Crypto World
Dollar Index (DXY) Stabilises After CPI Release
Late January proved exceptionally volatile in the currency markets, as reflected by the ATR indicator. However, following the rebound from the four-year low (B), price swings on the DXY chart have narrowed, suggesting a degree of market stabilisation.
Friday’s CPI release had the potential to trigger sharp moves in the US dollar index, yet no major surprises emerged. According to Forex Factory data, the actual figures were broadly in line with analysts’ forecasts (inflation eased slightly as expected), and market participants headed into the long weekend, with US financial markets closed on Monday for Presidents’ Day.

Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart
On 27 January, when analysing the Dollar Index (DXY) chart, we:
→ updated the descending channel (marked in red);
→ noted that DXY was trading near a long-term support zone from which price had rebounded twice in the second half of 2025;
→ suggested that the downward momentum could be losing strength.
However, the market had other plans. Although the rally towards peak C (the former support level) is a clear sign that bearish pressure is fading, it was preceded by a false downside breakout of the aforementioned support area.
Swing analysis also points to stabilisation, based on the proportional structure:
→ peak C formed within the 50%–61.8% retracement of the A→B impulse;
→ trough D developed within the 50%–61.8% retracement of the B→C move;
→ peak E emerged within the 50%–61.8% retracement of the C→D impulse.
The previously highlighted support zone is now acting as a range where supply and demand appear balanced.
While the descending channel remains technically valid, the confident trajectory (indicated by the arrow) from the B low suggests that bears may struggle to maintain the prevailing trend of recent months.
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Crypto World
Blockchain Identity Management Solutions for Risk-Free Operations
Identity today sits at the center of nearly every digital interaction, including onboarding customers, approving transactions, accessing services, and ensuring compliance. Yet most identity systems enterprises rely on were designed for a different era.
They are centralized, fragmented, and vulnerable. With the digital ecosystems expanding, their weaknesses are becoming harder to ignore. Data breaches, identity fraud, duplicate identities, and verification delays are no longer occasional problems; they are recurring business risks.
It is exactly the reason why enterprises are actively exploring blockchain identity management solutions as a structural upgrade, not a technological experiment. The reason behind this is that identity is no longer just an IT concern. It is a business-critical asset.
What’s Broken in Traditional Identity Systems
Many organizations still operate with legacy identity frameworks built on siloed databases and third-party verifiers. These models introduce several vulnerabilities.
Centralized Data Silos
Traditional identity systems store sensitive user data in centralized repositories. These become prime targets for cyberattacks. One breach can expose millions of identities, damaging trust and triggering regulatory consequences. For enterprises, this means financial loss, reputational damage, and compliance scrutiny.
Repetitive Verification Processes
Users often verify their identity multiple times across services. This creates:
- Poor user experience
- Higher onboarding costs
- Longer verification cycles
Enterprises lose conversions when onboarding feels slow or intrusive.
Limited User Control
In most traditional systems, organizations control identity data, not users. This, in turn, increases privacy concerns and reduces transparency. Modern consumers increasingly expect control over how their data is used.
Fraud & Identity Theft
Centralized databases make identity manipulation easier. Synthetic identity fraud and credential theft continue to rise globally. For enterprises, this directly impacts fraud management costs and regulatory risk.
Compliance Complexity
Regulations such as KYC, AML, GDPR, and data localization laws require strict identity handling. Managing compliance across jurisdictions becomes complex and costly.
Identity as a Revenue Enabler, Not Just a Security Layer
Traditionally, identity systems were viewed as compliance & security necessities and cost centers rather than value drivers. However, blockchain identity management solutions change that perspective. With verifiable, user-controlled identity frameworks, organizations can unlock:
- Faster customer onboarding
- Reduced KYC friction
- Cross-platform identity reuse
- Lower fraud-related losses
- Personalized digital services
This, in turn, plays a significant role in transforming identity from a back-end obligation into a front-end business enabler.
For instance, fintech platforms can onboard users in minutes instead of days. Healthcare systems can share verified credentials without repeated paperwork. Marketplaces can reduce fake accounts and chargebacks.
In other words, strong identity infrastructure improves revenue efficiency, not just security. Forward-looking enterprises now treat digital identity as part of their growth stack, not just their compliance stack.
Want to Fix Loopholes in Traditional Identity Systems with Blockchain?
How Blockchain Identity Management Changes the Model
Blockchain introduces a decentralized and tamper-resistant identity framework. Instead of relying on a single authority, identity verification becomes distributed, secure, and verifiable.
Decentralized Identity Storage
Data is not stored in one central database. Instead, blockchain enables distributed identity references with cryptographic security. This plays a significant role in reducing breach risk. Even if one node is compromised, the system remains secure.
Self-Sovereign Identity (SSI)
Users have complete control over their identity credentials. They decide what to share and with whom. Enterprises verify credentials without storing excessive personal data, which readily improves privacy compliance and builds user trust.
Tamper-Proof Records
Blockchain records cannot be altered retroactively. Verification history remains fully transparent and reliable, thereby reducing the chances of fraud and simplifying the overall audit process.
Faster Verification
Reusable credentials allow verified identities to be shared across platforms. This helps accelerate the onboarding process while lowering operational costs.
Smart Compliance
Blockchain can embed compliance logic into identity flows. KYC or AML checks can be verified instantly through trusted credentials, reducing repetitive checks.
Real Business Value for Enterprises
Blockchain identity management solutions are not just about security upgrades. They drive measurable business benefits.
Reduced Fraud Losses
Tamper-resistant identity systems lower fraud risk and prevent duplicate identities.
Faster Customer Onboarding
Streamlined verification reduces drop-offs and improves conversion rates.
Lower Compliance Costs
Automated verification reduces manual review and regulatory complexity.
Stronger User Trust
Privacy-centric identity models resonate with modern consumers.
Trust translates to retention.
Interoperable Identity Ecosystems
Identity credentials can work across partners, platforms, and regions, enabling collaboration.
Where Do Enterprises Need to Be Careful?
Adopting blockchain identity requires strategic planning. Here are a few of the most common mistakes committed by enterprises:
- Over-engineering early stages
- Ignoring regulatory nuance
- Poor integration with legacy systems
- Focusing on tech instead of user experience
Identity management transformation should be phased and goal-driven, which is exactly where enterprises need to be cautious.
Why Choosing the Right Digital Identity Solutions Provider Matters
A full-scale blockchain identity management solution touches:
- Security architecture
- Compliance frameworks
- User experience design
- Infrastructure scalability
- Integration layers
Enterprises should understand that it is not a plug-and-play deployment. A capable digital identity solutions provider understands regulatory environments, enterprise infrastructure, and decentralized identity frameworks. Moreover, it is essential to note that poorly designed identity systems create friction rather than trust.
Final Thoughts
Traditional identity systems are showing structural cracks in a digital-first world. On the other hand, blockchain identity management solutions offer a path toward secure, user-centric, and scalable identity ecosystems.
Enterprises adopting it are not just fixing loopholes; they are future-proofing their digital interactions. Antier, as a trusted digital identity solutions provider, works with organizations to design and implement blockchain-based identity systems that align with security, compliance, & user expectations. It is because in the digital economy, trust begins with identity.
Crypto World
XRP Ledger faces test as tokenized Treasuries sit idle on XRPL
XRP Ledger now holds most tokenized U.S. Treasury supply, but trading and settlement still favor Ethereum and layer-2 networks, leaving XRPL’s role in flux.
Summary
- XRPL hosts roughly 63% of tokenized U.S. Treasury token supply, led by OpenEden’s TBILL vault token.
- Aviva Investors’ partnership with Ripple could bring large-scale fund tokenization to XRPL over the next decade.
- Despite this, most transfer volume and liquidity for tokenized Treasuries remain on Ethereum and layer-2s, where collateral rails are already built.
XRP Ledger holds approximately 63% of tokenized U.S. Treasury bill token supply, yet trading activity remains predominantly on Ethereum and layer-2 networks, according to blockchain data tracked by RWA.xyz.
The distribution gap highlights a emerging divide in the tokenized asset market between where digital securities are issued and where they are actively traded, industry observers noted.
Two recent developments have positioned XRPL as a potential venue for real-world asset tokenization. Aviva Investors announced a partnership with Ripple to tokenize traditional fund structures on the ledger, describing the initiative as a multi-year project. The asset manager characterized tokenization as transitioning from experimental phases to large-scale production over the next decade.
Additionally, OpenEden’s TBILL token, a vault token backed by short-dated U.S. Treasuries with 1:1 backing, maintains a majority of its circulating supply on XRPL, according to data from RWA.xyz.
However, transfer volume data reveals limited on-chain activity for TBILL on XRPL compared to Ethereum and certain layer-2 networks, according to the same dataset. The pattern suggests tokens are being issued and held on XRPL but moved and utilized on other blockchain networks.
Tokenized U.S. Treasuries refer to tokenized fund shares or vault tokens backed by short-dated U.S. government securities, held and transferred on blockchain networks. The sector has grown as institutional investors explore blockchain-based settlement infrastructure.
The Aviva-Ripple partnership focuses on tokenizing traditional fund structures rather than exclusively Treasury bills, according to the announcement. The companies have not yet launched a live tokenized fund product with a prospectus and eligible investor base.
XRPL has emphasized built-in compliance tools and near-instant settlement capabilities in its positioning to institutional clients, according to public statements from Ripple and partner firms. The approach targets regulated distribution channels rather than decentralized finance composability.
Stablecoin transfer activity on XRPL has grown in parallel with tokenized Treasury initiatives, according to on-chain metrics. The combination of stablecoins for settlement and Treasury tokens for yield represents a potential operational model for institutional users.
Ethereum and layer-2 networks currently maintain more developed on-chain liquidity infrastructure for tokenized assets, according to market participants. Tokenized Treasuries on those networks can be swapped against stablecoins and routed through institutional market makers at larger scale.
The tokenized Treasury market is evolving toward use cases in collateral and settlement workflows within the broader financial system, according to industry analysts. Institutions building lending and settlement flows have generally defaulted to networks with existing collateral infrastructure and liquidity depth.
The next 30 to 90 days could provide clearer signals on XRPL’s trajectory in the tokenized Treasury market, according to market observers. Key indicators include whether transfer volumes for Treasury tokens on XRPL rise materially to match balance concentrations, whether additional regulated issuers launch products on the network, and whether Aviva progresses from partnership intention to a live tokenized fund with measurable holder counts.
Current data shows XRPL holds significant token supply and growing stablecoin activity, while trading and transfer volumes remain concentrated on Ethereum and layer-2 networks, according to blockchain analytics platforms.
Crypto World
Senators Urge CFIUS Probe Into $500M UAE Stake in Trump-Linked WLFI
Washington just got a new crypto headache. Two U.S. Senators are pushing Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to open an urgent national security review over a $500 million foreign investment in World Liberty Financial.
Here is where it gets tense. The money comes from a UAE backed investment vehicle and reportedly gives foreign players a 49% stake in the Trump linked crypto venture. That is a big slice.
The timing makes it even more explosive. This all surfaced just days after the inauguration, raising concerns about who might gain access to sensitive financial or user data.
Key Takeaways
- Senators Elizabeth Warren and Andy Kim formally requested a CFIUS probe into a UAE-backed vehicle purchasing 49% of WLFI.
- The $500 million deal allegedly funnels $187 million directly to Trump-family linked entities, raising conflict of interest flags.
- Lawmakers argue the structure grants foreign actors dangerous leverage over a firm collecting sensitive U.S. financial data.
The Deal and the Threat
In a letter sent Friday, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Andy Kim asked Treasury to confirm whether CFIUS was even alerted about the deal.
The transaction would give a UAE backed investment vehicle nearly 49% of World Liberty Financial, the DeFi project widely promoted by the Trump family. That is not a minor stake.
Reports link the funding to Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the UAE national security adviser. If finalized, the foreign fund becomes the largest shareholder overnight.

And this is happening as Trump affiliated ventures are expanding deeper into crypto, putting everything under a brighter spotlight.
The real tension is about influence. A $500 million stake is not passive money. It can mean access, leverage, and potentially sensitive internal data. For a project tied to a sitting President’s family, the optics alone are enough to spark political fire.
National Security Red Flags
The concern is not just the $500 million. It is the data.
Senators pointed out that WLFI privacy policy admits to collecting wallet addresses, device identifiers, and even approximate location data. If a foreign backed fund gains influence over a company holding that kind of financial information, it raises serious national security flags.
The letter also references executives tied to G42, a tech firm that has faced U.S. scrutiny over alleged links to China.
Warren and Kim want confirmation by March 5 on whether a formal review is underway. With Treasury pushing for clearer crypto rules, ignoring a potential security gap tied to presidential business interests could turn into a political storm.
All of this is unfolding while the broader Trump linked crypto network keeps expanding. Reports suggest roughly $187 million from the deal would flow to entities connected to the Trump family which makes it even more complicated.
Will The Deal Unwind?
If CFIUS steps in, this could get serious. The committee has the authority to unwind deals retroactively, especially if cybersecurity or national security risks are involved. High profile foreign investments with political ties rarely escape scrutiny.
With crypto increasingly intersecting with federal oversight, headlines like this can move markets quickly. If Treasury confirms an active review, expect volatility to spike.
The post Senators Urge CFIUS Probe Into $500M UAE Stake in Trump-Linked WLFI appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Animoca Brands clears a major regulatory hurdle with new Dubai license
Digital asset venture capital company Animoca Brands has won regulatory approval in Dubai.
Animoca has been granted a Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP) license from the Emirate’s regulatory authority for the digital asset industry, the firm announced via email on Monday.
The Hong Kong-headquartered company, which won in-principle approval as a regulated fund manager in Abu Dhabi in November, said the license allows it to commence operations in Dubai, offering broker-dealer services and digital asset management and investments.
Dubai established its Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) in 2022 to oversee the licensing and operation of cryptocurrency and crypto-adjacent companies, and has since been central to the Emirate’s growth into a digital asset hub. Prominent exchanges such as Binance and OKX have also won regulatory approval there.
Animoca, which filed to list on the Nasdaq in the U.S. through a reverse merger late last year, manages a portfolio of over 600 blockchain investments and offers institutional services such as crypto treasury management and digital asset infrastructure.
Crypto World
Is Breakout Imminent as ETH Compresses in Key Technical Pattern?
Ethereum’s most recent price action reflects a temporary slowdown in momentum. After the aggressive decline toward the lower demand region, the market has entered a fluctuation phase, with minor bullish retracements attempting to stabilize the structure. The price is currently compressing within key technical boundaries, suggesting that a decisive move is approaching.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
On the daily timeframe, ETH is moving in a consolidation phase following its sharp drop into the $1,800–$1,850 demand zone. The recent candles show minor bullish retracements, but these moves lack strong impulsive characteristics and appear corrective in nature.
Technically, the asset is confined between the $1.8K static support and the descending channel’s middle boundary, which is acting as dynamic resistance around the $2,500–$2,600 region. As long as Ethereum remains trapped between these two levels, the market structure reflects a fluctuation state rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
A valid breakout above the channel’s midline resistance would be required to shift short-term momentum in favor of buyers. Conversely, a breakdown below the $1,800 support would expose lower demand zones and likely reintroduce strong selling pressure.
ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart
Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the price action reveals the formation of a tightening triangle pattern after the rebound from the $1,800 low. The structure shows converging trendlines, reflecting decreasing volatility and a balance between buyers and sellers.
Ethereum is now trading near the apex of this narrow range, indicating that a breakout is imminent. A bullish breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle could trigger a push toward the $2,300–$2,400 region as the next short-term resistance. On the other hand, a bearish breakdown below the ascending support of the triangle would likely lead to a renewed test of the $1,800 demand zone.
Overall, the market is in compression mode on the lower timeframe, and the next impulsive move will likely determine the short-term direction.
Sentiment Analysis
From an on-chain perspective, the Coinbase Premium Index has remained predominantly negative, indicating relatively weak demand from US-based investors and a lack of aggressive spot buying on Coinbase compared to other exchanges. This persistent negative reading aligns with the broader corrective structure observed on the charts.
However, the index has recently experienced a noticeable upward surge. Although it is still below the neutral threshold, the intensity of the rebound suggests that selling pressure from US participants may be easing. If this upward momentum continues and the index crosses into positive territory, turning green, it would signal renewed spot demand from US investors.
Such a shift could act as a catalyst for a bullish rebound, particularly if it coincides with a technical breakout from the current triangle formation. In that scenario, both technical structure and on-chain demand would align in favor of a stronger recovery phase.
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Crypto World
When Will The CLARITY Act Pass?
The crypto industry and investors are awaiting the completion of the US CLARITY Act, which has been delayed amid partisan politics and industry concerns.
The bill would rewrite the rules of the road for the crypto industry, from which agency oversees it to regulations for decentralized finance (DeFi).
Currently, lawmakers in the US Senate are hammering out the details, with significant points of contention. Democrats want a bipartisan bill with ethics provisions and a bailout prohibition that Republicans roundly rejected.
The crypto industry itself has taken issue with some of the provisions. Namely, Coinbase, the largest crypto exchange in the US, doesn’t want a bill that prevents it from offering stablecoin yields. The US bank lobby opposes such yields, saying they threaten deposits and the stability of the financial system.
The bill has gone through several iterations. Here’s a look at how far it’s come:
May 2025: CLARITY comes to Washington
House Committee on Financial Services Chairman French Hill first introduced the CLARITY Act on May 29, 2025.
The goal of the bill, according to the committee, was to establish “clear, functional requirements for digital asset market participants, prioritizing consumer protection while fostering innovation.”
The committee said the bill was needed for several reasons, mainly that digital assets represented the next step in digital financial innovation and that the regulatory status quo was stifling possibilities.
June-July 2025: House passes crypto bill
The House of Representatives moved with uncharacteristic speed on the CLARITY Act. In June, the bill moved through markup sessions in the House committees on agriculture and financial services and was placed on the calendar for a vote on the floor by June 23.
On July 17, the House of Representatives passed the bill, 294-134. The vote found more support among Republicans. Some 216 Republicans supported the bill, none opposed, while four abstained from voting.
There was some bipartisan support: 78 Democrats joined in voting “Yay,” while most of them, 134 Democratic Representatives, voted “Nay.” No Democrats abstained from voting.

With the vote, the bill moved to the upper house, the US Senate, where it has since been under debate.
July-September 2025: Senate starts work
The Senate quickly got underway with work on CLARITY. On July 22, Republican leaders on the US Senate Banking Committee released a draft version of the bill.
The discussion draft would “establish clear distinctions between digital asset securities and commodities, modernize our regulatory framework, and position the United States as the global leader in digital asset innovation.”
Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott was optimistic about the Senate moving just as quickly as the House, giving an initial deadline of Sept. 30, 2025.
October-December 2025: Senators at odds during government shutdown
Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee, including noted cryptocurrency skeptic Senator Elizabeth Warren, were opposed to several parts of the discussion draft.
Warren took issue with how taxes would be treated under the law, saying in a statement that “proposals to clarify crypto’s tax treatment could ultimately give crypto an unfair advantage over other financial products.”
She also said that the proposals “make it harder to track what’s happening in crypto transactions if they are being used for illegal purposes.”
Senate Democrats also came up with their own proposals on how the bill would regulate DeFi. According to partners at Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom, these DeFi rules sought to “leverage existing regulatory frameworks to create a crypto market structure and show Congress’ instinct to retrofit the current system rather than design one built for crypto.”
This was diametrically opposed to Republicans’ and the crypto industry’s vision, which was to create a new, bespoke system for the digital asset industry.
On Nov. 11, 2025, the Senate Agricultural Committee released its own discussion draft of CLARITY. The draft noted that lawmakers were still discussing the idea of which federal agency, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) or the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC), would regulate the industry.
Further hindering progress was the US federal government shutdown from Oct. 1 to Nov. 12 — the longest in history after the previous one that occurred in President Donald Trump’s first term. It only ended after a small group of Senate Democrats voted with Republicans to pass a resolution to temporarily fund the government.
December 2025-January 2026: Markup session, crypto industry gets impatient
Senator Cynthia Lummis predicted in the autumn that the crypto framework law would reach Trump’s desk by New Year’s Eve. As the year 2025 drew to a close, this seemed less likely.
On Dec. 19, the White House’s crypto and AI czar, David Sacks, said that, after a meeting with top senators working on CLARITY, there would be a markup session in January.

However, the planned markup session in the Senate Banking Committee was postponed amid substantive disagreements about the bill from the crypto industry lobby and the banking industry.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said they couldn’t support the bill due to its provisions banning interest-bearing stablecoins, as well as positioning the SEC as the main crypto industry regulator.
Related: US crypto market structure bill in limbo as industry pulls support
The move reportedly infuriated the White House, which was eager to complete work on the framework law.
Other financial bigwigs like David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs, agreed with Armstrong, saying that the bill “has a long way to go.”
Work on the law did not stop completely. The Senate Agriculture Committee announced that it would have its own markup session on Jan. 27. Committee Democrats attempted to make amendments to the bill, including an ethics provision banning Congress from trading crypto, as well as ruling out any possibility of the government bailing out crypto.
These votes failed along party lines, and the Republican majority advanced the bill to the Senate floor.
February 2026: High-level talks at the White House, political maneuvers
Crypto industry executives, lawmakers and bankers are now meeting frequently at the White House and in the halls of Congress to figure out a solution to their differences. The Digital Chamber of Commerce said that a meeting on Feb. 3 focused on stablecoin yields.

These talks have continued. On Tuesday, more executives, including Ripple chief legal officer Stuart Alderoty, met for what was a “productive session.”
“Clear, bipartisan momentum remains behind sensible crypto market structure legislation. We should move now — while the window is still open,” he said.
Still, there’s been no deal. Delays have reportedly led to nearly $1 billion in outflows from the crypto market, according to data from CoinShares. Some observers believe that the delays are ultimately good in the long run, as it gives the industry a chance to bargain for more favorable terms.
Market analyst Michaël van de Poppe said, “I think if the bill were approved in its current form, it would have had a very bad impact on the markets in general. So, now, all the parties are aligned to continue the discussion. It reminds me a lot of the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulations in Europe.”
Many are eager to seal the deal before the midterm elections. The crypto lobby has been building its political machine through donations to political action committees (PACs). Both Republican and Democratic members of Congress are reportedly eager to pass something favorable before the 2026 campaign cycle begins and crypto PACs decide who to support.
Related: Crypto PACs secure massive war chests ahead of US midterms
Crypto’s strong support in the Republican Party could also prove a liability as the party loses popularity. Midterm elections historically go against the sitting president’s party, and in one year, the crypto lobby could be stuck with a lame-duck president and lukewarm support among a Democrat majority.
The success of CLARITY could end up being a race against the clock.
Magazine: IronClaw rivals OpenClaw, Olas launches bots for Polymarket — AI Eye
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Crypto World
Metaplanet Revenue Surges 738% as Bitcoin Drives 95% of Sales
Metaplanet, a publicly listed Japanese company, has unveiled a sharp strategic pivot that centers Bitcoin income as the primary growth engine. In its fiscal year 2025 earnings release, the group disclosed revenue of 8.9 billion yen ($58 million), up 738% from 1.06 billion yen a year earlier, a surge driven by the launch of Bitcoin income operations in Q4 2024. The report also shows a dramatic shift in the business mix, with roughly 95% of total income now generated from BTC-related activities, largely through premium income from BTC options. By year-end 2025, the company reported holding 35,102 BTC, cementing its position as Japan’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin. The transition, however, has introduced volatility into profits due to BTC price movements.
Key takeaways
- Revenue for FY2025 reached 8.9 billion yen (~$58 million), up 738% year over year from 1.06 billion yen.
- Bitcoin-related income accounted for about 95% of total revenue, with the BTC options premium driving a large portion of earnings.
- End-2025 Bitcoin holdings stood at 35,102 BTC, making Metaplanet the largest corporate Bitcoin holder in Japan.
- Operating profit was about $40 million, but the company posted a net loss of roughly $619 million due to impairment tied to Bitcoin valuation swings.
- The company plans to continue its Bitcoin treasury strategy, with a forecast for 2026 revenue around $104 million and operating profit near $74 million; overseas financing of up to $137 million was approved to grow holdings and reduce debt.
Tickers mentioned: $BTC
Sentiment: Neutral
Market context: The report highlights a broader shift in corporate crypto strategies, where firms increasingly bundle treasury management with revenue from BTC-related activities. In a volatile BTC market, cash flow and profit reporting can hinge on mark-to-market valuations, prompting caution about earnings quality even as long-term holders pursue balance-sheet diversification.
Why it matters
Metaplanet’s pivot illustrates how traditional corporate structures can adapt to a changing crypto landscape. By treating Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) as both a cash-flow engine and a treasury reserve, the company aims to hedge against fiat currency dilution while pursuing upside from long-term price appreciation. The 35,102 BTC position signals a deliberate shift toward crypto-native income streams and positions Metaplanet among Japan’s most visible crypto adopters in the corporate sector.
Investors should note the contrast between revenue growth and regulatory or accounting headwinds. While the BTC revenue line expanded dramatically, the year ended with a substantial impairment charge that wiped out operating income on a mark-to-market basis. That dynamic underscores how crypto volatility can impact reported profitability, even for firms pursuing a clear, long-term treasury thesis.
Leadership commentary reinforces the strategic orientation. In a post on X, CEO Simon Gerovich reaffirmed the commitment to a Bitcoin-focused approach, signaling that recent market volatility would not derail the plan. The capital-raising move, approved to raise as much as $137 million overseas, is aimed at expanding BTC holdings and reducing debt, reinforcing the scalability of Metaplanet’s treasury strategy across cycles.
What to watch next
- How the overseas capital raise of up to $137 million is deployed to expand BTC holdings and reduce leverage.
- Whether 2026 revenue and operating profit targets—roughly $104 million and $74 million—hold under shifting BTC prices and impairment dynamics.
- Any updates on impairment management or valuation adjustments tied to Bitcoin holdings in quarterly filings.
- Potential changes in the income mix or expansion of BTC-based income streams beyond options-related revenue.
Sources & verification
- Metaplanet FY2025 earnings report (PDF): https://contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/33500/950d7031/221a/4a55/a35b/03d8d22182fb/140120260216563315.pdf
- Bitcoin income strategy and treasury approach (earnings release notes).
- End-2025 BTC holdings figure (35,102 BTC) and related disclosures in the earnings report.
- Overseas capital raise approval (up to $137 million) to expand holdings and reduce debt (coverage referenced).
- 2026 revenue outlook and impairment context (coverage of the forecast and impairment). See: Metaplanet lifts 2026 revenue outlook despite $680M Bitcoin impairment.
Metaplanet’s market-facing narrative
Metaplanet’s 2025 results underscore a broader narrative about corporate experimentation with cryptocurrency as a core business driver rather than a mere balance-sheet asset. The company’s decision to anchor growth in Bitcoin-related income, especially via BTC options premium, signals a willingness to embrace sophisticated crypto-financial instruments as a standout revenue source. Yet the same assets that power growth also expose the company to the volatility that has redefined crypto markets in recent years. The impairment charge that accompanied the year’s performance is a concrete reminder that accounting marks tied to BTC valuations can overshadow operational success, particularly for firms with sizable holdings.
From a strategic perspective, Metaplanet’s ascent as Japan’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder is noteworthy. The 35,102 BTC tally reflects a deliberate long-horizon stance, described by management as a consolidation of a Bitcoin treasury strategy intended to hedge against fiat dilution and capture potential long-term appreciation. This is not merely a speculative play; it is a treasury management approach that seeks to align a company’s asset mix with a secular crypto thesis. The leadership’s insistence on maintaining and expanding this strategy, even as BTC prices have seen meaningful cycles, suggests confidence in the resilience of the underlying business model and a belief that the revenue stream will normalize as Bitcoin markets stabilize.
Looking ahead, the company’s forecast for 2026 signals ambition: a revenue run-rate of around $104 million with an operating profit near $74 million. If realized, this would mark a significant step up from the 2025 baseline, but it will require careful navigation of price volatility and the ongoing accounting implications of a large Bitcoin reserve. The overseas capital raise, approved to bolster the balance sheet and push the diversification of holdings, adds a layer of strategic financing that could help mitigate downside scenarios while supporting expansion in the BTC income category. In public statements, CEO Gerovich reiterated the commitment to a Bitcoin-centric path, arguing that short-term volatility should not override a long-run thesis that envisions BTC as a sustainable revenue and hedging instrument.
What to watch next
- Progress and deployment of the overseas capital raise (up to $137 million) and the impact on balance sheet strength and BTC acquisition capacity.
- Actual 2026 results versus forecast, with attention to how BTC price movements influence impairment and reported earnings.
- Any divergence in the BTC income mix, including potential expansion beyond BTC options into other Bitcoin-related revenue channels.
- Regulatory developments affecting corporate crypto treasury strategies and reporting standards in Japan and globally.
Crypto World
Hive, Riot earnings reports, FOMC minutes: Crypto Week Ahead
Hive Digital Technologies and Riot Platforms headline this week’s crypto-related earnings reports. The two data-center operators have expanded their operations, adding high-performance computing for AI applications to their bitcoin mining operations.
In macroeconomics, the Federal Reserve is likely to grab headlines, with minutes from the most recent Federal Open Market Committee meeting to be released on Wednesday. The committee kept rates steady in January, with two dissenting voices calling for a reduction.
The week also features a number of speeches from Fed officials, including Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman and Neel Kashkari.
What to Watch
(All times ET)
Crypto
- Feb. 17, 7 p.m.: Rocket Pool to implement its Saturn One upgrade.
- Feb. 18, 1 p.m.: Hedera to undergo a mainnet upgrade expected to take approximately 40 minutes to complete.
- Feb. 19, 8 a.m.: Zama to host a live presentation of its 2026 roadmap.
- Macro
- Feb. 16, 8:25 a.m.: U.S. Fed Bowman speech
- Feb. 17, 2:00 a.m.: U.K. unemployment rate for December est. 5.1% (Prev 5.1%)
- Feb. 17, 8:30 a.m.: Canada inflation rate YoY for January (Prev. 2.4%); Core rate YoY (Prev. 2.8%)
- Feb. 18, 2 a.m.: U.K. inflation rate YoY for January est. 3% (Prev. 3.4%); Core rate YoY est. 3.1% (Prev. 3.2%)
- Feb. 18, 2:00 p.m.: U.S. FOMC Minutes
- Feb. 18, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. durable goods orders MoM for December (Prev. 5.3%)
- Feb. 18, 9:15 a.m.: U.S. industrial production MoM for January est. 0.3% (Prev. 0.4%).
- Feb. 19: U.S. Fed Bostic, Bowman, and Kashkari speeches throughout the day
- Feb. 19, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. initial jobless claims for Feb. 14 est. 225K (Prev. 227K)
- Feb. 20. 8:30 a.m.: U.S. Core PCE price index MoM for December est. 0.4% (Prev. 0.2%); YoY est. 2.9% (Prev. 2.8%)
- Feb. 20, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. GDP growth rate QoQ Adv for Q4 est. 3. (Prev. 4.4%)
- Feb. 20, 9:45 a.m.: U.S. S&P Global manufacturing PMI flash for February est. 52.6 (Prev. 52.4).
- Feb. 20, 10 a.m.: U.S. Michigan consumer sentiment final for February est. 57.3 (Prev. 56.4)
- Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
- Feb. 17: HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE), pre-market, -$0.07
- Feb. 18: Figma (FIG), post-market, $0.45
- Feb. 19: Riot Platforms (RIOT), post-market, -$0.32
Governance votes & calls
- Feb. 17: Jito to host an X Spaces session with Hush Protocol.
- Feb. 18: VeChain to host its monthly VeChain Builders Space.
- Balancer is voting to swap a signer on the Emergency subDAO multisigs to improve operational responsiveness and security coverage. Voting ends Feb. 17.
- ENS DAO is voting to register the on.eth name and establish it as an onchain registry for blockchain metadata. Voting ends Feb. 19.
- Aavegotchi DAO is voting to consolidate assets from depleted wallets into the Liquidity wallet to simplify operations. Voting ends Feb. 22.
- Fluid DAO is voting to withdraw 1 million GHO and 1 million FLUID from the treasury to the Team Multisig to fund JupLend rewards and protocol incentives. Voting ends Feb. 22.
- GMX is voting on a proposal to implement tiered trading fee discounts for stakers and a staker-weighted trading leaderboard. Voting ends Feb. 22.
- Unlocks
- Feb. 16: Arbitrum to unlock 1.82% of its circulating supply worth $11.05 million.
- Feb. 17: to unlock 17.24% of its circulating supply worth $20.84 million.
- Feb. 20: to unlock 5.98% of its circulating supply worth $48.33 million.
- Feb. 20: to unlock 10.64% of its circulating supply worth $10.77 million.
- Token Launches
- Feb. 19: Resolv to complete rollout of updated USR/RLP yield distribution parameters
- Feb. 19: Injective to start INJ Community Buyback Round #226
Conferences
Crypto World
CryptoQuant flags $863M Nexo loans as confidence holds in pullback
CryptoQuant data shows Nexo users borrowed nearly 1 billion dollars in a year and over 30% returned, suggesting managed deleveraging as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana retreat.
Summary
- CryptoQuant’s JA Maartun reports Nexo issued about 863 million dollars in credit, with users borrowing nearly 1 billion dollars from January 2025 to January 2026.
- Over 30% of Nexo users returned during the drawdown, a pattern analysts frame as risk being trimmed rather than a panic liquidation event.
- The flows come as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana trade as high‑beta macro risk proxies, with crypto still closely tracking U.S. equity sentiment.
Crypto lending platform Nexo has quietly become a barometer of risk appetite in digital assets, even as markets digest a bruising pullback. In new on‑chain analysis published by CryptoQuant, researcher JA Maartun highlights that “data from Nexo shows: $863 million in total credit issued,” with users borrowing “nearly $1 billion” between January 2025 and January 2026. Crucially, “over 30% of users returned,” a dynamic Maartun frames as stability rather than stress during the drawdown. Full details are available in CryptoQuant’s “Stability During a Market Pullback>”
Market commentators argue those flows signal that leverage is being trimmed, not liquidated in panic. “Nearly $1B borrowed during a pullback says confidence didn’t fully leave the room,” Dutch outlet CryptoJournaal wrote, adding that “30% returning shows some deleveraging, but not a rush for the exits. Feels more like managed risk than stress.” That view echoes broader desks that describe crypto as the “purest expression of macro risk appetite,” with large‑caps still trading as high‑beta satellites to U.S. equities.
Broader crypto headwinds
It comes digital assets continue to trade as the purest expression of macro risk appetite. Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around $68,700, with a 24‑hour range roughly between $68,000 and $70,500 and spot turnover near $37.5B. Ethereum (ETH) changes hands close to $1,985, after printing a 24‑hour high just above $2,000 and a low near $1,930, on about $24.5B in volume. Solana (SOL) trades in the mid‑$80s, last seen near $85–$86, down around 4% on the day with roughly $9–10B changing hands.
Nexo’s role in that ecosystem has grown since it launched what it called the world’s first crypto‑backed payment card with Mastercard, allowing users to spend against collateral without selling their holdings. At the same time, the lender remains under regulatory scrutiny, facing a recent fine in California over unlicensed lending practices. That mix of growth, leverage and oversight helps explain why on‑chain credit data from platforms like Nexo now sits at the center of every serious macro‑crypto conversation.
Crypto World
Warner Bros (WBD) Stock: Paramount Bid Gains Momentum as Netflix Deal Faces Antitrust Hurdles
TLDR
- Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) may reopen negotiations with Paramount Skydance after the company enhanced its $78 billion offer with a $650 million quarterly ticking fee and breakup fee coverage.
- The current $82.7 billion Netflix deal faces regulatory challenges from Trump administration antitrust officials concerned about streaming market dominance.
- Paramount committed to cover WBD’s $2.8 billion Netflix breakup fee and up to $1.5 billion in debt refinancing costs to secure the deal.
- CEO David Zaslav is reportedly seeking Paramount to increase its $30 per share offer above $85 billion total to surpass Netflix’s $27.75 per share bid.
- Ancora Holdings opposes the Netflix deal with a $200 million stake, while only 42.3 million WBD shares have been tendered supporting Paramount’s offer.
Warner Bros. Discovery is weighing a critical decision between two competing billion-dollar offers. The media company’s board is considering whether to reopen talks with Paramount Skydance after rejecting its initial proposal.
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc., WBD
Paramount enhanced its $78 billion all-cash offer on February 10. The company added a $650 million quarterly ticking fee if the deal extends past December 31.
The enhanced terms include coverage of WBD’s $2.8 billion breakup fee to Netflix. Paramount also committed up to $1.5 billion for debt refinancing costs.
These additions demonstrate Paramount’s determination to win the bidding war. The company believes it can secure regulatory approval faster than Netflix.
Netflix Deal Encounters Washington Roadblocks
Netflix and WBD signed an $82.7 billion agreement in December. That deal is now facing serious challenges from federal regulators.
Trump administration antitrust officials are examining Netflix’s position in the streaming market. A GOP operative familiar with the situation stated the Netflix deal is “going nowhere with the executive branch.”
The regulatory scrutiny centers on potential streaming monopoly concerns. Officials question whether combining Netflix with HBO Max creates excessive market concentration.
DOJ antitrust chief Gail Slater recently resigned under White House pressure. Her departure could extend the review timeline to six months or longer.
If the DOJ blocks the deal and Netflix litigates, the process could stretch another year. This uncertainty is pushing WBD to reconsider its options.
The Path Forward for WBD
WBD must notify Netflix before reopening talks with Paramount. Netflix would then receive an opportunity to match any improved Paramount offer.
CEO David Zaslav is hoping Paramount increases its $30 per share bid. Sources say he wants the total package to exceed $85 billion.
Netflix’s current $27.75 per share offer relies on selling WBD’s cable properties. The valuation of those assets remains uncertain in today’s media landscape.
Both bidders have indicated willingness to raise their offers. However, Netflix’s stock price declined during the bidding process, potentially limiting its flexibility.
WBD plans to announce its Q4 2025 earnings date this week. Investors are also awaiting the special shareholder vote date on the Netflix transaction.
Shareholder Response and Legal Pressure
Ancora Holdings accumulated a $200 million stake in WBD. The investment firm publicly opposes the Netflix deal.
Despite this opposition, only 42.3 million shares have been tendered supporting Paramount. That represents less than 2% of outstanding shares.
Paramount filed a lawsuit against WBD claiming the company favors Netflix due to personal relationships. The suit alleges CEO Zaslav’s friendship with Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos influenced the decision.
People close to Paramount say the company hadn’t heard from WBD about reopening talks as of Sunday night. Some observers believe WBD may be using media leaks to protect against litigation.
Analysts maintain a cautious outlook on Paramount Skydance. PSKY stock carries a Moderate Sell consensus rating on TipRanks based on zero Buys, one Hold, and three Sells.
The average price target of $12.33 suggests 19.5% upside from current levels. PSKY shares dropped 8.7% over the past year.
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