative where fear and uncertainty have grown even without a singular, obvious catalyst. A widely cited discussion—What’s really weighing on Bitcoin? Samson Mow breaks it down—highlights structural concerns in the market’s structure and liquidity dynamics. While there is no single event driving the downturn, the combination of forced liquidations, a fragile risk appetite, and a cautious options market reinforces a narrative of vulnerability that could persist in the near term.
Traders are likely to continue weighing the possibility that a large market maker or hedge fund could be facing distress, and this sentiment tends to erode conviction and raise the odds of downside moves. In such an environment, the probability of a durable bullish breakout remains tempered, even as Bitcoin shows signs of breaking beyond key price levels. As the market digests ongoing data and seeks stability, participants should prepare for continued volatility and carefully monitor leverage, funding dynamics, and macro headlines that could tilt sentiment anew.
Crypto World
Bithumb mistake sent BTC price to $55,000 on that exchange
Bitcoin suffered a flash crash to $55,000 on South Korean exchange Bithumb this week after what appears to have been a major internal accounting error.
Bithumb mistakenly credited users with 2,000 BTC each instead of a small reward worth 2,000 Korean won (about $1.50), according to a blog post on Friday.
The result was tens of millions of dollars’ worth of phantom bitcoin appearing in hundreds of user accounts. No bitcoin was moved onchain, and inflated balances existed only in Bithumb’s internal ledger.
Users who suddenly saw enormous balances wasted little time trying to sell, triggering a sharp selloff on Bithumb’s BTC/KRW pair, sending prices 15.8% below other exchanges. At one point, BTC traded at 81 million won ($55,000) while prices elsewhere remained relatively stable.
Bithumb said it identified the abnormal transactions through internal controls and restricted trading in the affected accounts shortly after the incident.
The exchange said prices on its platform normalized within about five minutes and that its liquidation prevention system operated as intended, preventing any cascading forced liquidations linked to the price movement.
The company added that the incident was not related to an external hack or security breach and that customer assets remain secure.
Crypto World
Why Bitcoin’s Latest Sell-Off Echoes The 2022 Crypto Winter
Bitcoin has recently experienced a sharp freefall in the past 48 hours, scaring retail investors and raising serious concerns over its future viability. Though its price has improved slightly on Friday, traders are bracing themselves for the next big dip– and how much worse it might be.
Luckily for the crypto industry, this year wouldn’t be the first time that the future seemed dire. In times like these, history is the best anchor for knowing what happens next, which moves to avoid, and for overall assessing just how bad the situation currently is. Many of these answers lie in the 2022 collapse.
The Conditions That Preceded the 2022 Collapse
Though a lot has changed since then, the 2022 crypto winter provided the backdrop for what most in the community believed would be the end of the industry.
The narrative began in 2020, when, over the course of a year, cryptocurrencies grew enormously. Funding poured into the market, driving prices sharply higher until they peaked around November 2021. During that time, Bitcoin rose from around $8,300 to $64,000 over 10 months.
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High-yield products were central to the allure some of the leading crypto firms offered at the time. The idea of receiving a generous, guaranteed interest rate on purchases such as Bitcoin or stablecoins was highly attractive.
Yet, the narrative began to dismantle, partly due to broader macroeconomic factors.
The US Federal Reserve had raised interest rates due to persistent inflation, limiting consumers’ access to liquidity. The stock market suffered a deep correction, partially in response to the outbreak of war in Europe.
These factors led crypto investors to withdraw funds from the most speculative assets.
What ensued was a scenario similar to a bank run. But as consumers rushed to withdraw their funds, bigger issues began to appear– ones that caused investors to seriously distrust the industry.
The Domino Effect That Followed
The first shock was the collapse of the TerraUSD (UST) stablecoin in May 2022, when its price nosedived over 24 hours. The event raised serious distrust in its ability to maintain its dollar peg.
According to an analysis by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Celsius and Voyager Digital, leading centralized exchanges at the time, saw respective outflows of 20% and 14% in customer funds in the 11 days following the news.
Then came the collapse of Three Arrows Capital (3AC). At the time, the hedge fund managed about $10 billion in assets. The generalized plunge in crypto prices and a particularly risky trading strategy wiped out its assets, obligating the firm to file for bankruptcy.
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Centralized exchanges suffered even more greatly, incurring another round of steep outflows.
After that came the infamous FTX collapse in November 2022. Outflows reached 37% of customer funds, all of which were withdrawn within 48 hours. According to the Chicago Fed, exchanges Genesis and BlockFi respectively withdrew roughly 21% and 12% of their investments in that month alone.
During 2022, at least 15 crypto-related firms ceased operations or entered insolvency proceedings. The failures revealed structural liquidity weaknesses in several business models, particularly their vulnerability to rapid withdrawals during periods of market stress.
These events underscored an increasingly important lesson: financial promises must be aligned with underlying liquidity, and contingency planning is essential during periods of stress.
Against today’s market backdrop, those lessons have regained renewed relevance.
Why Today’s Bitcoin Behavior Matters
Over the past week, leading cryptocurrencies Bitcoin and Ethereum fell nearly 30%. This drop wiped out an estimated $25 billion in unrealized value across digital asset balance sheets.
This data comes as global markets sold off sharply this week, hitting crypto, equities, and even traditional safe havens like gold and silver. The synchronized decline points to a broader liquidity shock rather than asset-specific weaknesses.
As a result, traders facing margin calls liquidated their liquid assets first. For crypto, this broader backdrop indicated a market reset rather than a complete loss of confidence. With positive consumer data on Friday reducing near-term macro pressure, Bitcoin saw its price refloat back up to $70,000.
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Nonetheless, Bitcoin’s behavior has signalled something more structural. It hasn’t exclusively reacted to liquidity conditions.
For the past year, Bitcoin has failed to reclaim momentum even on relief rallies. According to previous BeInCrypto analyses, this drawdown is being driven primarily by long-term holders who have consistently sold off their holdings.
That behavior sends a powerful negative signal into the market. Newer retailers have followed their moves closely, understanding that when conviction hodlers sell, upside attempts lose credibility.
Price action, however, is often only the first visible layer of stress. While markets tend to price fear quickly, institutions respond more slowly and more structurally, adjusting operations long before a full-blown crisis becomes evident.
In periods of prolonged uncertainty, these strategic shifts can serve as early warning signs.
Institutions Begin Pulling Back Quietly
Beyond price movements, early indicators of stress are already emerging at the institutional level.
One recent example has been Gemini’s decision to scale back operations and exit certain European markets. The move does not point to insolvency, nor can it be directly attributed to the latest price downturn.
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However, it does reflect a strategic adjustment to a higher-compliance environment, illustrating how prolonged uncertainty often prompts institutions to reassess regional exposure and operating efficiency before stress becomes visible in balance sheets or market prices.
Meanwhile, last month Polygon carried out a large internal round of layoffs, dismissing roughly 30% of its staff. The move marked the third time it did so in the past three years.
Historically, similar operational pullbacks appeared quietly in late 2021 and early 2022, well before broader industry failures became visible. Firms began freezing hiring, scaling back expansion plans, and reducing incentives as liquidity tightened. These moves were often framed as efficiency or regulatory alignment rather than distress.
Attention is also returning to digital asset treasuries, where prolonged drawdowns tend to expose balance-sheet sensitivity. MicroStrategy has once again emerged as a bellwether.
MicroStrategy Highlights Early Structural Stress
Bitcoin’s largest digital asset treasury faced renewed market pressure after Bitcoin slid to $60,000 this week. The event pushed its vast crypto treasury deeper below its average acquisition cost and reigniting concerns about balance-sheet risk.
MicroStrategy’s shares fell sharply as Bitcoin extended its sell-off, while the stock’s decline also pushed its market valuation below the value of its underlying Bitcoin holdings.
If price volatility persists, such balance sheets will become increasingly reflexive, amplifying both confidence and fragility.
In fact, MicroStrategy has already moved away from its once-unmovable promise to never sell. In November, CEO Phong Le acknowledged for the first time that the company could sell its holdings under specific crisis conditions.
Today’s indicators appear earlier and more subdued, which may make them easier to overlook. Yet their quiet nature may be precisely what makes them significant, offering a glimpse into how prolonged confidence erosion begins to reshape the industry from the inside out.
Crypto World
New ChatGPT Predicts the Price of XRP, Ethereum and Pi Coin By the End of 2026
ChatGPT draws on large-scale datasets and market patterns to generate forward-looking crypto analysis, and when prompted with a well-defined framework, the AI predicts head-turning 2026 price outlooks for XRP, Ethereum, and Pi Network.
According to ChatGPT’s assessment, a prolonged crypto bull market paired with more transparent and supportive regulation in the United States could accelerate price discovery for major digital assets, pushing them to new record highs sooner than many investors expect.
Below is ChatGPT’s projected trajectory for the three leading altcoins over the next eleven months.
XRP ($XRP): ChatGPT Predicts a Potential Move Toward $8 by 2027
Ripple’s XRP ($XRP) currently changing hands near $1.36, but ChatGPT forecasts that broader XRP adoption and supportive legislation could drive XRP to $8 by the end of 2026, implying gains of nearly 500% from current prices.

Last July, it notched its first new all-time high (ATH) in seven years, surging to $3.65 after Ripple achieved a decisive courtroom victory against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
That ruling lifted a major regulatory overhang and helped ease broader market fears that the SEC planned to treat altcoins as unregistered securities.
From a technical perspective, XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 27, placing it firmly in oversold territory. The fact that it’s uptrending again suggests that selling pressure may be losing steam, setting the stage for investors to buy back in over the weekend at a relative discount.

As XRP’s price gradually realigns with its 30-day moving average, positive industry or macro developments could spark a sudden surge in the weeks or months ahead.
When combined with anticipated ETF inflows from the newly launched US spot XRP ETFs and anticipation for the U.S. CLARITY bill, a proposed comprehensive crypto regulatory framework, ChatGPT’s ambitious price target appears increasingly plausible.
Ethereum ($ETH): ChatGPT Anticipates a 5x Opportunity for Current Holders
Ethereum ($ETH), the dominant blockchain for smart contracts, decentralized applications, and decentralized finance, remains the backbone of much of the Web3 ecosystem.
With a market capitalization of roughly $233 billion and more than $59 billion in total value locked (TVL) across DeFi protocols, Ethereum continues to serve as the main hub of on-chain commercial activity.
Its long-standing security track record, reliable settlement layer, and early leadership in stablecoins and real-world asset tokenization position Ethereum well for expanding institutional participation.
Momentum could intensify if U.S. lawmakers pass the CLARITY bill, offering the regulatory clarity institutions need to deploy capital through Ethereum-based infrastructure, either through stablecoins, crypto, or real world asset tokenization.
ETH is currently trading just below $2,000, with significant resistance expected near the $5,000 mark after peaking at an all-time high of $4,946.05 last August.
If ChatGPT’s bullish outlook plays out, a decisive breakout above $5,000 could open the door to multiple new highs in 2026, with upside potential going as high as $10,000 during a full-scale 2026 bull run.
Pi Network (PI): ChatGPT Sees a 2,700% Rally This Year
Pi Network ($PI) is best known for its mobile mining model that rewards daily user participation. Simply open the app and tap when prompted to earn crypto.
According to ChatGPT’s analysis, a strong bullish phase could lift Pi Network from its current price of $0.1445 to as high as $5, representing potential gains of more than 2,668%.
The token recently outperformed several large-cap cryptocurrencies following Pi Network’s announcement of a partnership with AI firm OpenMind. The collaboration highlights how Pi node operators can provide decentralized computing resources to external organizations, reinforcing a tangible real-world use case.
Additional momentum stems from recent testnet upgrades, including decentralized exchange functionality, automated market makers, enhanced liquidity systems, and a revamped KYC framework, all of which significantly broaden the platform’s scope.
Maxi Doge (MAXI): A New Meme Coin Challenger Enters the Spotlight
Although not part of ChatGPT’s primary forecasts, Maxi Doge ($MAXI) has rapidly become one of the most talked-about meme coin presales of 2026, raising approximately $4.6 million ahead of its public launch.
The project revolves around Maxi Doge, a high-octane gym bro parody (and distant cousin) of Dogecoin/ According to its tongue-in-cheek lore, Maxi Doge spent the last decade watching Dogecoin from the sidelines, while pumping weights and shitcoins, now he’s stepping into the limelight to take control of the meme coin scene.
Bold, chaotic, and deliberately over-the-top, Maxi Doge relishes in the degen energy that originally catapulted meme coins into a global phenomenon.
MAXI is an ERC-20 token operating on Ethereum’s proof-of-stake network, giving it a substantially smaller environmental footprint compared with Dogecoin’s proof-of-work design.
During the presale, participants can stake MAXI tokens for yields of up to 68% APY, with rewards gradually declining as the staking pool grows.
The token is currently priced at $0.0002802 in the latest presale phase, with automatic price increases triggered at each funding milestone. Purchases are available via MetaMask and Best Wallet.
Dogecoin may be the progenitor, but Maxi Doge is the new alpha in Memesville!
Stay updated through Maxi Doge’s official X and Telegram pages.
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The post New ChatGPT Predicts the Price of XRP, Ethereum and Pi Coin By the End of 2026 appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Ai.Com, Founded by Kris Marszalek, Announces Upcoming AI Agents
Proponents of AI agents say the new technology will simplify crypto trading and other financial activities for the average user.
AI platform ai.com, founded by Crypto.com co-founder and CEO Kris Marszalek, announced on Friday that it will be launching an autonomous AI agent for retail consumers.
The agentic AI will be able to execute functions including trading stocks, workflow automation and simple tasks like calendar updates and managing changes to online social profiles, according to an announcement from the company.
The agents will feature segregated user data, secured by encryption keys unique to each user, and run according to user-set restrictions on what the agent is allowed to do, the announcement said.
AI agents have garnered significant attention from users over the last year. About one quarter (23%) of respondents surveyed by investment research firm McKinsey indicated that their organizations were expanding the use of AI agents, according to a November report from the company.

The growth of autonomous AI agents can automate crypto trading strategies and wallet management, removing the technical barrier-to-entry for new users unfamiliar with blockchain systems and onchain transaction execution, proponents of the technology say.
Related: Crypto dev launches website for agentic AI to ‘rent a human’
How agentic AI can remove the barrier to entry for cryptocurrencies and Web3
These technical barriers include choosing the correct blockchain network and token protocols to send funds to, and complex user interfaces that are harder to navigate for new users, according to Jonathan Farnell, CEO of crypto exchange Freedx.
Agentic AI can abstract away the technical complexity of cryptocurrencies by selecting the cheapest and fastest execution pathways and simplifying stablecoin usage, according to Tether co-founder Reeve Collins.
This can include optimization for arbitrage or yield-bearing opportunities, Collins told Cointelegraph.
“When AI is integrated, all of the complexity in this space will be gone,” Collins said, adding that autonomous AI agents will allow users to hold and navigate larger portfolios of increasingly diverse token standards.
Magazine: Why AI sucks at freelance work and real-life tasks: AI Eye
Crypto World
Michael Saylor’s Strategy’s (MSTR) big Q4 loss looks dramatic, but bitcoin would have to fall below $8K to trigger trouble
Wall Street analysts covering Strategy (MSTR) broadly agree on one point after the company’s fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday: the headline losses look dramatic, but they do not signal a liquidity crisis or forced bitcoin selling.
Strategy reported a $17.4 billion operating loss and a $12.6 billion net loss for the quarter, figures driven largely by non-cash mark-to-market accounting tied to bitcoin’s price decline. Both TD Cowen and Benchmark said the market reaction missed that context, sending shares down about 17% on a day when bitcoin and other risk assets were already under pressure.
Shares are higher by 21% on Friday as bitcoin climbs from yesterday’s low of $60,000 to back above $70,000.
The two analysts agree the core debate centers on solvency, not profitability. Strategy holds 713,502 bitcoin, worth nearly $50 billion at current prices, against about $8.2 billion in convertible debt. Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer said the company would only face true balance-sheet stress if bitcoin fell below $8,000 and stayed there for years. Management emphasized on the earnings call that none of its debt carries covenants or triggers tied to bitcoin’s price or its average purchase cost.
TD Cowen’s Lance Vitanza also focused on the durability of the capital structure. He argued that Strategy was built to amplify bitcoin’s volatility by design, with common equity trading at roughly 1.5 times bitcoin’s swings. That leverage cuts both ways. Vitanza said the company’s $2.25 billion cash reserve and staggered debt maturities mean there is no reasonable scenario where Strategy would be forced to sell bitcoin in the near term, even if prices remain depressed.
Where analysts differ is less about risk and more about framing. TD Cowen leaned into Strategy’s role as a “digital credit engine,” highlighting its growing preferred equity business and the liquidity of its STRC preferred stock, which pays an 11.25% annualized dividend. Benchmark placed more weight on bitcoin’s long-term price path and the optionality embedded in Strategy’s equity if bitcoin rallies.
Both firms remain constructive on the stock. Benchmark reiterated a Buy rating with a $705 price target, based on a sum-of-the-parts model that assumes bitcoin reaches $225,000 by the end of 2026. TD Cowen also maintained a Buy rating, arguing that Strategy remains one of the most efficient ways for investors to gain leveraged bitcoin exposure outside of ETFs, though it did not disclose a specific price target in its note.
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