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HYPE Rallies 20% on Hyperliquid Prediction Markets Push

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HYPE Rallies 20% on Hyperliquid Prediction Markets Push

Hyperliquid’s HYPE token soared over 20% to lead cryptocurrency gainers, as the HyperCore team announced support for HIP-4, a proposal to introduce “outcome” trading.

This development marks a strategic move for the decentralized perpetual futures platform, aiming to capture a share in one of the fastest-growing sectors.

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Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 Proposal Sends HYPE to 2-Month High

Market data showed that HYPE surged 22.39% over the past day, outperforming the broader market’s 3.6% gain over the same period. This made it the top gainer among the 100 largest cryptocurrencies on CoinGecko.

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At press time, HYPE was trading at $37, marking its highest price since late November 2025. Its trading volume also surged by more than 36% to around $1 billion.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Markets

The price rally comes amid the latest network developments. The HyperCore team confirmed its support for HIP-4 on February 2. HIP-4 introduces outcome trading, a new type of contract designed to be fully collateralized and to settle within fixed ranges.

This structure allows for a variety of use cases, including prediction markets and bounded options-style instruments. It’s worth noting that while outcome trading closely overlaps with prediction markets, the two are not synonymous.

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Prediction markets are a specific form of outcome trading in which participants trade contracts tied to future events, with prices reflecting the implied probability of each outcome.

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Outcome trading is a broader concept that encompasses prediction markets alongside other event-based instruments, such as bounded options or structured outcome contracts. In short, all prediction markets fall under outcome trading, but not all outcome trading constitutes prediction markets

“There has been extensive user demand in both of these areas, and builders will likely think of novel applications as well,” the team wrote.

In contrast to traditional derivatives, outcome-based contracts do not use leverage or liquidation mechanisms. Instead, they introduce non-linear payoffs and dated contracts. According to the team,

“The outcome primitive expands the expressivity of HyperCore, while composing with other primitives such as portfolio margin and the HyperEVM.”

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The HIP-4 outcome trading feature is currently live on testnet. Once technical work is finalized, the protocol plans to launch canonical markets that rely on objective settlement sources.

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Canonical markets will use USDH, Hyperliquid’s native stablecoin. The team added that, depending on user feedback, the infrastructure could later be opened to permissionless market deployment.

The latest move follows growing traction after the platform’s HIP-3 deployment. Activity across externally deployed markets has continued to expand, with open interest surging to an all-time high of over $1 billion on January 29. At press time, open interest stood at $929.4 million.

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Prediction Markets Achieve Record Growth

Meanwhile, prediction markets are emerging as a rapidly expanding sector, attracting major players looking to capitalize on growing momentum. Coinbase recently launched prediction markets for all US users through a partnership with CFTC-regulated Kalshi, signaling increasing mainstream adoption.

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Interest in the sector has risen alongside higher activity across these platforms. According to data from Dune, monthly trading volume reached an all-time high of $12.4 billion in January 2026, led by Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion.

Just three days into February, volume has already reached $1 billion, highlighting the sector’s strong growth trajectory.

Prediction Market Monthly Volume.
Prediction Market Monthly Volume. Source: Dune

Overall, Hyperliquid’s support for HIP-4 expands the protocol’s capabilities beyond traditional perpetual futures, positioning it to benefit from the growing demand for outcome-based trading products. As prediction markets gain traction as one application of this broader framework, the successful execution of HIP-4 could drive further adoption across the Hyperliquid ecosystem.

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Crypto World

Cross-Chain Governance Attacks – Smart Liquidity Research

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Cross-Chain Governance Attacks - Smart Liquidity Research

The Governance Exploit Nobody Is Pricing In. Bridges get hacked. That’s old news. We’ve seen the carnage: nine-figure exploits, drained liquidity, emergency shutdowns, Twitter threads filled with “funds are safu” copium.

From Ronin Network to Wormhole, bridge exploits have become a recurring tax on innovation. But here’s the uncomfortable truth. The next systemic risk in crypto probably won’t be a bridge exploit. It’ll be a governance exploit enabled by cross-chain voting power. And almost nobody is pricing it in.

The Shift: From Asset Bridges to Power Bridges

Cross-chain infrastructure has evolved.

We’re no longer just bridging tokens for yield. We’re bridging:

Protocols increasingly allow governance tokens to exist on multiple chains simultaneously — often via wrapped representations or omnichain token standards (like those enabled by LayerZero Labs).

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This improves capital efficiency and participation.

But it also introduces a new attack surface:

The separation of voting power from finality.

The Core Problem: Governance Is Local. Voting Power Is Not.

Governance contracts typically live on a single “home” chain.

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But voting power can be represented across multiple chains.

This creates a dangerous gap:

  1. Tokens are locked on Chain A

  2. Voting power is mirrored on Chain B

  3. Governance decisions are executed on Chain A

If the system relies on cross-chain messaging to sync voting balances, any delay, exploit, or manipulation in that messaging layer becomes a governance vector.

You don’t need to drain liquidity.

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You just need to distort voting power long enough.

And governance proposals often pass with shockingly low turnout.

The Attack Path Nobody Talks About

Let’s walk through a hypothetical.

Step 1: Acquire or Manipulate Voting Power Cross-Chain

An attacker:

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  • Borrows governance tokens

  • Bridges them to a secondary chain

  • Exploits a delay in balance updates

  • Or abuses inconsistencies in wrapped token accounting

In poorly designed systems, the same underlying tokens may temporarily influence voting in multiple domains.

Even if briefly.

Even if “just a bug.”

Governance doesn’t need hours. It needs one block.

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Step 2: Flash Governance

We’ve already seen governance flash-loan exploits in DeFi.

The most infamous example? The attack on Beanstalk in 2022.

The attacker used flash loans to acquire massive voting power, passed a malicious proposal, and drained ~$182M.

Now imagine that dynamic — but across chains.

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Flash-loaned tokens → bridged representation → governance vote → malicious proposal executed → unwind.

All before the watchers even understand what happened.

Step 3: Proposal Payloads as Weapons

Governance proposals can:

If cross-chain voting power is compromised, the proposal payload becomes the exploit.

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No bridge drain required.

Just governance “working as designed.”

Why Markets Aren’t Pricing This Risk

Three reasons.

1. Everyone Is Still Fighting the Last War

After major bridge hacks, teams hardened signature validation and multisig thresholds.

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But governance-layer risk is subtler.

It doesn’t show up as “TVL at risk” on dashboards.

It shows up as “who controls protocol direction.”

That’s harder to quantify.

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2. Voting Participation Is Low

Many DAOs struggle to get 10–20% participation.

Which means:

You don’t need 51%.

You need slightly more than apathy.

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Cross-chain voting power distortions don’t need to be massive. They just need to be decisive.

3. Composability Multiplies Complexity

Modern governance stacks combine:

  • Delegation contracts

  • Token wrappers

  • Cross-chain messaging

  • Snapshot systems

  • Execution timelocks

Each layer introduces potential inconsistencies.

And composability means failures cascade.

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Where the Real Risk Lives

This isn’t about one protocol.

It’s systemic.

The more governance tokens become:

The more fragile governance assumptions become.

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If a governance token is:

You’ve built a multi-dimensional voting derivative.

And derivatives break under stress.

Ask TradFi. They have scars.

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The Governance Exploit Nobody Is Pricing In

Markets price:

  • Smart contract risk

  • Bridge exploit risk

  • Oracle manipulation risk

But they do not price:

Cross-domain voting synchronization risk.

No dashboards are tracking:

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  • Governance message latency

  • Cross-chain vote desync windows

  • Wrapped-token vote inflation

  • Double-counted delegation

Yet these variables may determine who controls billion-dollar treasuries.

What Builders Should Be Doing (Now)

If you’re designing cross-chain governance:

1. Separate Voting Power from Bridged Liquidity

Avoid naïve 1:1 mirroring without strict finality checks.

2. Introduce Vote Finality Windows

Require:

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  • Cross-chain state verification

  • Message settlement delays

  • Proof-of-lock confirmations

Before votes are counted.

3. Use Decay or Cooldowns on Newly Bridged Tokens

Voting power shouldn’t activate instantly after bridging.

If tokens just moved chains 5 seconds ago, maybe they shouldn’t decide protocol destiny.

4. Simulate Governance Stress Scenarios

Run adversarial simulations:

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If your governance model breaks under simulation, it will break in production.

What Investors Should Be Asking

Before allocating to a multi-chain DAO:

  • Where does governance live?

  • How is voting power mirrored?

  • Can voting power be double-counted during bridge latency?

  • What happens if the messaging layer stalls?

  • Is there a time lock between the vote and execution?

If the answers are vague, the risk is real.

And it’s not priced in.

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The Inevitable Wake-Up Call

Crypto learns through catastrophe.

  • Smart contract exploits → audits became standard.

  • Oracle exploits → TWAP and redundancy

  • Bridge hacks → validator hardening

Governance-layer cross-chain exploits are likely next.

And when it happens, it won’t look like a hack.

It’ll look like a proposal that “passed.”

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That’s the scary part.

Final Thought

Cross-chain infrastructure is powerful. It enables capital mobility, global participation, and modular design.

But it also decouples authority from location.

And when authority becomes fluid across chains, attackers don’t need to steal funds.

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They just need to win a vote.

That’s the governance exploit nobody is pricing in.

And by the time the market does, it’ll already be too late.

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Payoneer Adds to Crypto, Fintech Firms Seeking Bank Charter

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Payoneer Adds to Crypto, Fintech Firms Seeking Bank Charter

Global financial services firm Payoneer is the latest in a growing number of companies that have filed for a national trust banking charter in the US, which could enable it to issue a stablecoin and provide various crypto services.

Payoneer said on Tuesday it filed with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to form PAYO Digital Bank, a week after it partnered with stablecoin infrastructure firm Bridge to add stablecoin capabilities to its platform that is mainly focused on cross-border transactions.

Payoneer said that it is seeking to issue a GENIUS Act-compliant stablecoin, PAYO-USD, to serve as the holding currency in Payoneer wallets, in addition to allowing customers to pay and receive stablecoins.

OCC approval would also enable Payoneer to manage PAYO-USD reserves, offer custodial services and enable customers to convert between the stablecoins into their local currency.

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“We believe stablecoins will play a meaningful role in the future of global trade,” said Payoneer CEO John Caplan.

Source: Payoneer

The OCC gave conditional approval to Crypto.com for a charter on Monday, adding to the banking charters won by crypto companies Circle, Ripple, Fidelity Digital Assets, BitGo and Paxos in December.

Related: Better, Framework Ventures reach $500M stablecoin mortgage financing deal

The Trump family’s World Liberty Financial also applied for one in January to expand the use of its USD1 (USD1) stablecoin, but is still awaiting a decision. 

Crypto trading platform Laser Platform also submitted an application in January, while Coinbase has been awaiting a decision on its application since October.

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Stablecoins ideal for business cross-border transfers: Payoneer

Payoneer said OCC approval would allow it to offer its nearly two million customers, which are mostly small and medium-sized businesses, a regulated stablecoin solution to simplify cross-border trade.