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Ethereum price tests $2K as exchange withdrawals spike

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Ethereum price outlook as exchange withdrawals hit highest level since November — will $2K support hold? - 1

Ethereum price faces $2,000 support as exchange withdrawals surge to the highest level since November, indicating potential shifts in market supply and momentum.

Summary

  • Ethereum trades at $2,001, down 4.3% in the last 24 hours.
  • Exchange withdrawals hit 31.6M ETH in February, highest since November.
  • $2,000 support is critical; break below risks $1,850, upside targets $2,300–$2,400.

Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $2,001 at press time, down 4.3% in the past 24 hours. The seven-day range stands between $1,841 and $2,099. ETH is still up 7.7% over the past week but down 14% in the last 30 days.

From its August 2025 all-time high of $4,946, the price has retraced about 59%. Spot trading volume reached $25 billion in the past 24 hours, a 21% drop in the last day.

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Data from CoinGlass shows a cooling in the derivatives market. Trading volume has slipped 7.8% to $59 billion, and open interest has declined 5.6% to $25 billion.

As ETH approaches a critical price zone, many traders appear to be trimming positions and lowering risk.

Exchange withdrawals surge

At the same time, on-chain activity tells a different story. According to a March 3 report by CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain, February recorded nearly 31.6 million ETH in exchange withdrawals, the largest monthly outflow since November.

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A significant portion of that came from Binance, where about 14.45 million ETH was moved off the platform. About 1.04 million ETH were withdrawn from Kraken and approximately 3.83 million ETH were removed from OKX.

Large withdrawals from exchanges usually mean the assets are being moved into cold storage or set aside for longer-term holding. Once tokens leave trading platforms, there’s less supply readily available, which can ease immediate selling pressure.

This kind of shift often suggests that investors are choosing to hold onto their positions or adjust their strategy during periods of market volatility.

Ethereum price technical analysis

The $2,000 level carries both psychological and structural importance. Because that price level coincides with an important technical area on the chart and has psychological weight for investors, both bulls and bears are pay close attention to it.

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Ethereum price outlook as exchange withdrawals hit highest level since November — will $2K support hold? - 1
Ethereum daily chart. Credit: crypto.news

Buyers have stepped in on dips, but support is under pressure. A daily close below $1,950 would expose the $1,850–$1,900 area, where prior liquidity sits. Below that, $1,700 becomes a deeper downside target.

ETH recently moved down to the lower Bollinger Band, a level that often suggests the asset may be oversold in the short term. At the same time,  the bands have begun to tighten, a pattern that usually precedes a more significant price movement in either direction.

A recovery toward the middle band in the $2,050 to $2,100 range may occur if buyers are able to hold the $2,000 level. The relative strength index has rebounded from near 30 and is attempting to recover. A push above 45–50 would show improving momentum.

Until then, the broader pattern of lower highs stays intact. ETH remains below its 50-day moving average, and a move above $2,150–$2,200 would be needed to shift short-term structure.

If ETH holds above $2,000 and breaks $2,150 with stronger momentum, upside targets sit near $2,300 and $2,400. If $2,000 fails on a daily close, the path toward $1,850 opens quickly. The next few sessions will likely decide whether ETH stabilizes or enters another leg lower.

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Crypto World

Crypto giant debuts WTI trading, but it’s a different model to Hyperliquid’s perps

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Crypto giant debuts WTI trading, but it's a different model to Hyperliquid's perps

The Iran war has set oil on fire and crypto exchanges are racing to offer 24/7 trading to fill tradfi gaps, with most copying decentralized giant Hyperliquid’s perpetual-futures play.

Crypto market-making giant Wintermute is taking a different approach. On Tuesday, its derivatives unit, Wintermute Asia, launched over-the-counter (OTC) trading in WTI crude oil contracts for difference (CFDs).

CFD is type of derivative that allows traders to speculate on the price movement of an asset without owning it. Similar to futures, CFDs track the asset’s price, but the key difference is that only the difference between the opening and closing prices is exchanged between the trader and the broker when the contract is closed.

These are typically traded over-the-counter and can be tailored in term sof size, duration and margin requirements. This bespoke flexibility allows professional traders and institutions to design strategies that match specific risk-return objectives, rather than conforming to one-size-fits-all derivatives such as Hyperliquid’s oil perpetual futures.

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Wintermute’s CFD launch comes amid weeks of intense geopolitical volatility in the Middle East. Escalating tensions between Iran and the U.S.–Israel coalition have left traders in a bind over weekends when traditional finance markets are closed, limiting their ability to adjust positions or manage risk effectively. This led to outsized trading activity on Hyperliquid’s energy market perpetuals and prompted WIntermute to offer CFDs.

“We are seeing strong demand from counterparties looking to use digital asset infrastructure to trade traditional products like oil. The recent price action made that need much more immediate, as many investors were unable to act until traditional venues reopened,” said Evgeny Gaevoy, CEO of Wintermute.

“A Wintermute counterparty could have traded the weekend move before the Monday gap or responded immediately to the reversal,” Gaevoy added.

Note that Wintermute is a counterparty in the CFD. Traders aren’t matched with each other; they are trading directly against Wintermute, which is taking on the market risk. The firm is, therefore, leveraging its risk management systems and deep liquidity to monetize demand for 24/7 crude than simply supplying liquidity to perpetual futures.

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Traders can access WTI CFDs with zero trading fees, using a variety of fiat and crypto assets as margin, the official announcement said. Contracts can be executed via chat, Wintermute’s electronic OTC platform, or API. The rollout builds on the recent introduction of tokenized gold, further broadening Wintermute Asia’s suite of offerings beyond purely digital assets.

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Enlivex Raises Funds for Rain Prediction Market Token Buys

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Enlivex Raises Funds for Rain Prediction Market Token Buys

Immunotherapy company Enlivex has raised $21 million via a debt financing agreement to purchase another 3 billion tokens tied to the prediction market platform Rain.

Enlivex said on Tuesday it exercised an option to acquire another 3 billion Rain (RAIN) tokens at a 62% discount for $10 million on Sunday while extending its option to purchase another 272.1 billion RAIN tokens at the same price to December 2027. The debt financing came from The Lind Partners, a New York-based asset manager.

“We are continuing to execute our prediction markets treasury strategy, and we are pleased that Lind provided us with substantial capital, allowing us to continue the execution of our operating plan, as well as to acquire approximately three billion additional RAIN tokens,” said Enlivex executive chair Shai Novik.

Enlivex develops cell therapy solutions for knee osteoarthritis, but is one of several non-crypto companies that have purchased cryptocurrencies in the hopes that it will strengthen their balance sheets and attract a wider base of investors.

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The company also said it approved a $20 million share buyback program, aimed at enhancing shareholder value.

Details of Enlivex’s debt financing announcement. Source: Enlivex

The value of Enlivex’s RAIN treasury is directly tied to Rain’s decentralized prediction market platform, which has a built-in 2.5% fee that automatically buys back and burns RAIN tokens in a bid to boost the token’s supply-demand dynamics.

RAIN token, Envilex shares trade mostly flat

The Rain token rose 7% to $0.009 after Enlivex’s announcement before falling slightly to $0.0088, trading flat over the last 24 hours with a 0.3% gain, according to CoinGecko. 

Shares in Enlivex (ENVL) also traded mostly flat on Tuesday and closed the trading day down 0.9% to $1.10, but gained 4.5% in after-hours trading, rising to $1.15.

Related: Kalshi, Polymarket eye $20B valuations in potential fundraising: WSJ

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Rain runs on the Ethereum Layer-2 Arbitrum network and ranks among the top 10 prediction market platforms by total value locked and fees over the past seven days, DeFiLlama data shows.