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Dollar Strengthens on Middle East Tensions

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Dollar Strengthens on Middle East Tensions

The dollar strengthened as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified. Heightened uncertainty traditionally boosts demand for safe-haven assets and dollar liquidity, supporting the US currency against a range of peers. An additional factor remains the resilience of US macroeconomic indicators, which limits expectations of an imminent easing of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.

Amid the escalation of the conflict, investors are reducing risk exposure and reallocating capital into more defensive instruments. As a result, volatility has increased and capital inflows into dollar-denominated assets have strengthened, while traditional safe-haven currencies are showing a mixed reaction.

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair maintains its upward structure and is approaching the year’s highs in the 158.40–159.50 range. Despite the yen’s status as a “safe-haven asset”, the dollar retains the advantage due to higher US Treasury yields and stable expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s policy rate. Should geopolitical tensions continue to intensify, a spike in volatility and a sharp correction towards 157.00 are possible; however, momentum currently remains on the dollar’s side.

Key events for USD/JPY:

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  • today at 15:15 (GMT+2): US ADP non-farm employment change;
  • today at 16:45 (GMT+2): US services sector business activity index;
  • today at 17:00 (GMT+2): US ISM non-manufacturing PMI.

USD/CHF

The USD/CHF pair is showing moderate dollar strength, although price action remains relatively restrained due to the Swiss franc’s “safe-haven” status. Nevertheless, technical analysis of USD/CHF suggests potential upside towards 0.7900–0.7950, as a “bullish engulfing” pattern has formed and been confirmed on the daily timeframe. The bullish scenario would be invalidated by a confident move below 0.7780.

Key events for USD/CHF:

  • today at 09:30 (GMT+2): Switzerland consumer price index;
  • today at 11:30 (GMT+2): Swiss National Bank press conference;
  • tomorrow at 10:00 (GMT+2): Switzerland unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted).

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Crypto World

Crypto giant debuts WTI trading, but it’s a different model to Hyperliquid’s perps

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Crypto giant debuts WTI trading, but it's a different model to Hyperliquid's perps

The Iran war has set oil on fire and crypto exchanges are racing to offer 24/7 trading to fill tradfi gaps, with most copying decentralized giant Hyperliquid’s perpetual-futures play.

Crypto market-making giant Wintermute is taking a different approach. On Tuesday, its derivatives unit, Wintermute Asia, launched over-the-counter (OTC) trading in WTI crude oil contracts for difference (CFDs).

CFD is type of derivative that allows traders to speculate on the price movement of an asset without owning it. Similar to futures, CFDs track the asset’s price, but the key difference is that only the difference between the opening and closing prices is exchanged between the trader and the broker when the contract is closed.

These are typically traded over-the-counter and can be tailored in term sof size, duration and margin requirements. This bespoke flexibility allows professional traders and institutions to design strategies that match specific risk-return objectives, rather than conforming to one-size-fits-all derivatives such as Hyperliquid’s oil perpetual futures.

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Wintermute’s CFD launch comes amid weeks of intense geopolitical volatility in the Middle East. Escalating tensions between Iran and the U.S.–Israel coalition have left traders in a bind over weekends when traditional finance markets are closed, limiting their ability to adjust positions or manage risk effectively. This led to outsized trading activity on Hyperliquid’s energy market perpetuals and prompted WIntermute to offer CFDs.

“We are seeing strong demand from counterparties looking to use digital asset infrastructure to trade traditional products like oil. The recent price action made that need much more immediate, as many investors were unable to act until traditional venues reopened,” said Evgeny Gaevoy, CEO of Wintermute.

“A Wintermute counterparty could have traded the weekend move before the Monday gap or responded immediately to the reversal,” Gaevoy added.

Note that Wintermute is a counterparty in the CFD. Traders aren’t matched with each other; they are trading directly against Wintermute, which is taking on the market risk. The firm is, therefore, leveraging its risk management systems and deep liquidity to monetize demand for 24/7 crude than simply supplying liquidity to perpetual futures.

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Traders can access WTI CFDs with zero trading fees, using a variety of fiat and crypto assets as margin, the official announcement said. Contracts can be executed via chat, Wintermute’s electronic OTC platform, or API. The rollout builds on the recent introduction of tokenized gold, further broadening Wintermute Asia’s suite of offerings beyond purely digital assets.

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Enlivex Raises Funds for Rain Prediction Market Token Buys

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Enlivex Raises Funds for Rain Prediction Market Token Buys

Immunotherapy company Enlivex has raised $21 million via a debt financing agreement to purchase another 3 billion tokens tied to the prediction market platform Rain.

Enlivex said on Tuesday it exercised an option to acquire another 3 billion Rain (RAIN) tokens at a 62% discount for $10 million on Sunday while extending its option to purchase another 272.1 billion RAIN tokens at the same price to December 2027. The debt financing came from The Lind Partners, a New York-based asset manager.

“We are continuing to execute our prediction markets treasury strategy, and we are pleased that Lind provided us with substantial capital, allowing us to continue the execution of our operating plan, as well as to acquire approximately three billion additional RAIN tokens,” said Enlivex executive chair Shai Novik.

Enlivex develops cell therapy solutions for knee osteoarthritis, but is one of several non-crypto companies that have purchased cryptocurrencies in the hopes that it will strengthen their balance sheets and attract a wider base of investors.

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The company also said it approved a $20 million share buyback program, aimed at enhancing shareholder value.

Details of Enlivex’s debt financing announcement. Source: Enlivex

The value of Enlivex’s RAIN treasury is directly tied to Rain’s decentralized prediction market platform, which has a built-in 2.5% fee that automatically buys back and burns RAIN tokens in a bid to boost the token’s supply-demand dynamics.

RAIN token, Envilex shares trade mostly flat

The Rain token rose 7% to $0.009 after Enlivex’s announcement before falling slightly to $0.0088, trading flat over the last 24 hours with a 0.3% gain, according to CoinGecko. 

Shares in Enlivex (ENVL) also traded mostly flat on Tuesday and closed the trading day down 0.9% to $1.10, but gained 4.5% in after-hours trading, rising to $1.15.

Related: Kalshi, Polymarket eye $20B valuations in potential fundraising: WSJ

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Rain runs on the Ethereum Layer-2 Arbitrum network and ranks among the top 10 prediction market platforms by total value locked and fees over the past seven days, DeFiLlama data shows.