Connect with us

Crypto World

EUR/USD Climbs Above 1.2000 After Trump’s Remarks

Published

on

EUR/USD Climbs Above 1.2000 After Trump’s Remarks

Expectations of lower Federal Reserve interest rates, recession risks, and the negative fallout from the US stance on Greenland have been among the factors acting as bearish drivers for the dollar in recent weeks.

Additional pressure came from signals that the US may be willing to sell dollars to help Japan strengthen the yen. Yesterday’s comments from Donald Trump then gave the market fresh momentum.

“The dollar is doing great,” Trump replied when asked by a reporter whether he thought it had fallen too sharply recently. Does this mean the president is comfortable with the national currency having lost around 9% during the first year of his term?

Trump’s words triggered a sharp weakening of the US dollar against other currencies. In particular, EUR/USD rose above the psychological 1.2000 level for the first time since 2021.

Advertisement

Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD chart

EUR/USD price action towards the end of January formed an ascending channel, within which the upper boundary is acting as resistance.

→ As shown by the first arrow, a long upper wick appeared on the hourly candle, signalling increased selling pressure.
→ The second arrow highlights a similar candle, providing further evidence of seller activity.

The RSI indicator has remained above the 50 level in recent days, confirming the bullish bias, while at the same time creating conditions for a potential pullback.

Should a correction occur, it would allow the channel’s median line to act as support — a level that previously functioned as resistance before being broken.

Given the rapidly shifting news backdrop and frequent comments from officials, further spikes in volatility across currency markets cannot be ruled out.

Advertisement

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

“New” Bitcoin Whale Losses Deepen as Binance Inflows Rise

Published

on

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Whale

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price continued to consolidate near $68,000 on Tuesday, but sustained weakness below this level may generate additional sell pressure from the newest cohort of large holders.

While the long-term whales remain in profit, short-term whales are sitting on sizeable unrealized losses. One analyst highlighted how this pressure may impact BTC’s price, as other indicators point to a continued downtrend.

Key takeaways:

  • The short-term Bitcoin whales are sitting on net unrealized losses of 22% at current prices.

  • The Binance whale inflow ratio climbed to 0.62 from 0.4 in two weeks, signaling a rise in the large-holder deposits.

  • Long-term whales control 71% of the large-wallet supply and remain in profit above their realized price of $41,626.

New BTC whales face mounting unrealized losses

Market analyst Carmelo Alemán noted that the wallets holding 1,000–10,000 BTC control 4.483 million BTC at the moment. A total of 1.287 million BTC (28.7%) belongs to the short-term holder (STH) whales, while 3.196 million BTC (71.3%) sits with the long-term holder (LTH) whales.

Advertisement

The cost basis gap is significant. STH whales have a realized price of $88,494, carrying an unrealized loss of 22%. LTH whales hold a realized price of $41,626, maintaining a 65% in profit.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Whale
Bitcoin realized price of new and old whales. Source: CryptoQuant

Alemán explained that this asymmetry shows the recent whale holders are under pressure while older capital retains a large cushion.

However, realized losses among STH whales have remained limited since Bitcoin’s all-time high of $126,000 in October 2025, reflecting resilience from the holders. 

The key structural level remains near $41,626, which is the LTH realized price. As long as BTC holds above it, the data reflects redistribution rather than structural capitulation, the analyst said.  

Related: Ray Dalio’s world order warning revives case for Bitcoin as neutral money

Advertisement

BTC whale deposits increase as pressure on long-term holders builds

The Binance whale inflow ratio, measuring the share of the 10 largest BTC deposits relative to total inflows, rose to 0.62 from 0.4 from Feb. 2 to Feb. 15. A higher ratio suggests increasing whale-driven sell-side activity.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Whale
Whale inflow ratio on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant

Crypto analyst Darkfost said that a part of the flow is linked to the “Hyperunit whale,” who moved close to 10,000 BTC onto Binance.

LTH’s spent output profit ratio (SOPR) also dropped to 0.88. SOPR measures whether the coins are being sold at a profit or loss, with a reading below 1 meaning losses are being realized. The monthly average SOPR remains at 1.09, and the annual average stands at 1.87, indicating that long-term profitability is still intact.

Additionally, Alphractal founder Joao Wedson said that the long-term holder net-unrealized profit/loss (NUPL) stands at 0.36, meaning unrealized profits remain positive.

The analyst said that the past cycle bottoms formed only after the metric turned negative, implying Bitcoin may still need another dip to confirm capitulation among the LTH cohorts.

Advertisement
Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Whale
Bitcoin long-term holder NUPL. Source: Joao Wedson/X

Related: Bitcoin weekly RSI echoes mid-2022 bear market as BTC plays liquidity games